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NIO Inc.NYSE:NIO Stock Report

Market Cap US$14.8b
Share Price
US$5.90
US$18.27
67.7% undervalued intrinsic discount
1Y53.6%
7D-7.7%
Portfolio Value
View

NIO Inc.

NYSE:NIO Stock Report

Market Cap: US$14.8b

NIO (NIO) Stock Overview

Designs, develops, manufactures, and sells smart electric vehicles in China, Europe, and internationally. More details

NIO fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation2/6
Future Growth5/6
Past Performance0/6
Financial Health3/6
Dividends0/6

Rewards

Risk Analysis

No risks detected for NIO from our risk checks.

NIO Community Fair Values

Create Narrative

See what 351 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.

NIO Inc. Competitors

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for NIO
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceUS$5.90
52 Week HighUS$8.02
52 Week LowUS$3.34
Beta0.97
1 Month Change-5.45%
3 Month Change25.53%
1 Year Change53.65%
3 Year Change-27.43%
5 Year Change-82.48%
Change since IPO-10.61%

Recent News & Updates

Recent updates

NIO: Future P/E Expansion Will Be Constrained By Sector Headwinds

Analyst price targets on NIO have been adjusted slightly, with updated fair value now implying a modest change in outlook. Analysts point to improved earnings visibility, stronger conviction in 2026 volume and margin trends, and support from new model launches, while also factoring in sector headwinds such as lower EV subsidies and rising costs.

NIO: Future P/E Expansion Will Struggle Against Sector Headwinds

The analyst price target for Nio has been raised by several firms, lifting the blended fair value estimate from $4.13 to $4.29 as analysts factor in stronger order momentum, new model launches, and clearer visibility on earnings and volume expectations despite ongoing sector headwinds. Analyst Commentary Recent research has highlighted a split view on Nio, with some firms becoming more constructive on earnings visibility and volume potential, while others remain cautious on execution and sector pressures.

NIO: Discounted EV Winner - Bottom-Line Reversal In Progress

Apr 13

NIO: Future P/E Surge Will Outpace Modest Margin Expectations

Narrative Update on NIO The updated analyst price target for NIO now reflects a fair value estimate shifted from $3.09 to $4.13. Analysts point to clearer earnings visibility, stronger order momentum in core models, and expectations for healthier margins, even as they factor in a much higher future P/E multiple.

NIO: Improving Earnings Visibility And New Models Will Drive Future Upside

Analysts have trimmed NIO's fair value estimate while still lifting average price targets toward the high $6 range, citing what they view as improving earnings visibility, stronger order momentum from new models, and expectations for better margins and a lower future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on NIO has tilted more constructive, with several bullish analysts lifting price targets into the mid to high US$6 range and pointing to what they see as clearer earnings trajectories and improving business fundamentals.

NIO: China Headwinds Will Be Weathered As Profitability Turns Positive

Narrative Update NIO's updated analyst price target has been reduced by about $0.18 as analysts factor in a slightly higher discount rate and modestly lower revenue growth expectations, partly offset by marginally stronger projected profit margins and a lower future P/E assumption. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on NIO shows a mix of optimism and caution, with different firms updating ratings and price targets based on their views of the company’s growth prospects, execution risks, and how those translate into valuation.

NIO: China Headwind Resilience And Execution On Guidance Will Drive Upside

Narrative Update: NIO Analyst Target Shift NIO's updated fair value estimate has edged down slightly, with analysts trimming their average price target by about $0.09 as they factor in softer volume guidance, increased competition, and modest changes to long term growth, margins, and future P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on NIO reflects a split view, with some firms trimming targets and others turning more constructive.

NIO: Chip Licensing Revenue Will Offset Weaker Near Term Delivery Outlook

Analysts have trimmed their NIO fair value estimate slightly to about US$6.67 per share from roughly US$6.75. This reflects more cautious assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins and discount rates, even as recent research points to mixed views on demand, competition and near term delivery guidance.

NIO: Chip Licensing And China Headwind Resilience Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have inched their fair value estimate for NIO higher, with a modestly richer P/E assumption and slightly firmer revenue growth and profit margin forecasts. This reflects mixed but improving sentiment after recent target cuts and an upgrade that highlights the company's ability to handle China specific headwinds.

NIO: Chip Licensing And Execution On Delivery Plans Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have trimmed their price targets on NIO, with cuts such as Citi's move to US$6.90 from US$8.60 and BofA's to US$6.70 from US$7.60. They cited weaker Q4 delivery guidance, softer order trends into Q1, and increased competitive pressure.

NIO: Chip Licensing And Delivery Ramp Will Support Future Share Upside

Analysts have trimmed their price target on NIO by roughly $1.70 per share, reflecting weaker near term delivery guidance, softer 2026 demand expectations, and heightened competitive pressures, despite resilient revenue growth. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts acknowledge that the reset in expectations around NIO's near term deliveries and 2026 demand has weighed on sentiment, but they continue to highlight several supportive factors for the longer term equity story.

NIO: Future Chip Licensing Revenue Will Support Upside Despite Softer Delivery Outlook

Analysts have trimmed their price target on NIO modestly, reflecting a slightly lower fair value estimate of about $6.75 per share, down from roughly $6.83, as they factor in weaker near term volume guidance, softer 2026 demand expectations, more intense competition, and a sharply higher implied future P E multiple amid pressured margin assumptions. Analyst Commentary Street research on NIO has turned more cautious overall, with several recent target cuts and rating downgrades offsetting earlier optimism tied to new models and improving orders.

Market Cool On NIO Inc.'s (NYSE:NIO) Revenues Pushing Shares 29% Lower

Dec 02
Market Cool On NIO Inc.'s (NYSE:NIO) Revenues Pushing Shares 29% Lower

NIO: Production Momentum And Record Deliveries Will Drive Upside Into 2025

Analysts have raised their price target for NIO, now forecasting further upside as improving vehicle orders, production momentum, and narrowing losses drive a modest upward revision to the firm's valuation. The target has increased by up to $3.20 in the latest updates.

NIO: Upcoming Product Launches And Execution Risks Will Shape Performance

The analyst price target for NIO has increased modestly, with analysts citing robust new vehicle orders, improving margins, and potential upside catalysts as reasons for the upward adjustment to approximately $6.91 per share. Analyst Commentary Recent research notes reflect a mixture of optimism and caution among analysts covering NIO.

Rising Demand And New Launches Will Drive Momentum In Electric Vehicles

NIO's analyst price target has edged up to approximately $6.79, a modest increase that reflects analysts' expectations for improving order momentum, positive vehicle launches, and a strengthening market outlook for electric vehicles. Analyst Commentary Recent research and price target actions reflect both optimism and caution among analysts regarding NIO's near-term and long-term prospects.

Expanding EV Networks In China Will Transform The Industry

The analyst consensus price target for NIO has been raised from $6.58 to $6.72 per share. Analysts cite increased order strength for new models, improving margins, and positive volume growth forecasts for upcoming quarters as reasons for the adjustment.

Expanding EV Networks In China Will Transform The Industry

The upward revision in NIO's price target reflects analysts' increased confidence in strong new model order momentum, improving profitability outlook, and accelerating revenue growth, resulting in a higher fair value estimate of $6.58. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cite strong order momentum for Nio’s new models (L90, ES8, Onvo L80), driving upward revisions to volume estimates for 2025-2027 and expectations of accelerated revenue growth.

Expanding EV Networks In China Will Transform The Industry

Analysts have raised NIO’s price target to $6.26, citing narrowing net losses, anticipated volume growth from new model launches, and positive upcoming catalysts such as Q2 results and vehicle announcements. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cite narrowing non-GAAP net losses for Nio in 2025 and 2026 and expect adjusted net profit to turn positive in 2027.

NIO Inc. (NYSE:NIO) Soars 27% But It's A Story Of Risk Vs Reward

Sep 02
NIO Inc. (NYSE:NIO) Soars 27% But It's A Story Of Risk Vs Reward

Smart EV Models And Cost Savings Will Drive Global Markets

Analysts have raised NIO’s price target to $5.10, citing stronger medium-term delivery growth expectations and increased confidence in new SUV sales and product execution. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts anticipate several near-term positive catalysts, including strong Q2 results, the formal ES8 price announcement, and Nio Day, as well as potential new model reveals at the Guangzhou Auto Show.

Further Upside For NIO Inc. (NYSE:NIO) Shares Could Introduce Price Risks After 28% Bounce

Jul 18
Further Upside For NIO Inc. (NYSE:NIO) Shares Could Introduce Price Risks After 28% Bounce

NIO: Progress On Paper, Panic Behind The Scenes

Apr 10

NIO: Massively Discounted EV Value

Mar 31

NIO: Don't Expect Positive Free Cash Flows Any Time Soon - Rating Downgrade

Mar 24

NIO: With China Bullishness, A Good Earnings Report Could Be Great

Mar 18

NIO: Who Is Buying In 2025? Count Me Out

Mar 03

NIO: Upcoming Earnings Could Deliver A Big Positive Surprise

Feb 24

Nio: A Struggling EV Contender Facing An Uphill Battle

Feb 13
User avatar

New Brands And Global Expansion Will Strengthen Market Position

New vehicle models and strategic brand launches aim to expand market presence and diversify revenue, enhancing overall margins and brand image.

NIO: High Growth And A Bit Of A Bargain

Jan 09

NIO Stock Should Rebound In 2025

Jan 02

NIO to Drive 23% Revenue Growth with Battery Innovations

Products:SUVs: ES8, ES6, EC6.Sedans: ET7 (luxury sedan), ET5 (mid-sized sedan).Known for stylish designs, advanced technology, and high performance.

NIO: Poised To Struggle Further

Dec 18

NIO Is Getting Ready For A Fantastic 2025

Dec 10

NIO Remains A Wildcard Before Q3 FY2024 Earnings Release

Nov 18

NIO's Firefly Hybrid: A Potential Spark To Reignite Growth In Europe

Nov 05

NIO: Not For The Faint-Hearted: Initiating With A Buy

Oct 16

NIO: Moment Of Truth

Oct 03

NIO: The Tide Is Finally Turning

Sep 27

NIO: Finally Some Progress (Rating Upgrade)

Sep 09

NIO: Revenue Growth Expected For Q2 2024 Unlikely To Continue

Sep 03

Why NIO Isn't Worth Investing In

Aug 24

NIO: Red Flags Everywhere

Aug 12

NIO: Oversold Despite Promising Execution - Speculative Buy

Jul 19

NIO's Path Forward

Jul 08

NIO: Growth At All Costs May Not Last

Jul 02

NIO Stock: Sell And Don't Look Back (Rating Downgrade)

Jun 18

Shareholder Returns

NIOUS AutoUS Market
7D-7.7%3.3%1.8%
1Y53.6%36.8%29.8%

Return vs Industry: NIO exceeded the US Auto industry which returned 36.8% over the past year.

Return vs Market: NIO exceeded the US Market which returned 29.8% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is NIO's price volatile compared to industry and market?
NIO volatility
NIO Average Weekly Movement9.0%
Auto Industry Average Movement10.6%
Market Average Movement7.1%
10% most volatile stocks in US Market16.1%
10% least volatile stocks in US Market3.2%

Stable Share Price: NIO has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.

Volatility Over Time: NIO's weekly volatility (9%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
201435,032William Liwww.nio.com

NIO Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, and sells smart electric vehicles in China, Europe, and internationally. It offers five and six-seater electric SUVs, as well as smart electric sedans. The company also offers power solutions, including Power Home, a home charging solution; Power Swap, a battery-swapping service; Power Charger and Destination Charger; Power Mobile, a mobile charging service through charging vans; Power Map, an application that provides access to a network of public chargers and their real-time information; and One Click for power valet service.

NIO Inc. Fundamentals Summary

How do NIO's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
NIO fundamental statistics
Market capUS$14.77b
Earnings (TTM)-US$2.29b
Revenue (TTM)US$12.84b
1.1x
P/S Ratio
-6.5x
P/E Ratio

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
NIO income statement (TTM)
RevenueCN¥87.49b
Cost of RevenueCN¥75.57b
Gross ProfitCN¥11.92b
Other ExpensesCN¥27.49b
Earnings-CN¥15.57b

Last Reported Earnings

Dec 31, 2025

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)-6.22
Gross Margin13.62%
Net Profit Margin-17.80%
Debt/Equity Ratio110.1%

How did NIO perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/06 21:34
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/06 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

NIO Inc. is covered by 48 analysts. 26 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Jiong ShaoBarclays
Yuet LeeBernstein
Ming-Hsun LeeBofA Global Research