Tesla, Inc.

NasdaqGS:TSLA Stock Report

Market Cap: US$1.5t

Tesla Future Growth

Future criteria checks 4/6

Tesla is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 34% and 16.3% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 34.4% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 10% in 3 years.

Key information

34.0%

Earnings growth rate

34.43%

EPS growth rate

Auto earnings growth34.8%
Revenue growth rate16.3%
Future return on equity9.97%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated13 Mar 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Tesla: How Much Longer Can You Hide Weakness

Mar 09

Tesla will achieve a 392% PE ratio increase according to recent forecasts

Tesla (TSLA) Investment Narrative Tesla is one of the most prominent companies in the global transition toward electric vehicles and sustainable energy. The company designs and manufactures electric vehicles, battery storage systems, and solar energy products.

The Transition From Automaker To AI Behemoth Is Underway, But Priced In

Summary ​Tesla is actively transitioning its core business from automotive sales to real-world AI, including autonomous driving and humanoid robots. ​Robotaxi testing is progressing well, with plans to remove safety monitors and expand to seven new US cities in early 2026.

Tesla's Revenue to Soar 16% as Fair Value Hits 391.81 in Five Years

TESLA INC. NASDAQ: TSLA The Most Controversial Bet in Investing An Equity Narrative for Simply Wall St | February 2026 1.

Tesla, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:TSLA) 26% Price Boost Is Out Of Tune With Revenues

Sep 27
Tesla, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:TSLA) 26% Price Boost Is Out Of Tune With Revenues

Weekly Picks: 💸 SUN's Insurance Dividends, NCH2's Hydrogen Exposure, and TSLA's Robotic Inflection Point

Jul 02
Weekly Picks: 💸 SUN's Insurance Dividends, NCH2's Hydrogen Exposure, and TSLA's Robotic Inflection Point

Subdued Growth No Barrier To Tesla, Inc. (NASDAQ:TSLA) With Shares Advancing 26%

May 13
Subdued Growth No Barrier To Tesla, Inc. (NASDAQ:TSLA) With Shares Advancing 26%
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Tesla’s Nvidia Moment – The AI & Robotics Inflection Point

AI & Automation – Tesla’s AI advancements, driven by Dojo, position the company as a major AI player. Musk noted that Tesla’s Cortex One training cluster, alongside Dojo, is scaling rapidly, with over

Tesla's Poor Earnings Reaffirms Our Top Short Pick

Apr 27

Tesla Q1 Preview: Expecting Near Record Revenues

Apr 21

Tesla: Even More Bad News

Apr 14

Autonomous Driving And Retail Trader Buying Won't Steer Tesla's Stock Price

Apr 06

Robotaxis, AI, And Broken Promises: Is Tesla Still Worth The Hype In 2025

Mar 31

Inside Tesla's Multi-Layered Growth Story

Mar 24

Elon Musk is a scam

It's just a car company. Level 4 autonomy is not going to be achieved for now while Elon Musk continuously insinuates that Level 5 autonomy will be available soon . Tesla has been sitting on the bigge

Dow Jones Leads U.S. Market Rally As Fed Holds Interest Rates Steady

Mar 19
Dow Jones Leads U.S. Market Rally As Fed Holds Interest Rates Steady

Investors Hesitant Ahead Of Fed Rates Decision

Mar 19
Investors Hesitant Ahead Of Fed Rates Decision

Tesla: Sell The Dip Before Things Get Worse

Mar 16

Tesla: Were We Wrong? An Important Update (Technical Analysis)

Mar 10

Elon Musk Has Become A Liability For Tesla

Mar 03

Elon Musk’s Vision Will Propel Tesla to New Heights

Cybertruck: This highly anticipated electric pickup truck is expected to hit the market soon. Its unique design and features could attract a new segment of customers.

Tesla: Prepare For The Worst

Feb 24

Tesla: How We Nailed The Last 4 Turns And What's Next

Feb 18

Tesla's Future Valuation Soars with 35x PE by 2030?

Tesla’s Future Valuation: A Deep Dive into 2030 Predictions1. Introduction: Why This MattersTesla is no longer just an automaker—it’s evolving into a technology powerhouse with AI, robotics, energy, a

Tesla: Celebrating 40 Months Of Nothing (Technical Analysis, Rating Downgrade)

Feb 12

The Agony, The Ecstasy, And Why, Despite Some Waffling, I Still Say 'Buy' For Tesla

Feb 06

FSD, Robotics, And AI: Looking Past Tesla's Earnings Numbers

Jan 30

YTSL:CA: 12% Yield Can Offer Downside Protection For Tesla Stock Ahead Of Q4 Earnings

Jan 24

Tesla Needs To Fill A Trillion Dollar Void With Autonomy (Rating Downgrade)

Jan 17

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NasdaqGS:TSLA - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/2028141,68312,2515,64022,51224
12/31/2027120,8717,7463,70917,39842
12/31/2026103,3915,071-6,03314,75943
12/31/202594,8273,7946,22014,747N/A
9/30/202595,6335,0796,83415,748N/A
6/30/202592,7205,8795,58615,765N/A
3/31/202595,7246,1076,78016,837N/A
12/31/202497,6907,1303,58114,923N/A
9/30/202497,15012,9323,61014,479N/A
6/30/202495,31812,6101,71711,532N/A
3/31/202494,74513,9131,38210,985N/A
12/31/202396,77314,9994,35713,256N/A
9/30/202395,92410,7943,71412,164N/A
6/30/202394,02812,2356,16213,956N/A
3/31/202386,03511,7885,77813,242N/A
12/31/202281,46212,5837,55214,724N/A
9/30/202274,86311,1878,90316,031N/A
6/30/202267,1669,5136,92814,078N/A
3/31/202262,1908,3996,91613,851N/A
12/31/202153,8235,5244,98311,497N/A
9/30/202146,8483,4684,0629,931N/A
6/30/202141,8622,1504,1149,184N/A
3/31/202135,9401,1123,9038,024N/A
12/31/202031,5366902,7015,943N/A
9/30/202028,1765251,8274,349N/A
6/30/202025,7083687992,705N/A
3/31/202026,022-1449922,605N/A
12/31/201924,578-8709682,405N/A
9/30/201924,420-835N/A2,215N/A
6/30/201924,941-667N/A2,850N/A
3/31/201922,593-976N/A1,856N/A
12/31/201821,461-976N/A2,098N/A
9/30/201817,523-1,791N/A1,373N/A
6/30/201813,684-2,722N/A-319N/A
3/31/201812,471-2,341N/A-389N/A
12/31/201711,759-1,962N/A-61N/A
9/30/201710,755-1,407N/A-1,019N/A
6/30/201710,069-766N/A-295N/A
3/31/20178,549-723N/A56N/A
12/31/20167,000-675N/A-124N/A
9/30/20165,930-874N/A295N/A
6/30/20164,568-1,126N/A-332N/A
3/31/20164,253-1,017N/A-642N/A
12/31/20154,046-889N/A-524N/A
9/30/20153,788-676N/A-581N/A
6/30/20153,703-521N/A-406N/A
3/31/20153,518-398N/A-248N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: TSLA's forecast earnings growth (34% per year) is above the savings rate (3.4%).

Earnings vs Market: TSLA's earnings (34% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the US market (15.6% per year).

High Growth Earnings: TSLA's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: TSLA's revenue (16.3% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (10.4% per year).

High Growth Revenue: TSLA's revenue (16.3% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: TSLA's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (10%).


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/03/16 01:57
End of Day Share Price 2026/03/16 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Tesla, Inc. is covered by 82 analysts. 43 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
William SeleskyArgus Research Company
Theodore O'NeillAscendiant Capital Markets LLC
Benjamin KalloBaird