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U.S. Auto Industry Analysis

UpdatedMar 16, 2026
DataAggregated Company Financials
Companies44
  • 7D-1.4%
  • 3M-16.8%
  • 1Y48.8%
  • YTD-10.6%

Over the last 7 days, the Auto industry has dropped 1.4%, driven by Tesla declining 0.8%. On the other hand NIO is actually up 22%. This takes the industry's 12 month performance to a gain of 49%. As for the next few years, earnings are expected to grow by 35% per annum.

Industry Valuation and Performance

Has the U.S. Auto Industry valuation changed over the past few years?

DateMarket CapRevenueEarningsPEAbsolute PEPS
Wed, 18 Mar 2026US$1.7tUS$531.5b-US$10,778,149,339.4623.4x-154.2x3.1x
Fri, 13 Feb 2026US$1.8tUS$531.6b-US$10,780,127,596.3025.5x-168.5x3.4x
Sun, 11 Jan 2026US$1.7tUS$536.9bUS$5.2b20.6x327.7x3.2x
Tue, 09 Dec 2025US$1.7tUS$536.3bUS$5.2b19.5x334x3.2x
Thu, 06 Nov 2025US$1.7tUS$535.1bUS$5.0b17.9x334.5x3.1x
Sat, 04 Oct 2025US$1.7tUS$527.8bUS$5.7b19x288.7x3.1x
Mon, 01 Sep 2025US$1.3tUS$527.6bUS$5.7b17.9x222.5x2.4x
Wed, 30 Jul 2025US$1.2tUS$523.8bUS$7.3b15.8x170x2.4x
Fri, 27 Jun 2025US$1.2tUS$527.8bUS$8.6b8.4x143.2x2.3x
Sun, 25 May 2025US$1.3tUS$527.3bUS$8.6b8.4x148.3x2.4x
Tue, 22 Apr 2025US$936.6bUS$528.8bUS$9.4b18.1x99.5x1.8x
Thu, 20 Mar 2025US$903.1bUS$528.9bUS$9.5b15.8x94.6x1.7x
Sat, 15 Feb 2025US$1.4tUS$534.6bUS$10.7b17.7x131x2.6x
Mon, 13 Jan 2025US$1.5tUS$526.8bUS$17.2b17.2x88.2x2.9x
Wed, 11 Dec 2024US$1.5tUS$527.5bUS$17.1b21.6x88.5x2.9x
Fri, 08 Nov 2024US$1.2tUS$528.7bUS$16.9b17.9x70.4x2.2x
Sun, 06 Oct 2024US$1.1tUS$519.6bUS$17.0b19.5x62.6x2x
Tue, 03 Sep 2024US$948.9bUS$518.3bUS$16.9b14.4x56.3x1.8x
Thu, 01 Aug 2024US$986.2bUS$516.5bUS$16.6b13.3x59.6x1.9x
Sat, 29 Jun 2024US$874.8bUS$509.4bUS$17.4b18.3x50.4x1.7x
Mon, 27 May 2024US$816.7bUS$509.9bUS$17.4b14.4x47x1.6x
Wed, 24 Apr 2024US$713.3bUS$508.6bUS$19.0b15.8x37.6x1.4x
Fri, 22 Mar 2024US$827.0bUS$505.7bUS$18.2b17.5x45.6x1.6x
Sun, 18 Feb 2024US$895.6bUS$500.7bUS$16.6b16.6x54x1.8x
Tue, 16 Jan 2024US$951.6bUS$498.4bUS$13.7b15.7x69.2x1.9x
Thu, 14 Dec 2023US$1.0tUS$498.5bUS$13.8b14.9x73.8x2x
Sat, 11 Nov 2023US$908.6bUS$497.5bUS$14.0b10.7x64.8x1.8x
Mon, 09 Oct 2023US$1.1tUS$484.8bUS$12.8b12.2x84.9x2.2x
Wed, 06 Sep 2023US$1.1tUS$486.0bUS$13.0b10.7x83.9x2.3x
Fri, 04 Aug 2023US$1.1tUS$483.4bUS$13.6b10.8x83.7x2.3x
Sun, 02 Jul 2023US$1.1tUS$461.3bUS$11.1b9.8x101x2.4x
Tue, 30 May 2023US$856.1bUS$463.8bUS$11.7b5.8x73.4x1.8x
Thu, 27 Apr 2023US$712.3bUS$455.3bUS$6.6b6.3x107.2x1.6x
Sat, 25 Mar 2023US$834.2bUS$446.7bUS$7.0b6.2x119.3x1.9x
Price to Earnings Ratio

119.3x


Total Market Cap: US$834.2bTotal Earnings: US$7.0bTotal Revenue: US$446.7bTotal Market Cap vs Earnings and Revenue0%0%0%
U.S. Auto Industry Price to Earnings3Y Average 120.7x202420252026
Current Industry PE
  • Investors are optimistic on the American Auto industry, and appear confident in long term growth rates.
  • The 3-year average PS ratio of 2.3x is lower than the industry's current PS ratio of 3.1x.
Past Earnings Growth
  • Total earnings for the Auto industry have declined over the last three years, with the industry now making a loss overall.
  • Meanwhile revenues have grown 5.9% per year.
  • This means that although more sales are being generated, either the cost of doing business or the level of investment back into businesses has increased, which has decreased profits.

Industry Trends

Which industries have driven the changes within the U.S. Consumer Discretionary industry?

US Market-2.40%
Consumer Discretionary-2.62%
Auto-1.39%
Automobile Manufacturers-1.39%
Motorcycle Manufacturers-4.05%
Industry PE
  • Investors are most optimistic about the Motorcycle Manufacturers industry which is trading above its 3-year average PE ratio of 12.4x.
    • Analysts are expecting annual earnings growth of 5.8%, which is higher than its past year's earnings decline of 25.6% per year.
Forecasted Growth
  • Analysts are most optimistic on the Automobile Manufacturers industry, expecting annual earnings growth of 35% over the next 5 years.
  • This is better than its past earnings decline of 51% per year.
  • In contrast, the Motorcycle Manufacturers industry is expected to see its earnings grow by 5.8% per year over the next few years.

Top Stock Gainers and Losers

Which companies have driven the market over the last 7 days?

CompanyLast Price7D1YValuation
NIO NIOUS$5.964.6%
+US$657.4m		14.8%PS1.2x
XPEV XPengUS$19.161.5%
+US$276.9m		-15.4%PS1.8x
LI Li AutoUS$17.971.2%
+US$214.3m		-34.9%PE112.3x
TSLA TeslaUS$399.270.009%
+US$131.3m		77.2%PE394.9x
PSNY Polestar Automotive Holding UKUS$17.311.6%
+US$31.7m		-47.5%PS0.8x

Latest News

PSNY
US$17.31
Polestar Automotive Holding UK
7D
1.6%
1Y
-47.5%
VFS
US$2.95
VinFast Auto
7D
-6.3%
1Y
-9.5%
TSLA
US$399.27
Tesla
7D
0.009%
1Y
77.2%

TSLA: AI And Energy Bets Will Confront Auto And Autonomy Execution Risks

Narrative Update: Tesla The updated analyst price target for Tesla shifts slightly to about $422, as analysts factor in modest adjustments to revenue growth, profit margin assumptions, and a somewhat higher discount rate. This comes alongside mixed but generally constructive research that highlights Tesla's role in autonomous driving and energy, while acknowledging execution and cost risks.
NIU
US$2.92
Niu Technologies
7D
-27.5%
1Y
-25.1%
LCID
US$10.32
Lucid Group
7D
0.8%
1Y
-56.1%

LCID: Weaker EV Demand And Cost Cuts Will Extend Profitability Challenges

Analysts have trimmed their blended price target for Lucid Group to $10, citing more conservative expectations for electric vehicle adoption, lower production guidance versus prior expectations, persistent high negative gross margins, additional capital needs, a tougher regulatory backdrop, and tariff uncertainty. At the same time, updated models reflect slightly higher projected revenue growth and a higher future P/E multiple, alongside a modestly lower profit margin outlook.
RIVN
US$15.82
Rivian Automotive
7D
-4.4%
1Y
41.3%
LI
US$17.97
Li Auto
7D
1.2%
1Y
-34.9%
NIO
US$5.96
NIO
7D
4.6%
1Y
14.8%
HOG
US$17.51
Harley-Davidson
7D
-7.4%
1Y
-30.5%

HOG: Product Refresh And Buybacks Will Support Future Brand And Margin Resilience

We are trimming our Harley-Davidson fair value estimate to $22.00 from $23.50, reflecting a series of lower Street price targets and analyst concerns about weak demand, dealer health, profit pressure, and higher implied future P/E expectations. Analyst Commentary Street research has tilted cautious on Harley-Davidson, with several firms reducing price targets and flagging execution and demand risks.
LOT
US$1.11
Lotus Technology
7D
-6.7%
1Y
-29.3%
GM
US$74.04
General Motors
7D
-1.2%
1Y
52.1%

GM: Future Profitability Will Depend On Managing EV Reset Risks

Analysts have lifted their implied fair value estimate for General Motors from $50.54 to $67.50, citing a wave of higher Street price targets that emphasize GM's strong U.S. market share, a shift toward higher margin trucks and SUVs, and expectations for improved profitability reflected in a lower assumed future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on General Motors highlights a wide range of views, with some large firms lifting targets sharply and others signaling more caution.
F
US$11.94
Ford Motor
7D
-2.5%
1Y
20.0%

F: 2026 EV Losses Will Limit Benefits Of Truck And SUV Focus

The analyst price target for Ford has been revised to $17, with analysts citing a more supportive regulatory backdrop, an increased emphasis on higher-margin trucks and SUVs, and expectations for easing Model E losses as key factors supporting the updated view. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Ford centers on how the company balances its traditional strengths in trucks and SUVs with the investment needs and profitability path of its Model E and broader electric vehicle programs.
XPEV
US$19.16
XPeng
7D
1.5%
1Y
-15.4%

XPEV: Global Expansion And AI Vehicle Rollout Will Test Execution And Pricing

XPeng's analyst fair value estimate has inched down by about $0.03 to $17.02, as analysts factor in a series of reduced price targets from several firms alongside mixed views on growth, margins, and upcoming guidance, partially balanced by at least one more optimistic upgrade. Analyst Commentary Recent research has tilted more cautious, with several bearish analysts trimming their price targets on XPeng as they reassess the balance between execution risks and the current valuation.
THO
US$81.20
THOR Industries
7D
-4.1%
1Y
-0.7%
EMPD
US$4.83
Empery Digital
7D
15.3%
1Y
-30.3%
EVTV
US$1.54
Envirotech Vehicles
7D
15.8%
1Y
-38.2%