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U.S. Auto Industry Analysis

UpdatedFeb 27, 2026
DataAggregated Company Financials
Companies45
  • 7D-0.6%
  • 3M-4.4%
  • 1Y41.1%
  • YTD-6.2%

Last week, the Auto industry hasn't moved much but Ford Motor is up 4.6% in that time. As for the the longer term, the industry is up 41% over the past 12 months. As for the next few years, earnings are expected to grow by 34% per annum.

Industry Valuation and Performance

Has the U.S. Auto Industry valuation changed over the past few years?

DateMarket CapRevenueEarningsPEAbsolute PEPS
Fri, 27 Feb 2026US$1.8tUS$531.8b-US$11,362,649,732.3624.8x-156.6x3.3x
Sun, 25 Jan 2026US$1.7tUS$536.9bUS$5.2b21.4x328.7x3.2x
Tue, 23 Dec 2025US$1.8tUS$536.5bUS$5.2b19.9x349.5x3.4x
Thu, 20 Nov 2025US$1.5tUS$537.6bUS$5.4b16.1x285.1x2.9x
Sat, 18 Oct 2025US$1.6tUS$527.8bUS$5.7b17.5x283.9x3.1x
Mon, 15 Sep 2025US$1.5tUS$527.8bUS$5.7b18.4x264.7x2.9x
Wed, 13 Aug 2025US$1.3tUS$526.1bUS$5.7b17.9x226.1x2.4x
Fri, 11 Jul 2025US$1.1tUS$527.7bUS$8.6b16x132.5x2.2x
Sun, 08 Jun 2025US$1.1tUS$527.7bUS$8.4b8.4x134.2x2.1x
Tue, 06 May 2025US$1.1tUS$527.6bUS$8.4b14x127.5x2x
Thu, 03 Apr 2025US$1.1tUS$528.9bUS$9.4b20.8x114.9x2x
Sat, 01 Mar 2025US$1.2tUS$534.9bUS$11.5b18.9x104.8x2.2x
Mon, 27 Jan 2025US$1.6tUS$527.3bUS$17.3b17.3x90.1x3x
Wed, 25 Dec 2024US$1.7tUS$527.0bUS$17.1b17.5x102x3.3x
Fri, 22 Nov 2024US$1.4tUS$527.8bUS$17.2b19.2x78.8x2.6x
Sun, 20 Oct 2024US$969.0bUS$519.3bUS$17.0b17.6x57.1x1.9x
Tue, 17 Sep 2024US$979.8bUS$519.7bUS$17.5b13.2x56.1x1.9x
Thu, 15 Aug 2024US$901.0bUS$517.3bUS$16.6b13.1x54.3x1.7x
Sat, 13 Jul 2024US$1.1tUS$509.6bUS$17.4b19.2x60.9x2.1x
Mon, 10 Jun 2024US$812.7bUS$509.7bUS$17.4b15.1x46.7x1.6x
Wed, 08 May 2024US$820.9bUS$507.9bUS$17.2b17.1x47.7x1.6x
Fri, 05 Apr 2024US$809.1bUS$505.7bUS$18.4b18.9x44x1.6x
Sun, 03 Mar 2024US$920.3bUS$504.8bUS$18.0b17.6x51.1x1.8x
Tue, 30 Jan 2024US$825.2bUS$499.1bUS$18.0b16x45.7x1.7x
Thu, 28 Dec 2023US$1.1tUS$498.5bUS$13.8b17x80.5x2.2x
Sat, 25 Nov 2023US$1.0tUS$498.3bUS$13.9b11.9x72.5x2x
Mon, 23 Oct 2023US$916.1bUS$486.3bUS$11.3b12x80.9x1.9x
Wed, 20 Sep 2023US$1.1tUS$486.0bUS$13.0b10.6x86x2.3x
Fri, 18 Aug 2023US$992.8bUS$486.6bUS$13.7b10.6x72.4x2x
Sun, 16 Jul 2023US$1.2tUS$461.7bUS$11.0b10.2x108.9x2.6x
Tue, 13 Jun 2023US$1.1tUS$462.0bUS$11.1b8.7x95.2x2.3x
Thu, 11 May 2023US$774.4bUS$464.8bUS$11.3b6x68.4x1.7x
Sat, 08 Apr 2023US$824.7bUS$446.9bUS$7.1b6.3x116.8x1.8x
Mon, 06 Mar 2023US$886.6bUS$449.0bUS$7.4b9.4x119.4x2x
Price to Earnings Ratio

119.4x


Total Market Cap: US$886.6bTotal Earnings: US$7.4bTotal Revenue: US$449.0bTotal Market Cap vs Earnings and Revenue0%0%0%
U.S. Auto Industry Price to Earnings3Y Average 125.4x202420252026
Current Industry PE
  • Investors are optimistic on the American Auto industry, and appear confident in long term growth rates.
  • The 3-year average PS ratio of 2.3x is lower than the industry's current PS ratio of 3.3x.
Past Earnings Growth
  • Total earnings for the Auto industry have declined over the last three years, with the industry now making a loss overall.
  • Meanwhile revenues have grown 5.8% per year.
  • This means that although more sales are being generated, either the cost of doing business or the level of investment back into businesses has increased, which has decreased profits.

Industry Trends

Which industries have driven the changes within the U.S. Consumer Discretionary industry?

US Market0.58%
Consumer Discretionary0.16%
Auto-0.62%
Automobile Manufacturers-0.61%
Motorcycle Manufacturers-5.91%
Industry PE
  • Investors are most optimistic about the Motorcycle Manufacturers industry which is trading above its 3-year average PE ratio of 12.2x.
    • Analysts are expecting annual earnings growth of 8.7%, which is higher than its past year's earnings decline of 25.6% per year.
Forecasted Growth
  • Analysts are most optimistic on the Automobile Manufacturers industry, expecting annual earnings growth of 34% over the next 5 years.
  • This is better than its past earnings decline of 51% per year.
  • In contrast, the Motorcycle Manufacturers industry is expected to see its earnings grow by 8.7% per year over the next few years.

Top Stock Gainers and Losers

Which companies have driven the market over the last 7 days?

CompanyLast Price7D1YValuation
F Ford MotorUS$14.414.6%
+US$2.5b		55.1%PS0.3x
NIO NIOUS$5.093.2%
+US$404.6m		6.3%PS1.2x
LCID Lucid GroupUS$10.598.6%
+US$309.5m		-52.5%PS2.6x
PSNY Polestar Automotive Holding UKUS$19.339.0%
+US$181.1m		-42.0%PS0.9x
LOT Lotus TechnologyUS$1.155.5%
+US$40.7m		-48.4%PS1.2x

Latest News

GM
US$80.79
General Motors
7D
-0.8%
1Y
69.6%
NIO
US$5.09
NIO
7D
3.2%
1Y
6.3%
TSLA
US$408.58
Tesla
7D
-0.8%
1Y
39.5%
LCID
US$10.59
Lucid Group
7D
8.6%
1Y
-52.5%
HOG
US$18.39
Harley-Davidson
7D
-9.3%
1Y
-30.3%

HOG: Product Refresh And Share Repurchases Will Support Future Margin Stability

The updated analyst price target for Harley-Davidson has been revised to $23.50 from $26.50. This change reflects recent cuts across the Street as analysts factor in a choppy consumer backdrop, softer profit expectations, and adjusted powersports estimates following Q4 results and industry events.
THO
US$97.04
THOR Industries
7D
-14.3%
1Y
-1.2%
VFS
US$3.27
VinFast Auto
7D
0.3%
1Y
-7.6%

VFS: 2025 And 2026 Delivery Expansion Will Support Further Upside

Analysts have made a small upward tweak to their VinFast Auto price target to $6.38 from $6.36, reflecting updated views on the discount rate, profit margin assumptions, and a higher future P/E multiple. What's in the News VinFast Auto issued delivery guidance for 2026, targeting 300,000 global electric vehicle deliveries for the full year.
F
US$14.41
Ford Motor
7D
4.6%
1Y
55.1%

F: 2026 EV Loss Trajectory Will Constrain Margins And Earnings Multiple

Our analyst price target for Ford Motor has increased by $0.75 to reflect higher estimated fair value, a slightly lower discount rate, modestly slower projected revenue declines, improved profit margin assumptions, and a lower future P/E in line with recent target hikes from multiple firms and analyst views that 2026 could be a more predictable year for automakers. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Ford clusters around 2026 as a key year, with several firms adjusting price targets and ratings.
PSNY
US$19.33
Polestar Automotive Holding UK
7D
9.0%
1Y
-42.0%

PSNY: Expanded Model Rollout And Network Buildout Will Support Future Upside

The analyst price target for Polestar Automotive Holding UK has been reduced from $30.00 to $22.50, as analysts factor in lower long term volume guidance, higher perceived capital needs, and questions around the company's autonomy strategy, despite a recent price target increase from Barclays. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates paint a mixed picture for Polestar Automotive Holding UK, with some analysts cutting ratings and delivery expectations while others see enough positives to justify a higher price target.
NIU
US$3.68
Niu Technologies
7D
7.0%
1Y
43.8%

NIU: Refined Assumptions And Earnings Power Will Support Future Share Price Strength

Analysts have reduced their price target for Niu Technologies to $4.65 from $4.70, reflecting updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, the discount rate, and expected future P/E levels. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Trimmed slightly to $4.65 from $4.70.
RIVN
US$15.61
Rivian Automotive
7D
0.1%
1Y
34.6%

RIVN: Higher Fair Value Estimate Will Hinge On Execution Risk

The analyst fair value estimate for Rivian Automotive has been lifted from $19.89 to $25.00, reflecting updated assumptions for faster revenue growth, a slightly lower discount rate, and Street research that views recent Q4 progress and the R2 launch as supportive, despite ongoing concerns about execution and R2 ramp risks. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Rivian Automotive reflects a split view, with some bullish analysts highlighting progress around the Q4 update and the R2 launch, while more cautious voices focus on execution risks, cash burn, and the challenge of scaling without the support of tax credits or a traditional dealer network.
LI
US$17.90
Li Auto
7D
-2.3%
1Y
-43.9%

LI: Future Performance Will Face Rising Downgrade Risk And Mixed Execution

Li Auto's updated analyst price target has been trimmed by about $0.95 as analysts factor in recent downgrades, reduced fair value estimates, a slightly higher discount rate, and adjusted assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E multiples. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Li Auto has tilted more cautious, with several firms cutting price targets and a few moving to outright downgrades.
WGO
US$41.72
Winnebago Industries
7D
-9.2%
1Y
3.5%

WGO: Adjusted Earnings Outlook And Margins Will Support Measured Future Returns

Analysts have nudged their price target on Winnebago Industries higher by $0.92 to reflect slightly adjusted assumptions around fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E, consistent with recent Street research, including a $3 target increase cited at Citi. Analyst Commentary Recent research, including the US$3 target move at Citi, points to a constructive but measured view on Winnebago Industries, with analysts adjusting their models around fair value, discount rates, revenue assumptions, margins and future P/E.
WKHS
US$3.50
Workhorse Group
7D
-4.6%
1Y
n/a
LOT
US$1.15
Lotus Technology
7D
5.5%
1Y
-48.4%
DCX
US$1.92
Digital Currency X Technology
7D
-13.5%
1Y
-99.9%