Update shared on27 Aug 2025
Fair value Increased 3.70%Analysts have raised NIO’s price target to $5.10, citing stronger medium-term delivery growth expectations and increased confidence in new SUV sales and product execution.
Analyst Commentary
- Bullish analysts anticipate several near-term positive catalysts, including strong Q2 results, the formal ES8 price announcement, and Nio Day, as well as potential new model reveals at the Guangzhou Auto Show.
- Volume growth outlook for 2025 and 2026 has been meaningfully lifted, with projections of 50% and 47% annual delivery growth driven by new model launches.
- Strong customer order intake for the Onvo L90 is expected to underpin a volume recovery in 2026, even as 2025 volumes are forecast lower due to a weak first half.
- Upward revisions to price targets reflect increased confidence in the sales performance of the L90 and L80 SUVs, leading to 11%-13% higher volume estimates for fiscal 2026 and 2027.
- Multiple upgrades from Neutral to Outperform/Overweight ratings signal improved sentiment on Nio’s execution and product momentum despite short-term headwinds.
What's in the News
- Board meeting scheduled to approve unaudited financial results for Q2 and H1 2025.
- Expects Q2 2025 vehicle deliveries of 75,000, up 25.5% to 30.7% year-over-year.
- Anticipates Q2 2025 revenues between RMB 19,513 million and RMB 20,068 million (USD 2,689–2,765 million), an increase of 11.8% to 15.0% from prior year.
Valuation Changes
Summary of Valuation Changes for NIO
- The Consensus Analyst Price Target has risen slightly from $4.92 to $5.10.
- The Future P/E for NIO has significantly fallen from 16.58x to 2.23x.
- The Net Profit Margin for NIO remained effectively unchanged, at 5.41%.
Disclaimer
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