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U.S. Food and Staples Retail Industry Analysis

UpdatedDec 24, 2025
DataAggregated Company Financials
Companies59
  • 7D-2.8%
  • 3M1.9%
  • 1Y7.4%
  • YTD10.7%

Over the last 7 days, the Food and Staples Retail industry has dropped 2.8%, driven by a pullback from Walmart of 4.1%. In the past year, the industry has gained 7.4%. Looking forward, earnings are forecast to grow by 8.2% annually.

Industry Valuation and Performance

Has the U.S. Food and Staples Retail Industry valuation changed over the past few years?

DateMarket CapRevenueEarningsPEAbsolute PEPS
Wed, 24 Dec 2025US$1.5tUS$1.7tUS$44.4b21.3x34.9x0.9x
Fri, 21 Nov 2025US$1.5tUS$1.7tUS$44.4b20.6x33.2x0.9x
Sun, 19 Oct 2025US$1.6tUS$1.7tUS$44.5b20.7x35.1x0.9x
Tue, 16 Sep 2025US$1.5tUS$1.7tUS$44.3b19.3x35x0.9x
Thu, 14 Aug 2025US$1.6tUS$1.8tUS$35.5b22.1x44.7x0.9x
Sat, 12 Jul 2025US$1.5tUS$1.8tUS$35.5b21.7x42.9x0.8x
Mon, 09 Jun 2025US$1.5tUS$1.8tUS$35.8b23.1x42.8x0.8x
Wed, 07 May 2025US$1.5tUS$1.8tUS$36.0b25x42.9x0.9x
Fri, 04 Apr 2025US$1.4tUS$1.8tUS$33.0b25x43.8x0.8x
Sun, 02 Mar 2025US$1.6tUS$1.8tUS$31.4b27.8x49.5x0.9x
Tue, 28 Jan 2025US$1.5tUS$1.8tUS$31.8b26.8x46.5x0.8x
Thu, 26 Dec 2024US$1.5tUS$1.8tUS$32.0b25.9x45.8x0.8x
Sat, 23 Nov 2024US$1.4tUS$1.8tUS$31.8b24.3x44.7x0.8x
Mon, 21 Oct 2024US$1.3tUS$1.8tUS$25.9b22.3x52x0.8x
Wed, 18 Sep 2024US$1.3tUS$1.8tUS$28.6b21.7x46.9x0.8x
Fri, 16 Aug 2024US$1.2tUS$1.8tUS$31.2b21.9x39.3x0.7x
Sun, 14 Jul 2024US$1.2tUS$1.8tUS$31.4b21.7x39.3x0.7x
Tue, 11 Jun 2024US$1.2tUS$1.8tUS$30.8b21.7x39.5x0.7x
Thu, 09 May 2024US$1.1tUS$1.7tUS$27.4b19x41.8x0.7x
Sat, 06 Apr 2024US$1.1tUS$1.7tUS$27.3b19.3x40.9x0.6x
Mon, 04 Mar 2024US$1.1tUS$1.7tUS$35.5b21x31.7x0.6x
Wed, 31 Jan 2024US$1.0tUS$1.7tUS$36.0b20x29.1x0.6x
Fri, 29 Dec 2023US$1.0tUS$1.7tUS$31.9b20.4x32.1x0.6x
Sun, 26 Nov 2023US$961.9bUS$1.7tUS$30.2b19.6x31.9x0.6x
Tue, 24 Oct 2023US$936.2bUS$1.7tUS$29.3b19x31.9x0.5x
Thu, 21 Sep 2023US$966.5bUS$1.7tUS$30.6b20.1x31.5x0.6x
Sat, 19 Aug 2023US$953.3bUS$1.7tUS$31.7b20.1x30x0.6x
Mon, 17 Jul 2023US$955.1bUS$1.7tUS$28.0b20.2x34.2x0.6x
Wed, 14 Jun 2023US$940.8bUS$1.7tUS$27.8b18.4x33.8x0.6x
Fri, 12 May 2023US$959.5bUS$1.7tUS$28.7b19.7x33.4x0.6x
Sun, 09 Apr 2023US$951.7bUS$1.7tUS$28.5b20.4x33.4x0.6x
Tue, 07 Mar 2023US$760.6bUS$1.5tUS$22.0b20x34.6x0.5x
Thu, 02 Feb 2023US$793.5bUS$1.5tUS$19.3b20.9x41.1x0.5x
Sat, 31 Dec 2022US$754.4bUS$1.5tUS$26.8b18.4x28.1x0.5x
Price to Earnings Ratio

28.1x


Total Market Cap: US$754.4bTotal Earnings: US$26.8bTotal Revenue: US$1.5tTotal Market Cap vs Earnings and Revenue0%0%0%
U.S. Food and Staples Retail Industry Price to Earnings3Y Average 38.3x202320242025
Current Industry PE
  • Investors are pessimistic on the American Consumer Retailing industry, indicating that they anticipate long term growth rates will be lower than they have historically.
  • The industry is trading at a PE ratio of 34.9x which is lower than its 3-year average PE of 38.3x.
  • The industry is trading close to its 3-year average PS ratio of 0.70x.
Past Earnings Growth
  • The earnings for companies in the Consumer Retailing industry have grown 18% per year over the last three years.
  • Revenues for these companies have grown 5.0% per year.
  • This means that more sales are being generated by these companies overall, and subsequently their profits are increasing too.

Industry Trends

Which industries have driven the changes within the U.S. Consumer Staples industry?

US Market2.62%
Consumer Staples-1.96%
Food and Staples Retail-2.80%
Food Retail0.26%
Food Distributors-1.42%
Big Box Super Stores-3.09%
Drug Retail-8.46%
Industry PE
  • Investors are most optimistic about the Big Box Super Stores industry, which is trading close to its 3-year average PE ratio of 35.5x.
    • Analysts are expecting annual earnings growth of 6.7%, which is higher than its past year's earnings growth of 3.2% per year.
Forecasted Growth
  • Analysts are most optimistic on the Food Retail industry, expecting annual earnings growth of 20% over the next 5 years.
  • This is better than its past earnings growth rate of 11% per year.
  • In contrast, the Big Box Super Stores industry is expected to see its earnings grow by 6.7% per year over the next few years.

Top Stock Gainers and Losers

Which companies have driven the market over the last 7 days?

CompanyLast Price7D1YValuation
CASY Casey's General StoresUS$566.982.2%
+US$454.1m		40.5%PE34.6x
TBBB BBB FoodsUS$34.496.6%
+US$244.5m		16.3%PS1x
KR KrogerUS$62.300.3%
+US$126.6m		0.8%PE50.5x
DDL Dingdong (Cayman)US$2.7219.3%
+US$94.3m		-30.8%PE14.4x
USFD US Foods HoldingUS$76.830.5%
+US$78.0m		11.7%PE30.7x

Latest News

UNFI
US$34.00
United Natural Foods
7D
3.5%
1Y
26.8%

UNFI: Future Upside Will Depend On Multi Year Margin Recovery Execution

We are trimming our fair value estimate for United Natural Foods slightly to approximately $39.13 per share from about $39.75, as analysts acknowledge improved profitability, moderation in long term revenue growth assumptions, and a marginally higher discount rate that tempers the upside implied by recently raised Street price targets in the mid 30s to low 40s. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research has turned more constructive on United Natural Foods, with several firms lifting price targets into the mid 30s to low 40s, alongside improved earnings visibility and execution on strategic initiatives.
USFD
US$76.83
US Foods Holding
7D
0.5%
1Y
11.7%

What You Can Learn From US Foods Holding Corp.'s (NYSE:USFD) P/E

Dec 22
What You Can Learn From US Foods Holding Corp.'s (NYSE:USFD) P/E
KR
US$62.30
Kroger
7D
0.3%
1Y
0.8%

KR: Expanded Delivery Partnerships Will Drive Stronger Long-Term Earnings Profile

Analysts trimmed their Kroger price target slightly to approximately $73.50 from about $74.40, citing modestly higher long term growth and margin expectations, which are offset by a lower future valuation multiple as the company broadens its third party delivery partnerships with platforms like DoorDash. Analyst Commentary Analysts view the expanded DoorDash partnership as a strategically important but not transformational shift for Kroger, shaping expectations for both growth and risk around the company’s digital and delivery ecosystem.
DDL
US$2.72
Dingdong (Cayman)
7D
19.3%
1Y
-30.8%
WMT
US$110.90
Walmart
7D
-4.1%
1Y
19.7%
NGVC
US$25.62
Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage
7D
1.6%
1Y
-35.8%
PFGC
US$90.50
Performance Food Group
7D
-4.1%
1Y
6.2%
CASY
US$566.98
Casey's General Stores
7D
2.2%
1Y
40.5%

CASY: Store Expansion And Margin Outlook Will Support Premium Multiple Ahead

Analysts have nudged their price target for Casey's General Stores higher from 591.86 dollars to 600.00 dollars, citing slightly improved margin expectations and a modestly lower discount rate that more than offset trimmed revenue growth and a reduced future earnings multiple. What's in the News Plans to open at least 80 additional stores in fiscal 2026 through a mix of acquisitions and new builds, targeting roughly 500 new locations over the current three year strategic plan, with about 600 million dollars in capital spending on property and equipment (Key Developments).
SFM
US$78.12
Sprouts Farmers Market
7D
-3.5%
1Y
-40.6%

SFM: Multi Year Expansion And Buybacks Should Support Improved Risk Reward Profile

Analysts have trimmed their price target on Sprouts Farmers Market by $0.00 per share, citing limited near term catalysts, a potential Q4 guidance reset, and increased competitive pressures, even as the company retains an attractive multi year growth profile. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts highlight that, despite modest target price reductions, the stock's pullback after earnings has materially improved the risk reward profile for investors with a longer time horizon.
SYY
US$73.99
Sysco
7D
-1.5%
1Y
-4.6%

SYY: Improving Case Trends Will Support Stronger Earnings Resilience Ahead

Analysts have nudged their average price target on Sysco slightly higher to about $87 from roughly $86.90, reflecting modestly improved confidence in margin durability, steady mid single digit sales growth, and the potential for upside as recent price target hikes signal that conservative guidance could set the stage for earnings outperformance. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research reflects a generally constructive but selective stance on Sysco, with a mix of upward price target revisions and more neutral initiation commentary that highlights both execution strengths and lingering demand risks.
TBBB
US$34.49
BBB Foods
7D
6.6%
1Y
16.3%

TBBB: Price Outlook Will Reward Defensible Earnings And Sector Leadership

Analysts have nudged their price target on BBB Foods higher, raising it by roughly $4 to around $39 per share, citing the stock's sector-leading position despite expectations for softer near term Mexican retail trends. Analyst Commentary JPMorgan recently lifted its price target on BBB Foods to $39 from $35.50 and reiterated an Overweight rating, underscoring the stock as its top pick within the Mexican retail sector.
DLTR
US$119.53
Dollar Tree
7D
-6.9%
1Y
62.9%

Market Participants Recognise Dollar Tree, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:DLTR) Earnings Pushing Shares 25% Higher

Dec 16
Market Participants Recognise Dollar Tree, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:DLTR) Earnings Pushing Shares 25% Higher
COST
US$854.79
Costco Wholesale
7D
-0.7%
1Y
-10.8%

COST: Membership Model And Traffic Strength Will Support Defensive Upside

Analysts have modestly reduced their fair value estimate for Costco Wholesale to $1,205 from $1,225, reflecting slightly lower growth and margin assumptions and a gradual normalization of the stock's previously elevated valuation multiple following recent Street target trims. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts acknowledge that near term macro headwinds, including reduced Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program benefits, are pressuring sector level sales, particularly in staples and grocery categories.
CART
US$45.03
Maplebear
7D
-1.4%
1Y
2.8%

CART: Expanded Retail Partnerships And Buybacks Will Drive Strong Future Returns

Narrative Update on Maplebear Analysts have nudged their price target on Maplebear slightly lower to approximately $50.62 per share from about $50.70, reflecting modestly higher long term revenue growth and profit margin expectations, offset by a slightly lower projected future valuation multiple. What's in the News Raised total share repurchase authorization to $2.5 billion, adding $1.5 billion in new capacity.
TGT
US$94.30
Target
7D
-3.5%
1Y
-28.8%

TGT: Reinvestment And Turnaround Spending Will Prolong Margin Pressure And Earnings Weakness

Analysts have reduced our Target fair value estimate to approximately $67 from $82, reflecting lower assumed revenue growth and margins, a slightly higher discount rate, and more conservative valuation multiples amid a tougher macro backdrop and increased reinvestment needs highlighted in recent research. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research has tilted more cautious on Target, with a series of price target cuts, largely Neutral or lower ratings, and an emphasis on execution risk in the company’s turnaround plan.
WILC
US$28.19
G. Willi-Food International
7D
4.4%
1Y
70.1%

Even With A 25% Surge, Cautious Investors Are Not Rewarding G. Willi-Food International Ltd.'s (NASDAQ:WILC) Performance Completely

Dec 09
Even With A 25% Surge, Cautious Investors Are Not Rewarding G. Willi-Food International Ltd.'s (NASDAQ:WILC) Performance Completely