CAVA Group Future Growth
Future criteria checks 4/6
CAVA Group is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 26.3% and 18.6% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 25.7% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 10.9% in 3 years.
Key information
26.3%
Earnings growth rate
25.7%
EPS growth rate
| Hospitality earnings growth | 25.6% |
| Revenue growth rate | 18.6% |
| Future return on equity | 10.9% |
| Analyst coverage | Good |
| Last updated | 11 Dec 2024 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
CAVA: Excellent Same Store Sales Growth Tempered By Ridiculous Price (Rating Upgrade)
Dec 19CAVA Group: Insiders Deep Six Their Stock At 200x P/E -- You Should, Too
Dec 11Chipotle Has A Viable Challenger: CAVA Is Up And Coming
Nov 19CAVA Group, Inc. Just Beat EPS By 42%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next
Nov 16
CAVA Group: Don't Be The Last One Dancing When The Music Stops
Nov 13CAVA Group: Unsupportable Valuation
Oct 24CAVA Group (NYSE:CAVA) Shareholders Will Want The ROCE Trajectory To Continue
Oct 17CAVA Group: An Hypothetical Becoming-Chipotle Scenario Reveals Overvaluation (Rating Downgrade)
Sep 23After Leaping 25% CAVA Group, Inc. (NYSE:CAVA) Shares Are Not Flying Under The Radar
Sep 21The Hype Is Justified: Digging Into The CAVA Craze
Aug 21CAVA Group's (NYSE:CAVA) Returns On Capital Are Heading Higher
Jul 12Cava Group: Stock-Chasing & Potential Entry Point Catalysts
Jul 01CAVA Group: Strong Growth But Still Overpriced
Jun 11CAVA Q1: Strong Chipotle Competitor
May 31CAVA Group, Inc. Just Recorded A 198% EPS Beat: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Next
May 31CAVA Group: Soaring GenZ Appeal, Questionable Investor Appetite
May 13CAVA Group: Time To Lock In Gains Here (Ratings Downgrade)
Apr 01CAVA Group: Outlook Expected To Slow Down
Mar 11Cava: Making Sense Of The Mediterranean Craze
Feb 28Capitalizing On The CAVA Craze
Jan 30CAVA Group: Holding For Now Despite Impressive Growth
Jan 15We're Not Worried About CAVA Group's (NYSE:CAVA) Cash Burn
Jan 10CAVA Group: Too Many Risks Aren't Priced In
Jan 02CAVA Group: Satisfying Meal And Compelling Story, But Expensive
Dec 05CAVA: Beat And Raise Proves The Thesis Is Working
Nov 29CAVA: The Next Chipotle At An Unreasonably Low Price
Nov 02CAVA Group: See Plenty Of Downside Ahead, Sell
Oct 26Chipotle Vs. CAVA: Which Is The Better Buy?
Sep 28Craving CAVA
Sep 20CAVA: Getting In For The Long Haul
Aug 23CAVA Group: The Chipotle Of Mediterranean Cuisine
Aug 14CAVA Group: Attractive Despite High Valuation
Jul 19CAVA Group: IPO Feels Like It's 2021 Again
Jun 16Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2026 | 1,450 | 97 | N/A | 233 | 11 |
| 12/31/2025 | 1,187 | 75 | 82 | 194 | 14 |
| 12/31/2024 | 961 | 60 | 44 | 153 | 14 |
| 10/6/2024 | 913 | 54 | 44 | 155 | N/A |
| 7/14/2024 | 845 | 43 | 11 | 137 | N/A |
| 4/21/2024 | 785 | 29 | -24 | 110 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 729 | 13 | -42 | 97 | N/A |
| 10/1/2023 | 681 | -8 | -66 | 74 | N/A |
| 7/9/2023 | 645 | -26 | -76 | 55 | N/A |
| 4/16/2023 | 608 | -41 | -87 | 34 | N/A |
| 12/25/2022 | 564 | -59 | -98 | 6 | N/A |
| 10/2/2022 | 551 | -61 | -89 | 0 | N/A |
| 12/26/2021 | 500 | -37 | -53 | 3 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: CAVA's forecast earnings growth (26.3% per year) is above the savings rate (2.6%).
Earnings vs Market: CAVA's earnings (26.3% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the US market (15.3% per year).
High Growth Earnings: CAVA's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: CAVA's revenue (18.6% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (9.1% per year).
High Growth Revenue: CAVA's revenue (18.6% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: CAVA's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (10.9%).
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2024/12/19 04:57 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2024/12/19 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2024/10/06 |
| Annual Earnings | 2023/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
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Analyst Sources
CAVA Group, Inc. is covered by 17 analysts. 14 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| David Tarantino | Baird |
| Ishan Majumdar | Baptista Research |
| Jeffrey Bernstein | Barclays |