Kaiser Aluminum Corporation (NASDAQ:KALU) Shares Could Be 37% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate
Nov 11
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U.S. Aluminum Industry Analysis
UpdatedNov 20, 2024
DataAggregated Company Financials
Companies9
- 7D8.0%
- 3M24.7%
- 1Y51.9%
- YTDn/a
The Aluminum industry is up 8.0% in the last week, with Alcoa up 12%. This takes the industry's 12 month performance to a gain of 52%. Looking forward, earnings are forecast to grow by 49% annually.
Industry Valuation and Performance
Has the U.S. Aluminum Industry valuation changed over the past few years?
| Date | Market Cap | Revenue | Earnings | PE | Absolute PE | PS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed, 20 Nov 2024 | US$16.6b | US$24.0b | US$138.7m | 16.1x | 120x | 0.7x |
| Fri, 18 Oct 2024 | US$16.1b | US$24.2b | US$55.3m | 12.5x | 290.9x | 0.7x |
| Sun, 15 Sep 2024 | US$13.4b | US$24.1b | -US$198,637,172.59 | 13.6x | -67.4x | 0.6x |
| Tue, 13 Aug 2024 | US$12.6b | US$24.0b | -US$201,015,483.55 | 12.7x | -62.8x | 0.5x |
| Thu, 11 Jul 2024 | US$13.3b | US$23.9b | -US$357,670,529.78 | 20.8x | -37.1x | 0.6x |
| Sat, 08 Jun 2024 | US$13.8b | US$23.9b | -US$357,925,466.49 | 22x | -38.5x | 0.6x |
| Mon, 06 May 2024 | US$12.9b | US$23.9b | -US$375,943,400.26 | 22.8x | -34.2x | 0.5x |
| Wed, 03 Apr 2024 | US$12.4b | US$24.3b | -US$618,308,251.86 | 27.6x | -20.1x | 0.5x |
| Fri, 01 Mar 2024 | US$9.7b | US$24.4b | -US$586,149,076.96 | 22.8x | -16.5x | 0.4x |
| Sun, 28 Jan 2024 | US$13.6b | US$32.9b | -US$985,422,694.00 | 50x | -13.8x | 0.4x |
| Tue, 26 Dec 2023 | US$14.4b | US$33.1b | -US$1,228,166,013.00 | 52.1x | -11.8x | 0.4x |
| Thu, 23 Nov 2023 | US$12.2b | US$33.0b | -US$1,229,677,688.00 | 44.2x | -9.9x | 0.4x |
| Sat, 21 Oct 2023 | US$11.4b | US$33.2b | -US$1,038,193,591.00 | 54.8x | -11x | 0.3x |
| Mon, 18 Sep 2023 | US$12.8b | US$33.5b | -US$1,614,730,501.00 | 65.4x | -7.9x | 0.4x |
| Wed, 16 Aug 2023 | US$13.0b | US$33.7b | -US$1,609,652,731.00 | 63.2x | -8.1x | 0.4x |
| Fri, 14 Jul 2023 | US$14.5b | US$36.4b | -US$939,397,553.00 | 18.5x | -15.4x | 0.4x |
| Sun, 11 Jun 2023 | US$13.6b | US$36.0b | -US$946,344,370.00 | 18.6x | -14.4x | 0.4x |
| Tue, 09 May 2023 | US$13.8b | US$36.4b | -US$871,085,729.00 | 11.8x | -15.8x | 0.4x |
| Thu, 06 Apr 2023 | US$13.9b | US$37.4b | US$8.2m | 8.4x | 1691.4x | 0.4x |
| Sat, 04 Mar 2023 | US$17.9b | US$37.2b | US$25.0m | 7.5x | 719.2x | 0.5x |
| Mon, 30 Jan 2023 | US$16.2b | US$36.6b | US$407.5m | 6.9x | 39.7x | 0.4x |
| Wed, 28 Dec 2022 | US$13.8b | US$37.1b | US$383.2m | 5.8x | 35.9x | 0.4x |
| Fri, 25 Nov 2022 | US$14.9b | US$37.0b | US$376.6m | 6x | 39.5x | 0.4x |
| Sun, 23 Oct 2022 | US$13.1b | US$35.6b | US$314.6m | 10.4x | 41.8x | 0.4x |
| Tue, 20 Sep 2022 | US$13.8b | US$36.0b | US$1.4b | 10x | 9.9x | 0.4x |
| Thu, 18 Aug 2022 | US$16.3b | US$36.1b | US$1.4b | 11.4x | 11.6x | 0.5x |
| Sat, 16 Jul 2022 | US$14.7b | US$33.2b | US$681.0m | 7.9x | 21.6x | 0.4x |
| Mon, 13 Jun 2022 | US$17.5b | US$33.5b | US$697.8m | 9.4x | 25.1x | 0.5x |
| Wed, 11 May 2022 | US$17.9b | US$33.5b | US$698.2m | 9.8x | 25.6x | 0.5x |
| Fri, 08 Apr 2022 | US$24.9b | US$31.2b | US$126.6m | 22.8x | 196.8x | 0.8x |
| Sun, 06 Mar 2022 | US$26.4b | US$31.2b | US$126.9m | 24.1x | 207.9x | 0.8x |
| Tue, 01 Feb 2022 | US$19.1b | US$29.4b | US$35.6m | 16.2x | 537.3x | 0.7x |
| Thu, 30 Dec 2021 | US$20.3b | US$28.5b | US$427.6m | 10.9x | 47.4x | 0.7x |
| Sat, 27 Nov 2021 | US$17.3b | US$28.5b | US$426.8m | 9.6x | 40.5x | 0.6x |
Price to Earnings Ratio
40.5x
Current Industry PE
- Investors are pessimistic on the American Aluminum industry, indicating that they anticipate long term growth rates will be lower than they have historically.
- The industry is trading at a PE ratio of 120x which is lower than its 3-year average PE of 126x.
- The industry is trading close to its 3-year average PS ratio of 0.49x.
Past Earnings Growth
- The earnings for companies in the Aluminum industry have declined 31% per year over the last three years,
- Revenues have also declined 5.6% per year.
- This means overall sales from these companies are declining and profits are subsequently falling as well.
Industry Comparison
How does U.S. Aluminum compare with similar industries?
| US Market | -1.19% | |
| Materials | -0.58% | |
| Metals and Mining | 0.88% | |
| Aluminum | 8.04% | |
| Precious Metals and Minerals | 6.99% | |
| Silver | 4.89% | |
| Gold | 4.61% | |
| Copper | 1.05% | |
| Steel | -2.72% | |
| Diversified Metals and Mining | -2.84% | |
Industry PEThere are no additional sub-industries under this industry.
Forecasted GrowthThere are no additional sub-industries under this industry.
Top Stock Gainers and Losers
Which companies have driven the market over the last 7 days?
| Company | Last Price | 7D | 1Y | Valuation | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AA Alcoa | US$45.74 | 12.7% +US$1.3b | 73.4% | PS1.1x | |
| CENX Century Aluminum | US$23.08 | 11.6% +US$221.8m | 194.0% | PE7x |
