Tesla, Inc.

NasdaqGS:TSLA Stock Report

Market Cap: US$1.4t

Tesla Valuation

Is TSLA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of TSLA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: TSLA ($436.17) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($88.24)

Significantly Below Fair Value: TSLA is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TSLA?

Key metric: As TSLA is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for TSLA. This is calculated by dividing TSLA's market cap by their current earnings.
What is TSLA's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio109.9x
EarningsUS$12.74b
Market CapUS$1.41t

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does TSLA's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for TSLA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average21x
RACE Ferrari
51.4x9.6%US$75.8b
GM General Motors
5x-10.6%US$55.0b
F Ford Motor
11x18.7%US$38.5b
LI Li Auto
16.7x25.0%US$22.7b
TSLA Tesla
109.9x12.2%US$1.4t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: TSLA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (109.9x) compared to the peer average (21x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does TSLA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Auto Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
TSLA 109.9xIndustry Avg. 15.6xNo. of Companies13PE01224364860+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: TSLA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (109.9x) compared to the Global Auto industry average (15.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is TSLA's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

TSLA PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio109.9x
Fair PE Ratio24.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: TSLA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (109.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.5x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst TSLA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$436.17
US$282.95
-35.1%
39.4%US$528.00US$116.00n/a42
Dec ’25US$345.16
US$233.16
-32.4%
29.8%US$400.00US$85.00n/a42
Nov ’25US$248.98
US$222.96
-10.4%
26.9%US$315.00US$85.00n/a43
Oct ’25US$258.02
US$208.27
-19.3%
29.5%US$310.00US$85.00n/a42
Sep ’25US$214.11
US$204.80
-4.3%
29.9%US$310.00US$85.00n/a43
Aug ’25US$216.86
US$204.39
-5.7%
30.0%US$310.00US$85.00n/a43
Jul ’25US$209.86
US$183.03
-12.8%
27.7%US$310.00US$85.00n/a42
Jun ’25US$178.08
US$181.27
+1.8%
28.5%US$310.00US$85.00n/a41
May ’25US$179.99
US$181.69
+0.9%
28.3%US$310.00US$85.00n/a42
Apr ’25US$175.22
US$199.35
+13.8%
29.0%US$320.00US$85.00n/a40
Mar ’25US$202.64
US$212.17
+4.7%
26.5%US$345.00US$85.00n/a39
Feb ’25US$188.86
US$217.27
+15.0%
26.9%US$345.00US$85.00n/a38
Jan ’25US$248.48
US$237.10
-4.6%
28.5%US$380.00US$85.00n/a36
Dec ’24US$238.83
US$236.38
-1.0%
28.2%US$380.00US$85.00US$345.1636
Nov ’24US$205.66
US$238.49
+16.0%
27.9%US$380.00US$85.00US$248.9836
Oct ’24US$250.22
US$253.29
+1.2%
30.2%US$400.00US$85.00US$258.0236
Sep ’24US$245.01
US$248.99
+1.6%
29.1%US$350.00US$85.00US$214.1136
Aug ’24US$261.07
US$245.11
-6.1%
29.8%US$350.00US$85.00US$216.8635
Jul ’24US$261.77
US$208.04
-20.5%
30.3%US$335.00US$85.00US$209.8635
Jun ’24US$207.52
US$187.99
-9.4%
25.8%US$300.00US$85.00US$178.0835
May ’24US$161.83
US$187.31
+15.7%
26.1%US$300.00US$85.00US$179.9934
Apr ’24US$207.46
US$205.27
-1.1%
27.0%US$320.00US$85.00US$175.2233
Mar ’24US$202.77
US$200.11
-1.3%
27.9%US$320.00US$85.00US$202.6434
Feb ’24US$181.41
US$190.42
+5.0%
29.9%US$320.00US$85.00US$188.8633
Jan ’24US$123.18
US$248.38
+101.6%
34.4%US$526.67US$85.00US$248.4830
Dec ’23US$194.70
US$279.94
+43.8%
31.7%US$530.00US$85.00US$238.8332

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/19 04:36
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/19 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Tesla, Inc. is covered by 95 analysts. 48 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
William SeleskyArgus Research Company
Theodore O'NeillAscendiant Capital Markets LLC
Benjamin KalloBaird