Unpleasant Surprises Could Be In Store For Murphy USA Inc.'s (NYSE:MUSA) Shares
Dec 26
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U.S. Consumer Discretionary Sector Analysis
UpdatedDec 27, 2024
DataAggregated Company Financials
Companies784
- 7D2.5%
- 3M15.1%
- 1Y29.3%
- YTD31.8%
Over the last 7 days, the Consumer Discretionary industry has risen 2.9%, driven by gains from Tesla of 6.0%. In the last 12 months, the industry was up 29%. As for the next few years, earnings are expected to grow by 16% per annum.
Sector Valuation and Performance
Has the U.S. Consumer Discretionary Sector valuation changed over the past few years?
| Date | Market Cap | Revenue | Earnings | PE | Absolute PE | PS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, 27 Dec 2024 | US$7.4t | US$3.3t | US$200.9b | 18.3x | 36.7x | 2.2x |
| Sun, 24 Nov 2024 | US$6.7t | US$3.4t | US$199.9b | 18.6x | 33.6x | 2x |
| Tue, 22 Oct 2024 | US$5.9t | US$3.2t | US$178.4b | 18.5x | 32.9x | 1.8x |
| Thu, 19 Sep 2024 | US$5.7t | US$3.2t | US$177.5b | 17.5x | 31.9x | 1.8x |
| Sat, 17 Aug 2024 | US$5.5t | US$3.2t | US$172.6b | 17.3x | 31.7x | 1.7x |
| Mon, 15 Jul 2024 | US$5.8t | US$3.1t | US$167.4b | 17.6x | 34.6x | 1.9x |
| Wed, 12 Jun 2024 | US$5.4t | US$3.1t | US$168.0b | 17.6x | 32.3x | 1.7x |
| Fri, 10 May 2024 | US$5.4t | US$3.1t | US$166.9b | 18.4x | 32.5x | 1.8x |
| Sun, 07 Apr 2024 | US$5.3t | US$3.1t | US$160.4b | 18x | 33.3x | 1.7x |
| Tue, 05 Mar 2024 | US$5.4t | US$3.1t | US$154.8b | 17.8x | 34.6x | 1.8x |
| Thu, 01 Feb 2024 | US$5.1t | US$3.1t | US$148.4b | 16.6x | 34.2x | 1.7x |
| Sat, 30 Dec 2023 | US$5.3t | US$3.1t | US$141.4b | 17.6x | 37.8x | 1.7x |
| Mon, 27 Nov 2023 | US$5.0t | US$3.0t | US$139.8b | 15.3x | 35.7x | 1.6x |
| Wed, 25 Oct 2023 | US$4.5t | US$3.0t | US$113.0b | 14.6x | 39.6x | 1.5x |
| Fri, 22 Sep 2023 | US$4.7t | US$3.0t | US$112.4b | 14.9x | 42.1x | 1.6x |
| Sun, 20 Aug 2023 | US$4.7t | US$3.0t | US$112.4b | 15.9x | 42.2x | 1.6x |
| Tue, 18 Jul 2023 | US$5.1t | US$2.9t | US$99.9b | 15.7x | 51.5x | 1.8x |
| Thu, 15 Jun 2023 | US$4.8t | US$2.9t | US$99.3b | 14.8x | 48.5x | 1.7x |
| Sat, 13 May 2023 | US$4.2t | US$2.9t | US$94.0b | 14x | 45.1x | 1.5x |
| Mon, 10 Apr 2023 | US$4.3t | US$2.9t | US$81.8b | 13.4x | 53x | 1.5x |
| Wed, 08 Mar 2023 | US$4.5t | US$3.1t | US$86.4b | 14.2x | 51.9x | 1.5x |
| Fri, 03 Feb 2023 | US$5.0t | US$3.1t | US$111.5b | 13.7x | 44.9x | 1.6x |
| Sun, 01 Jan 2023 | US$4.0t | US$3.0t | US$108.5b | 11.7x | 36.9x | 1.3x |
| Tue, 29 Nov 2022 | US$4.3t | US$3.0t | US$107.7b | 11.8x | 40.1x | 1.4x |
| Thu, 27 Oct 2022 | US$4.5t | US$3.0t | US$115.2b | 11.1x | 39.1x | 1.5x |
| Sat, 24 Sep 2022 | US$4.6t | US$3.0t | US$111.0b | 10.8x | 41.3x | 1.5x |
| Mon, 22 Aug 2022 | US$5.3t | US$3.0t | US$111.0b | 11.9x | 47.6x | 1.8x |
| Wed, 20 Jul 2022 | US$4.7t | US$2.9t | US$120.7b | 10.7x | 38.6x | 1.6x |
| Fri, 17 Jun 2022 | US$4.3t | US$2.9t | US$119.6b | 10.6x | 36.2x | 1.5x |
| Sun, 15 May 2022 | US$4.8t | US$2.9t | US$121.3b | 11.7x | 39.3x | 1.7x |
| Tue, 12 Apr 2022 | US$5.7t | US$2.9t | US$135.5b | 12.5x | 42.4x | 2x |
| Thu, 10 Mar 2022 | US$5.5t | US$2.8t | US$136.8b | 13.3x | 40.3x | 2x |
| Sat, 05 Feb 2022 | US$6.0t | US$2.8t | US$126.2b | 14.1x | 47.4x | 2.2x |
| Mon, 03 Jan 2022 | US$6.7t | US$2.8t | US$117.2b | 15.6x | 56.8x | 2.4x |
Price to Earnings Ratio
56.8x
Current Industry PE
- Investors are pessimistic on the American Consumer Discretionary industry, indicating that they anticipate long term growth rates will be lower than they have historically.
- The industry is trading at a PE ratio of 36.7x which is lower than its 3-year average PE of 40.7x.
- The 3-year average PS ratio of 1.7x is lower than the industry's current PS ratio of 2.2x.
Past Earnings Growth
- The earnings for companies in the Consumer Discretionary industry have grown 20% per year over the last three years.
- Revenues for these companies have grown 6.7% per year.
- This means that more sales are being generated by these companies overall, and subsequently their profits are increasing too.
Industry Trends
Which industries have driven the changes within the U.S. Consumer Discretionary sector?
| US Market | 2.83% | |
| Consumer Discretionary | 2.53% | |
| Auto Components | 4.88% | |
| Auto | 4.26% | |
| Specialty Stores | 3.24% | |
| Retail Distributors | 2.37% | |
| Consumer Services | 2.17% | |
| Hospitality | 1.96% | |
| Luxury | 1.94% | |
| Consumer Durables | 1.75% | |
| General Merchandise and Department Stores | 1.60% | |
| Leisure | 1.48% | |
| Online Retail and Ecommerce | 0% | |
Industry PE
- Investors are most optimistic about the Leisure industry which is trading above its 3-year average PE ratio of 21.3x.
- Analysts are expecting annual earnings growth of 28.3%, which is higher than its past year's earnings decline of 42.1% per year.
- Investors are most pessimistic about the Consumer Durables industry, although it looks like investor sentiment has improved given that it's trading above its 3-year average of 10.9x.
Forecasted Growth
- Analysts are most optimistic on the Auto Components industry, expecting annual earnings growth of 29% over the next 5 years.
- This is better than its past earnings growth rate of 5.3% per year.
- In contrast, the Consumer Durables industry is expected to see its earnings grow by 8.5% per year over the next few years.
Top Stock Gainers and Losers
Which companies have driven the market over the last 7 days?
| Company | Last Price | 7D | 1Y | Valuation | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSLA Tesla | US$454.13 | 4.1% +US$57.7b | 79.4% | PE114.4x | |
| AMZN Amazon.com | US$227.05 | 1.7% +US$39.5b | 48.0% | PE47.9x | |
| HD Home Depot | US$395.14 | 2.6% +US$10.1b | 13.8% | PE26.9x | |
| TJX TJX Companies | US$125.01 | 3.1% +US$4.3b | 34.1% | PE28.9x | |
| GM General Motors | US$54.18 | 7.6% +US$4.2b | 49.7% | PE5.4x |
