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U.S. Big Box Super Stores Industry Analysis

UpdatedJul 04, 2026
DataAggregated Company Financials
Companies9
  • 7D-2.4%
  • 3M-8.4%
  • 1Y8.2%
  • YTDn/a

Over the last 7 days, the Big Box Super Stores industry has dropped 2.4%, driven by a pullback from Walmart of 3.3%. In the past year, the industry has gained 8.2%. Looking forward, earnings are forecast to grow by 8.3% annually.

Industry Valuation and Performance

Has the U.S. Big Box Super Stores Industry valuation changed over the past few years?

DateMarket CapRevenueEarningsPEAbsolute PEPS
Sun, 05 Jul 2026US$1.4tUS$1.2tUS$38.6b19.9x37.3x1.2x
Tue, 02 Jun 2026US$1.5tUS$1.2tUS$38.5b19.1x38.1x1.2x
Thu, 30 Apr 2026US$1.6tUS$1.2tUS$37.6b20.5x42.1x1.3x
Sat, 28 Mar 2026US$1.5tUS$1.2tUS$37.6b22.3x40.6x1.3x
Mon, 23 Feb 2026US$1.5tUS$1.2tUS$37.1b26x41.7x1.3x
Wed, 21 Jan 2026US$1.5tUS$1.2tUS$38.1b25.3x39.6x1.3x
Fri, 19 Dec 2025US$1.4tUS$1.2tUS$38.1b23.5x37.3x1.2x
Sun, 16 Nov 2025US$1.3tUS$1.2tUS$36.4b21.5x36.5x1.1x
Tue, 14 Oct 2025US$1.3tUS$1.2tUS$36.4b21.1x36.2x1.1x
Thu, 11 Sep 2025US$1.3tUS$1.2tUS$36.1b22.2x37.4x1.2x
Sat, 09 Aug 2025US$1.4tUS$1.1tUS$33.8b23.5x40.6x1.2x
Mon, 07 Jul 2025US$1.3tUS$1.1tUS$33.8b22.7x39.5x1.2x
Wed, 04 Jun 2025US$1.4tUS$1.1tUS$33.5b22.8x40.9x1.2x
Fri, 02 May 2025US$1.3tUS$1.1tUS$33.7b21.6x39.2x1.2x
Sun, 30 Mar 2025US$1.2tUS$1.1tUS$33.7b18.9x35.4x1.1x
Tue, 25 Feb 2025US$1.3tUS$1.1tUS$32.1b22.2x41.4x1.2x
Thu, 23 Jan 2025US$1.3tUS$1.1tUS$32.3b21.2x39.6x1.1x
Sat, 21 Dec 2024US$1.3tUS$1.1tUS$32.3b21.4x39.6x1.1x
Mon, 18 Nov 2024US$1.2tUS$1.1tUS$28.1b20.4x42.4x1.1x
Wed, 16 Oct 2024US$1.2tUS$1.1tUS$28.1b22.2x41.7x1x
Fri, 13 Sep 2024US$1.1tUS$1.1tUS$27.9b20.7x41x1x
Sun, 11 Aug 2024US$1.0tUS$1.1tUS$31.1b20.8x33.7x0.9x
Tue, 09 Jul 2024US$1.1tUS$1.1tUS$31.1b21.1x35x1x
Thu, 06 Jun 2024US$1.0tUS$1.1tUS$30.8b21.5x33.9x0.9x
Sat, 04 May 2024US$948.5bUS$1.1tUS$27.5b19.7x34.5x0.9x
Mon, 01 Apr 2024US$968.0bUS$1.1tUS$27.5b21.5x35.2x0.9x
Wed, 28 Feb 2024US$954.8bUS$1.1tUS$29.2b22.4x32.7x0.9x
Fri, 26 Jan 2024US$869.5bUS$1.1tUS$30.0b20.4x29x0.8x
Sun, 24 Dec 2023US$855.2bUS$1.1tUS$30.0b21.4x28.5x0.8x
Tue, 21 Nov 2023US$797.2bUS$1.1tUS$30.1b18.6x26.5x0.7x
Thu, 19 Oct 2023US$803.4bUS$1.1tUS$27.5b19.4x29.2x0.7x
Sat, 16 Sep 2023US$811.5bUS$1.1tUS$27.2b20.5x29.8x0.8x
Mon, 14 Aug 2023US$825.8bUS$1.1tUS$24.1b22.2x34.2x0.8x
Wed, 12 Jul 2023US$795.2bUS$1.1tUS$24.1b22.6x32.9x0.8x
Price to Earnings Ratio

32.9x


Total Market Cap: US$795.2bTotal Earnings: US$24.1bTotal Revenue: US$1.1tTotal Market Cap vs Earnings and Revenue0%0%0%
U.S. Big Box Super Stores Industry Price to Earnings3Y Average 36.6x202420252026
Current Industry PE
  • Investors are relatively neutral on the American Hypermarkets and Super Centers industry at the moment, indicating that they anticipate long term growth rates to remain steady.
  • The industry is trading close to its 3-year average PE ratio of 36.6x.
  • The 3-year average PS ratio of 1.0x is lower than the industry's current PS ratio of 1.2x.
Past Earnings Growth
  • The earnings for companies in the Hypermarkets and Super Centers industry have grown 17% per year over the last three years.
  • Revenues for these companies have grown 4.7% per year.
  • This means that more sales are being generated by these companies overall, and subsequently their profits are increasing too.

Industry Comparison

How does U.S. Big Box Super Stores compare with similar industries?

US Market1.63%
Consumer Staples-0.21%
Food and Staples Retail-1.91%
Big Box Super Stores-2.43%
Food Distributors2.64%
Food Retail1.64%
Drug Retail1.61%
Industry PEThere are no additional sub-industries under this industry.
Forecasted GrowthThere are no additional sub-industries under this industry.

Top Stock Gainers and Losers

Which companies have driven the market over the last 7 days?

CompanyLast Price7D1YValuation
PSMT PriceSmartUS$197.900.8%
+US$49.7m		85.6%PE39x
BJ BJ's Wholesale Club HoldingsUS$89.180.3%
+US$39.6m		-18.5%PE19.9x
DLTR Dollar TreeUS$124.050.1%
+US$34.6m		21.7%PE18.9x

Latest News

WMT
US$111.84
Walmart
7D
-3.3%
1Y
13.7%
Seeking Alpha • Jul 02

Walmart: Strong Comps Help Offset Rich Valuation, But Maintain Caution (Upgrade)

Summary Walmart has benefited from investor rotation into blue-chip mega caps amid a highly concentrated 2026 market. WMT shares have surged ~20% over 12 months, nearing a $1 trillion market cap. The recent pullback from May highs prompts debate over a potential downward re-rating versus a buyable correction. Market gains remain narrowly focused on AI-linked infrastructure and mega caps, with small-cap sentiment notably weak. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
COST
US$951.67
Costco Wholesale
7D
-0.09%
1Y
-3.6%
Narrative Update • Jul 02

COST: Membership Model And Q3 Execution Will Support Premium Multiple

Analysts have nudged the Costco Wholesale fair value estimate higher to $1,082.94 from $1,047.90, reflecting updated assumptions around slightly firmer profit margins, a modestly lower future P/E of about 50.7, and Street research that highlights the company's resilient membership model and balanced risk/reward at current levels. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Costco Wholesale presents a mix of confidence in the business model and caution around valuation, with price targets spread across a wide range and ratings spanning Buy, Hold, Neutral, and Sell.
TGT
US$130.21
Target
7D
-7.3%
1Y
25.1%
Seeking Alpha • Jul 01

Target: The Turnaround Is Here, The Deep Value Isn't

Summary Target Corporation has demonstrated a clear operational turnaround, with comp sales up 5.6% and traffic growth of 4.4% YoY. Management's merchandising shifts, grocery resets, and digital initiatives are driving renewed top-line momentum and improved gross margin. Despite revenue gains, operating income fell 22% due to higher SG&A, reflecting the cost of executing the turnaround. I maintain a Hold rating on TGT, as valuation is no longer deeply discounted and risk-reward is less compelling versus other alternatives. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
BJ
US$89.18
BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings
7D
0.3%
1Y
-18.5%
DLTR
US$124.05
Dollar Tree
7D
0.1%
1Y
21.7%
Seeking Alpha • Jun 29

Dollar Tree: Multi-Price Is Working, But Traffic Still Needs To Turn

Summary Dollar Tree remains a hold as the multi-price strategy scales and margins improve, but traffic remains negative. DLTR’s multi-price rollout has driven higher average ticket and positive comps, yet visits declined 1% in Q1 2026. Tariff headwinds and the need to balance value perception with margin expansion keep the outlook cautious. Valuation at ~17x NTM P/E is not expensive, but upside depends on sustained traffic and margin improvement. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
DG
US$118.17
Dollar General
7D
-1.1%
1Y
3.6%
Narrative Update • Jun 29

DG: Future Earnings Power Will Rely On AI And Retail Media Margins

Analysts have revised their fair value estimate for Dollar General to about $169.64, down from $175.00, reflecting updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, discount rates, and future P/E expectations. What’s in the News for Dollar General Dollar General reported Q1 2026 net sales growth of 3.4% year over year and same store sales growth of 2%, with earnings per share at US$2.00.
PSMT
US$197.90
PriceSmart
7D
0.8%
1Y
85.6%
Narrative Update • Jun 23

PSMT: Bearish Stance Will Persist As Club Expansion Outpaces Caution

Analysts have trimmed their price target on PriceSmart to $153.33, reflecting a more cautious stance following the recent bearish downgrade, while keeping key model assumptions such as discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E essentially unchanged. What’s in the News for PriceSmart PriceSmart opened its sixth warehouse club in the Dominican Republic in May 2026, located on a five acre property in La Romana, about 73 miles east of Santo Domingo.