Wingstop Valuation

Is WING undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of WING when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: WING ($383.98) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($121.11)

Significantly Below Fair Value: WING is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for WING?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

WING key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue26x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA91.1x
PEG Ratio9.8x

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does WING's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for WING vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.4x
TXRH Texas Roadhouse
2.3x9.2%US$10.5b
ARMK Aramark
0.4x0.3%US$8.3b
DRI Darden Restaurants
1.6x5.0%US$18.3b
YUMC Yum China Holdings
1.3x9.0%US$14.3b
WING Wingstop
24.5x14.1%US$11.3b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: WING is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (24.5x) compared to the peer average (1.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does WING's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Hospitality Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a19.5%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a19.5%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: WING is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (24.5x) compared to the US Hospitality industry average (1.3x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is WING's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

WING PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio24.5x
Fair PS Ratio3x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: WING is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (24.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst WING forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$383.98
US$352.39
-8.2%
19.3%US$425.00US$139.00n/a18
Apr ’25US$367.80
US$323.94
-11.9%
18.4%US$410.00US$139.00n/a17
Mar ’25US$366.28
US$314.89
-14.0%
18.1%US$395.00US$139.00n/a18
Feb ’25US$287.59
US$259.00
-9.9%
19.1%US$330.00US$114.00n/a17
Jan ’25US$256.58
US$230.53
-10.2%
18.3%US$285.00US$114.00n/a17
Dec ’24US$242.69
US$211.56
-12.8%
13.7%US$260.00US$114.00n/a18
Nov ’24US$196.50
US$201.79
+2.7%
13.5%US$240.00US$114.00n/a19
Oct ’24US$179.84
US$196.94
+9.5%
15.4%US$240.00US$114.00n/a18
Sep ’24US$158.77
US$194.44
+22.5%
15.9%US$240.00US$114.00n/a18
Aug ’24US$168.42
US$204.33
+21.3%
15.0%US$240.00US$107.00n/a18
Jul ’24US$200.16
US$208.33
+4.1%
15.5%US$240.00US$107.00n/a18
Jun ’24US$198.74
US$208.19
+4.8%
16.1%US$240.00US$107.00n/a16
May ’24US$198.68
US$186.50
-6.1%
15.9%US$225.00US$98.00US$383.9816
Apr ’24US$183.58
US$185.80
+1.2%
8.5%US$205.00US$160.00US$367.8015
Mar ’24US$170.89
US$184.25
+7.8%
8.9%US$205.00US$160.00US$366.2816
Feb ’24US$163.01
US$161.94
-0.7%
10.5%US$186.00US$132.00US$287.5918
Jan ’24US$137.62
US$160.26
+16.5%
11.5%US$186.00US$125.00US$256.5819
Dec ’23US$164.82
US$156.35
-5.1%
14.9%US$186.00US$95.00US$242.6920
Nov ’23US$154.96
US$155.60
+0.4%
14.6%US$186.00US$95.00US$196.5020
Oct ’23US$125.42
US$134.15
+7.0%
13.6%US$169.00US$90.00US$179.8420
Sep ’23US$115.67
US$130.32
+12.7%
11.8%US$150.00US$90.00US$158.7719
Aug ’23US$118.27
US$129.79
+9.7%
11.5%US$150.00US$90.00US$168.4219
Jul ’23US$79.44
US$114.74
+44.4%
20.0%US$160.00US$70.00US$200.1619
Jun ’23US$74.13
US$116.79
+57.5%
18.3%US$160.00US$83.00US$198.7419
May ’23US$91.76
US$158.40
+72.6%
16.7%US$207.00US$102.00US$198.6820

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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