NIO Future Growth
Future criteria checks 5/6
NIO is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 88.4% and 15.5% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 92.6% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 31.7% in 3 years.
Key information
88.4%
Earnings growth rate
92.59%
EPS growth rate
| Auto earnings growth | 37.1% |
| Revenue growth rate | 15.5% |
| Future return on equity | 31.73% |
| Analyst coverage | Good |
| Last updated | 04 May 2026 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
Seeking Alpha • May 08
NIO: The Market Still Underestimates The ES8 Effect
Summary NIO Inc. (NIO) has transitioned from a volume-driven, cash-burning EV maker to a margin-focused story anchored by the high-margin ES8 model. 4Q25 marked a pivotal breakeven milestone, with vehicle margins at 18.1% and disciplined OpEx, validating the operating leverage thesis. Management targets full-year non-GAAP operating breakeven in FY26, with ES8 and upcoming ES9 expected to sustain high-margin mix and delivery momentum. Despite strong execution, market skepticism persists, keeping bullish asymmetry intact and supporting my Buy rating on NIO. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update • May 01
NIO: Future P/E Expansion Will Be Constrained By Sector Headwinds
Analyst price targets on NIO have been adjusted slightly, with updated fair value now implying a modest change in outlook. Analysts point to improved earnings visibility, stronger conviction in 2026 volume and margin trends, and support from new model launches, while also factoring in sector headwinds such as lower EV subsidies and rising costs.Narrative Update • Apr 16
NIO: Future P/E Expansion Will Struggle Against Sector Headwinds
The analyst price target for Nio has been raised by several firms, lifting the blended fair value estimate from $4.13 to $4.29 as analysts factor in stronger order momentum, new model launches, and clearer visibility on earnings and volume expectations despite ongoing sector headwinds. Analyst Commentary Recent research has highlighted a split view on Nio, with some firms becoming more constructive on earnings visibility and volume potential, while others remain cautious on execution and sector pressures.Narrative Update • Apr 02
NIO: Future P/E Surge Will Outpace Modest Margin Expectations
Narrative Update on NIO The updated analyst price target for NIO now reflects a fair value estimate shifted from $3.09 to $4.13. Analysts point to clearer earnings visibility, stronger order momentum in core models, and expectations for healthier margins, even as they factor in a much higher future P/E multiple.
Narrative Update • Mar 18
NIO: Improving Earnings Visibility And New Models Will Drive Future Upside
Analysts have trimmed NIO's fair value estimate while still lifting average price targets toward the high $6 range, citing what they view as improving earnings visibility, stronger order momentum from new models, and expectations for better margins and a lower future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on NIO has tilted more constructive, with several bullish analysts lifting price targets into the mid to high US$6 range and pointing to what they see as clearer earnings trajectories and improving business fundamentals.
Narrative Update • Mar 04
NIO: China Headwinds Will Be Weathered As Profitability Turns Positive
Narrative Update NIO's updated analyst price target has been reduced by about $0.18 as analysts factor in a slightly higher discount rate and modestly lower revenue growth expectations, partly offset by marginally stronger projected profit margins and a lower future P/E assumption. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on NIO shows a mix of optimism and caution, with different firms updating ratings and price targets based on their views of the company’s growth prospects, execution risks, and how those translate into valuation.Narrative Update • Feb 18
NIO: China Headwind Resilience And Execution On Guidance Will Drive Upside
Narrative Update: NIO Analyst Target Shift NIO's updated fair value estimate has edged down slightly, with analysts trimming their average price target by about $0.09 as they factor in softer volume guidance, increased competition, and modest changes to long term growth, margins, and future P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on NIO reflects a split view, with some firms trimming targets and others turning more constructive.Narrative Update • Feb 04
NIO: Chip Licensing Revenue Will Offset Weaker Near Term Delivery Outlook
Analysts have trimmed their NIO fair value estimate slightly to about US$6.67 per share from roughly US$6.75. This reflects more cautious assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins and discount rates, even as recent research points to mixed views on demand, competition and near term delivery guidance.Narrative Update • Jan 20
NIO: Chip Licensing And China Headwind Resilience Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have inched their fair value estimate for NIO higher, with a modestly richer P/E assumption and slightly firmer revenue growth and profit margin forecasts. This reflects mixed but improving sentiment after recent target cuts and an upgrade that highlights the company's ability to handle China specific headwinds.Narrative Update • Jan 06
NIO: Chip Licensing And Execution On Delivery Plans Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have trimmed their price targets on NIO, with cuts such as Citi's move to US$6.90 from US$8.60 and BofA's to US$6.70 from US$7.60. They cited weaker Q4 delivery guidance, softer order trends into Q1, and increased competitive pressure.Narrative Update • Dec 21
NIO: Chip Licensing And Delivery Ramp Will Support Future Share Upside
Analysts have trimmed their price target on NIO by roughly $1.70 per share, reflecting weaker near term delivery guidance, softer 2026 demand expectations, and heightened competitive pressures, despite resilient revenue growth. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts acknowledge that the reset in expectations around NIO's near term deliveries and 2026 demand has weighed on sentiment, but they continue to highlight several supportive factors for the longer term equity story.Narrative Update • Dec 07
NIO: Future Chip Licensing Revenue Will Support Upside Despite Softer Delivery Outlook
Analysts have trimmed their price target on NIO modestly, reflecting a slightly lower fair value estimate of about $6.75 per share, down from roughly $6.83, as they factor in weaker near term volume guidance, softer 2026 demand expectations, more intense competition, and a sharply higher implied future P E multiple amid pressured margin assumptions. Analyst Commentary Street research on NIO has turned more cautious overall, with several recent target cuts and rating downgrades offsetting earlier optimism tied to new models and improving orders.Analysis Article • Dec 02
Market Cool On NIO Inc.'s (NYSE:NIO) Revenues Pushing Shares 29% Lower
NIO Inc. ( NYSE:NIO ) shares have had a horrible month, losing 29% after a relatively good period beforehand...Narrative Update • Nov 23
NIO: Production Momentum And Record Deliveries Will Drive Upside Into 2025
Analysts have raised their price target for NIO, now forecasting further upside as improving vehicle orders, production momentum, and narrowing losses drive a modest upward revision to the firm's valuation. The target has increased by up to $3.20 in the latest updates.Narrative Update • Nov 07
NIO: Upcoming Product Launches And Execution Risks Will Shape Performance
The analyst price target for NIO has increased modestly, with analysts citing robust new vehicle orders, improving margins, and potential upside catalysts as reasons for the upward adjustment to approximately $6.91 per share. Analyst Commentary Recent research notes reflect a mixture of optimism and caution among analysts covering NIO.Narrative Update • Oct 24
Rising Demand And New Launches Will Drive Momentum In Electric Vehicles
NIO's analyst price target has edged up to approximately $6.79, a modest increase that reflects analysts' expectations for improving order momentum, positive vehicle launches, and a strengthening market outlook for electric vehicles. Analyst Commentary Recent research and price target actions reflect both optimism and caution among analysts regarding NIO's near-term and long-term prospects.Narrative Update • Oct 10
Expanding EV Networks In China Will Transform The Industry
The analyst consensus price target for NIO has been raised from $6.58 to $6.72 per share. Analysts cite increased order strength for new models, improving margins, and positive volume growth forecasts for upcoming quarters as reasons for the adjustment.Narrative Update • Sep 26
Expanding EV Networks In China Will Transform The Industry
The upward revision in NIO's price target reflects analysts' increased confidence in strong new model order momentum, improving profitability outlook, and accelerating revenue growth, resulting in a higher fair value estimate of $6.58. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cite strong order momentum for Nio’s new models (L90, ES8, Onvo L80), driving upward revisions to volume estimates for 2025-2027 and expectations of accelerated revenue growth.Narrative Update • Sep 11
Expanding EV Networks In China Will Transform The Industry
Analysts have raised NIO’s price target to $6.26, citing narrowing net losses, anticipated volume growth from new model launches, and positive upcoming catalysts such as Q2 results and vehicle announcements. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cite narrowing non-GAAP net losses for Nio in 2025 and 2026 and expect adjusted net profit to turn positive in 2027.Analysis Article • Sep 02
NIO Inc. (NYSE:NIO) Soars 27% But It's A Story Of Risk Vs Reward
NIO Inc. ( NYSE:NIO ) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 27% gain in the last month alone. Looking back...Narrative Update • Aug 27
Smart EV Models And Cost Savings Will Drive Global Markets
Analysts have raised NIO’s price target to $5.10, citing stronger medium-term delivery growth expectations and increased confidence in new SUV sales and product execution. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts anticipate several near-term positive catalysts, including strong Q2 results, the formal ES8 price announcement, and Nio Day, as well as potential new model reveals at the Guangzhou Auto Show.Analysis Article • Jul 18
Further Upside For NIO Inc. (NYSE:NIO) Shares Could Introduce Price Risks After 28% Bounce
The NIO Inc. ( NYSE:NIO ) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 28%. The bad...Seeking Alpha • Apr 10
NIO: Progress On Paper, Panic Behind The Scenes
Summary NIO faces significant uncertainty with cost-cutting measures, management changes, and profitability challenges, making it a risky investment despite its potential. Vehicle deliveries and revenue are growing, but profitability and margins are under pressure, especially with the expansion of budget-friendly brands. The company's valuation appears attractive, but its high Price/Book ratio and lack of earnings raise concerns about its financial health. I rate NIO as a Hold, preferring to wait for more stable conditions and clearer answers to current uncertainties before investing. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Mar 31
NIO: Massively Discounted EV Value
Summary NIO reported decent Q4 earnings in March, although the company missed top and bottom line estimates. I previously rated NIO a strong buy due to momentum with L60 deliveries and the launch of the low-cost ONVO brand. NIO's vehicle margins grew 1.2 PP Y/Y to 13.1%, but the company still needs to urgently improve its profitability profile. Shares currently trade well below the industry group average as well as below NIO's historical valuation. Despite risks from competition and slowing market demand, NIO's growth in FY 2025 will be driven by the ONVO brand. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Mar 24
NIO: Don't Expect Positive Free Cash Flows Any Time Soon - Rating Downgrade
Summary NIO Inc.'s Q4 and FY 2024 earnings disappointed, missing EPS and revenue expectations, leading to a 7% stock drop and weak Q1 2025 revenue guidance. NIO’s vehicle margins, now at 12.3%, could improve to 20% by Q4 2025. At the moment, they lag behind Li Auto’s 19.8% and XPeng’s 14.3%. Cost-cutting initiatives include a 10% reduction in seat BOM, halved smart hardware costs, and the NX9031 chip lowering unit costs by RMB10,000. NIO's battery swap stations strategy looks quite promising, with 3,245 stations deployed and a daily record of 137,000 swaps, which may help drive FY 2025 sales toward ~444,000 units. Overall, I don't see enough upside to justify a long position in this stock. BYD and Li look more attractive on a valuation basis. I downgrade to hold. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Mar 18
NIO: With China Bullishness, A Good Earnings Report Could Be Great
Summary NIO's upcoming earnings report on March 21st is crucial, especially after a challenging year with a 10% stock drop and fierce competition. Key areas to watch include NIO's new family ONVO model, the budget Firefly vehicle, and international market strategies amid high tariffs. Despite high cash burn, macroeconomic challenges, and strong competition, NIO remains undervalued, trading at 0.9x NTM Sales, with potential for multiple expansion. Positive earnings could trigger significant stock swings, reflecting growing investor sentiment towards undervalued Chinese stocks like NIO. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Mar 03
NIO: Who Is Buying In 2025? Count Me Out
Summary NIO is currently loss-making, facing significant domestic competition and challenges in the electric vehicle market. Tariffs are adding financial strain, further complicating the company's path to profitability and sustainably positive FCF. NIO's February 2025 deliveries fell 5% MoM to 13,192, while projected cash burn ($1.2 billion in 2025, $550-600M in 2026) eats into a $5.3 billion cash pile. On valuation, at 1x P/S, NIO stock trades at a 500% premium to the 0.2x P/S seen in both Stellantis and Ford. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Feb 24
NIO: Upcoming Earnings Could Deliver A Big Positive Surprise
Summary NIO is expected to report its quarterly earnings in a few days, and we could see a revenue surprise as the company reported strong sales for its ONVO model. NIO’s two new models, Firefly and ONVO are seeing good customer feedback, which should improve the sales projection for 2025. NIO is also looking to expand in international regions, which can deliver better margins compared to the highly competitive Chinese market. A recent meeting between the Chinese administration and business leaders can also see a better regulatory climate and improve the overall sentiment toward Chinese stocks. NIO stock is trading at a forward PS ratio of 0.68 compared to more than 12 for Tesla while showing a much stronger revenue growth trajectory. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Feb 13
Nio: A Struggling EV Contender Facing An Uphill Battle
Summary Nio's financial losses and reliance on external capital make it a high-risk gamble in the competitive EV sector. Despite record vehicle deliveries, revenue growth is slowing, and sustainable profits seem distant. Increased capital expenditure and operational complexity from new sub-brands may further concern investors. Nio's cash burn and weaker financials compared to Tesla and BYD raise sustainability concerns amid economic uncertainty. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
New Narrative • Jan 26
New Brands And Global Expansion Will Strengthen Market Position
New vehicle models and strategic brand launches aim to expand market presence and diversify revenue, enhancing overall margins and brand image.Seeking Alpha • Jan 09
NIO: High Growth And A Bit Of A Bargain
Summary NIO's Q3 2024 revenues increased by 7% QoQ to $2.6B, with a gross profit rise of 31.8% YoY, despite a 38% stock price drop. Q4 delivery numbers are promising, with a 72.9% YoY increase in December, aligning with management's guidance and countering bearish arguments. NIO ranks 3rd in the Chinese EV market, benefiting from government subsidies, and aims for long-term profitability through brand positioning and efficiency gains. Valuation suggests potential growth, with a projected EV of $20.88B by 2026, implying a 2.15x increase from current levels, with further upside possible. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jan 02
NIO Stock Should Rebound In 2025
Summary I believe NIO stock remains a solid speculative "Buy" for 2025 due to expected margin expansion, new model launches, and expanding market presence. The firm's Q3 results show increased deliveries and margins, driven by the ONVO L60 and efficient cost management. I believe NIO's ecosystem, including BaaS and power swap stations, enhances its market value and supports future growth. Despite risks like high capital needs and competition, NIO's valuation remains attractive, justifying a "Buy" rating for 2025. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaNew Narrative • Jan 02
NIO to Drive 23% Revenue Growth with Battery Innovations
Products:SUVs: ES8, ES6, EC6.Sedans: ET7 (luxury sedan), ET5 (mid-sized sedan).Known for stylish designs, advanced technology, and high performance.Seeking Alpha • Dec 18
NIO: Poised To Struggle Further
Summary NIO remains fundamentally weak with persistent unprofitability, deteriorating net income, and a shrinking cash position, leading to a Strong Sell rating. Intensifying competition from legacy automakers, Tesla, and other Chinese EV brands further undermines NIO's market position and growth prospects. Intrinsic value analysis suggests NIO is overvalued by around 24%, with a calculated intrinsic value per share of $3.36. Potential positive catalysts like the NIO MENA joint venture and Mastercard partnership are unlikely to offset the company's significant fundamental issues. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Dec 10
NIO Is Getting Ready For A Fantastic 2025
Summary NIO's deliveries are booming, with the new Onvo EVs driving a 25% share of run-rate deliveries and maintaining a 20K+ monthly delivery streak. Despite margin risks from low-cost EVs, NIO's valuation is attractive, especially with a major delivery surge expected in 2025, potentially leading to 70% growth. NIO's stock is undervalued, trading at 1.01x leading sales, with potential to double its valuation if the Onvo ramp-up succeeds and profitability is achieved by 2026. While NIO faces profitability challenges and potential margin pressures, its positive delivery trends and margin improvements make it a compelling investment opportunity. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Nov 18
NIO Remains A Wildcard Before Q3 FY2024 Earnings Release
Summary I downgraded NIO to "Hold" due to a weakening long-term bullish thesis and competition. I maintain my rating today - 2 days before its Q3 earnings release. NIO's Q2 2024 saw impressive vehicle sales and revenue growth, but profitability remains elusive with significant net losses and negative EBITDA. NIO's battery swap stations are far from profitability, averaging 30-40 swaps per day, making the expansion strategy risky and delaying consolidated profit. Despite its high cash-to-market-cap ratio, NIO's heavy infrastructure investment and competition from fast-charging tech may lead to the overvaluation of NIO stock. What may seem like an objective undervaluation today could in fact become an overvaluation as the company continues to spend significant funds on building out its infrastructure. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Nov 05
NIO's Firefly Hybrid: A Potential Spark To Reignite Growth In Europe
Summary Reuters announced NIO's plans to launch a hybrid under the Firefly brand in 2026, targeting the overseas market (Europe and the Middle East). With hybrids now making up over 30% of car sales in Europe and exemption from tariffs, NIO’s timing for this launch looks quite promising. A $2.2 billion investment from CYVN Holdings and a $3 billion investment from the Abu Dhabi government could support NIO's Firefly brand expansion. Persistent cash burn, and negative cash flow mean NIO needs to improve finances in the coming years. Otherwise, large investors could lose interest in the company. Despite a 90% share price decline since 2021, the hybrid launch could be a turning point. Therefore, I maintain a buy rating, with a 2-3 year timeframe in mind. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Oct 16
NIO: Not For The Faint-Hearted: Initiating With A Buy
Summary I’m initiating NIO stock with a buy for mid- to long-term investors. I expect to see an upside surprise for NIO in 2025 as the company, among other Chinese players, finds a stable footing in Beijing’s stimulus plan, boosting consumer spend. I think NIO’s Battery-as-a-Service (BaaS) position, which supports battery-swapping tech, gives customers incentives to choose NIO. I believe the company's historically close ties with the Chinese government help balance its international expansion in Europe and, more recently, MENA. I hereon share my positive sentiment on NIO and why I expect more upside in 2025. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Oct 03
NIO: Moment Of Truth
Summary NIO's September deliveries included 832 units of the new ONVO-branded L60 SUV, indicating strong demand and potential for significant Q4 delivery growth. ONVO-branded deliveries immediately, after only 3 days of shipments, represented a 4% delivery share in September. NIO also secured a strategic equity investment of $0.5B from three Chinese investors, enhancing its financial stability amid high operating losses. NIO's vehicle margins are improving, suggesting a path toward profitability, and the L60's success could boost Q4 delivery volumes to 76-78k units. Despite recent share price surges, NIO remains a strong long-term buy due to its delivery momentum, strategic investments, and potential to improve its financial metrics. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Sep 27
NIO: The Tide Is Finally Turning
Summary My article examines China's macro environment, highlighting its impact on the financial performance and future prospects of the stock market in general. NIO's financial updates in particular reveal strong revenue growth and solid balance sheets, supporting a positive outlook for the stock. Valuation analysis suggests the stock may have an upside indeed, with NIO having a cash-to-market-cap ratio of 57.5% to date. Although the long term outlook remains highly uncertain, I continue to look at NIO today as pure speculation for bulls. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Sep 09
NIO: Finally Some Progress (Rating Upgrade)
Summary Nio missed Q2 revenue estimates but showed an improvement in gross margins, with more progress expected later this year. Despite a 144% YoY increase in vehicle deliveries, lower average selling prices impacted total revenues, marking the second top line miss in three quarters. Nio's Q3 guidance included record deliveries and revenue expectations slightly above Street estimates, with ambitious long-term operational targets for both the Nio and Onvo brands. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Sep 03
NIO: Revenue Growth Expected For Q2 2024 Unlikely To Continue
Summary NIO's Q2 2024 results are crucial as the stock is trading at multi-year lows. But whether they offer any support to the stock remains to be seen. While robust revenue growth is expected, substantial operating losses are likely to continue, too. The outlook for Q3 2024 can be subdued as well. Even longer-term promise, in the likes of battery swaps, can take time to impact profitability. With softer growth going forward along with continued losses, NIO isn't a Buy. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Aug 24
Why NIO Isn't Worth Investing In
Summary NIO faces consistently significant quarterly losses due to challenges in handling competition. NIO Inc. faces challenges in the EV industry with low market share, intense competition from rivals like Tesla and BYD, and financial concerns despite revenue growth. Political tensions and valuation metrics further complicate NIO's prospects, urging potential investors to closely monitor its ability to navigate challenges and sustain profitability. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Aug 12
NIO: Red Flags Everywhere
Summary NIO's stock has lost over 70% of its value in the last twelve months, with deteriorating fundamentals and market share. The company continues to burn cash and is expected to raise new funds, leading to increasing leverage and share count. Valuation analysis suggests NIO stock is deeply undervalued, but the discount appears justified given the numerous red flags. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jul 19
NIO: Oversold Despite Promising Execution - Speculative Buy
Summary NIO continues to report growing deliveries in FQ2'24 and early July 2024, implying that the price cuts have worked as intended in boosting sales. With its sales figures almost exceeding TSLA's growth rates and the management already looking to launch mass market models, we believe that we may see 2025 bring forth improved numbers. While NIO is likely to remain unprofitable and further dilutive cash raises are likely in the near-term, we believe that the worst may already be behind it. The stock remains attractively valued compared to its EV peers given the robust double digit growth rates, offering investors an excellent margin of safety. It goes without saying that NIO is likely to remain volatile in the intermediate term, with the stock highly shorted and sentiments surrounding EVs/ Chinese ADRs still mixed. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jul 08
NIO's Path Forward
Summary NIO is navigating a challenging market with a 45% drop in stock value YTD, amid concerns about slowed growth in vehicle deliveries and increasing competition. NIO plans a third factory in China to produce budget-friendly Onvo brand EVs, aiming to compete with Tesla and capture the mass market. Despite facing import tariffs in Europe and the US, NIO's battery-swapping technology and improving profit margins signal potential for resilience and growth. Key indicators like the RSI and PVT suggest a possible bullish momentum. The stock may reach an average price target of $10.15 by the end of the year, indicating significant upside potential. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jul 02
NIO: Growth At All Costs May Not Last
Summary NIO's stock rallied significantly yesterday after inspiring Q2 delivery numbers, which more than doubled. The company's financial performance suggests that management prioritizes growth at all costs, which is unsustainable and harmful to shareholders in the long term. Valuation analysis suggests NIO's stock is overvalued, fair share price estimated at $1.36. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jun 18
NIO Stock: Sell And Don't Look Back (Rating Downgrade)
Summary NIO Inc. stock is in a downward spiral, with recent earnings worse than expected and the potential for more dilution. NIO's financial challenges are exacerbated by missed revenue estimates and increasing losses. The Grizzly Research report alleges NIO may be using questionable accounting practices, adding to concerns about the company's financial health. There are much better stocks than NIO, and the company may not be worth the risk now. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaEarnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 172,441 | 3,772 | 6,299 | 17,798 | 21 |
| 12/31/2027 | 153,202 | -340 | 6,932 | 15,220 | 25 |
| 12/31/2026 | 130,259 | -4,340 | 439 | 18,549 | 26 |
| 12/31/2025 | 87,488 | -15,571 | -3,073 | 2,993 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 72,541 | -22,825 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 69,420 | -24,306 | -16,499 | -8,748 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 67,858 | -24,291 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 65,732 | -22,658 | -16,991 | -7,849 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 63,131 | -21,119 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 63,524 | -20,606 | -13,471 | 187 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 54,850 | -21,601 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 55,618 | -21,147 | -15,722 | -1,382 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 54,578 | -21,401 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 48,514 | -20,915 | -22,663 | -14,114 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 50,034 | -17,538 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 49,269 | -14,559 | -10,839 | -3,866 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 43,106 | -10,892 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 39,909 | -9,608 | -6,960 | -235 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 38,065 | -7,522 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 36,136 | -10,572 | -2,112 | 1,966 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 32,877 | -9,885 | -87 | 2,483 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 27,597 | -8,214 | 1,954 | 3,327 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 22,868 | -8,763 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 16,258 | -5,611 | 823 | 1,951 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 12,465 | -7,012 | -1,838 | -665 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 9,776 | -8,378 | -3,669 | -2,606 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 7,566 | -10,484 | -7,342 | -6,080 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 7,825 | -11,413 | -10,428 | -8,722 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 8,412 | -12,036 | N/A | -10,833 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 8,045 | -19,239 | N/A | -10,916 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 6,582 | -22,036 | N/A | -10,368 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 4,951 | -23,328 | N/A | -7,912 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 1,516 | -22,594 | N/A | -6,528 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 46 | -14,486 | N/A | -6,077 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | N/A | -9,462 | N/A | -5,084 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | N/A | -7,562 | N/A | -4,575 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: NIO is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (3.5%).
Earnings vs Market: NIO is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.
High Growth Earnings: NIO is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: NIO's revenue (15.5% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (11.5% per year).
High Growth Revenue: NIO's revenue (15.5% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: NIO's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (31.7%)
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/07 15:31 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/07 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
NIO Inc. is covered by 48 analysts. 26 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Jiong Shao | Barclays |
| Yuet Lee | Bernstein |
| Ming-Hsun Lee | BofA Global Research |