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U.S. Auto Industry Analysis

UpdatedJan 09, 2026
DataAggregated Company Financials
Companies45
  • 7D-2.2%
  • 3M6.8%
  • 1Y12.6%
  • YTD-0.03%

Over the last 7 days, the Auto industry has dropped 2.2%, driven by NIO declining 9.7%. This takes the industry's 12 month performance to a gain of 13%. As for the next few years, earnings are expected to grow by 34% per annum.

Industry Valuation and Performance

Has the U.S. Auto Industry valuation changed over the past few years?

DateMarket CapRevenueEarningsPEAbsolute PEPS
Sat, 10 Jan 2026US$1.7tUS$536.8bUS$5.2b20.2x318.5x3.1x
Mon, 08 Dec 2025US$1.7tUS$536.3bUS$5.2b18.9x334.1x3.2x
Wed, 05 Nov 2025US$1.7tUS$535.1bUS$5.0b17.6x335.4x3.2x
Fri, 03 Oct 2025US$1.7tUS$527.8bUS$5.7b18.5x302.7x3.3x
Sun, 31 Aug 2025US$1.3tUS$527.6bUS$5.7b17.9x222.5x2.4x
Tue, 29 Jul 2025US$1.2tUS$523.8bUS$7.3b15.8x166.3x2.3x
Thu, 26 Jun 2025US$1.3tUS$527.7bUS$8.6b8.3x148.3x2.4x
Sat, 24 May 2025US$1.3tUS$527.3bUS$8.6b8.4x149.2x2.4x
Mon, 21 Apr 2025US$936.6bUS$528.8bUS$9.4b18.2x99.4x1.8x
Wed, 19 Mar 2025US$943.7bUS$528.9bUS$9.5b16.4x98.9x1.8x
Fri, 14 Feb 2025US$1.3tUS$534.5bUS$10.7b17.5x124.8x2.5x
Sun, 12 Jan 2025US$1.5tUS$526.8bUS$17.2b17.2x88.2x2.9x
Tue, 10 Dec 2024US$1.5tUS$527.4bUS$17.1b22x88.1x2.9x
Thu, 07 Nov 2024US$1.1tUS$528.5bUS$16.9b17.4x63.2x2x
Sat, 05 Oct 2024US$1.0tUS$519.6bUS$17.0b19.5x60.7x2x
Mon, 02 Sep 2024US$948.9bUS$518.4bUS$16.8b14.4x56.3x1.8x
Wed, 31 Jul 2024US$986.0bUS$516.4bUS$16.5b12.8x59.9x1.9x
Fri, 28 Jun 2024US$873.3bUS$509.4bUS$17.4b18x50.3x1.7x
Sun, 26 May 2024US$816.7bUS$509.9bUS$17.4b14.4x47x1.6x
Tue, 23 Apr 2024US$711.5bUS$505.5bUS$18.4b16x38.7x1.4x
Thu, 21 Mar 2024US$807.5bUS$505.9bUS$18.2b16.4x44.3x1.6x
Sat, 17 Feb 2024US$897.0bUS$500.7bUS$16.6b16.6x54.1x1.8x
Mon, 15 Jan 2024US$951.6bUS$498.3bUS$13.8b15.7x69.2x1.9x
Wed, 13 Dec 2023US$1.0tUS$498.4bUS$13.8b14.6x73.9x2x
Fri, 10 Nov 2023US$950.5bUS$497.5bUS$14.0b10.5x67.8x1.9x
Sun, 08 Oct 2023US$1.1tUS$484.8bUS$12.8b12.2x84.9x2.2x
Tue, 05 Sep 2023US$1.1tUS$486.1bUS$13.0b11x81.7x2.2x
Thu, 03 Aug 2023US$1.1tUS$483.2bUS$13.5b10.9x82.7x2.3x
Sat, 01 Jul 2023US$1.1tUS$461.3bUS$11.1b9.8x101x2.4x
Mon, 29 May 2023US$856.1bUS$463.8bUS$11.7b5.8x73.4x1.8x
Wed, 26 Apr 2023US$735.2bUS$451.3bUS$6.3b6.5x117.4x1.6x
Fri, 24 Mar 2023US$841.0bUS$446.9bUS$7.0b6.3x120.6x1.9x
Sun, 19 Feb 2023US$939.4bUS$448.4bUS$6.2b9.6x150.3x2.1x
Tue, 17 Jan 2023US$645.8bUS$426.1bUS$15.7b7.6x41.1x1.5x
Price to Earnings Ratio

41.1x


Total Market Cap: US$645.8bTotal Earnings: US$15.7bTotal Revenue: US$426.1bTotal Market Cap vs Earnings and Revenue0%0%0%
U.S. Auto Industry Price to Earnings3Y Average 116.1x202420252026
Current Industry PE
  • Investors are optimistic on the American Auto industry, and appear confident in long term growth rates.
  • The industry is trading at a PE ratio of 319x which is higher than its 3-year average PE of 116x.
  • The 3-year average PS ratio of 2.2x is lower than the industry's current PS ratio of 3.1x.
Past Earnings Growth
  • The earnings for companies in the Auto industry have declined 31% per year over the last three years.
  • Meanwhile revenues for these companies have grown 8.0% per year.
  • This means that although more sales are being generated, either the cost of doing business or the level of investment back into businesses has increased, which has decreased profits.

Industry Trends

Which industries have driven the changes within the U.S. Consumer Discretionary industry?

US Market1.49%
Consumer Discretionary3.77%
Auto-2.23%
Automobile Manufacturers-2.23%
Motorcycle Manufacturers-4.30%
Industry PE
  • Investors are most optimistic about the Automobile Manufacturers industry which is trading above its 3-year average PE ratio of 118x.
    • Analysts are expecting annual earnings growth of 33.6%, which is higher than its past year's earnings decline of 54.4% per year.
  • Investors are most pessimistic about the Motorcycle Manufacturers industry, although it looks like investor sentiment has improved given that it's trading above its 3-year average of 11.6x.
Forecasted Growth
  • Analysts are most optimistic on the Automobile Manufacturers industry, expecting annual earnings growth of 34% over the next 5 years.
  • This is better than its past earnings decline of 54% per year.
  • In contrast, the Motorcycle Manufacturers industry is expected to see its earnings growth to stay flat over the next few years.

Top Stock Gainers and Losers

Which companies have driven the market over the last 7 days?

CompanyLast Price7D1YValuation
TSLA TeslaUS$445.001.6%
+US$23.0b		12.7%PE291.4x
F Ford MotorUS$14.206.4%
+US$3.4b		47.2%PE12x
GM General MotorsUS$82.872.3%
+US$1.8b		66.2%PE16.2x
THO THOR IndustriesUS$110.014.3%
+US$242.0m		17.9%PE20.6x
VFS VinFast AutoUS$3.431.5%
+US$117.0m		-19.1%PS3.1x

Latest News

LVWR
US$3.00
LiveWire Group
7D
-34.1%
1Y
-33.5%

Risks Still Elevated At These Prices As LiveWire Group, Inc. (NYSE:LVWR) Shares Dive 29%

Jan 09
Risks Still Elevated At These Prices As LiveWire Group, Inc. (NYSE:LVWR) Shares Dive 29%
VFS
US$3.43
VinFast Auto
7D
1.5%
1Y
-19.1%
RIVN
US$19.22
Rivian Automotive
7D
-1.0%
1Y
38.8%

RIVN: Expiring EV Incentives Will Threaten Demand Despite Higher Future Multiple

Narrative Update Analysts have nudged our Rivian Automotive fair value estimate up from $15.75 to about $16.67. They cite a blend of updated Street price targets, modestly higher assumed future P/E, slightly improved long term margin assumptions, and a lower discount rate, even as revenue growth expectations remain broadly similar.
LI
US$16.66
Li Auto
7D
-3.4%
1Y
-25.1%

LI: Future Performance Will Balance Mixed Outlook With Global Expansion Uncertainty

Narrative Update Analysts have trimmed their Li Auto price targets, with one moving to US$25 and another initiating at US$19. This reflects views that recent mixed results, a weaker near term outlook and questions around the global expansion plan warrant more cautious assumptions on growth, margins and future P/E multiples.
XPEV
US$20.02
XPeng
7D
-2.0%
1Y
63.8%
WGO
US$44.43
Winnebago Industries
7D
8.8%
1Y
-4.2%
NIO
US$4.64
NIO
7D
-9.7%
1Y
11.3%

NIO: Chip Licensing And Execution On Delivery Plans Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have trimmed their price targets on NIO, with cuts such as Citi's move to US$6.90 from US$8.60 and BofA's to US$6.70 from US$7.60. They cited weaker Q4 delivery guidance, softer order trends into Q1, and increased competitive pressure.
GM
US$82.87
General Motors
7D
2.3%
1Y
66.2%
TSLA
US$445.00
Tesla
7D
1.6%
1Y
12.7%

TSLA: AI And Robotics Ambitions Will Reshape Long-Term Equity Story

Analysts have raised their Tesla fair value estimate from $500 to $600. They point to updated assumptions for higher revenue growth, wider profit margins, and a lower future P/E multiple, even as recent research still highlights risks around delivery trends, spending plans, and governance.
THO
US$110.01
THOR Industries
7D
4.3%
1Y
17.9%

Estimating The Fair Value Of THOR Industries, Inc. (NYSE:THO)

Dec 31
Estimating The Fair Value Of THOR Industries, Inc. (NYSE:THO)
FLYE
US$7.15
Fly-E Group
7D
-14.1%
1Y
-88.2%
PSNY
US$22.20
Polestar Automotive Holding UK
7D
3.9%
1Y
-33.3%

PSNY: Finnish Expansion Will Support Future Upside Despite Nasdaq Compliance Risk

Analysts have sharply reduced their 12 month price target for Polestar Automotive Holding UK to approximately $8 from about $250. This reflects a reassessment of the company’s long term earnings multiple, despite largely unchanged assumptions for growth, margins, and discount rate.
F
US$14.20
Ford Motor
7D
6.4%
1Y
47.2%
MAMO
US$3.65
Massimo Group
7D
-7.8%
1Y
19.7%
HOG
US$21.43
Harley-Davidson
7D
3.8%
1Y
-22.9%

HOG: New Leadership Will Drive Inventory Clearance And Future Margin Recovery

The analyst price target for Harley-Davidson has edged down by $0.10 as analysts factor in weaker retail demand, ongoing inventory clearance related margin pressure, and mixed views on the pace of recovery despite recent management actions to improve dealer health. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research reflects a divided view on Harley-Davidson's outlook, with some emphasizing operational progress and others highlighting structural headwinds that could weigh on valuation and earnings power.
LOT
US$1.31
Lotus Technology
7D
-7.7%
1Y
-63.0%