With EPS Growth And More, First Investment Bank AD (BUL:FIB) Makes An Interesting Case
Jun 07
Bulgarian (SOFIX) Market Analysis & Valuation
UpdatedJul 26, 2024
DataAggregated Company Financials
Companies171
- 7D-0.3%
- 3M4.2%
- 1Y16.8%
- YTD9.4%
Over the last 7 days, the market has remained flat, although notably the Information Technology sector declined by 5.5%. More promisingly, the market is up 17% over the past year. Looking forward, earnings are forecast to grow by 32% annually.
Market Valuation and Performance
Has the Bulgarian Market valuation changed over the past few years?
| Date | Market Cap | Revenue | Earnings | PE | Absolute PE | PS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, 26 Jul 2024 | лв15.1b | лв12.0b | лв857.7m | 15x | 17.6x | 1.3x |
| Sun, 23 Jun 2024 | лв15.1b | лв12.3b | лв912.7m | 13.7x | 16.5x | 1.2x |
| Tue, 21 May 2024 | лв15.7b | лв16.6b | лв1.1b | 13.1x | 14x | 0.9x |
| Thu, 18 Apr 2024 | лв14.8b | лв16.4b | лв1.2b | 13x | 12.7x | 0.9x |
| Sat, 16 Mar 2024 | лв15.2b | лв16.8b | лв1.2b | 14.1x | 12.6x | 0.9x |
| Mon, 12 Feb 2024 | лв15.0b | лв16.1b | лв1.1b | 14x | 13.7x | 0.9x |
| Wed, 10 Jan 2024 | лв15.8b | лв17.8b | лв1.3b | 11.5x | 12.1x | 0.9x |
| Fri, 08 Dec 2023 | лв15.5b | лв18.3b | лв1.3b | 11.8x | 11.6x | 0.8x |
| Sun, 05 Nov 2023 | лв15.7b | лв18.8b | лв1.4b | 12.6x | 11.4x | 0.8x |
| Tue, 03 Oct 2023 | лв15.3b | лв18.8b | лв1.4b | 12.1x | 10.9x | 0.8x |
| Thu, 31 Aug 2023 | лв14.9b | лв18.9b | лв1.3b | 12.2x | 11.1x | 0.8x |
| Sat, 29 Jul 2023 | лв14.5b | лв19.2b | лв1.3b | 13.4x | 10.8x | 0.8x |
| Mon, 26 Jun 2023 | лв14.3b | лв19.3b | лв1.3b | 13.4x | 11.3x | 0.7x |
| Wed, 24 May 2023 | лв14.2b | лв20.4b | лв1.1b | 13.1x | 12.7x | 0.7x |
| Fri, 21 Apr 2023 | лв13.8b | лв20.4b | лв1.1b | 13x | 12.3x | 0.7x |
| Sun, 19 Mar 2023 | лв12.4b | лв20.3b | лв1.0b | 12.8x | 12.3x | 0.6x |
| Tue, 14 Feb 2023 | лв13.8b | лв20.3b | лв1.2b | 14.4x | 11.8x | 0.7x |
| Thu, 12 Jan 2023 | лв13.7b | лв20.2b | лв1.2b | 13.4x | 11.8x | 0.7x |
| Sat, 10 Dec 2022 | лв13.3b | лв20.3b | лв1.1b | 11.8x | 11.6x | 0.7x |
| Mon, 07 Nov 2022 | лв13.1b | лв18.5b | лв1.1b | 12.2x | 11.9x | 0.7x |
| Wed, 05 Oct 2022 | лв12.8b | лв18.5b | лв1.1b | 12.5x | 12x | 0.7x |
| Fri, 02 Sep 2022 | лв13.4b | лв18.0b | лв1.0b | 14.1x | 13.1x | 0.7x |
| Sun, 31 Jul 2022 | лв13.3b | лв16.9b | лв982.3m | 14.3x | 13.5x | 0.8x |
| Tue, 28 Jun 2022 | лв13.5b | лв17.1b | лв992.4m | 14.4x | 13.6x | 0.8x |
| Thu, 26 May 2022 | лв29.6b | лв15.8b | лв851.6m | 14.6x | 34.8x | 1.9x |
| Sat, 23 Apr 2022 | лв29.6b | лв15.1b | лв865.4m | 14.3x | 34.3x | 2x |
| Mon, 21 Mar 2022 | лв29.1b | лв15.2b | лв864.3m | 15.3x | 33.7x | 1.9x |
| Wed, 16 Feb 2022 | лв29.6b | лв13.2b | лв598.6m | 15x | 49.4x | 2.2x |
| Fri, 14 Jan 2022 | лв29.7b | лв12.9b | лв578.5m | 16.5x | 51.3x | 2.3x |
| Sun, 12 Dec 2021 | лв29.3b | лв12.9b | лв578.6m | 17.5x | 50.6x | 2.3x |
| Tue, 09 Nov 2021 | лв29.3b | лв12.0b | лв493.0m | 16.9x | 59.4x | 2.5x |
| Thu, 07 Oct 2021 | лв28.7b | лв11.8b | лв474.5m | 17.9x | 60.5x | 2.4x |
| Sat, 04 Sep 2021 | лв28.6b | лв11.8b | лв465.9m | 16.4x | 61.3x | 2.4x |
| Mon, 02 Aug 2021 | лв28.3b | лв11.8b | лв483.2m | 15.9x | 58.6x | 2.4x |
Price to Earnings Ratio
58.6x
Current Market PE
- Investors are pessimistic on the Bulgarian market, indicating that they anticipate earnings will not grow as fast as they have historically.
- The market is trading at a PE ratio of 17.6x which is lower than its 3-year average PE of 23.3x.
Past Earnings Growth
- The earnings for Bulgarian listed companies have grown 21% per year over the last three years, while revenues have remained steady.
- This means that companies overall are more efficiently conducting business since profits are increasing while sales have been flat.
Sector Trends
Which sectors have driven the changes within the Bulgarian Market?
| BG Market | -0.34% | |
| Utilities | 2.17% | |
| Consumer Discretionary | 1.50% | |
| Financials | 1.11% | |
| Healthcare | 0.22% | |
| Telecom | 0.17% | |
| Real Estate | 0.041% | |
| Industrials | -0.19% | |
| Consumer Staples | -1.23% | |
| Materials | -1.59% | |
| Energy | -5.36% | |
| Tech | -5.52% | |
Sector PE
- Investors favour the Telecom sector the most for future growth even though it's trading below its 3-year average PE ratio of 238x.
- It looks like investors are confident that earnings will grow faster in the future than they have historically.
Forecasted Growth
- Analysts are most optimistic on the Financials sector, expecting annual earnings growth of 38% over the next 5 years.
- This is better than its past earnings growth rate of 21% per year.
- In contrast, the Tech sector is expected to see its earnings grow by 31% per year over the next few years.
Top Stock Gainers and Losers
Which companies have driven the market over the last 7 days?
| Company | Last Price | 7D | 1Y | Valuation | Sector | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TBD TPP-Bobov Dol AD | лв28.00 | 12.0% +лв26.1m | n/a | PE14.1x | Utilities | |
| FIB First Investment Bank AD | лв4.78 | 3.5% +лв23.9m | 132.0% | PB0.4x | Financials | |
| CHIM Chimimport AD | лв0.77 | 9.3% +лв14.7m | 5.1% | PE2.7x | Industrials | |
| GR6 Gradus AD | лв1.45 | 3.6% +лв11.5m | -4.0% | PS2.1x | Consumer Staples | |
| ATOM Atomenergoremont | лв13.00 | 4.0% +лв7.7m | n/a | PE12x | Industrials |
