NIO Future Growth
Future criteria checks 1/6
NIO is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 46% and 18.5% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 47.6% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be -41% in 3 years.
Key information
46.0%
Earnings growth rate
47.6%
EPS growth rate
| Auto earnings growth | 22.2% |
| Revenue growth rate | 18.5% |
| Future return on equity | -41.0% |
| Analyst coverage | Good |
| Last updated | 11 Apr 2025 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
NIO: Progress On Paper, Panic Behind The Scenes
Apr 10NIO: Massively Discounted EV Value
Mar 31NIO: Don't Expect Positive Free Cash Flows Any Time Soon - Rating Downgrade
Mar 24NIO: With China Bullishness, A Good Earnings Report Could Be Great
Mar 18NIO: Who Is Buying In 2025? Count Me Out
Mar 03NIO: Upcoming Earnings Could Deliver A Big Positive Surprise
Feb 24Nio: A Struggling EV Contender Facing An Uphill Battle
Feb 13
New Brands And Global Expansion Will Strengthen Market Position
Jan 26 New vehicle models and strategic brand launches aim to expand market presence and diversify revenue, enhancing overall margins and brand image.NIO: High Growth And A Bit Of A Bargain
Jan 09NIO Stock Should Rebound In 2025
Jan 02
NIO to Drive 23% Revenue Growth with Battery Innovations
Jan 02Products:SUVs: ES8, ES6, EC6.Sedans: ET7 (luxury sedan), ET5 (mid-sized sedan).Known for stylish designs, advanced technology, and high performance.NIO: Poised To Struggle Further
Dec 18NIO Is Getting Ready For A Fantastic 2025
Dec 10NIO Remains A Wildcard Before Q3 FY2024 Earnings Release
Nov 18Investors Give NIO Inc. (NYSE:NIO) Shares A 26% Hiding
Nov 07
NIO's Firefly Hybrid: A Potential Spark To Reignite Growth In Europe
Nov 05NIO: Not For The Faint-Hearted: Initiating With A Buy
Oct 16NIO: Moment Of Truth
Oct 03NIO: The Tide Is Finally Turning
Sep 27A Piece Of The Puzzle Missing From NIO Inc.'s (NYSE:NIO) 29% Share Price Climb
Sep 23NIO: Finally Some Progress (Rating Upgrade)
Sep 09NIO: Revenue Growth Expected For Q2 2024 Unlikely To Continue
Sep 03Why NIO Isn't Worth Investing In
Aug 24NIO: Red Flags Everywhere
Aug 12Does NIO (NYSE:NIO) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Aug 09NIO: Oversold Despite Promising Execution - Speculative Buy
Jul 19NIO's Path Forward
Jul 08NIO: Growth At All Costs May Not Last
Jul 02NIO Stock: Sell And Don't Look Back (Rating Downgrade)
Jun 183 Reasons To Speculatively Buy NIO Stock Now
Jun 02NIO: Expanding The Brand
May 22Market Might Still Lack Some Conviction On NIO Inc. (NYSE:NIO) Even After 32% Share Price Boost
May 14Is NIO (NYSE:NIO) A Risky Investment?
May 08NIO Stock: I Keep Disagreeing With Wall Street
Apr 30NIO: Business Model Looks Unsustainable
Apr 24NIO Stock: Nothing Is Over
Apr 13NIO's Stock Appears To Be A Falling Knife
Apr 03NIO: This Is The Inflection Point (Rating Upgrade)
Mar 27Nio Q4 Preview: Change In Downtrend Can Happen Sooner Rather Than Later
Mar 04NIO: The Pain Carries On (Rating Downgrade)
Feb 24NIO: EV Slump Won't Last
Jan 30NIO Stock's Nosedive Looks Fair
Jan 23NIO And Its Moment Of Truth
Jan 16NIO: Time To Be Bullish (Rating Upgrade)
Jan 02NIO: Abu Dhabi Deal Could Lead To Major Breakout (Rating Upgrade)
Dec 25Nio Gears Up To Produce Its Own EVs After Buying Partner's Factories
Dec 13NIO Q3 Results: Upgrading Back To Buy, Worst Priced In
Dec 05Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2027 | 134,606 | -10,096 | -1,623 | 3,850 | 14 |
| 12/31/2026 | 119,745 | -10,554 | -7,380 | 2,964 | 27 |
| 12/31/2025 | 91,082 | -16,414 | -13,866 | -3,847 | 21 |
| 12/31/2024 | 65,732 | -22,658 | -16,991 | -7,849 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 63,131 | -21,119 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 63,524 | -20,606 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 54,850 | -21,601 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 55,618 | -21,147 | -15,722 | -1,382 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 54,578 | -21,401 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 48,514 | -20,915 | -22,663 | -14,114 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 50,034 | -17,538 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 49,269 | -14,559 | -10,839 | -3,866 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 43,106 | -10,892 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 39,909 | -9,608 | -6,960 | -235 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 38,065 | -7,522 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 36,136 | -10,572 | -2,112 | 1,966 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 32,877 | -9,885 | -87 | 2,483 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 27,597 | -8,214 | 1,954 | 3,327 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 22,868 | -8,763 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 16,258 | -5,611 | 823 | 1,951 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 12,465 | -7,012 | -1,838 | -665 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 9,776 | -8,378 | -3,669 | -2,606 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 7,566 | -10,484 | -7,342 | -6,080 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 7,825 | -11,413 | -10,428 | -8,722 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 8,412 | -12,036 | -13,126 | -10,833 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 8,045 | -19,239 | -13,697 | -10,916 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 6,582 | -22,036 | -13,361 | -10,368 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 4,951 | -23,328 | -10,556 | -7,912 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 1,516 | -22,594 | N/A | -6,528 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 46 | -14,486 | N/A | -6,077 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | N/A | -9,462 | N/A | -5,084 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | N/A | -7,562 | N/A | -4,575 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: NIO is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.
Earnings vs Market: NIO is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.
High Growth Earnings: NIO is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: NIO's revenue (18.5% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (8.3% per year).
High Growth Revenue: NIO's revenue (18.5% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: NIO is forecast to be unprofitable in 3 years.
Discover growth companies
Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2025/04/14 23:19 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2025/04/14 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2024/12/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2024/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
| |
| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
|
|
| Market Prices | 30 years |
| |
| Ownership | 10 years |
| |
| Management | 10 years |
| |
| Key Developments | 10 years |
|
* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
NIO Inc. is covered by 52 analysts. 27 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Jiong Shao | Barclays |
| Jia Lou | BOCI Research Ltd. |
| Ming-Hsun Lee | BofA Global Research |