Brinker International (EAT) Stock Overview
Owns, develops, operates, and franchises casual dining restaurants in the United States and internationally. More details
| Snowflake Score | |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 6/6 |
| Future Growth | 2/6 |
| Past Performance | 6/6 |
| Financial Health | 3/6 |
| Dividends | 0/6 |
EAT Community Fair Values
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Analyst Price Targets
Brinker International, Inc. Competitors
Price History & Performance
| Historical stock prices | |
|---|---|
| Current Share Price | US$146.30 |
| 52 Week High | US$187.12 |
| 52 Week Low | US$100.30 |
| Beta | 1.33 |
| 1 Month Change | -1.42% |
| 3 Month Change | -13.40% |
| 1 Year Change | 7.07% |
| 3 Year Change | 302.92% |
| 5 Year Change | 136.77% |
| Change since IPO | 9,898.69% |
Recent News & Updates
Narrative Update • May 01
EAT: Chili’s Brand Flywheel And Remodel Program Will Support Future Upside
Brinker International's analyst price targets have seen both raises and cuts recently, with net adjustments of a few dollars around prior levels as analysts factor in updated views on Chili's brand momentum, remodel plans, and earnings growth prospects. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Brinker International reflects a mix of enthusiasm and caution, with price targets adjusted both higher and lower as analysts reassess Chili's turnaround progress, store remodel plans, and earnings visibility.Seeking Alpha • Apr 24
Brinker International: Sell On Misleading Growth And Balance Sheet Struggles
Summary Brinker International is downgraded to a sell due to deteriorating growth, weak margins, and a heavily leveraged balance sheet. EAT's same store sales and foot traffic growth have sharply declined, raising concerns about future earnings sustainability. Gross margin remains below 18%, less than half the sector median, with cost headwinds from food, labor, and expenses squeezing profitability. With a debt-to-equity ratio of 4.6x and a current ratio of 0.36, EAT's liquidity and leverage pose significant risks if sales trends do not rebound. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaRecent updates
Narrative Update • May 01
EAT: Chili’s Brand Flywheel And Remodel Program Will Support Future Upside
Brinker International's analyst price targets have seen both raises and cuts recently, with net adjustments of a few dollars around prior levels as analysts factor in updated views on Chili's brand momentum, remodel plans, and earnings growth prospects. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Brinker International reflects a mix of enthusiasm and caution, with price targets adjusted both higher and lower as analysts reassess Chili's turnaround progress, store remodel plans, and earnings visibility.Seeking Alpha • Apr 24
Brinker International: Sell On Misleading Growth And Balance Sheet Struggles
Summary Brinker International is downgraded to a sell due to deteriorating growth, weak margins, and a heavily leveraged balance sheet. EAT's same store sales and foot traffic growth have sharply declined, raising concerns about future earnings sustainability. Gross margin remains below 18%, less than half the sector median, with cost headwinds from food, labor, and expenses squeezing profitability. With a debt-to-equity ratio of 4.6x and a current ratio of 0.36, EAT's liquidity and leverage pose significant risks if sales trends do not rebound. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaNarrative Update • Apr 16
EAT: Chili’s Flywheel And Remodel Program Will Drive Future Share Gains
The analyst price target for Brinker International has been reset modestly to $210, reflecting updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, and a lower future P/E multiple as analysts weigh recent target trims against earlier upgrades and positive commentary on the Chili's brand. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Brinker International shows a mix of fresh optimism and more measured views, with price targets and ratings reflecting how analysts are weighing Chili's brand momentum against valuation and earnings risk.
Narrative Update • Apr 01
EAT: Same Store Sales Momentum And Menu Upgrades Will Support Future Earnings
The analyst price target for Brinker International has been revised slightly lower to $189.14 from $191.05. Analysts are factoring in a modestly higher discount rate and only small adjustments to long term revenue growth, margin, and future P/E assumptions, while still highlighting Chili's momentum and recent target increases across the Street.
Narrative Update • Mar 18
EAT: Chili’s Traffic And Remodel Flywheel Will Support Earnings Resilience
Brinker International's updated analyst price target has shifted from $166 to $158.75 as analysts balance optimism around Chili's traffic and remodel potential with more tempered assumptions on future P/E, discount rate, and profitability. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Brinker International reflects a mix of optimism around Chili's brand momentum and more cautious views on what that means for long term returns.Narrative Update • Mar 04
EAT: Same Store Sales Momentum Will Drive Earnings Resilience Through 2026
We are lifting our Brinker International fair value estimate to $166 from $145 as analysts raise price targets across the board, citing the company's current same store sales momentum, menu and execution improvements, and expectations for resilient earnings in the approaching 2026 period. Analyst Commentary Across Wall Street, Brinker International is drawing attention as researchers reset their models and targets around the restaurant group outlook into 2026.Narrative Update • Feb 18
EAT: Same Store Sales Momentum And Menu Upgrades Will Support Earnings Upside
Analysts have lifted their price targets on Brinker International by a wide range, in some cases by $20 to $26. They cite adjustments to sector outlooks, views on same store sales trends, and company specific execution as key reasons for the updated valuations.Narrative Update • Feb 04
EAT: Same Store Sales And Margin Execution Will Support Future Earnings Upside
Analysts raised their fair value estimate for Brinker International by about $15 to $191. This change reflects higher modeled revenue growth and profit margins, partly offset by a slightly higher discount rate and a modestly lower future P/E assumption in line with recent broad-based price target increases across Wall Street firms.Narrative Update • Jan 20
EAT: Same Store Sales Momentum And Margin Resilience Will Drive Future Upside
Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Brinker International to about $176 from roughly $166. This reflects updated views on slightly higher revenue growth, modestly stronger profit margins, and a higher future P/E multiple supported by recent bullish initiations, upgrades, and price target increases across the Street.Narrative Update • Jan 06
EAT: Same Store Sales Momentum And Turnaround Progress Will Drive Future Upside
The analyst price target for Brinker International has been raised by about US$3 to reflect slightly higher modeled fair value, modestly higher revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, and a small upward tweak to the future P/E multiple. This change is based on recent research pointing to ongoing same-store-sales momentum, menu and service improvements at Chili's, and continued progress in the turnaround.Analysis Article • Jan 05
Brinker International, Inc. (NYSE:EAT) Shares Could Be 25% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate
Key Insights The projected fair value for Brinker International is US$201 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity...Narrative Update • Dec 23
EAT: Chili’s Turnaround And Operational Gains Will Drive Share Price Upside
The Analyst Price Target for Brinker International has been reduced by $2.66 per share as analysts temper revenue growth and margin assumptions, while still crediting operational improvements and Chili's ongoing transformation for supporting a higher long term earnings multiple. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts acknowledge the reduced price targets but continue to frame Brinker as a structurally improving story, with recent results at Chili's reinforcing confidence in the turnaround plan and the company's ability to support a premium valuation over time.Narrative Update • Dec 09
EAT: Ongoing Turnaround And Share Repurchases Will Drive Future Upside Potential
Brinker International's analyst price target has been modestly reduced to $162.82 from $159.41 as analysts balance confidence in Chili's ongoing transformation and accelerating top line growth against slightly softer margin expectations and a more cautious view on near term demand trends. Analyst Commentary Analysts remain divided on Brinker International's near term risk reward, with several acknowledging meaningful progress in Chili's transformation while tempering expectations for same store sales growth and valuation upside.Analysis Article • Nov 28
Brinker International, Inc.'s (NYSE:EAT) Shares Bounce 32% But Its Business Still Trails The Market
Brinker International, Inc. ( NYSE:EAT ) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 32...Narrative Update • Nov 25
EAT: Strengthening Revenue Momentum And Buybacks Will Support Continued Turnaround
Brinker International's analyst price target has been reduced from $175 to a range between $128 and $145. Analysts cite improved operational performance but also caution around choppy demand trends and a more measured near-term sales outlook.Narrative Update • Nov 11
EAT: Operational Momentum And Share Repurchases Will Drive Confidence Ahead
Brinker International's consensus analyst price target has decreased from $171 to $159. This change reflects analysts' more cautious outlook on near-term sales momentum and profit growth, even though there is continued optimism for Chili's longer-term transformation initiatives.Narrative Update • Oct 28
Digital Advances And Menu Updates Will Shape Market Performance Ahead
Brinker International's analyst price target has been revised downward from $176.44 to $171.27. Analysts cited choppy demand trends and moderate downside risk for U.S. restaurants, leading to a more cautious outlook on near-term same-store sales growth.Narrative Update • Oct 13
Digital Upgrades And Menu Innovation Will Unlock New Opportunities
Brinker International's analyst price target has been reduced from $180.25 to $176.44, amid concerns over softer demand trends and moderated expectations for near-term sales growth, according to recent analyst commentary. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst actions provide a mixed perspective on Brinker International's outlook, with both bullish and bearish themes emerging as firms adjust their price targets and ratings in response to the latest performance data and industry trends.Narrative Update • Sep 04
Digital Upgrades And Menu Innovation Will Unlock New Opportunities
Driven by strong same-store sales and margin improvements at Chili’s, but tempered by concerns over difficult comps and sustainability of recent momentum, the consensus analyst price target for Brinker International remained unchanged at $179. Analyst Commentary Markedly strong same-store sales growth at Chili’s (~25%) and robust adjusted EPS expansion (>100%) with significant improvements in restaurant-level margins and de-leveraging of the balance sheet.Analysis Article • Aug 04
Do Brinker International's (NYSE:EAT) Earnings Warrant Your Attention?
The excitement of investing in a company that can reverse its fortunes is a big draw for some speculators, so even...Analysis Article • Jul 22
Returns On Capital Are A Standout For Brinker International (NYSE:EAT)
To find a multi-bagger stock, what are the underlying trends we should look for in a business? Ideally, a business will...Analysis Article • Jun 25
Estimating The Fair Value Of Brinker International, Inc. (NYSE:EAT)
Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Brinker International fair value estimate is US$193 Brinker...Analysis Article • May 31
Brinker International, Inc.'s (NYSE:EAT) P/E Is Still On The Mark Following 29% Share Price Bounce
Brinker International, Inc. ( NYSE:EAT ) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great...Analysis Article • May 13
What Is Brinker International, Inc.'s (NYSE:EAT) Share Price Doing?
Brinker International, Inc. ( NYSE:EAT ), is not the largest company out there, but it saw a decent share price growth...Seeking Alpha • Apr 15
Brinker International: Unjustified Sell-Off, Strong Comps May Continue
Summary Brinker International's strong growth, driven by Chili's, is expected to continue in 2025 due to affordable dining options and operational improvements. Recipe enhancements and meal deals have led to higher guest satisfaction and increased sales, positioning Brinker for further success. The market sell-off has Brinker's valuation at an attractive level with potential for significant upside, supported by positive sales momentum which is driving margin increases and earnings growth. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Apr 08
Brinker International: Weighing Strong Q3 Outlook, Tariff Uncertainty
Summary Brinker International's Q3 should continue Chili's impressive traffic turnaround, expected to rapidly expand earnings. Economic uncertainty around tariffs may cause the restaurant industry some issues in generating traffic. The impact on Brinker should be moderate, not changing the Chili's narrative. I estimate EAT stock to have a fair value of $147. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Mar 15
Brinker International: Examining Chili's Rebound Potential
Summary Brinker International's Chili's has continued to rapidly regain traffic with impressive same-store sales growth. Compared to the chain's historical sales, Chili's still has a good amount of further traffic rebound potential. A good amount of the potential further rebound is already priced in, making Brinker's valuation fair. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Feb 06
Brinker International: A Comp Sales Performance Worth A Michelin Star
Summary Brinker International's Chili's reported a 31.4% year-over-year same-store sales growth, driven by the Triple Dipper, and saw significant operational improvements. The Triple Dipper alone accounted for 7 percentage points of same-store sales, with new menu items and marketing appealing to Gen Z guests. EAT's top-line sales grew 26.55% year-over-year, with EBITDA increasing 102% and net income rising over 180%, reflecting strong financial health. I reiterate a 'Buy' rating for Brinker International, with a price target in the low $200s, based on robust earnings growth and favorable valuation multiples. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jan 21
Brinker International: Accelerating Same-Store Sales And Strengthening Margins - Solid Buy
Summary Brinker International is a promising growth-at-a-reasonable-price pick with accelerating same-store sales and strengthening margins, making it a "Buy" today. The company is modernizing restaurants, expanding its footprint, investing in technology, and enhancing its menu and marketing efforts, driving strong revenue and EPS growth. Despite high valuation multiples, EAT's forward PEG ratio is below the industry average, indicating potential undervaluation when adjusted for EPS growth. Brinker is taking a more technical approach to its corporate growth - this is likely to bring in higher margins and justify the currently overestimated consensus figures for FY2025. Based on my math, the growth potential from the current price is ~10%, but it can be much higher. I rate the stock as a "Buy" today. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jan 05
Brinker International: Core-4 At Chili's Finds Its Final Sizzling Piece
Summary Brinker International's Core-4 menu items, including revamped fajitas, have driven significant sales growth, now accounting for 58% of Chili's business. Brinker International's stock has soared 227% in the past year, with a market cap of $5.88 billion, outperforming peers like Texas Roadhouse and Darden Restaurants. Valuation models, including P/E, EV/EBITDA, and DCF, suggest a price target range of $155 to $180, supporting a 'Buy' rating for Brinker International. High short interest indicates potential for a short squeeze if Q2 FY 2025 results exceed expectations, reinforcing the bullish outlook on Brinker International. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Dec 16
Brinker International: A Respectful Downgrade After A Delicious Surge
Summary Brinker International's stock has surged 295.9% since December 2022, outperforming the S&P 500's 59.8% gain, driven by strong revenue, profits, and cash flow growth. Despite impressive financial performance, the stock is no longer as cheap, prompting a downgrade to 'hold' due to valuation concerns relative to peers. Key growth drivers include higher pricing, product mix changes, and successful marketing campaigns, particularly at Chili’s, while Maggiano’s faces traffic declines despite price hikes. For fiscal 2025, management projects revenue of $4.70-$4.75 billion and net profits of $246.1 million, but the stock appears fairly valued, lacking a sufficient margin of safety. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaShareholder Returns
| EAT | US Hospitality | US Market | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | -3.9% | -1.3% | 2.1% |
| 1Y | 7.1% | 1.1% | 30.6% |
Return vs Industry: EAT exceeded the US Hospitality industry which returned 3.4% over the past year.
Return vs Market: EAT underperformed the US Market which returned 31% over the past year.
Price Volatility
| EAT volatility | |
|---|---|
| EAT Average Weekly Movement | 7.9% |
| Hospitality Industry Average Movement | 7.9% |
| Market Average Movement | 7.2% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 16.1% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 3.2% |
Stable Share Price: EAT has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.
Volatility Over Time: EAT's weekly volatility (8%) has been stable over the past year.
About the Company
| Founded | Employees | CEO | Website |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1975 | 83,840 | Kevin Hochman | brinker.com |
Brinker International, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, owns, develops, operates, and franchises casual dining restaurants in the United States and internationally. It operates and franchises Chili’s Grill & Bar and Maggiano’s Little Italy restaurant brands. The company was founded in 1975 and is headquartered in Dallas, Texas.
Brinker International, Inc. Fundamentals Summary
| EAT fundamental statistics | |
|---|---|
| Market cap | US$6.31b |
| Earnings (TTM) | US$462.90m |
| Revenue (TTM) | US$5.73b |
13.6x
P/E Ratio1.1x
P/S RatioIs EAT overvalued?
See Fair Value and valuation analysisEarnings & Revenue
| EAT income statement (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Revenue | US$5.73b |
| Cost of Revenue | US$4.67b |
| Gross Profit | US$1.07b |
| Other Expenses | US$603.20m |
| Earnings | US$462.90m |
Last Reported Earnings
Mar 25, 2026
Next Earnings Date
n/a
| Earnings per share (EPS) | 10.79 |
| Gross Margin | 18.59% |
| Net Profit Margin | 8.07% |
| Debt/Equity Ratio | 85.4% |
How did EAT perform over the long term?
See historical performance and comparisonCompany Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/07 16:49 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/07 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/25 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/06/25 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Brinker International, Inc. is covered by 40 analysts. 19 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| John Staszak | Argus Research Company |
| Jeffrey Bernstein | Barclays |
| Jeffrey Bernstein | Barclays |