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U.S. Big Box Super Stores Industry Analysis

UpdatedMar 05, 2026
DataAggregated Company Financials
Companies9
  • 7D1.3%
  • 3M12.2%
  • 1Y20.0%
  • YTDn/a

In the last week, the Big Box Super Stores industry is up 3.2%, with Walmart up 0.9%. Meanwhile, Dollar Tree actually underperformed within the industry, shrinking 10% in the last week. This takes the industry's 12 month performance to a gain of 18%. Looking forward, earnings are forecast to grow by 8.0% annually.

Industry Valuation and Performance

Has the U.S. Big Box Super Stores Industry valuation changed over the past few years?

DateMarket CapRevenueEarningsPEAbsolute PEPS
Thu, 05 Mar 2026US$1.6tUS$1.2tUS$37.0b26.1x43.1x1.3x
Sat, 31 Jan 2026US$1.5tUS$1.2tUS$38.1b24.7x38.8x1.3x
Mon, 29 Dec 2025US$1.4tUS$1.2tUS$38.1b23.8x36.6x1.2x
Wed, 26 Nov 2025US$1.3tUS$1.2tUS$37.8b20.5x35.5x1.1x
Fri, 24 Oct 2025US$1.4tUS$1.2tUS$36.4b21.3x37.8x1.2x
Sun, 21 Sep 2025US$1.3tUS$1.2tUS$36.1b21.9x37x1.2x
Tue, 19 Aug 2025US$1.3tUS$1.1tUS$33.8b23.6x39.7x1.2x
Thu, 17 Jul 2025US$1.3tUS$1.1tUS$33.8b22.8x38.5x1.1x
Sat, 14 Jun 2025US$1.3tUS$1.1tUS$33.5b22.5x38.9x1.1x
Mon, 12 May 2025US$1.3tUS$1.1tUS$33.7b22.3x39.2x1.2x
Wed, 09 Apr 2025US$1.2tUS$1.1tUS$33.7b18x34.8x1x
Fri, 07 Mar 2025US$1.3tUS$1.1tUS$31.8b23.5x42.1x1.2x
Sun, 02 Feb 2025US$1.3tUS$1.1tUS$32.3b21.7x41.3x1.2x
Tue, 31 Dec 2024US$1.3tUS$1.1tUS$32.3b20.6x39.1x1.1x
Thu, 28 Nov 2024US$1.3tUS$1.1tUS$32.2b21.3x39.5x1.1x
Sat, 26 Oct 2024US$1.2tUS$1.1tUS$28.1b21.8x41.9x1x
Mon, 23 Sep 2024US$1.2tUS$1.1tUS$27.9b21.1x41.4x1x
Wed, 21 Aug 2024US$1.1tUS$1.1tUS$27.7b21.4x40x1x
Fri, 19 Jul 2024US$1.1tUS$1.1tUS$31.1b22.5x34.8x1x
Sun, 16 Jun 2024US$1.0tUS$1.1tUS$31.1b21x33.7x0.9x
Tue, 14 May 2024US$975.2bUS$1.1tUS$27.5b20.6x35.5x0.9x
Thu, 11 Apr 2024US$954.5bUS$1.1tUS$27.5b20.3x34.7x0.9x
Sat, 09 Mar 2024US$964.2bUS$1.1tUS$30.0b22.1x32.1x0.9x
Mon, 05 Feb 2024US$910.0bUS$1.1tUS$30.0b20.5x30.3x0.8x
Wed, 03 Jan 2024US$857.6bUS$1.1tUS$30.0b21.3x28.6x0.8x
Fri, 01 Dec 2023US$807.2bUS$1.1tUS$30.0b18.6x26.9x0.7x
Sun, 29 Oct 2023US$786.2bUS$1.1tUS$27.5b19.1x28.6x0.7x
Tue, 26 Sep 2023US$798.2bUS$1.1tUS$27.2b19.4x29.3x0.7x
Thu, 24 Aug 2023US$801.1bUS$1.1tUS$27.6b21.2x29x0.8x
Sat, 22 Jul 2023US$818.2bUS$1.1tUS$24.1b22.7x33.9x0.8x
Mon, 19 Jun 2023US$790.9bUS$1.1tUS$24.1b21.8x32.8x0.7x
Wed, 17 May 2023US$794.7bUS$1.0tUS$24.9b21.7x31.9x0.8x
Fri, 14 Apr 2023US$793.6bUS$1.0tUS$24.8b22.3x31.9x0.8x
Sun, 12 Mar 2023US$590.5bUS$869.1bUS$18.4b25.6x32.2x0.7x
Price to Earnings Ratio

32.2x


Total Market Cap: US$590.5bTotal Earnings: US$18.4bTotal Revenue: US$869.1bTotal Market Cap vs Earnings and Revenue0%0%0%
U.S. Big Box Super Stores Industry Price to Earnings3Y Average 35.6x202420252026
Current Industry PE
  • Investors are optimistic on the American Hypermarkets and Super Centers industry, and appear confident in long term growth rates.
  • The industry is trading at a PE ratio of 43.1x which is higher than its 3-year average PE of 35.6x.
  • The 3-year average PS ratio of 0.98x is lower than the industry's current PS ratio of 1.3x.
Past Earnings Growth
  • The earnings for companies in the Hypermarkets and Super Centers industry have grown 26% per year over the last three years.
  • Revenues for these companies have grown 11% per year.
  • This means that more sales are being generated by these companies overall, and subsequently their profits are increasing too.

Industry Comparison

How does U.S. Big Box Super Stores compare with similar industries?

US Market-1.22%
Consumer Staples-1.04%
Food and Staples Retail1.06%
Big Box Super Stores1.34%
Food Retail-0.079%
Food Distributors-2.56%
Drug Retail-6.56%
Industry PEThere are no additional sub-industries under this industry.
Forecasted GrowthThere are no additional sub-industries under this industry.

Top Stock Gainers and Losers

Which companies have driven the market over the last 7 days?

CompanyLast Price7D1YValuation
WMT WalmartUS$127.811.6%
+US$16.4b		33.2%PE46.5x
COST Costco WholesaleUS$1.01k1.2%
+US$5.3b		-3.9%PE53.8x
TGT TargetUS$120.083.1%
+US$1.7b		3.0%PE14.7x
BJ BJ's Wholesale Club HoldingsUS$99.983.0%
+US$383.4m		-0.1%PE22.7x

Latest News

WMT
US$127.81
Walmart
7D
1.6%
1Y
33.2%

WMT: AI And Automation Shift Will Shape Retail Resilience And Risks

Our Walmart fair value estimate has edged up from $129.03 to $135.90 as analysts lift price targets into a $138 to $150 range, citing the retailer's shift toward a tech-enabled omnichannel model, its growing use of AI and automation, and the contribution from higher margin alternative businesses. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Walmart clusters into two clear camps, with most price targets now sitting in a $134 to $150 range and one group remaining more cautious in the low $120s to low $130s.
COST
US$1,006.74
Costco Wholesale
7D
1.2%
1Y
-3.9%

COST: Membership Strength And Pricing Power Will Support Defensive Upside Through 2026

Analysts have nudged their Costco Wholesale price target higher to $1,205, a modest revision that reflects slightly firmer assumptions on revenue growth and a small adjustment to the discount rate, while still factoring in a similar long term profit profile and P/E outlook to previous estimates. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Costco points to generally constructive sentiment, with several bullish analysts lifting price targets and reiterating positive views on the company’s positioning and execution.
TGT
US$120.08
Target
7D
3.1%
1Y
3.0%

TGT: Upcoming Earnings And Investor Day Will Rebuild Earnings Power

The analyst price target for Target has been raised from about $137 to $140. This change reflects analysts' updated views that slightly higher long-term revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E assumptions are reasonable in light of recent Street research, which has generally moved price targets higher while still noting mixed traffic and recovery expectations.
DG
US$151.60
Dollar General
7D
-2.1%
1Y
105.7%

DG: Completed Buybacks And Raised Guidance Will Support A Measured Earnings Outlook

Narrative Update Overview Analysts have adjusted their price target on Dollar General to about $147.39 from $139.25, citing updates to assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, discount rate, and future P/E expectations. What's in the News Dollar General completed the repurchase of 123,531,571 shares, representing 45.04% of shares, for a total of US$14,618.08m under its buyback program announced on September 5, 2012 (Key Developments).
PSMT
US$153.06
PriceSmart
7D
-1.5%
1Y
78.0%
BJ
US$99.98
BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings
7D
3.0%
1Y
-0.1%
DLTR
US$117.85
Dollar Tree
7D
-7.7%
1Y
68.0%