CAVA Group, Inc.

NYSE:CAVA Stock Report

Market Cap: US$10.2b

CAVA Group Valuation

Is CAVA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Future Cash Flow Value

What is the Fair Price of CAVA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Ultimate guide to DCF valuation for stock investing

Learn how to determine fair value like the best investors in the world.

Below Future Cash Flow Value: CAVA ($90.52) is trading above our estimate of future cash flow value ($44.14)

Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value: CAVA is trading above our estimate of future cash flow value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CAVA?

Key metric: As CAVA is barely profitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for CAVA. This is calculated by dividing CAVA's market cap by their current revenue.
What is CAVA's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio8.9x
SalesUS$1.18b
Market CapUS$10.15b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does CAVA's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for CAVA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average2x
BROS Dutch Bros
4x17.53%US$8.9b
TXRH Texas Roadhouse
1.9x8.39%US$11.3b
LKNC.Y Luckin Coffee
1.6x14.08%US$11.1b
ARMK Aramark
0.6x5.84%US$10.6b
CAVA CAVA Group
8.9x16.35%US$10.2b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: CAVA is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (8.9x) compared to the peer average (2x).

Historical Price to Sales Ratio

Historical Price to Sales Ratio compares a stock's price to its sales over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.

Fetching historical data

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does CAVA's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Hospitality Industry?

29 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
PENN PENN Entertainment
0.3x4.18%US$1.77b
BALY Bally's
0.3x9.78%US$630.26m
CBRL Cracker Barrel Old Country Store
0.2x1.20%US$617.78m
SABR Sabre
0.2x2.61%US$614.48m
CAVA 8.9xIndustry Avg. 1.6xNo. of Companies29PS01.22.43.64.86+
29 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: CAVA is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (8.9x) compared to the US Hospitality industry average (1.6x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CAVA's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CAVA PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio8.9x
Fair PS Ratio3x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: CAVA is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (8.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (3x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CAVA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$90.52
US$84.04
-7.15%
8.36%US$95.00US$70.00n/a23
Mar ’27US$82.47
US$80.95
-1.84%
10.86%US$95.00US$60.00n/a21
Feb ’27US$60.62
US$72.10
+18.94%
13.14%US$85.00US$51.00n/a20
Jan ’27US$58.69
US$67.63
+15.24%
15.85%US$86.00US$51.00n/a19
Dec ’26US$51.01
US$67.89
+33.09%
16.18%US$86.00US$51.00n/a18
Nov ’26US$53.73
US$83.56
+55.51%
14.68%US$100.00US$64.00n/a18
Oct ’26US$61.67
US$91.40
+48.21%
14.41%US$125.00US$72.00n/a15
Sep ’26US$67.55
US$91.40
+35.31%
14.41%US$125.00US$72.00n/a15
Aug ’26US$84.30
US$110.53
+31.12%
10.21%US$125.00US$91.00n/a15
Jul ’26US$82.32
US$110.95
+34.78%
10.35%US$125.00US$90.00n/a15
Jun ’26US$81.27
US$116.59
+43.46%
16.45%US$175.00US$90.00n/a14
May ’26US$94.53
US$115.66
+22.35%
16.90%US$175.00US$90.00n/a14
Apr ’26US$87.20
US$123.50
+41.63%
14.93%US$175.00US$100.00n/a14
Mar ’26US$95.03
US$128.92
+35.67%
16.47%US$175.00US$100.00US$82.4713
Feb ’26US$135.05
US$149.69
+10.84%
15.41%US$195.00US$110.00US$60.6213
Jan ’26US$112.80
US$156.62
+38.84%
14.78%US$195.00US$110.00US$58.6913
Dec ’25US$140.90
US$156.46
+11.04%
14.69%US$195.00US$110.00US$51.0113
Nov ’25US$131.53
US$122.33
-6.99%
13.52%US$155.00US$90.00US$53.7312
Oct ’25US$122.43
US$114.75
-6.27%
11.49%US$135.00US$90.00US$61.6712
Sep ’25US$114.04
US$111.55
-2.19%
9.86%US$125.00US$90.00US$67.5511
Aug ’25US$84.48
US$89.27
+5.67%
10.50%US$105.00US$72.00US$84.3011
Jul ’25US$95.27
US$86.73
-8.97%
8.21%US$95.00US$72.00US$82.3211
Jun ’25US$92.55
US$86.20
-6.86%
8.18%US$94.00US$72.00US$81.2710
May ’25US$67.45
US$65.49
-2.90%
9.63%US$74.00US$53.00US$94.5312
Apr ’25US$68.40
US$62.81
-8.17%
5.71%US$66.00US$53.00US$87.2011
Mar ’25US$58.30
US$61.40
+5.32%
8.69%US$66.00US$50.00US$95.0310
US$84.04
Fair Value
7.7% overvalued intrinsic discount
23
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/03/17 11:35
End of Day Share Price 2026/03/17 00:00
Earnings2025/12/28
Annual Earnings2025/12/28

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

CAVA Group, Inc. is covered by 29 analysts. 22 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
David TarantinoBaird
Jeffrey BernsteinBarclays
Jeffrey BernsteinBarclays