Rivian Automotive, Inc.

NasdaqGS:RIVN Stock Report

Market Cap: US$10.4b

Rivian Automotive Valuation

Is RIVN undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of RIVN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate RIVN's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate RIVN's fair value for valuation analysis.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for RIVN?

Key metric: As RIVN is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for RIVN. This is calculated by dividing RIVN's market cap by their current revenue.
What is RIVN's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio2.3x
SalesUS$4.55b
Market CapUS$10.38b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does RIVN's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for RIVN vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average3.2x
LCID Lucid Group
8.4x45.6%US$6.3b
LI Li Auto
1.2x19.7%US$23.1b
NIO NIO
1.1x21.0%US$9.7b
XPEV XPeng
2.3x29.6%US$11.9b
RIVN Rivian Automotive
2.3x27.6%US$10.4b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: RIVN is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.3x) compared to the peer average (3.2x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does RIVN's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Auto Industry?

17 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
GM General Motors
0.3x1.2%US$60.60b
F Ford Motor
0.2x0.7%US$43.92b
THO THOR Industries
0.6x5.0%US$5.73b
ZK ZEEKR Intelligent Technology Holding
0.6x23.5%US$5.18b
RIVN 2.3xIndustry Avg. 1.1xNo. of Companies17PS048121620+
17 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: RIVN is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.3x) compared to the US Auto industry average (1.1x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is RIVN's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

RIVN PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio2.3x
Fair PS Ratio0.2x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: RIVN is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst RIVN forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$10.05
US$14.96
+48.8%
22.8%US$23.00US$11.00n/a26
Nov ’25US$10.18
US$16.42
+61.3%
25.6%US$28.00US$11.00n/a26
Oct ’25US$10.44
US$17.53
+68.0%
20.9%US$30.00US$13.00n/a26
Sep ’25US$14.13
US$17.27
+22.2%
22.8%US$30.00US$10.00n/a26
Aug ’25US$15.24
US$17.70
+16.1%
23.1%US$30.00US$10.00n/a26
Jul ’25US$13.92
US$17.56
+26.1%
33.3%US$36.00US$10.00n/a27
Jun ’25US$10.92
US$15.12
+38.4%
38.1%US$36.00US$10.00n/a25
May ’25US$9.21
US$16.43
+78.4%
36.4%US$36.00US$9.00n/a27
Apr ’25US$11.09
US$17.84
+60.9%
32.9%US$36.00US$9.00n/a27
Mar ’25US$11.35
US$18.42
+62.3%
32.8%US$36.00US$8.00n/a26
Feb ’25US$15.53
US$24.96
+60.7%
24.2%US$40.00US$15.00n/a24
Jan ’25US$23.46
US$26.19
+11.6%
21.8%US$40.00US$15.00n/a26
Dec ’24US$18.03
US$26.56
+47.3%
21.1%US$40.00US$15.00n/a25
Nov ’24US$16.13
US$28.17
+74.6%
22.6%US$44.00US$15.00US$10.1824
Oct ’24US$24.28
US$28.67
+18.1%
21.4%US$44.00US$15.00US$10.4424
Sep ’24US$23.31
US$28.78
+23.5%
21.7%US$44.00US$15.00US$14.1323
Aug ’24US$27.30
US$26.09
-4.4%
27.9%US$40.00US$14.00US$15.2423
Jul ’24US$16.66
US$22.82
+37.0%
32.8%US$40.00US$11.00US$13.9222
Jun ’24US$14.58
US$23.68
+62.4%
35.3%US$40.00US$11.00US$10.9222
May ’24US$12.65
US$26.77
+111.6%
42.3%US$58.00US$14.00US$9.2122
Apr ’24US$15.48
US$31.48
+103.3%
38.9%US$63.00US$16.00US$11.0921
Mar ’24US$15.76
US$32.57
+106.7%
38.8%US$63.00US$16.00US$11.3521
Feb ’24US$19.71
US$38.89
+97.3%
33.7%US$63.00US$19.00US$15.5319
Jan ’24US$18.43
US$45.37
+146.2%
28.0%US$70.00US$23.00US$23.4619
Dec ’23US$31.48
US$47.06
+49.5%
27.2%US$70.00US$23.00US$18.0318
Nov ’23US$33.48
US$52.29
+56.2%
28.0%US$83.00US$27.00US$16.1317

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

Discover undervalued companies

Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings

UK£836.6m

Engages in the design, development, manufacture, and marketing of luxury sports cars worldwide.

ARGG.Y

UK£1.28

7D

-11.9%

1Y

-56.4%

Bayerische Motoren Werke

€42.7b

Engages in the development, manufacture, and sale of automobiles and motorcycles, and spare parts and accessories worldwide.

BAMX.F

€72.00

7D

2.6%

1Y

-28.4%

Continental

€12.2b

A technology company, provides solutions for vehicles, machines, traffic, and transportation worldwide.

CTTA.F

€62.50

7D

0.6%

1Y

-17.0%