Stock Analysis

Rivian Automotive, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:RIVN) 34% Jump Shows Its Popularity With Investors

NasdaqGS:RIVN
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Those holding Rivian Automotive, Inc. (NASDAQ:RIVN) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 34% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 32% in the last twelve months.

Since its price has surged higher, given close to half the companies operating in the United States' Auto industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.1x, you may consider Rivian Automotive as a stock to potentially avoid with its 2.9x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Check out our latest analysis for Rivian Automotive

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:RIVN Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 7th 2024

What Does Rivian Automotive's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Rivian Automotive certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. It seems the market expects this form will continue into the future, hence the elevated P/S ratio. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Rivian Automotive.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Rivian Automotive would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 20%. This great performance means it was also able to deliver immense revenue growth over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a tremendous job of growing revenue over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 38% each year as estimated by the analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 15% per annum, which is noticeably less attractive.

In light of this, it's understandable that Rivian Automotive's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

The Final Word

Rivian Automotive's P/S is on the rise since its shares have risen strongly. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of Rivian Automotive's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook is contributing to its high P/S. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in revenues is quite remote, justifying the elevated P/S ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

Having said that, be aware Rivian Automotive is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, you should know about.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.