U.S. Market Community
Our community narratives are driven by numbers and valuation.
U.S. Investing Ideas
Global Weekly Picks
The Vending Machine’s Paradox: Efficiency vs. Gravity
The February 18th Reckoning Carvana reports on Wednesday, February 18, 2026 , into a market that has treated it like a high-flying tech stock rather than a car dealer. The narrative for this quarter is "Peak Leverage." After a 2025 where CVNA was one of the top performers in the S&P 500, analysts are looking for more than just a "beat." They are looking for proof that Carvana can maintain its $7,000+ Gross Profit per Unit (GPU) while aggressively scaling volume.Read more
The Elhedery Cleansing: Dismantling the Global Generalist
The February 18th Reckoning DoorDash is set to report on February 18, 2026 , and the stakes couldn't be higher. The stock has recently cooled off from its 2025 highs, but it still trades at a significant premium to its fundamental cash-flow floor.Read more
The AI Arms Dealer’s Reckoning
MKS Instruments steps into its February 17, 2026 , earnings call with a 14% dividend hike in one hand and a high-stakes valuation in the other. After a massive 120%+ run over the past year, the market is no longer asking if MKSI is a critical "arms dealer" for AI chips; it’s asking how much more blood can be squeezed from the stone.Read more
The Newcrest Synergy: Gold’s Final Boss vs. The Tier-1 Purge
The February 19th Reckoning Newmont is scheduled to report its Q4 and Full Year 2025 results on Thursday, February 19, 2026. The market isn't just looking for an earnings beat; it’s looking for the "Tier-1 Asset Purge" update.Read more
The Omnichannel Hegemon: AI, Advertising, and the Nasdaq Era
The February 19th Reckoning Walmart reports its fourth-quarter and full-year results on Thursday, February 19, 2026 , before the opening bell. The stock is currently trading at $133.94 , pushing into "overbought" territory with a trailing P/E of ~46.Read more
The "Abel Era" and the $382 Billion War Chest
From Stock-Picking to Operational Rigor While Buffett was the world’s greatest capital allocator, Greg Abel is fundamentally an operational master. Having risen through Berkshire Hathaway Energy (BHE), Abel’s 2026 mandate is to extract more efficiency from the "Big Four" pillars (Insurance, BNSF, BHE, and Manufacturing).Read more
The Silver Squeeze Premium: Hecla’s High-Stakes Balancing Act
Hecla Mining enters its Tuesday, February 17, 2026, after-market earnings call at a major crossroads. The "Intrinsic Floor" of $16.84 suggests the stock is currently overvalued by 25%.Read more
The Privacy Fortress: Apple’s Lean AI Path and the $100 Billion Buyback Engine
Apple is the "anti-Amazon" of 2026. While the rest of Big Tech is in a capex arms race, Apple is being rewarded for fiscal restraint.Read more
MINISO's fair value is projected at 26.69 with an anticipated PE ratio shift of 20x
MINISO Investment Thesis This analysis is based on the MINISO 2024 Q4 and 2025 Q1 earnings call presentations and the provided transcript. # Catalysts MINISO has several key growth drivers that could meaningfully impact sales and earnings: Global Store Network Expansion: The primary catalyst is the aggressive and ongoing expansion of its store network, both in China and, more significantly, in overseas markets.Read more
