Rivian Automotive (RIVN) Stock Overview
Develops, manufactures, and sells category-defining electric vehicles. More details
| Snowflake Score | |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 2/6 |
| Future Growth | 2/6 |
| Past Performance | 0/6 |
| Financial Health | 5/6 |
| Dividends | 0/6 |
RIVN Community Fair Values
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Analyst Price Targets
Top Community Narratives
Rivian Automotive, Inc. Competitors
Price History & Performance
| Historical stock prices | |
|---|---|
| Current Share Price | US$16.40 |
| 52 Week High | US$22.69 |
| 52 Week Low | US$11.57 |
| Beta | 1.69 |
| 1 Month Change | 8.97% |
| 3 Month Change | 11.19% |
| 1 Year Change | 19.19% |
| 3 Year Change | 26.64% |
| 5 Year Change | n/a |
| Change since IPO | -83.72% |
Recent News & Updates
Rivian: It's All About R2
Apr 29
RIVN: Future Upside Will Depend On Partnerships And New Platform Execution
Analysts kept the $25 price target for Rivian unchanged, balancing mixed Street calls that highlight both cautious views on EV adoption and cash burn, as well as more constructive takes around the Uber partnership and potential R2 demand. At the same time, they modestly adjusted model inputs such as discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions.
RIVN: Autonomy Hopes Will Struggle Against Persistent Cash Burn And Losses
Rivian Automotive's analyst price target has shifted slightly lower to $9.06 from $10.00, as analysts factor in higher projected losses, a more cautious profit margin, and a higher future P/E assumption, partially offset by stronger expected revenue growth and modestly positive readthroughs from recent research on the Uber partnership and upcoming R2 launch. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Rivian shows a split tape of opinions, with some firms leaning more constructive on long term potential and others sharpening their focus on execution risks, cash burn, and valuation.Recent updates
Rivian: It's All About R2
Apr 29RIVN: Future Upside Will Depend On Partnerships And New Platform Execution
Analysts kept the $25 price target for Rivian unchanged, balancing mixed Street calls that highlight both cautious views on EV adoption and cash burn, as well as more constructive takes around the Uber partnership and potential R2 demand. At the same time, they modestly adjusted model inputs such as discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions.RIVN: Autonomy Hopes Will Struggle Against Persistent Cash Burn And Losses
Rivian Automotive's analyst price target has shifted slightly lower to $9.06 from $10.00, as analysts factor in higher projected losses, a more cautious profit margin, and a higher future P/E assumption, partially offset by stronger expected revenue growth and modestly positive readthroughs from recent research on the Uber partnership and upcoming R2 launch. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Rivian shows a split tape of opinions, with some firms leaning more constructive on long term potential and others sharpening their focus on execution risks, cash burn, and valuation.RIVN: Future Upside Will Depend On Autonomous Partnership Execution
Rivian's analyst price target framework holds fair value steady at $25.00, with recent Street research reflecting a mix of higher targets tied to R2 demand potential and partnership momentum, alongside more cautious views focused on EV adoption, profitability timing, and execution risk. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Rivian shows a wide range of views, but there is a clear cluster of bullish analysts who are leaning into the R2 launch, partnership traction, and execution progress, while others highlight EV adoption risk, capital intensity, and the timing of any benefit from new models.RIVN: Future Fair Value Upside Will Depend On R2 Execution
Our Rivian Automotive fair value estimate remains at $25, as analysts balance lower Street price targets in the $9 to $20 range tied to concerns about EV adoption, R2 ramp risks, and larger projected losses, with more supportive views citing recent progress on execution and the R2 launch. Analyst Commentary Street research on Rivian is split, with several firms highlighting risks around EV adoption, R2 execution, and projected losses, while more constructive voices focus on recent product milestones and valuation reset.RIVN: Higher Fair Value Estimate Will Hinge On Execution Risk
The analyst fair value estimate for Rivian Automotive has been lifted from $19.89 to $25.00, reflecting updated assumptions for faster revenue growth, a slightly lower discount rate, and Street research that views recent Q4 progress and the R2 launch as supportive, despite ongoing concerns about execution and R2 ramp risks. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Rivian Automotive reflects a split view, with some bullish analysts highlighting progress around the Q4 update and the R2 launch, while more cautious voices focus on execution risks, cash burn, and the challenge of scaling without the support of tax credits or a traditional dealer network.
RIVN: Autonomy Roadmap And VW Partnership Will Support Future Multiple
Narrative Update Analysts now see Rivian Automotive's fair value at about $16.96 per share, up from roughly $16.67. They factor in a higher discount rate, slightly lower long term revenue growth and profit margins, and a higher future P/E multiple, reflecting mixed views from recent downgrades and price target increases.RIVN: Autonomy Enthusiasm Will Clash With Mounting Losses And Cash Burn
Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Rivian Automotive from $7.81 to $10.00 per share, reflecting updated assumptions around higher long term revenue growth, a slightly richer future P/E, and a modestly lower discount rate, while still factoring in concerns about cash burn, margin pressure, and execution risk highlighted in recent research. Analyst Commentary Recent research shows a mixed but increasingly cautious tone toward Rivian Automotive, with several bearish analysts reassessing the balance between long term growth potential and near term execution and funding risks.The Price Is Right For Rivian Automotive, Inc. (NASDAQ:RIVN) Even After Diving 26%
Jan 18
RIVN: Expiring EV Incentives Will Threaten Demand Despite Higher Future Multiple
Narrative Update Analysts have nudged our Rivian Automotive fair value estimate up from $15.75 to about $16.67. They cite a blend of updated Street price targets, modestly higher assumed future P/E, slightly improved long term margin assumptions, and a lower discount rate, even as revenue growth expectations remain broadly similar.RIVN: Expiring EV Incentives Will Pressure Demand And Future Profitability
Analysts modestly raised our Rivian Automotive fair value estimate from $14.83 to $15.75 per share, reflecting a slightly lower discount rate, somewhat softer long term growth and margin assumptions, and a higher expected future P/E multiple, as Street research highlights Rivian's positioning to capture ongoing but more selective electric vehicle demand. Analyst Commentary Street research on Rivian remains divided, with recent target price changes and rating moves underscoring both meaningful upside potential and tangible execution risks.RIVN: Expiring Incentives And Cost Cuts Will Challenge Upcoming Performance
Rivian Automotive’s analyst price target increased modestly, rising as much as $4 from prior forecasts. Analysts point to the company’s strategic position in the electric vehicle market along with adjustments in industry demand and production trends.RIVN: Near-Term Demand Shifts And Industry Tailwinds Will Shape Future Performance
Rivian Automotive's analyst price target has increased modestly from $14.35 to $14.79. This change reflects analysts' expectations for improved revenue growth in the electric vehicle sector and ongoing long-term demand, despite near-term market challenges.Rivian Automotive, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:RIVN) P/S Is Still On The Mark Following 28% Share Price Bounce
Nov 11RIVN: Sector Headwinds And Product Updates Will Shape Medium-Term Outlook
Rivian Automotive's fair value estimate has edged down slightly to $14.35 from $14.48 per share. Analysts have factored in softer electric vehicle demand, updated delivery forecasts, and mixed industry tailwinds in their revised price targets.Accelerated EV Adoption And Vertical Integration Will Drive Efficient Manufacturing
Rivian Automotive's analyst price target has seen a modest increase, rising to approximately $14.48 as analysts point to improved U.S. vehicle sales forecasts and resilient demand outlooks. These factors are supporting a slightly higher valuation.Accelerated EV Adoption And Vertical Integration Will Drive Efficient Manufacturing
Rivian Automotive’s analyst price target has risen modestly, with consensus fair value estimates increasing by $0.22 to $14.26 per share. Analysts cite stronger U.S. auto demand and resilient electric vehicle sales as key supporting factors.Accelerated EV Adoption And Vertical Integration Will Drive Efficient Manufacturing
Rivian’s modest price target increase to $14.04 reflects cautious optimism as bearish analysts cite softening demand, regulatory headwinds, and tariff risks, while bullish analysts see cost reductions and upcoming product catalysts as balancing factors. Analyst Commentary Lowered EBITDA guidance and removal of regulatory credits have led to downward price target revisions, though earnings estimates may be approaching a bottom.Accelerated EV Adoption And Vertical Integration Will Drive Efficient Manufacturing
Rivian’s consensus analyst price target held steady at $13.94 as market caution persists due to weakened EV demand, U.S. policy headwinds, and lower earnings guidance, partially offset by optimism around new product launches and autonomy initiatives. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts cite ongoing softness in R1 vehicle demand and lower confidence in R2 and R3 volume and ASP assumptions due to weakened long-term market outlooks.Investors Appear Satisfied With Rivian Automotive, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:RIVN) Prospects As Shares Rocket 28%
May 13Rivian: All Eyes On Gross Margin For Upcoming Earnings
Apr 14Rivian And Its Broken Risk-To-Reward
Apr 05Rivian: A Quiet Turnaround With The Software Segment In The Driver's Seat
Mar 31Rivian Automotive Plays Second Fiddle In The EV Space
Mar 24Rivian: Cash & Investments Account For 61% Of Market Value
Mar 06Rivian Stock Could Show A Big Boost As Tesla's Brand Image Suffers
Feb 25Rivian Q4 Earnings Preview: What's At Stake
Feb 19
R2 Program's Cost Advantages And Volkswagen Partnership Will Drive Future Success
The R1 and R2 platforms' significant cost reductions are poised to boost future profit margins and profitability as production increases.Rivian: Trump's EV Headwinds Are Intensifying
Feb 07Rivian: Volkswagen Bull Case Is Getting Stronger (Rating Upgrade)
Jan 20Rivian: My Best Investment Idea For 2025
Jan 05Rivian: Cost Cuts Could Deliver Good Results In 2025
Dec 18Putting Rivian Automotive's Latest Surge In Perspective
Dec 10Rivian: EV Subsidies Are Ending (Rating Downgrade)
Nov 29Tax Credit Cut, A Spontaneous Tesla Boycott, And Why The Rivian Selloff Is Unjustified
Nov 19Rivian: It May Get Worse Before It Gets Better
Nov 12Rivian Q3 Preview: Big Quarter With Big Implications (Rating Downgrade)
Nov 05Rivian: I Was Early And Wrong (Rating Downgrade)
Oct 24Rivian Readies For Profitability With R1 Gen 2
Oct 13Bad News For Rivian (Rating Downgrade)
Oct 07Shareholder Returns
| RIVN | US Auto | US Market | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | -3.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| 1Y | 19.2% | 33.4% | 28.7% |
Return vs Industry: RIVN underperformed the US Auto industry which returned 33.4% over the past year.
Return vs Market: RIVN underperformed the US Market which returned 28.7% over the past year.
Price Volatility
| RIVN volatility | |
|---|---|
| RIVN Average Weekly Movement | 10.4% |
| Auto Industry Average Movement | 10.4% |
| Market Average Movement | 7.2% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 16.2% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 3.3% |
Stable Share Price: RIVN has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.
Volatility Over Time: RIVN's weekly volatility (10%) has been stable over the past year.
About the Company
| Founded | Employees | CEO | Website |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2009 | 15,232 | R.J. Scaringe | www.rivian.com |
Rivian Automotive, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, develops, manufactures, and sells category-defining electric vehicles. It operates through two segments, Automotive, and Software and Services. The company offers consumer vehicles, including a two-row, five-passenger pickup truck under the R1T brand; and a three-row, seven-passenger sport utility vehicle under the R1S name.
Rivian Automotive, Inc. Fundamentals Summary
| RIVN fundamental statistics | |
|---|---|
| Market cap | US$19.93b |
| Earnings (TTM) | -US$3.65b |
| Revenue (TTM) | US$5.39b |
3.8x
P/S Ratio-5.6x
P/E RatioIs RIVN overvalued?
See Fair Value and valuation analysisEarnings & Revenue
| RIVN income statement (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Revenue | US$5.39b |
| Cost of Revenue | US$5.24b |
| Gross Profit | US$144.00m |
| Other Expenses | US$3.79b |
| Earnings | -US$3.65b |
Last Reported Earnings
Dec 31, 2025
Next Earnings Date
n/a
| Earnings per share (EPS) | -2.94 |
| Gross Margin | 2.67% |
| Net Profit Margin | -67.68% |
| Debt/Equity Ratio | 96.6% |
How did RIVN perform over the long term?
See historical performance and comparisonCompany Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/04/30 03:58 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/04/30 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Rivian Automotive, Inc. is covered by 35 analysts. 25 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Benjamin Kallo | Baird |
| Dan Levy | Barclays |
| Michael Legg | Benchmark Company |