Update shared on11 Sep 2025
Fair value Increased 5.39%Analysts have raised NIO’s price target to $6.26, citing narrowing net losses, anticipated volume growth from new model launches, and positive upcoming catalysts such as Q2 results and vehicle announcements.
Analyst Commentary
- Bullish analysts cite narrowing non-GAAP net losses for Nio in 2025 and 2026 and expect adjusted net profit to turn positive in 2027.
- Anticipation of positive catalysts, including strong Q2 results, the formal ES8 price announcement at Nio Day, and a potential new 5-seater BEV SUV showcased at the Guangzhou Auto Show, are expected to drive the stock higher.
- Upgrades and price target increases reflect optimism about strong volume growth prospects, with projected delivery growth of 50% in 2025 and 47% in 2026.
- Robust order intake for newly launched models, especially the Onvo L90 and L80 SUVs, underpin expectations for a meaningful volume recovery from 2026 onward.
- Although one analyst lowered their 2025 delivery estimate due to a weak first half, this was offset by unchanged or lifted 2026–2027 volume forecasts given momentum from new model launches.
What's in the News
- NIO completed a $1 billion follow-on equity offering, pricing ADS at $5.57 and Class A shares at $43.36.
- Cheche Group expanded its partnership with NIO to enhance insurance services across NIO's brands; August vehicle deliveries reached 31,305 (+55.2% YoY), setting a monthly record. Cumulative deliveries surpassed 830,000. The ONVO L90 and ES8 are targeting monthly production of 15,000 units each by year-end. NIO aims for a Q4 monthly delivery goal of 50,000 vehicles.
- NIO issued Q3 2025 guidance, expecting revenues between RMB 21,812 million (USD 3,045 million) and RMB 22,876 million (USD 3,193 million), up 16.8%–22.5% YoY.
- NIO held a board meeting to review and approve unaudited financial results for the three and six months ended June 30, 2025.
Valuation Changes
Summary of Valuation Changes for NIO
- The Consensus Analyst Price Target has risen from $5.94 to $6.26.
- The Future P/E for NIO has significantly fallen from 22.73x to 3.28x.
- The Discount Rate for NIO has fallen from 13.58% to 12.82%.
Disclaimer
AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.