Tesla (NasdaqGS:TSLA) - Share price, News & Analysis

TSLA fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation	0/6
Future Growth	6/6
Past Performance	6/6
Financial Health	6/6
Dividends	0/6

TSLA Stock Overview

Tesla, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, leases, and sells electric vehicles, and energy generation and storage systems in the United States, China, and internationally.

Rewards

Earnings are forecast to grow 24.29% per year

Earnings grew by 655.8% over the past year

Risk Analysis

Significant insider selling over the past 3 months

Shareholders have been diluted in the past year

Tesla Competitors

General Motors

NYSE:GM

US$51.3b

Ford Motor

NYSE:F

US$49.9b

Ferrari

NYSE:RACE

US$34.8b

NIO

NYSE:NIO

US$24.2b

Price History & Performance

Summary of all time highs, changes and price drops for Tesla
Historical stock prices
Current Share Price	US$628.16
52 Week High	US$1,243.49
52 Week Low	US$571.22
Beta	2.12
1 Month Change	-37.50%
3 Month Change	-17.78%
1 Year Change	3.88%
3 Year Change	1,564.44%
5 Year Change	837.27%
Change since IPO	13,046.92%

Recent News & Updates

May 23

Tesla: Cathie Wood Conviction Fading

EV maker loses first and second spot in flagship ETF. Tesla's new price target implies tremendous upside. Supporter reasoning proven wrong again.

May 19

Where is the Intrinsic Value Support for Tesla, Inc. (NASDAQ:TSLA)

Tesla, Inc. (NASDAQ:TSLA) was one of the most optimistic growth stories of 2021. With investors having strong opinions on both sides of the debate regarding the value of the stock.

May 16

Tesla: Production To Global EV Stock Doubled In 5 Years

Due to the decreasing usage costs of EVs, governments' regulatory credits, and environmental regulations, the EV market outlook is bright. In 2017, Tesla's EV sales to global EV stock ratio was about 2.8%. This ratio increased to 4.4% in 2020 and 6.1% in 2021. In 4Q 2018, Tesla’s operating margin was lower than its competitors. However, by the end of 2021, Tesla’s operating margin bypassed its competitors. TSLA’s well-performed operations and increasing free cash flow will help the company to increase its liquidity at the end of 2022. I am bullish on TSLA stock since I estimate that the stock has a potential to reach between $1200-1300.

May 09

Tesla: When ESG Narratives Fail

Tesla is a leading EV player, but it's lagging behind many other companies when it comes to communicating clearly about the emissions it causes. Its emission-reduction efforts are also sub-par. On top of that, EVs aren't as clean as many believe they are, even though they are cleaner than ICE-powered vehicles when driven often. Tesla is currently held by many investors that see it from an ESG perspective, but due to these issues, its image could change over time. Tesla faces additional headwinds from commodity price inflation, China lockdowns, rising interest rates, and so on. All in all, expensive Tesla.

May 02

Insider Weekends: Musk Sells $8.52 Billion Of Tesla To Fund Twitter Purchase

Insiders purchased 11 times more stock last week than they purchased in the week prior. Musk sold $8.52 billion of Tesla to fund his acquisition of Twitter. Four different insiders of Warner Bros. Discovery purchased shares on the open market, including the CEO and CFO.

Shareholder Returns

	TSLA	US Auto	US Market
7D	-17.5%	-14.9%	-4.0%
1Y	3.9%	-8.9%	-13.2%

Return vs Industry: TSLA exceeded the US Auto industry which returned -2.9% over the past year.

Return vs Market: TSLA exceeded the US Market which returned -12.3% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is TSLA's price volatile compared to industry and market?
TSLA volatility
TSLA Average Weekly Movement	9.8%
Auto Industry Average Movement	15.1%
Market Average Movement	7.8%
10% most volatile stocks in US Market	16.8%
10% least volatile stocks in US Market	2.9%

Stable Share Price: TSLA is not significantly more volatile than the rest of US stocks over the past 3 months, typically moving +/- 10% a week.

Volatility Over Time: TSLA's weekly volatility (10%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

Founded	Employees	CEO	Website
2003	99,290	Elon Musk	https://www.tesla.com

Tesla, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, leases, and sells electric vehicles, and energy generation and storage systems in the United States, China, and internationally. The company operates in two segments, Automotive, and Energy Generation and Storage. The Automotive segment offers electric vehicles, as well as sells automotive regulatory credits.

Tesla Fundamentals Summary

How do Tesla's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
TSLA fundamental statistics
Market Cap	US$650.78b
Earnings (TTM)	US$8.40b
Revenue (TTM)	US$62.19b

77.4x

P/E Ratio

10.5x

P/S Ratio

Is TSLA overvalued?

See Fair Value and valuation analysis

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report
TSLA income statement (TTM)
Revenue	US$62.19b
Cost of Revenue	US$45.34b
Gross Profit	US$16.85b
Other Expenses	US$8.45b
Earnings	US$8.40b

Last Reported Earnings

Mar 31, 2022

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)	8.11
Gross Margin	27.10%
Net Profit Margin	13.51%
Debt/Equity Ratio	9.7%

How did TSLA perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Valuation

Is Tesla undervalued compared to its fair value and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
PE vs Industry
PE vs Market
PEG Ratio
PB vs Industry

77.44x

Price to Earnings (PE) ratio

Share Price vs. Fair Value

Below Fair Value: TSLA ($628.16) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($488.86)

Significantly Below Fair Value: TSLA is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Price To Earnings Ratio

PE vs Industry: TSLA is poor value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (77.4x) compared to the US Auto industry average (12.4x).

PE vs Market: TSLA is poor value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (77.4x) compared to the US market (15.1x).

Price to Earnings Growth Ratio

PEG Ratio: TSLA is poor value based on its PEG Ratio (3.2x)

Price to Book Ratio

PB vs Industry: TSLA is overvalued based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (19.1x) compared to the US Auto industry average (2.9x).

Future Growth

How is Tesla forecast to perform in the next 1 to 3 years based on estimates from 33 analysts?

Future Growth Score

6/6

Future Growth Score 6/6

Earnings vs Savings Rate
Earnings vs Market
High Growth Earnings
Revenue vs Market
High Growth Revenue
Future ROE

24.3%

Forecasted annual earnings growth

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: TSLA's forecast earnings growth (24.3% per year) is above the savings rate (1.9%).

Earnings vs Market: TSLA's earnings (24.3% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the US market (12.3% per year).

High Growth Earnings: earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: TSLA's revenue (20.5% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (7.8% per year).

High Growth Revenue: TSLA's revenue (20.5% per year) is forecast to grow faster than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: TSLA's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (28.6%)

Past Performance

How has Tesla performed over the past 5 years?

Past Performance Score

6/6

Past Performance Score 6/6

Quality Earnings
Growing Profit Margin
Earnings Trend
Accelerating Growth
Earnings vs Industry
High ROE

76.1%

Historical annual earnings growth

Earnings and Revenue History

Quality Earnings: TSLA has high quality earnings.

Growing Profit Margin: TSLA's current net profit margins (13.5%) are higher than last year (3.1%).

Past Earnings Growth Analysis

Earnings Trend: TSLA has become profitable over the past 5 years, growing earnings by 76.1% per year.

Accelerating Growth: TSLA's earnings growth over the past year (655.8%) exceeds its 5-year average (76.1% per year).

Earnings vs Industry: TSLA earnings growth over the past year (655.8%) exceeded the Auto industry 129.3%.

Return on Equity

High ROE: TSLA's Return on Equity (23.9%) is considered high.

Financial Health

How is Tesla's financial position?

Financial Health Score

6/6

Financial Health Score 6/6

Short Term Liabilities
Long Term Liabilities
Debt Level
Reducing Debt
Debt Coverage
Interest Coverage

Financial Position Analysis

Short Term Liabilities: TSLA's short term assets ($29.1B) exceed its short term liabilities ($21.5B).

Long Term Liabilities: TSLA's short term assets ($29.1B) exceed its long term liabilities ($9.2B).

Debt to Equity History and Analysis

Debt Level: TSLA has more cash than its total debt.

Reducing Debt: TSLA's debt to equity ratio has reduced from 133.9% to 9.7% over the past 5 years.

Debt Coverage: TSLA's debt is well covered by operating cash flow (404.9%).

Interest Coverage: TSLA's interest payments on its debt are well covered by EBIT (39.2x coverage).

Balance Sheet

Dividend

What is Tesla current dividend yield, its reliability and sustainability?

Dividend Score

0/6

Dividend Score 0/6

Notable Dividend
High Dividend
Stable Dividend
Growing Dividend
Earnings Coverage
Future Dividend Coverage

Dividend Yield vs Market

Notable Dividend: Unable to evaluate TSLA's dividend yield against the bottom 25% of dividend payers, as the company has not reported any recent payouts.

High Dividend: Unable to evaluate TSLA's dividend yield against the top 25% of dividend payers, as the company has not reported any recent payouts.

Stability and Growth of Payments

Stable Dividend: Insufficient data to determine if TSLA's dividends per share have been stable in the past.

Growing Dividend: Insufficient data to determine if TSLA's dividend payments have been increasing.

Earnings Payout to Shareholders

Earnings Coverage: Insufficient data to calculate payout ratio to determine if its dividend payments are covered by earnings.

Cash Payout to Shareholders

Cash Flow Coverage: Unable to calculate sustainability of dividends as TSLA has not reported any payouts.

Discover strong dividend paying companies

Management

How experienced are the management team and are they aligned to shareholders interests?

3.7yrs

Average management tenure

CEO

Elon Musk (49 yo)

13.58yrs

Tenure

Mr. Elon R. Musk is a Co-Founder of Tesla, Incorporated and serves as its Chief Executive Officer since October 2008 and Director since April 2004 and is Technoking of Tesla. Mr. Musk is the Chief Executiv...

CEO Compensation Analysis

Compensation vs Market: Insufficient data to establish whether Elon's total compensation is reasonable compared to companies of similar size in the US market.

Compensation vs Earnings: Elon's compensation has been consistent with company performance over the past year.

Leadership Team

Experienced Management: TSLA's management team is considered experienced (3.7 years average tenure).

Board Members

Experienced Board: TSLA's board of directors are considered experienced (6.3 years average tenure).

Ownership

Who are the major shareholders and have insiders been buying or selling?

Insider Trading Volume

Insider Buying: TSLA insiders have only sold shares in the past 3 months.

Recent Insider Transactions

Ownership Breakdown

Dilution of Shares: Shareholders have been diluted in the past year, with total shares outstanding growing by 7.5%.

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2022/05/24 00:00
End of Day Share Price	2022/05/24 00:00
Earnings	2022/03/31
Annual Earnings	2021/12/31