Wingstop Inc.

NasdaqGS:WING Stock Report

Market Cap: US$8.9b

Wingstop Valuation

Is WING undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of WING when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
US$172.97
Fair Value
78.2% overvalued intrinsic discount
22
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: WING ($308.15) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($172.97)

Significantly Below Fair Value: WING is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for WING?

Key metric: As WING is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for WING. This is calculated by dividing WING's market cap by their current earnings.
What is WING's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio89.3x
EarningsUS$100.78m
Market CapUS$8.92b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does WING's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for WING vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average29.9x
ARMK Aramark
29.7x21.9%US$10.0b
EAT Brinker International
30.8x22.9%US$8.3b
LKNC.Y Luckin Coffee
28.8x27.2%US$9.4b
TXRH Texas Roadhouse
30.5x12.5%US$12.1b
WING Wingstop
89.3x17.6%US$8.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: WING is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (89.3x) compared to the peer average (29.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does WING's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Hospitality Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
THRS.F Agility Real Estate
1.7xn/aUS$2.05m
No more companies available in this PE range
WING 89.3xIndustry Avg. 24.9xNo. of Companies13PE01632486480+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: WING is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (89.3x) compared to the US Hospitality industry average (24.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is WING's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

WING PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio89.3x
Fair PE Ratio27x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: WING is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (89.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (27x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst WING forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$308.15
US$356.46
+15.7%
15.5%US$465.00US$180.00n/a22
Jan ’26US$284.20
US$363.40
+27.9%
16.2%US$468.00US$180.00n/a23
Dec ’25US$328.77
US$362.09
+10.1%
16.3%US$468.00US$180.00n/a23
Nov ’25US$296.94
US$368.87
+24.2%
16.4%US$468.00US$180.00n/a23
Oct ’25US$420.89
US$409.96
-2.6%
16.1%US$475.00US$168.00n/a20
Sep ’25US$386.11
US$410.89
+6.4%
15.9%US$475.00US$168.00n/a20
Aug ’25US$371.66
US$410.09
+10.3%
16.7%US$475.00US$152.00n/a20
Jul ’25US$424.64
US$394.67
-7.1%
16.8%US$461.00US$152.00n/a19
Jun ’25US$368.65
US$386.87
+4.9%
17.4%US$461.00US$152.00n/a18
May ’25US$383.98
US$367.17
-4.4%
18.6%US$430.00US$139.00n/a18
Apr ’25US$367.80
US$323.94
-11.9%
18.4%US$410.00US$139.00n/a17
Mar ’25US$366.28
US$314.89
-14.0%
18.1%US$395.00US$139.00n/a18
Feb ’25US$287.59
US$259.00
-9.9%
19.1%US$330.00US$114.00US$297.9017
Jan ’25US$256.58
US$230.53
-10.2%
18.3%US$285.00US$114.00US$284.2017
Dec ’24US$242.69
US$211.56
-12.8%
13.7%US$260.00US$114.00US$328.7718
Nov ’24US$196.50
US$201.79
+2.7%
13.5%US$240.00US$114.00US$296.9419
Oct ’24US$179.84
US$196.94
+9.5%
15.4%US$240.00US$114.00US$420.8918
Sep ’24US$158.77
US$194.44
+22.5%
15.9%US$240.00US$114.00US$386.1118
Aug ’24US$168.42
US$204.33
+21.3%
15.0%US$240.00US$107.00US$371.6618
Jul ’24US$200.16
US$208.33
+4.1%
15.5%US$240.00US$107.00US$424.6418
Jun ’24US$198.74
US$208.19
+4.8%
16.1%US$240.00US$107.00US$368.6516
May ’24US$198.68
US$186.50
-6.1%
15.9%US$225.00US$98.00US$383.9816
Apr ’24US$183.58
US$185.80
+1.2%
8.5%US$205.00US$160.00US$367.8015
Mar ’24US$170.89
US$184.25
+7.8%
8.9%US$205.00US$160.00US$366.2816
Feb ’24US$163.01
US$161.94
-0.7%
10.5%US$186.00US$132.00US$287.5918
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 22 Analysts
US$356.46
Fair Value
13.6% undervalued intrinsic discount
22
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/02/06 07:12
End of Day Share Price 2025/02/06 00:00
Earnings2024/09/28
Annual Earnings2023/12/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Wingstop Inc. is covered by 37 analysts. 23 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
David TarantinoBaird
Ishan MajumdarBaptista Research
Jeffrey BernsteinBarclays