A Look At The Intrinsic Value Of Ford Motor Company (NYSE:F)
Dec 02
U.S. Auto Industry Analysis
UpdatedDec 06, 2023
DataAggregated Company Financials
Companies49
- 7D-2.6%
- 3M-6.0%
- 1Y19.9%
- YTD75.4%
Over the last 7 days, the Auto industry has dropped 2.6%, driven by Tesla declining 3.2%. On the other hand General Motors is actually up 13%. This takes the industry's 12 month performance to a gain of 20%. Earnings are forecast to grow by 21% annually.
Industry Valuation and Performance
Has the U.S. Auto Industry valuation changed over the past few years?
| Date | Market Cap | Revenue | Earnings | PE | Absolute PE | PS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed, 06 Dec 2023 | US$1.0t | US$499.1b | US$13.9b | 12x | 72.9x | 2x |
| Fri, 03 Nov 2023 | US$932.1b | US$493.1b | US$13.2b | 10.9x | 70.8x | 1.9x |
| Sun, 01 Oct 2023 | US$1.1t | US$484.8b | US$12.8b | 12.8x | 83.3x | 2.2x |
| Tue, 29 Aug 2023 | US$1.0t | US$486.3b | US$13.5b | 10.5x | 76.5x | 2.1x |
| Thu, 27 Jul 2023 | US$1.1t | US$478.6b | US$12.3b | 10.7x | 93.4x | 2.4x |
| Sat, 24 Jun 2023 | US$1.1t | US$461.4b | US$11.0b | 8.9x | 97.5x | 2.3x |
| Mon, 22 May 2023 | US$809.5b | US$464.5b | US$11.4b | 5.7x | 70.8x | 1.7x |
| Wed, 19 Apr 2023 | US$830.0b | US$446.9b | US$7.0b | 6.6x | 118.2x | 1.9x |
| Fri, 17 Mar 2023 | US$813.5b | US$447.5b | US$7.2b | 7.6x | 113x | 1.8x |
| Sun, 12 Feb 2023 | US$896.0b | US$448.6b | US$6.4b | 9.4x | 139.1x | 2x |
| Tue, 10 Jan 2023 | US$628.8b | US$425.9b | US$16.3b | 7.3x | 38.5x | 1.5x |
| Thu, 08 Dec 2022 | US$823.8b | US$426.1b | US$16.8b | 7.8x | 49x | 1.9x |
| Sat, 05 Nov 2022 | US$917.6b | US$422.0b | US$17.9b | 7.8x | 51.4x | 2.2x |
| Mon, 03 Oct 2022 | US$1.1t | US$394.9b | US$17.8b | 7.1x | 60.9x | 2.8x |
| Wed, 31 Aug 2022 | US$1.2t | US$396.3b | US$17.3b | 8.3x | 68.9x | 3x |
| Fri, 29 Jul 2022 | US$1.2t | US$381.3b | US$18.0b | 8.5x | 65.6x | 3.1x |
| Sun, 26 Jun 2022 | US$1.1t | US$373.9b | US$18.6b | 15.5x | 58.6x | 2.9x |
| Tue, 24 May 2022 | US$983.3b | US$371.4b | US$18.2b | 12.4x | 54.1x | 2.6x |
| Thu, 21 Apr 2022 | US$1.3t | US$360.5b | US$21.6b | 9.6x | 62x | 3.7x |
| Sat, 19 Mar 2022 | US$1.3t | US$358.6b | US$21.8b | 8.1x | 59.6x | 3.6x |
| Mon, 14 Feb 2022 | US$1.3t | US$356.5b | US$24.8b | 9.9x | 52.1x | 3.6x |
| Wed, 12 Jan 2022 | US$1.6t | US$351.2b | US$8.7b | 17.9x | 184.5x | 4.6x |
| Fri, 10 Dec 2021 | US$1.5t | US$350.8b | US$9.6b | 22.6x | 160.9x | 4.4x |
| Sun, 07 Nov 2021 | US$1.7t | US$347.2b | US$11.7b | 26.9x | 143.5x | 4.8x |
| Tue, 05 Oct 2021 | US$1.1t | US$352.0b | US$12.6b | 16.8x | 89.8x | 3.2x |
| Thu, 02 Sep 2021 | US$1.1t | US$350.8b | US$12.5b | 15.2x | 87.1x | 3.1x |
| Sat, 31 Jul 2021 | US$1.1t | US$350.8b | US$12.5b | 16.3x | 85.9x | 3.1x |
| Tue, 04 May 2021 | US$1.0t | US$316.5b | US$11.5b | 28x | 86.7x | 3.2x |
| Fri, 05 Feb 2021 | US$1.1t | US$306.5b | US$4.8b | 55.5x | 226.9x | 3.6x |
Price to Earnings Ratio
205.1x
Current Industry PE
- Investors are pessimistic on the American Auto industry, indicating that they anticipate long term growth rates will be lower than they have historically.
- The industry is trading at a PE ratio of 72.9x which is lower than its 3-year average PE of 85.8x.
- The 3-year average PS ratio of 2.8x is higher than the industry's current PS ratio of 2.0x.
Past Earnings Growth
- The earnings for companies in the Auto industry have grown 43% per year over the last three years.
- Revenues for these companies have grown 18% per year.
- This means that more sales are being generated by these companies overall, and subsequently their profits are increasing too.
Industry Trends
Which industries have driven the changes within the U.S. Consumer Discretionary industry?
| US Market | 0.56% | |
| Consumer Discretionary | 0.10% | |
| Auto | -2.56% | |
| Motorcycle Manufacturers | 0.21% | |
| Automobile Manufacturers | -2.58% | |
Industry PE
- Investors are most optimistic about the Automobile Manufacturers industry even though it's trading below its 3-year average PE ratio of 96.7x.
- Analysts are expecting annual earnings growth of 20.8%, which is higher than its past year's earnings decline of 17.6% per year.
- Investors are most pessimistic about the Motorcycle Manufacturers industry, which is trading below its 3-year average of 103x.
Forecasted Growth
- Analysts are most optimistic on the Automobile Manufacturers industry, expecting annual earnings growth of 21% over the next 5 years.
- This is better than its past earnings decline of 18% per year.
- In contrast, the Motorcycle Manufacturers industry is expected to see its earnings grow by 4.6% per year over the next few years.
Top Stock Gainers and Losers
Which companies have driven the market over the last 7 days?
| Company | Last Price | 7D | 1Y | Valuation | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GM General Motors | US$32.68 | 13.1% +US$5.2b | -14.0% | PE4.5x | |
| F Ford Motor | US$10.60 | 2.2% +US$920.7m | -20.2% | PE6.9x | |
| NIO NIO | US$7.43 | 3.1% +US$391.3m | -43.9% | PS1.7x | |
| THO THOR Industries | US$103.00 | 3.1% +US$165.7m | 22.6% | PE14.7x | |
| PSNY Polestar Automotive Holding UK | US$2.14 | 2.9% +US$126.6m | -62.3% | PS1.6x |
