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U.S. Consumer Discretionary Sector Analysis

UpdatedDec 12, 2025
DataAggregated Company Financials
Companies799
  • 7D0.6%
  • 3M0.3%
  • 1Y3.0%
  • YTD10.0%

Over the last 7 days, the Consumer Discretionary industry has remained flat. The past year has been better, since the industry has gained 3.0% in that time. As for the next few years, earnings are expected to grow by 20% per annum.

Sector Valuation and Performance

Has the U.S. Consumer Discretionary Sector valuation changed over the past few years?

DateMarket CapRevenueEarningsPEAbsolute PEPS
Fri, 12 Dec 2025US$7.7tUS$3.5tUS$222.0b19.6x34.8x2.2x
Sun, 09 Nov 2025US$7.7tUS$3.5tUS$223.4b17.9x34.6x2.2x
Tue, 07 Oct 2025US$7.8tUS$3.5tUS$220.9b19.1x35.1x2.2x
Thu, 04 Sep 2025US$7.3tUS$3.5tUS$221.9b20x33.1x2.1x
Sat, 02 Aug 2025US$7.0tUS$3.4tUS$215.9b18.1x32.6x2x
Mon, 30 Jun 2025US$6.9tUS$3.4tUS$216.2b18x31.8x2x
Wed, 28 May 2025US$6.6tUS$3.4tUS$220.2b17.2x30.2x1.9x
Fri, 25 Apr 2025US$5.9tUS$3.4tUS$210.6b16.5x28x1.7x
Sun, 23 Mar 2025US$6.2tUS$3.4tUS$211.8b16.7x29.5x1.8x
Tue, 18 Feb 2025US$7.3tUS$3.4tUS$205.0b18.6x35.5x2.2x
Thu, 16 Jan 2025US$6.9tUS$3.3tUS$201.8b18.7x34.4x2.1x
Sat, 14 Dec 2024US$7.3tUS$3.3tUS$201.0b19.1x36.6x2.2x
Mon, 11 Nov 2024US$6.4tUS$3.2tUS$180.7b18.9x35.2x2x
Wed, 09 Oct 2024US$5.9tUS$3.2tUS$178.6b17.9x32.9x1.9x
Fri, 06 Sep 2024US$5.4tUS$3.2tUS$177.5b17.1x30.4x1.7x
Sun, 04 Aug 2024US$5.2tUS$3.2tUS$174.5b16.7x29.9x1.7x
Tue, 02 Jul 2024US$5.5tUS$3.1tUS$167.2b17.1x33x1.8x
Thu, 30 May 2024US$5.4tUS$3.1tUS$168.0b17.8x32x1.7x
Sat, 27 Apr 2024US$5.3tUS$3.1tUS$160.0b17x33x1.7x
Mon, 25 Mar 2024US$5.4tUS$3.1tUS$159.5b17.5x33.6x1.7x
Wed, 21 Feb 2024US$5.2tUS$3.1tUS$152.8b17.9x34.1x1.7x
Fri, 19 Jan 2024US$5.0tUS$3.1tUS$141.5b16.9x35.7x1.7x
Sun, 17 Dec 2023US$5.3tUS$3.1tUS$139.6b17.1x37.9x1.7x
Tue, 14 Nov 2023US$4.8tUS$3.0tUS$131.1b15.1x36.4x1.6x
Thu, 12 Oct 2023US$4.8tUS$3.0tUS$114.0b15.1x42.3x1.6x
Sat, 09 Sep 2023US$4.9tUS$3.0tUS$111.8b15.5x44.1x1.7x
Mon, 07 Aug 2023US$5.1tUS$3.0tUS$110.6b16.1x46.1x1.7x
Wed, 05 Jul 2023US$5.0tUS$2.9tUS$99.8b15x49.8x1.7x
Fri, 02 Jun 2023US$4.4tUS$2.9tUS$98.9b13.2x44.8x1.5x
Sun, 30 Apr 2023US$4.3tUS$2.9tUS$87.9b13.8x49.2x1.5x
Tue, 28 Mar 2023US$4.2tUS$2.9tUS$81.0b13.4x52.3x1.5x
Thu, 23 Feb 2023US$4.6tUS$3.1tUS$81.7b13.4x56.2x1.5x
Sat, 21 Jan 2023US$4.5tUS$3.0tUS$108.0b12.7x41.5x1.5x
Mon, 19 Dec 2022US$4.1tUS$3.0tUS$108.2b11.9x38.3x1.4x
Price to Earnings Ratio

38.3x


Total Market Cap: US$4.1tTotal Earnings: US$108.2bTotal Revenue: US$3.0tTotal Market Cap vs Earnings and Revenue0%0%0%
U.S. Consumer Discretionary Sector Price to Earnings3Y Average 37.1x202320242025
Current Industry PE
  • Investors are relatively neutral on the American Consumer Discretionary industry at the moment, indicating that they anticipate long term growth rates to remain steady.
  • The industry is trading close to its 3-year average PE ratio of 37.1x.
  • The 3-year average PS ratio of 1.8x is lower than the industry's current PS ratio of 2.2x.
Past Earnings Growth
  • The earnings for companies in the Consumer Discretionary industry have grown 27% per year over the last three years.
  • Revenues for these companies have grown 5.4% per year.
  • This means that more sales are being generated by these companies overall, and subsequently their profits are increasing too.

Industry Trends

Which industries have driven the changes within the U.S. Consumer Discretionary sector?

US Market0.71%
Consumer Discretionary0.63%
Retail Distributors4.68%
Specialty Stores3.87%
Luxury3.74%
Hospitality2.88%
Leisure2.87%
Auto Components2.67%
Consumer Services1.12%
Consumer Durables0.48%
Online Retail and Ecommerce0%0
General Merchandise and Department Stores-0.20%
Auto-1.33%
Industry PE
  • Investors are most optimistic about the Auto industry which is trading above its 3-year average PE ratio of 108x.
    • Analysts are expecting annual earnings growth of 32.7%, which is higher than its past year's earnings decline of 16.2% per year.
Forecasted Growth
  • Analysts are most optimistic on the Leisure industry, expecting annual earnings growth of 51% over the next 5 years.
  • This is better than its past earnings decline of 22% per year.
  • In contrast, the Consumer Durables industry is expected to see its earnings grow by 7.2% per year over the next few years.

Top Stock Gainers and Losers

Which companies have driven the market over the last 7 days?

CompanyLast Price7D1YValuation
AMZN Amazon.comUS$230.280.5%
+US$12.5b		0.6%PE32.2x
CVNA CarvanaUS$472.7318.5%
+US$10.4b		90.8%PE106.3x
BKNG Booking HoldingsUS$5.28k5.0%
+US$8.1b		0.2%PE33.7x
HD Home DepotUS$357.461.8%
+US$6.3b		-13.7%PE24.4x
TJX TJX CompaniesUS$155.583.5%
+US$5.9b		23.1%PE33.8x

Latest News

RIVN
US$16.43
Rivian Automotive
7D
-9.0%
1Y
15.7%
ABNB
US$128.00
Airbnb
7D
5.9%
1Y
-6.9%
BKNG
US$5,279.68
Booking Holdings
7D
5.0%
1Y
0.2%

BKNG: Durable Travel Demand And AI Partnerships Will Support Continued Outperformance

Analysts have nudged their blended fair value estimate for Booking Holdings slightly higher to about $6,208 from roughly $6,207 per share, citing resilient global travel demand, underappreciated AI disruption risk given Booking's scale and partnerships, and a series of upward price target revisions and Outperform initiations across the Street. Analyst Commentary Street views on Booking Holdings remain broadly constructive, with most recent research highlighting durable fundamentals and a growing recognition that near term AI related fears may be overdone.
PDD
US$111.97
PDD Holdings
7D
-4.2%
1Y
7.0%

PDD: Execution On Mature Domestic Platform Will Support Future Upside Potential

Analysts have slightly reduced their price target on PDD Holdings by $5 to $135, citing signs of a maturing domestic business and recent stagnation in user engagement metrics as reasons for a more measured growth outlook. Analyst Commentary Analysts are converging on a more balanced view of PDD Holdings, with the reduced price target framed as a recalibration to slower, but still positive, growth expectations rather than a structural bear call on the business.
RCL
US$279.70
Royal Caribbean Cruises
7D
7.9%
1Y
14.6%

RCL: Reset 2026 Guidance Will Unlock Upside From Conservative Earnings Outlook

Analysts have nudged down their Royal Caribbean Cruises price target by about $5 per share, reflecting slightly higher discount rates and more conservative long term earnings and yield assumptions, even as they still expect robust EPS growth through 2028. Analyst Commentary Analysts are recalibrating their views on Royal Caribbean Cruises following the latest earnings update, trimming price targets but generally maintaining expectations for solid medium term growth and balance sheet progress.
HD
US$357.46
Home Depot
7D
1.8%
1Y
-13.7%
GM
US$80.85
General Motors
7D
7.4%
1Y
54.6%

GM: Shares Will Reflect Fair Value Amid Tariff Relief And EV Reset

Analysts have modestly lifted our General Motors fair value estimate to approximately $76 per share from about $74 per share, reflecting higher price targets supported by strong Q3 beat and raise dynamics, improving revenue growth expectations, and increased confidence in GM's ability to navigate tariffs and onshoring tailwinds into 2026. Analyst Commentary Street research following GM's Q3 beat and raise has skewed positive, with numerous upward revisions to price targets and earnings estimates.
TJX
US$155.58
TJX Companies
7D
3.5%
1Y
23.1%
TSLA
US$446.89
Tesla
7D
-1.8%
1Y
2.4%
AZO
US$3,469.10
AutoZone
7D
-9.7%
1Y
3.9%
CPNG
US$25.86
Coupang
7D
-4.3%
1Y
6.3%

CPNG: Korea Unit Economics Will Drive Future Share Price Momentum

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Coupang modestly higher to about $36 per share from roughly $36 previously, reflecting revised post Q3 growth and profitability assumptions and reinforced by recent $40 Street price targets. Analyst Commentary Recent Street commentary has generally skewed positive, with multiple firms lifting or initiating price targets around $40.
AMZN
US$230.28
Amazon.com
7D
0.5%
1Y
0.6%
MELI
US$2,019.81
MercadoLibre
7D
-5.6%
1Y
8.0%

MELI: Fixed Cost Leverage Will Drive 2026 Margin Expansion Amid Intensifying Competition

Analysts have nudged our MercadoLibre fair value estimate slightly lower to approximately $2,847 from about $2,862, reflecting modest target price trims tied to rising competitive pressure and recent earnings estimate cuts, partially offset by continued confidence in the company’s long term growth and margin levers. Analyst Commentary Street research on MercadoLibre has recently tilted mixed, with modest price target revisions reflecting a balance between confidence in the company’s long term growth runway and caution around near term competitive and macro headwinds.
SE
US$126.60
Sea
7D
-6.5%
1Y
7.9%

SE: Share Momentum Will Strengthen on Strong E-Commerce and Fintech Performance

Analysts have slightly lowered their price target for Sea Limited to approximately $192 per share, citing continued revenue strength across all business segments and recent share price movement as primary factors supporting their updated outlook. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Sea Limited reflects a range of perspectives, highlighting both confidence in the company's business execution and areas of lingering caution regarding profitability and near-term industry challenges.
CVNA
US$472.73
Carvana
7D
18.5%
1Y
90.8%

CVNA: Market Share Will Expand As Operational Execution Drives Consistent Outperformance

Carvana's analyst fair value target has been slightly reduced by less than $1 to $419.45, as analysts balance consistent growth and operational improvements with ongoing macroeconomic uncertainties and evolving industry dynamics. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research provides a diverse range of perspectives on Carvana, highlighting both optimism around the company's growth prospects and concerns linked to macroeconomic factors and credit exposure.
ORLY
US$93.96
O'Reilly Automotive
7D
-5.6%
1Y
11.0%

ORLY: Pricing Tailwinds And Supply Chain Improvements Will Support Share Gains Into 2025

Analysts have raised their price targets for O'Reilly Automotive, with new estimates ranging from $120 to $125. They attribute the upward revision to a "clean" quarterly report, attractive valuation after a recent pullback, and expectations for continued same-store-sales growth driven by pricing and improved industry trends.