Wingstop Inc.

NasdaqGS:WING Stock Report

Market Cap: US$3.0b

Wingstop Valuation

Is WING undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of WING when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Ultimate guide to DCF valuation for stock investing

Learn how to determine fair value like the best investors in the world.

Below Future Cash Flow Value: WING ($110.52) is trading below our estimate of future cash flow value ($162.18)

Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value: WING is trading below future cash flow value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for WING?

Key metric: As WING is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for WING. This is calculated by dividing WING's market cap by their current earnings.
What is WING's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio25.9x
EarningsUS$116.41m
Market CapUS$3.01b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does WING's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for WING vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average27.8x
SHAK Shake Shack
62.8x21.74%US$2.7b
CHA Chagee Holdings
12.9x18.28%US$2.4b
ARCO Arcos Dorados Holdings
6.6x-2.57%US$1.7b
CAKE Cheesecake Factory
28.9x19.76%US$5.2b
WING Wingstop
25.9x14.89%US$3.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: WING is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.9x) compared to the peer average (27.6x).

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio compares a stock's price to its earnings over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.

Fetching historical data

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does WING's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Hospitality Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
BYD Boyd Gaming
3.1x-58.78%US$5.48b
DHCC Diamondhead Casino
0.5xn/aUS$217.79k
No more companies available in this PE range
WING 25.9xIndustry Avg. 21.7xNo. of Companies17PE01632486480+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: WING is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.9x) compared to the US Hospitality industry average (21.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is WING's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

WING PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio25.9x
Fair PE Ratio21.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: WING is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.9x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst WING forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$110.52
US$202.33
+83.07%
17.89%US$265.00US$143.00n/a27
Sep ’27US$109.60
US$202.89
+85.12%
17.50%US$265.00US$143.00n/a27
Aug ’27US$129.49
US$209.00
+61.40%
18.52%US$300.00US$143.00n/a27
Jul ’27US$174.97
US$232.82
+33.06%
17.79%US$305.00US$140.00n/a28
Jun ’27US$158.16
US$236.57
+49.58%
16.76%US$305.00US$140.00n/a28
May ’27US$160.73
US$240.97
+49.92%
17.81%US$350.00US$140.00n/a30
Apr ’27US$144.87
US$311.37
+114.93%
16.62%US$400.00US$140.00n/a30
Mar ’27US$259.51
US$325.50
+25.43%
14.02%US$400.00US$144.00n/a28
Feb ’27US$265.43
US$323.18
+21.76%
12.68%US$400.00US$186.00n/a28
Jan ’27US$238.49
US$319.44
+33.94%
13.59%US$400.00US$186.00n/a27
Dec ’26US$269.23
US$318.08
+18.14%
13.84%US$400.00US$186.00n/a26
Nov ’26US$216.63
US$345.84
+59.65%
15.64%US$430.00US$185.00n/a25
Oct ’26US$262.56
US$387.04
+47.41%
14.57%US$477.00US$185.00n/a23
Sep ’26US$328.12
US$397.74
+21.22%
13.69%US$477.00US$185.00US$109.6023
Aug ’26US$362.45
US$397.17
+9.58%
13.99%US$477.00US$178.00US$129.4923
Jul ’26US$335.45
US$344.95
+2.83%
20.98%US$440.00US$178.00US$174.9723
Jun ’26US$341.70
US$322.99
-5.47%
17.83%US$400.00US$178.00US$158.1623
May ’26US$259.67
US$301.73
+16.20%
15.49%US$385.00US$181.00US$160.7323
Apr ’26US$236.40
US$312.51
+32.19%
15.17%US$400.00US$181.00US$144.8724
Mar ’26US$234.78
US$324.48
+38.21%
16.84%US$468.00US$181.00US$259.5123
Feb ’26US$297.90
US$357.44
+19.99%
15.30%US$465.00US$180.00US$265.4323
Jan ’26US$284.20
US$363.40
+27.87%
16.23%US$468.00US$180.00US$238.4923
Dec ’25US$328.77
US$362.09
+10.14%
16.30%US$468.00US$180.00US$269.2323
Nov ’25US$296.94
US$368.87
+24.23%
16.42%US$468.00US$180.00US$216.6323
Oct ’25US$420.89
US$409.96
-2.60%
16.12%US$475.00US$168.00US$262.5620
Sep ’25US$386.11
US$410.89
+6.42%
15.89%US$475.00US$168.00US$328.1220
US$202.33
Fair Value
45.4% undervalued intrinsic discount
27
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/09/10 22:56
End of Day Share Price 2026/09/10 00:00
Earnings2026/06/27
Annual Earnings2025/12/27

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Wingstop Inc. is covered by 40 analysts. 28 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
David TarantinoBaird
Jeffrey BernsteinBarclays
Danilo GargiuloBernstein