Brinker International, Inc.

NYSE:EAT Stock Report

Market Cap: US$7.0b

Brinker International Valuation

Is EAT undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Future Cash Flow Value

What is the Fair Price of EAT when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Ultimate guide to DCF valuation for stock investing

Learn how to determine fair value like the best investors in the world.

Below Future Cash Flow Value: EAT ($161.07) is trading below our estimate of future cash flow value ($220.72)

Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value: EAT is trading below future cash flow value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for EAT?

Key metric: As EAT is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for EAT. This is calculated by dividing EAT's market cap by their current earnings.
What is EAT's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio15.4x
EarningsUS$454.10m
Market CapUS$7.01b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does EAT's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for EAT vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average37.2x
CAVA CAVA Group
53.6x10.17%US$7.4b
WING Wingstop
35.3x5.62%US$6.2b
TXRH Texas Roadhouse
27.4x9.69%US$12.0b
ARMK Aramark
32.3x18.31%US$10.2b
EAT Brinker International
15.4x8.80%US$7.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: EAT is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.4x) compared to the peer average (37.2x).

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio compares a stock's price to its earnings over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.

Fetching historical data

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does EAT's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Hospitality Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
BYD Boyd Gaming
3.5x-64.14%US$6.41b
INSE Inspired Entertainment
3.9x-16.78%US$222.42m
MHGU Meritage Hospitality Group
3.5xn/aUS$19.58m
DHCC Diamondhead Casino
0.5xn/aUS$217.79k
No more companies available in this PE range
EAT 15.4xIndustry Avg. 21.4xNo. of Companies12PE01632486480+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: EAT is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.4x) compared to the US Hospitality industry average (21.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is EAT's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

EAT PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio15.4x
Fair PE Ratio18.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: EAT is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.9x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst EAT forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$161.07
US$191.05
+18.61%
7.20%US$210.00US$166.00n/a19
Feb ’27US$157.72
US$191.05
+21.13%
7.20%US$210.00US$166.00n/a19
Jan ’27US$143.52
US$166.12
+15.75%
13.04%US$210.00US$135.00n/a17
Dec ’26US$151.37
US$161.29
+6.56%
14.44%US$210.00US$125.00n/a17
Nov ’26US$108.66
US$160.31
+47.54%
14.81%US$210.00US$125.00n/a16
Oct ’26US$125.05
US$178.56
+42.79%
8.65%US$215.00US$160.00n/a16
Sep ’26US$155.98
US$179.00
+14.76%
8.90%US$215.00US$160.00n/a16
Aug ’26US$155.91
US$174.93
+12.20%
10.62%US$215.00US$149.00n/a15
Jul ’26US$184.02
US$170.65
-7.27%
12.19%US$215.00US$144.00n/a16
Jun ’26US$172.63
US$164.27
-4.84%
10.57%US$200.00US$144.00n/a16
May ’26US$130.05
US$164.27
+26.31%
10.57%US$200.00US$144.00n/a16
Apr ’26US$150.91
US$183.06
+21.31%
9.73%US$215.00US$150.00n/a16
Mar ’26US$164.83
US$183.06
+11.06%
9.73%US$215.00US$150.00n/a16
Feb ’26US$181.97
US$183.06
+0.60%
9.73%US$215.00US$150.00US$157.7216
Jan ’26US$132.29
US$118.69
-10.28%
12.60%US$150.00US$95.00US$143.5216
Dec ’25US$132.27
US$105.47
-20.26%
12.70%US$129.00US$70.00US$151.3715
Nov ’25US$104.92
US$101.20
-3.55%
15.12%US$118.00US$62.00US$108.6615
Oct ’25US$78.76
US$68.69
-12.79%
14.85%US$90.00US$50.00US$125.0516
Sep ’25US$71.52
US$67.75
-5.27%
13.74%US$90.00US$50.00US$155.9816
Aug ’25US$63.69
US$65.09
+2.20%
19.90%US$90.00US$45.00US$155.9116
Jul ’25US$72.55
US$61.07
-15.83%
22.46%US$90.00US$42.00US$184.0215
Jun ’25US$70.63
US$56.13
-20.52%
12.15%US$65.00US$42.00US$172.6315
May ’25US$54.95
US$54.20
-1.36%
12.59%US$65.00US$39.00US$130.0515
Apr ’25US$50.96
US$46.40
-8.95%
9.40%US$55.00US$36.00US$150.9115
Mar ’25US$46.24
US$46.13
-0.25%
9.19%US$55.00US$36.00US$164.8316
Feb ’25US$46.03
US$46.13
+0.21%
9.19%US$55.00US$36.00US$181.9716
US$191.05
Fair Value
15.7% undervalued intrinsic discount
19
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/02/15 02:30
End of Day Share Price 2026/02/13 00:00
Earnings2025/12/24
Annual Earnings2025/06/25

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Brinker International, Inc. is covered by 37 analysts. 19 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
John StaszakArgus Research Company
Jeffrey BernsteinBarclays
Jeffrey BernsteinBarclays