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U.S. Specialty Stores Industry Analysis

UpdatedJan 04, 2026
DataAggregated Company Financials
Companies158
  • 7D-1.8%
  • 3M-1.9%
  • 1Y4.8%
  • YTD0%

Over the last 7 days, the Specialty Stores industry has dropped 1.8%, driven by a pullback from Carvana of 8.7%. This takes the industry's 12 month performance to a gain of 4.8%. Looking forward, earnings are forecast to grow by 10% annually.

Industry Valuation and Performance

Has the U.S. Specialty Stores Industry valuation changed over the past few years?

DateMarket CapRevenueEarningsPEAbsolute PEPS
Mon, 05 Jan 2026US$969.8bUS$735.9bUS$36.6b19.8x26.5x1.3x
Wed, 03 Dec 2025US$967.3bUS$741.3bUS$36.3b17.9x26.7x1.3x
Fri, 31 Oct 2025US$965.3bUS$736.6bUS$36.4b16.5x26.5x1.3x
Sun, 28 Sep 2025US$1.0tUS$734.5bUS$36.4b17.7x27.9x1.4x
Tue, 26 Aug 2025US$1.0tUS$738.4bUS$35.5b19.2x28.6x1.4x
Thu, 24 Jul 2025US$938.7bUS$733.1bUS$35.0b17.3x26.8x1.3x
Sat, 21 Jun 2025US$878.8bUS$732.6bUS$34.9b17.6x25.1x1.2x
Mon, 19 May 2025US$914.4bUS$727.9bUS$35.6b16.2x25.7x1.3x
Wed, 16 Apr 2025US$854.4bUS$724.8bUS$35.6b13.9x24x1.2x
Fri, 14 Mar 2025US$844.1bUS$725.4bUS$36.1b13.9x23.4x1.2x
Sun, 09 Feb 2025US$901.6bUS$702.5bUS$35.4b16.4x25.4x1.3x
Tue, 07 Jan 2025US$889.5bUS$701.5bUS$35.2b16.6x25.3x1.3x
Thu, 05 Dec 2024US$945.7bUS$706.5bUS$33.0b17.5x28.6x1.3x
Sat, 02 Nov 2024US$455.6bUS$549.9bUS$17.8b14.7x25.7x0.8x
Mon, 30 Sep 2024US$487.5bUS$552.2bUS$17.5b15.3x27.9x0.9x
Wed, 28 Aug 2024US$483.4bUS$552.0bUS$17.1b15.5x28.3x0.9x
Fri, 26 Jul 2024US$458.1bUS$551.9bUS$17.5b15.2x26.1x0.8x
Sun, 23 Jun 2024US$471.9bUS$551.7bUS$17.6b15.9x26.9x0.9x
Tue, 21 May 2024US$442.9bUS$551.8bUS$17.1b15.8x25.9x0.8x
Thu, 18 Apr 2024US$416.5bUS$552.4bUS$17.2b15.6x24.3x0.8x
Sat, 16 Mar 2024US$451.1bUS$546.5bUS$16.5b14.8x27.4x0.8x
Mon, 12 Feb 2024US$436.2bUS$555.2bUS$15.8b14.7x27.6x0.8x
Wed, 10 Jan 2024US$426.5bUS$574.4bUS$16.1b13.4x26.4x0.7x
Fri, 08 Dec 2023US$409.6bUS$574.7bUS$16.1b13.2x25.4x0.7x
Sun, 05 Nov 2023US$386.6bUS$574.6bUS$17.8b12.7x21.7x0.7x
Tue, 03 Oct 2023US$381.3bUS$566.4bUS$18.4b11.6x20.7x0.7x
Thu, 31 Aug 2023US$416.1bUS$571.4bUS$18.1b11.7x23x0.7x
Sat, 29 Jul 2023US$424.3bUS$574.6bUS$17.9b10.5x23.8x0.7x
Mon, 26 Jun 2023US$408.1bUS$572.6bUS$18.3b10x22.3x0.7x
Wed, 24 May 2023US$390.3bUS$575.7bUS$18.3b10.1x21.3x0.7x
Fri, 21 Apr 2023US$408.1bUS$574.9bUS$20.1b10.3x20.3x0.7x
Sun, 19 Mar 2023US$381.8bUS$551.0bUS$22.0b9.9x17.3x0.7x
Tue, 14 Feb 2023US$408.4bUS$542.7bUS$23.6b9.9x17.3x0.8x
Thu, 12 Jan 2023US$395.1bUS$539.0bUS$23.4b9.2x16.8x0.7x
Price to Earnings Ratio

16.8x


Total Market Cap: US$395.1bTotal Earnings: US$23.4bTotal Revenue: US$539.0bTotal Market Cap vs Earnings and Revenue0%0%0%
U.S. Specialty Stores Industry Price to Earnings3Y Average 24.6x202420252026
Current Industry PE
  • Investors are relatively neutral on the American Specialty Retail industry at the moment, indicating that they anticipate long term growth rates to remain steady.
  • The industry is trading close to its 3-year average PE ratio of 24.6x.
  • The 3-year average PS ratio of 0.96x is lower than the industry's current PS ratio of 1.3x.
Past Earnings Growth
  • The earnings for companies in the Specialty Retail industry have grown 16% per year over the last three years.
  • Revenues for these companies have grown 11% per year.
  • This means that more sales are being generated by these companies overall, and subsequently their profits are increasing too.

Industry Trends

Which industries have driven the changes within the U.S. Consumer Discretionary industry?

US Market-0.99%
Consumer Discretionary-2.74%
Specialty Stores-1.82%
Specialty Stores-0.42%
Home Furnishing Retail-0.55%
Apparel Retail-1.01%
Home Improvement Retail-1.08%
Computer and Electronics Retail-1.15%
Automotive Retail-6.20%
Industry PE
  • Investors are most optimistic about the Automotive Retail industry which is trading above its 3-year average PE ratio of 19.5x.
    • Analysts are expecting annual earnings growth of 22.1%, which is higher than its past year's earnings decline of 0.7% per year.
  • Investors are most pessimistic about the Home Furnishing Retail industry, although it looks like investor sentiment has improved given that it's trading above its 3-year average of 20.7x.
Forecasted Growth
  • Analysts are most optimistic on the Automotive Retail industry, expecting annual earnings growth of 22% over the next 5 years.
  • This is better than its past earnings decline of 0.7% per year.
  • In contrast, the Home Furnishing Retail industry is expected to see its earnings grow by 4.8% per year over the next few years.

Top Stock Gainers and Losers

Which companies have driven the market over the last 7 days?

CompanyLast Price7D1YValuation
LOW Lowe's CompaniesUS$246.891.0%
+US$1.3b		-0.6%PE20.5x
W WayfairUS$106.564.2%
+US$565.7m		134.0%PS1.1x
ULTA Ulta BeautyUS$620.042.1%
+US$555.4m		43.7%PE23.1x
ROST Ross StoresUS$182.740.9%
+US$517.5m		18.5%PE28.3x
BURL Burlington StoresUS$298.392.8%
+US$501.8m		3.2%PE33.1x

Latest News

CVNA
US$400.25
Carvana
7D
-8.7%
1Y
125.9%
W
US$106.56
Wayfair
7D
4.2%
1Y
134.0%
ORLY
US$90.34
O'Reilly Automotive
7D
-2.1%
1Y
12.5%
HD
US$345.82
Home Depot
7D
-1.1%
1Y
-11.1%
PAG
US$158.16
Penske Automotive Group
7D
-4.5%
1Y
5.0%

We Think Penske Automotive Group (NYSE:PAG) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

Dec 31
We Think Penske Automotive Group (NYSE:PAG) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt
GAP
US$25.19
Gap
7D
-3.8%
1Y
4.0%
DKS
US$200.22
DICK'S Sporting Goods
7D
-4.8%
1Y
-12.6%

DKS: Foot Locker Integration Will Drive Long-Term Earnings Power

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for DICK'S Sporting Goods higher to $285 from $273, reflecting expectations for stronger long term revenue growth and an accretive but complex integration of Foot Locker, even as they factor in a higher discount rate and some near term margin pressure. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts acknowledge a mixed backdrop for DICK'S Sporting Goods, with several cutting near term price targets to reflect integration risk and a higher cost of capital, but they broadly reiterate positive views on the company’s structural positioning and long term earnings power.
TJX
US$154.28
TJX Companies
7D
-1.8%
1Y
27.8%

TJX: Q3 Execution And Market Share Gains Will Support Multi Year Outlook

Analysts modestly lifted their price target on TJX Companies to approximately $160 from about $159, citing strong Q3 results, raised multi year guidance, broad based sales momentum across segments, and continued market share opportunities in the off price space. Analyst Commentary Analyst sentiment around TJX remains broadly constructive following the latest Q3 report, with multiple firms lifting price targets across a wide range, from the mid $140s to the low $180s, and reiterating positive ratings on the shares.
BBWI
US$20.74
Bath & Body Works
7D
4.8%
1Y
-45.0%

Bath & Body Works, Inc. (NYSE:BBWI) Stock Catapults 33% Though Its Price And Business Still Lag The Market

Dec 21
Bath & Body Works, Inc. (NYSE:BBWI) Stock Catapults 33% Though Its Price And Business Still Lag The Market
BURL
US$298.39
Burlington Stores
7D
2.8%
1Y
3.2%

BURL: Margin Expansion From New Store Growth Will Drive Future Upside

Analysts have trimmed their average price target on Burlington Stores by roughly $20 to the low $300s, citing tougher near term comparisons, incrementally higher operating and interest costs, and more conservative margin expectations, even as they point to ongoing benefits from unit growth and improving near term trends. Analyst Commentary Analyst reactions to the latest results reflect a mix of confidence in Burlington Stores long term growth algorithm and caution around near term execution risks and margin trajectory.
ULTA
US$620.04
Ulta Beauty
7D
2.1%
1Y
43.7%

ULTA: Margin Recovery Hopes Will Likely Prove Overly Optimistic

Analysts have raised their price target on Ulta Beauty by roughly $62 to approximately $478 per share, citing sustained earnings outperformance, improving growth and margin expectations, and strategic expansion via the Space NK acquisition, despite recent share underperformance. Analyst Commentary While the latest upgrade and higher price targets reflect growing confidence in Ulta Beauty's strategy and earnings power, some bearish analysts remain cautious on the stock's risk reward profile.
CHWY
US$33.49
Chewy
7D
3.1%
1Y
-6.9%

CHWY: Chewy+ Price Hike Will Test Margins And Membership Durability

Analysts have modestly trimmed their price target on Chewy, cutting fair value by about $0.22 per share as they balance slightly softer revenue growth expectations and a higher discount rate against improving profit margin forecasts and the long term upside they see from the successful Chewy+ membership price increase to $79. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts acknowledge that the Chewy+ price increase to $79 underscores healthy early adoption of the membership program and a potentially meaningful incremental revenue stream into FY26.
FIVE
US$193.45
Five Below
7D
1.9%
1Y
99.3%
AZO
US$3,303.82
AutoZone
7D
-4.2%
1Y
1.1%

AZO: Commercial Share Gains Will Drive Strength As Temporary Margin Pressures Recede

Analysts modestly trim their AutoZone fair value estimate to approximately $4,369 from about $4,579, reflecting slightly higher discount rate and lower margin assumptions, even as they highlight resilient same-store sales, ongoing share gains in the do it for me and commercial channels, and largely temporary margin headwinds from LIFO and growth investments. Analyst Commentary Street research remains broadly constructive on AutoZone, with most firms maintaining Buy or equivalent ratings and price targets that cluster around or above the current fair value estimate, even as several modestly trim targets to reflect near term margin pressure and a higher rate environment.
ROST
US$182.74
Ross Stores
7D
0.9%
1Y
18.5%

ROST: Off Price Momentum And Margin Discipline Will Support Balanced Returns Ahead

Analysts have modestly raised their fair value estimate for Ross Stores to about $183 from roughly $178, citing solid Q3 beat and raise performance, improving revenue growth and margins, and a richer anticipated future P/E multiple within an increasingly favored off price retail backdrop. Analyst Commentary Street research following the Q3 print reflects a largely constructive stance on Ross Stores, with several firms lifting price targets into the high $170s to low $180s range and at least one major bank moving above $200, supporting the modest increase in fair value.
LOW
US$246.89
Lowe's Companies
7D
1.0%
1Y
-0.6%

LOW: Pro Segment And Lock-In Effect Will Support Future DemandI updated the title after noticing it did not meet the 7-word minimum.

Analysts have trimmed their blended price target for Lowe's Companies by a few dollars, reflecting slightly higher discount rate assumptions and tempered near term guidance, despite expectations for improving revenue growth, stable margins, and long term demand supported by homeowners' lock in effect and rising home equity. Analyst Commentary Recent Street updates reflect a more nuanced stance on Lowe's, with modestly lower price targets but a generally constructive view on the company’s long term positioning and earnings power.