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U.S. Auto Industry Analysis

UpdatedMar 15, 2026
DataAggregated Company Financials
Companies44
  • 7D-1.2%
  • 3M-16.8%
  • 1Y49.2%
  • YTD-10.6%

Over the last 7 days, the Auto industry has dropped 1.3%, driven by a pullback from Tesla of 1.4%. Meanwhile, NIO actually outperformed within the industry, gaining 23% in the last week. Over the past 12 months, the industry was up 49%. Earnings are forecast to grow by 35% annually.

Industry Valuation and Performance

Has the U.S. Auto Industry valuation changed over the past few years?

DateMarket CapRevenueEarningsPEAbsolute PEPS
Sun, 15 Mar 2026US$1.7tUS$531.5b-US$10,778,149,339.4623.4x-154.2x3.1x
Tue, 10 Feb 2026US$1.8tUS$534.0bUS$2.3b22.9x782.1x3.3x
Thu, 08 Jan 2026US$1.7tUS$536.7bUS$5.2b19.9x319.2x3.1x
Sat, 06 Dec 2025US$1.7tUS$536.3bUS$5.2b18.9x334x3.2x
Mon, 03 Nov 2025US$1.7tUS$535.0bUS$4.8b18.5x363.3x3.2x
Wed, 01 Oct 2025US$1.7tUS$527.8bUS$5.7b18.1x293x3.2x
Fri, 29 Aug 2025US$1.3tUS$527.6bUS$5.7b17.8x231.6x2.5x
Sun, 27 Jul 2025US$1.2tUS$523.9bUS$7.3b15.9x166.4x2.3x
Tue, 24 Jun 2025US$1.3tUS$527.7bUS$8.6b8.5x150.9x2.5x
Thu, 22 May 2025US$1.3tUS$525.9bUS$8.5b8.5x152x2.5x
Sat, 19 Apr 2025US$936.6bUS$528.8bUS$9.4b18.2x99.4x1.8x
Mon, 17 Mar 2025US$979.2bUS$528.4bUS$9.5b15.2x102.6x1.9x
Wed, 12 Feb 2025US$1.4tUS$534.3bUS$10.7b18x128.8x2.6x
Fri, 10 Jan 2025US$1.5tUS$526.8bUS$17.2b16.7x88.4x2.9x
Sun, 08 Dec 2024US$1.5tUS$527.4bUS$17.1b21.5x88.1x2.9x
Tue, 05 Nov 2024US$1.1tUS$528.9bUS$16.8b17.2x62.8x2x
Thu, 03 Oct 2024US$1.1tUS$519.8bUS$17.0b19.5x64.8x2.1x
Sat, 31 Aug 2024US$921.7bUS$518.4bUS$16.8b14.4x54.7x1.8x
Mon, 29 Jul 2024US$947.5bUS$516.4bUS$16.5b13.5x57.5x1.8x
Wed, 26 Jun 2024US$829.3bUS$509.4bUS$17.4b17.5x47.8x1.6x
Fri, 24 May 2024US$821.1bUS$509.9bUS$17.4b14.2x47.3x1.6x
Sun, 21 Apr 2024US$711.5bUS$505.5bUS$18.4b16x38.7x1.4x
Tue, 19 Mar 2024US$813.9bUS$504.8bUS$18.1b15.7x45x1.6x
Thu, 15 Feb 2024US$837.9bUS$500.7bUS$16.6b16.6x50.5x1.7x
Sat, 13 Jan 2024US$951.6bUS$498.3bUS$13.8b15.7x69.2x1.9x
Mon, 11 Dec 2023US$1.0tUS$498.4bUS$13.8b14.7x75.6x2.1x
Wed, 08 Nov 2023US$951.6bUS$493.3bUS$13.2b11x72.3x1.9x
Fri, 06 Oct 2023US$1.1tUS$484.8bUS$12.8b12.3x84.5x2.2x
Sun, 03 Sep 2023US$1.1tUS$486.1bUS$13.0b11x81.7x2.2x
Tue, 01 Aug 2023US$1.2tUS$483.3bUS$13.5b10.9x86.7x2.4x
Thu, 29 Jun 2023US$1.1tUS$461.3bUS$11.1b9.7x98.7x2.4x
Sat, 27 May 2023US$856.1bUS$464.3bUS$11.8b5.8x72.9x1.8x
Mon, 24 Apr 2023US$753.3bUS$451.4bUS$6.2b6.5x120.9x1.7x
Wed, 22 Mar 2023US$861.7bUS$447.0bUS$7.0b6.6x122.4x1.9x
Price to Earnings Ratio

122.4x


Total Market Cap: US$861.7bTotal Earnings: US$7.0bTotal Revenue: US$447.0bTotal Market Cap vs Earnings and Revenue0%0%0%
U.S. Auto Industry Price to Earnings3Y Average 121.5x202420252026
Current Industry PE
  • Investors are optimistic on the American Auto industry, and appear confident in long term growth rates.
  • The 3-year average PS ratio of 2.3x is lower than the industry's current PS ratio of 3.2x.
Past Earnings Growth
  • Total earnings for the Auto industry have declined over the last three years, with the industry now making a loss overall.
  • Meanwhile revenues have grown 5.9% per year.
  • This means that although more sales are being generated, either the cost of doing business or the level of investment back into businesses has increased, which has decreased profits.

Industry Trends

Which industries have driven the changes within the U.S. Consumer Discretionary industry?

US Market-1.62%
Consumer Discretionary-2.57%
Auto-1.24%
Automobile Manufacturers-1.23%
Motorcycle Manufacturers-6.09%
Industry PE
  • Investors are most optimistic about the Motorcycle Manufacturers industry which is trading above its 3-year average PE ratio of 12.4x.
    • Analysts are expecting annual earnings growth of 6.0%, which is higher than its past year's earnings decline of 25.6% per year.
Forecasted Growth
  • Analysts are most optimistic on the Automobile Manufacturers industry, expecting annual earnings growth of 35% over the next 5 years.
  • This is better than its past earnings decline of 51% per year.
  • In contrast, the Motorcycle Manufacturers industry is expected to see its earnings grow by 6.0% per year over the next few years.

Top Stock Gainers and Losers

Which companies have driven the market over the last 7 days?

CompanyLast Price7D1YValuation
NIO NIOUS$5.8622.6%
+US$2.7b		19.6%PS1.2x
XPEV XPengUS$19.9715.3%
+US$2.5b		-15.8%PS1.9x
LI Li AutoUS$17.331.0%
+US$173.5m		-36.9%PE108.5x
LCID Lucid GroupUS$9.901.3%
+US$42.6m		-52.6%PS2.4x
LOT Lotus TechnologyUS$1.131.8%
+US$13.6m		-29.8%PS1.2x

Latest News

LCID
US$9.90
Lucid Group
7D
1.3%
1Y
-52.6%
RIVN
US$14.86
Rivian Automotive
7D
-3.3%
1Y
38.2%
LI
US$17.33
Li Auto
7D
1.0%
1Y
-36.9%
NIO
US$5.86
NIO
7D
22.6%
1Y
19.6%
HOG
US$17.63
Harley-Davidson
7D
-8.2%
1Y
-28.2%

HOG: Product Refresh And Buybacks Will Support Future Brand And Margin Resilience

We are trimming our Harley-Davidson fair value estimate to $22.00 from $23.50, reflecting a series of lower Street price targets and analyst concerns about weak demand, dealer health, profit pressure, and higher implied future P/E expectations. Analyst Commentary Street research has tilted cautious on Harley-Davidson, with several firms reducing price targets and flagging execution and demand risks.
LOT
US$1.13
Lotus Technology
7D
1.8%
1Y
-29.8%
VFS
US$3.10
VinFast Auto
7D
-0.6%
1Y
-5.5%

VFS: 2025 And 2026 Delivery Expansion Will Support Further Upside

Analysts have maintained their VinFast Auto fair value estimate at $6.38 per share. They attribute this to small adjustments in the discount rate, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions rather than a change in their overall view of the stock.
GM
US$72.39
General Motors
7D
-3.7%
1Y
49.8%

GM: Future Profitability Will Depend On Managing EV Reset Risks

Analysts have lifted their implied fair value estimate for General Motors from $50.54 to $67.50, citing a wave of higher Street price targets that emphasize GM's strong U.S. market share, a shift toward higher margin trucks and SUVs, and expectations for improved profitability reflected in a lower assumed future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on General Motors highlights a wide range of views, with some large firms lifting targets sharply and others signaling more caution.
TSLA
US$391.20
Tesla
7D
-1.4%
1Y
56.5%

Tesla will achieve a 392% PE ratio increase according to recent forecasts

Tesla (TSLA) Investment Narrative Tesla is one of the most prominent companies in the global transition toward electric vehicles and sustainable energy. The company designs and manufactures electric vehicles, battery storage systems, and solar energy products.
F
US$11.67
Ford Motor
7D
-4.0%
1Y
19.9%

F: 2026 EV Losses Will Limit Benefits Of Truck And SUV Focus

The analyst price target for Ford has been revised to $17, with analysts citing a more supportive regulatory backdrop, an increased emphasis on higher-margin trucks and SUVs, and expectations for easing Model E losses as key factors supporting the updated view. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Ford centers on how the company balances its traditional strengths in trucks and SUVs with the investment needs and profitability path of its Model E and broader electric vehicle programs.
XPEV
US$19.97
XPeng
7D
15.3%
1Y
-15.8%

XPEV: Global Expansion And AI Vehicle Rollout Will Test Execution And Pricing

XPeng's analyst fair value estimate has inched down by about $0.03 to $17.02, as analysts factor in a series of reduced price targets from several firms alongside mixed views on growth, margins, and upcoming guidance, partially balanced by at least one more optimistic upgrade. Analyst Commentary Recent research has tilted more cautious, with several bearish analysts trimming their price targets on XPeng as they reassess the balance between execution risks and the current valuation.
WGO
US$33.87
Winnebago Industries
7D
-6.7%
1Y
-6.0%
MAMO
US$1.10
Massimo Group
7D
11.4%
1Y
-59.3%
THO
US$82.34
THOR Industries
7D
-4.6%
1Y
2.2%
EMPD
US$4.39
Empery Digital
7D
5.5%
1Y
-37.6%
EVTV
US$1.29
Envirotech Vehicles
7D
-1.5%
1Y
-49.8%