CAVA Group, Inc.

NYSE:CAVA Stock Report

Market Cap: US$12.9b

CAVA Group Valuation

Is CAVA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CAVA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CAVA ($114.59) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($99.86)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CAVA is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CAVA?

Key metric: As CAVA is barely profitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for CAVA. This is calculated by dividing CAVA's market cap by their current revenue.
What is CAVA's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio14.4x
SalesUS$913.49m
Market CapUS$12.93b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does CAVA's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for CAVA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average5.5x
TXRH Texas Roadhouse
2.4x9.4%US$12.1b
BROS Dutch Bros
5.4x16.4%US$10.2b
ARMK Aramark
0.6x5.8%US$9.6b
WING Wingstop
13.8x15.9%US$8.2b
CAVA CAVA Group
14.4x17.8%US$12.9b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: CAVA is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (14.4x) compared to the peer average (5.5x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does CAVA's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Hospitality Industry?

28 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
BLMN Bloomin' Brands
0.2x-2.1%US$1.01b
BALY Bally's
0.3x2.0%US$729.16m
TAST Carrols Restaurant Group
0.3x2.9%US$478.64m
GENK GEN Restaurant Group
0.2x18.5%US$244.69m
CAVA 14.4xIndustry Avg. 1.6xNo. of Companies28PS01.22.43.64.86+
28 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: CAVA is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (14.4x) compared to the US Hospitality industry average (1.6x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CAVA's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CAVA PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio14.4x
Fair PS Ratio3x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: CAVA is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (14.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (3x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CAVA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$114.59
US$152.77
+33.3%
16.7%US$195.00US$110.00n/a13
Jan ’26US$112.80
US$156.62
+38.8%
14.8%US$195.00US$110.00n/a13
Dec ’25US$140.90
US$156.46
+11.0%
14.7%US$195.00US$110.00n/a13
Nov ’25US$131.53
US$122.33
-7.0%
13.5%US$155.00US$90.00n/a12
Oct ’25US$122.43
US$114.75
-6.3%
11.5%US$135.00US$90.00n/a12
Sep ’25US$114.04
US$111.55
-2.2%
9.9%US$125.00US$90.00n/a11
Aug ’25US$84.48
US$89.27
+5.7%
10.5%US$105.00US$72.00n/a11
Jul ’25US$95.27
US$86.73
-9.0%
8.2%US$95.00US$72.00n/a11
Jun ’25US$92.55
US$86.20
-6.9%
8.2%US$94.00US$72.00n/a10
May ’25US$67.45
US$65.49
-2.9%
9.6%US$74.00US$53.00n/a12
Apr ’25US$68.40
US$62.81
-8.2%
5.7%US$66.00US$53.00n/a11
Mar ’25US$58.30
US$61.40
+5.3%
8.7%US$66.00US$50.00n/a10
Feb ’25US$49.41
US$46.60
-5.7%
13.2%US$55.00US$35.00n/a10
Jan ’25US$42.98
US$45.40
+5.6%
13.2%US$55.00US$35.00US$112.8010
Dec ’24US$36.22
US$42.89
+18.4%
14.1%US$55.00US$35.00US$140.909
Nov ’24US$31.95
US$43.56
+36.3%
15.3%US$55.00US$33.00US$131.539
Oct ’24US$30.63
US$49.63
+62.0%
11.5%US$58.00US$40.00US$122.438
Sep ’24US$43.82
US$51.00
+16.4%
9.3%US$58.00US$45.00US$114.047
Aug ’24US$56.99
US$45.86
-19.5%
5.9%US$50.00US$42.00US$84.487

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/08 23:13
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/08 00:00
Earnings2024/10/06
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

CAVA Group, Inc. is covered by 17 analysts. 14 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
David TarantinoBaird
Ishan MajumdarBaptista Research
Jeffrey BernsteinBarclays