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U.S. Auto Industry Analysis

UpdatedDec 18, 2025
DataAggregated Company Financials
Companies43
  • 7D3.8%
  • 3M8.8%
  • 1Y8.9%
  • YTD23.1%

In the last week, the Auto industry is up 3.8%, with Tesla up 4.6%. In the same time, XPeng was down 5.7%. This means that the industry has gained 8.9% over the past year. Looking forward, earnings are forecast to grow by 34% annually.

Industry Valuation and Performance

Has the U.S. Auto Industry valuation changed over the past few years?

DateMarket CapRevenueEarningsPEAbsolute PEPS
Thu, 18 Dec 2025US$1.8tUS$536.4bUS$5.2b19.5x339.4x3.3x
Sat, 15 Nov 2025US$1.6tUS$536.1bUS$4.9b17.5x319.2x2.9x
Mon, 13 Oct 2025US$1.6tUS$527.8bUS$5.8b17.3x272.2x3x
Wed, 10 Sep 2025US$1.3tUS$527.8bUS$5.7b18.6x230.1x2.5x
Fri, 08 Aug 2025US$1.2tUS$526.1bUS$6.5b18.2x185.5x2.3x
Sun, 06 Jul 2025US$1.2tUS$527.8bUS$8.6b15.7x139.9x2.3x
Tue, 03 Jun 2025US$1.3tUS$527.3bUS$8.6b8.1x150.3x2.5x
Thu, 01 May 2025US$1.1tUS$528.0bUS$8.5b12.9x126.7x2x
Sat, 29 Mar 2025US$1.1tUS$529.0bUS$9.3b20.3x112.7x2x
Mon, 24 Feb 2025US$1.3tUS$535.1bUS$11.5b17.1x117.6x2.5x
Wed, 22 Jan 2025US$1.6tUS$527.1bUS$17.3b17x93.8x3.1x
Fri, 20 Dec 2024US$1.7tUS$527.1bUS$17.1b20.6x96.9x3.1x
Sun, 17 Nov 2024US$1.3tUS$527.7bUS$16.9b16.1x76x2.4x
Tue, 15 Oct 2024US$961.5bUS$519.5bUS$17.0b18.7x56.7x1.9x
Thu, 12 Sep 2024US$983.0bUS$519.5bUS$17.0b13.7x57.9x1.9x
Sat, 10 Aug 2024US$871.1bUS$517.1bUS$16.4b13.3x53.2x1.7x
Mon, 08 Jul 2024US$1.1tUS$509.5bUS$17.4b17.5x60.8x2.1x
Wed, 05 Jun 2024US$810.5bUS$509.9bUS$17.5b14.3x46.4x1.6x
Fri, 03 May 2024US$828.9bUS$507.8bUS$17.1b17.4x48.4x1.6x
Sun, 31 Mar 2024US$826.7bUS$505.6bUS$18.2b18.7x45.3x1.6x
Tue, 27 Feb 2024US$912.3bUS$504.8bUS$17.5b17.2x52.3x1.8x
Thu, 25 Jan 2024US$908.6bUS$498.4bUS$13.8b15.8x65.7x1.8x
Sat, 23 Dec 2023US$1.1tUS$498.5bUS$13.8b16.7x78.2x2.2x
Mon, 20 Nov 2023US$1.0tUS$499.0bUS$14.0b11.8x71.8x2x
Wed, 18 Oct 2023US$1.1tUS$484.8bUS$12.8b12.6x83.3x2.2x
Fri, 15 Sep 2023US$1.1tUS$486.0bUS$13.0b10.8x87.8x2.4x
Sun, 13 Aug 2023US$1.1tUS$486.8bUS$14.1b11x74.6x2.2x
Tue, 11 Jul 2023US$1.2tUS$461.4bUS$11.0b9.8x105.3x2.5x
Thu, 08 Jun 2023US$956.9bUS$461.9bUS$11.5b8.9x83.5x2.1x
Sat, 06 May 2023US$777.6bUS$462.9bUS$11.6b6.2x66.9x1.7x
Mon, 03 Apr 2023US$907.6bUS$446.8bUS$7.1b6.6x128.6x2x
Wed, 01 Mar 2023US$913.2bUS$449.5bUS$6.8b9.4x134.2x2x
Fri, 27 Jan 2023US$774.6bUS$432.6bUS$17.1b7.5x45.3x1.8x
Sun, 25 Dec 2022US$627.1bUS$425.3bUS$16.4b7x38.2x1.5x
Price to Earnings Ratio

38.2x


Total Market Cap: US$627.1bTotal Earnings: US$16.4bTotal Revenue: US$425.3bTotal Market Cap vs Earnings and Revenue0%0%0%
U.S. Auto Industry Price to Earnings3Y Average 109.8x202320242025
Current Industry PE
  • Investors are optimistic on the American Auto industry, and appear confident in long term growth rates.
  • The industry is trading at a PE ratio of 339x which is higher than its 3-year average PE of 110x.
  • The 3-year average PS ratio of 2.2x is lower than the industry's current PS ratio of 3.3x.
Past Earnings Growth
  • The earnings for companies in the Auto industry have declined 32% per year over the last three years.
  • Meanwhile revenues for these companies have grown 8.0% per year.
  • This means that although more sales are being generated, either the cost of doing business or the level of investment back into businesses has increased, which has decreased profits.

Industry Trends

Which industries have driven the changes within the U.S. Consumer Discretionary industry?

US Market-2.83%
Consumer Discretionary-1.37%
Auto3.84%
Automobile Manufacturers3.86%
Motorcycle Manufacturers-4.73%
Industry PE
  • Investors are most optimistic about the Automobile Manufacturers industry which is trading above its 3-year average PE ratio of 112x.
    • Analysts are expecting annual earnings growth of 33.6%, which is higher than its past year's earnings decline of 10.5% per year.
  • Investors are most pessimistic about the Motorcycle Manufacturers industry, although it looks like investor sentiment has improved given that it's trading above its 3-year average of 11.6x.
Forecasted Growth
  • Analysts are most optimistic on the Automobile Manufacturers industry, expecting annual earnings growth of 34% over the next 5 years.
  • This is better than its past earnings decline of 11% per year.
  • In contrast, the Motorcycle Manufacturers industry is expected to see its earnings decline by 5.3% per year over the next few years.

Top Stock Gainers and Losers

Which companies have driven the market over the last 7 days?

CompanyLast Price7D1YValuation
TSLA TeslaUS$467.264.6%
+US$67.7b		7.1%PE306x
RIVN Rivian AutomotiveUS$17.637.3%
+US$1.5b		35.0%PS3.7x
VFS VinFast AutoUS$3.414.0%
+US$304.1m		-15.8%PS3.1x
PSNY Polestar Automotive Holding UKUS$12.554.5%
+US$41.6m		-55.4%PS0.4x
WGO Winnebago IndustriesUS$41.403.7%
+US$41.2m		-20.3%PE45.4x

Latest News

WGO
US$41.40
Winnebago Industries
7D
3.7%
1Y
-20.3%
MAMO
US$4.67
Massimo Group
7D
12.3%
1Y
91.4%
THO
US$104.16
THOR Industries
7D
0.3%
1Y
8.2%
ZK
US$26.66
ZEEKR Intelligent Technology Holding
7D
-0.5%
1Y
-2.4%

ZK: Lower Risk Profile Will Support Stronger Future Upside Potential

Narrative Update Analysts have modestly raised their price target on ZEEKR Intelligent Technology Holding by approximately 1.4 percent to an implied fair value of about $32.33, citing a lower perceived discount rate that more than offsets slightly softer revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, alongside a marginally higher future P/E multiple. Valuation Changes The Fair Value Estimate has risen slightly from approximately $31.88 to $32.33, reflecting a modest upward revision in the intrinsic value assessment.
VFS
US$3.41
VinFast Auto
7D
4.0%
1Y
-15.8%

VFS: Electric Bus Expansion Will Support Stronger Long-Term Market Position

Analysts have modestly raised their price target on VinFast Auto, reflecting a slightly higher fair value estimate of approximately 6.36 dollars per share. This change is supported by a lower perceived discount rate and only minor adjustments to long term growth and profitability assumptions.
F
US$13.31
Ford Motor
7D
-0.7%
1Y
37.4%
TSLA
US$467.26
Tesla
7D
4.6%
1Y
7.1%

TSLA: AI And Autonomy Focus Will Deepen Risks From Weakening Core Demand

Analysts have modestly trimmed their Tesla price target to approximately $391 per share, reflecting slightly higher discount rates and marginally lower long term growth and margin assumptions, even as they continue to see meaningful upside from AI, autonomy and energy storage over time. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Tesla reflects a wide dispersion of views, with some firms leaning into the company’s AI and robotics optionality while others remain focused on execution risk in the core auto and capital intensity of the growth agenda.
RIVN
US$17.63
Rivian Automotive
7D
7.3%
1Y
35.0%

RIVN: Expiring EV Incentives Will Pressure Demand And Future Profitability

Analysts modestly raised our Rivian Automotive fair value estimate from $14.83 to $15.75 per share, reflecting a slightly lower discount rate, somewhat softer long term growth and margin assumptions, and a higher expected future P/E multiple, as Street research highlights Rivian's positioning to capture ongoing but more selective electric vehicle demand. Analyst Commentary Street research on Rivian remains divided, with recent target price changes and rating moves underscoring both meaningful upside potential and tangible execution risks.
NIO
US$4.86
NIO
7D
-3.4%
1Y
12.5%
XPEV
US$18.09
XPeng
7D
-5.7%
1Y
42.3%

XPEV AI Robotaxis Will Drive Long Term Mobility Upside

Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for XPeng to about $40.51 from $33.26. This reflects increased confidence in long term profitability and new total addressable market opportunities from AI enabled models, robotaxis, and robotics, despite slightly moderated near term growth assumptions.
HOG
US$21.20
Harley-Davidson
7D
-5.5%
1Y
-30.4%
LI
US$16.15
Li Auto
7D
-5.1%
1Y
-30.8%

LI: Shares Will Recover As Global Expansion Progress Supports Long Term Upside

Analysts have trimmed their price target on Li Auto by roughly $4 per share to about $19. They cite a slightly higher discount rate and lower future valuation multiples, despite stronger long term revenue growth and margin expectations, amid concerns over the company’s uncertain global expansion strategy and intense competition in China’s auto market.
GM
US$80.51
General Motors
7D
-0.4%
1Y
61.1%

GM: Shares Will Reflect Fair Value Amid Tariff Relief And EV Reset

Analysts have modestly lifted our General Motors fair value estimate to approximately $76 per share from about $74 per share, reflecting higher price targets supported by strong Q3 beat and raise dynamics, improving revenue growth expectations, and increased confidence in GM's ability to navigate tariffs and onshoring tailwinds into 2026. Analyst Commentary Street research following GM's Q3 beat and raise has skewed positive, with numerous upward revisions to price targets and earnings estimates.
PSNY
US$12.55
Polestar Automotive Holding UK
7D
4.5%
1Y
-55.4%

PSNY: Expanded Finnish Network And Nasdaq Compliance Window Will Support Long Term Upside

Analysts have adjusted their 12 month price target for Polestar Automotive Holding UK from approximately 11.50 dollars to 11.68 dollars, citing slightly softer long term revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, along with a sharply higher future earnings multiple that together temper near term upside potential. What's in the News Wetteri to open a full service Polestar store in Kuopio, covering sales, maintenance, and spare parts from its Neulalammintie 4 location, with a grand opening slated for November 6, 2025 (client announcement) Full service Polestar representation to be available through Wetteri in both Kuopio and Oulu, strengthening the brand's presence in key Finnish markets (client announcement) Wetteri designated as Polestar's authorised service partner across multiple Finnish cities, including Joensuu, Kajaani, Kemi, Kuusamo, Lempaala, Pori, Rauma, and Ylivieska (client announcement) Polestar Automotive Holding UK PLC receives notice from Nasdaq for non compliance with the 1.00 dollar minimum bid price requirement for its ADSs, triggering a 180 day window, until April 29, 2026, to regain compliance (Nasdaq notice) Failure to regain compliance within the initial period may allow an additional 180 day extension, while Polestar's securities continue trading on Nasdaq provided other listing standards are met (Nasdaq notice) Valuation Changes Fair Value: increased from 1 to 30.00 dollars, implying a substantially higher long term intrinsic value estimate.
LCID
US$11.13
Lucid Group
7D
-13.3%
1Y
-57.7%

LCID: Robotaxi Partnership Will Drive Future Autonomous Expansion Despite Capital Needs

Lucid Group's analyst price target has been revised lower, with recent moves including cuts such as $21 to $17 and $70 to $30, as analysts cite ongoing capital needs despite confidence in the company's technology, product lineup, and long term growth potential. Analyst Commentary Analyst views on Lucid Group have become more nuanced, balancing confidence in the company’s technology and product roadmap with heightened scrutiny of its capital structure and execution risk.
LOT
US$1.38
Lotus Technology
7D
1.5%
1Y
-59.6%