Brinker International, Inc.

NYSE:EAT Stock Report

Market Cap: US$5.4b

Brinker International Valuation

Is EAT undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of EAT when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: EAT ($124.74) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($157.53)

Significantly Below Fair Value: EAT is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for EAT?

Key metric: As EAT is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for EAT. This is calculated by dividing EAT's market cap by their current earnings.
What is EAT's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio29.7x
EarningsUS$186.60m
Market CapUS$5.43b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does EAT's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for EAT vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average68.6x
WEN Wendy's
18.8x7.5%US$3.7b
CAKE Cheesecake Factory
18.5x16.0%US$2.4b
ARMK Aramark
39.1x27.0%US$9.9b
BROS Dutch Bros
198x43.7%US$8.8b
EAT Brinker International
29.7x18.7%US$5.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: EAT is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (29.7x) compared to the peer average (68.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does EAT's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Hospitality Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
GDHG Golden Heaven Group Holdings
3.5xn/aUS$6.01m
THRS.F Agility Real Estate
1.7xn/aUS$2.05m
No more companies available in this PE range
EAT 29.7xIndustry Avg. 24.4xNo. of Companies15PE01632486480+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: EAT is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (29.7x) compared to the US Hospitality industry average (24.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is EAT's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

EAT PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio29.7x
Fair PE Ratio23.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: EAT is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (29.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.5x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst EAT forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$124.74
US$104.67
-16.1%
11.7%US$120.00US$70.00n/a15
Nov ’25US$104.92
US$101.20
-3.5%
15.1%US$118.00US$62.00n/a15
Oct ’25US$78.76
US$68.69
-12.8%
14.9%US$90.00US$50.00n/a16
Sep ’25US$71.52
US$67.75
-5.3%
13.7%US$90.00US$50.00n/a16
Aug ’25US$63.69
US$65.09
+2.2%
19.9%US$90.00US$45.00n/a16
Jul ’25US$72.55
US$61.07
-15.8%
22.5%US$90.00US$42.00n/a15
Jun ’25US$70.63
US$56.13
-20.5%
12.2%US$65.00US$42.00n/a15
May ’25US$54.95
US$54.20
-1.4%
12.6%US$65.00US$39.00n/a15
Apr ’25US$50.96
US$46.40
-8.9%
9.4%US$55.00US$36.00n/a15
Mar ’25US$46.24
US$46.13
-0.2%
9.2%US$55.00US$36.00n/a16
Feb ’25US$46.03
US$46.13
+0.2%
9.2%US$55.00US$36.00n/a16
Jan ’25US$43.18
US$40.25
-6.8%
12.3%US$52.00US$31.00n/a16
Dec ’24US$37.56
US$38.69
+3.0%
10.3%US$48.00US$31.00n/a16
Nov ’24US$34.48
US$37.44
+8.6%
10.3%US$45.00US$31.00US$104.9216
Oct ’24US$31.59
US$38.44
+21.7%
10.4%US$45.00US$31.00US$78.7616
Sep ’24US$32.67
US$38.63
+18.2%
8.2%US$45.00US$31.00US$71.5216
Aug ’24US$38.87
US$38.88
+0.01%
9.3%US$45.00US$31.00US$63.6916
Jul ’24US$36.60
US$38.57
+5.4%
9.0%US$45.00US$31.00US$72.5515
Jun ’24US$38.12
US$40.36
+5.9%
9.1%US$48.00US$35.00US$70.6314
May ’24US$40.28
US$39.14
-2.8%
10.3%US$46.00US$33.00US$54.9514
Apr ’24US$38.00
US$38.36
+0.9%
11.9%US$46.00US$29.00US$50.9614
Mar ’24US$39.06
US$38.33
-1.9%
11.5%US$46.00US$29.00US$46.2415
Feb ’24US$39.28
US$37.27
-5.1%
12.8%US$46.00US$28.00US$46.0315
Jan ’24US$31.91
US$32.63
+2.2%
12.2%US$43.00US$28.00US$43.1816
Dec ’23US$33.15
US$33.59
+1.3%
13.3%US$43.00US$28.00US$37.5617
Nov ’23US$32.47
US$32.94
+1.5%
14.8%US$43.00US$27.00US$34.4817

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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