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U.S. Auto Industry Analysis

UpdatedAug 11, 2026
DataAggregated Company Financials
Companies48
  • 7D2.3%
  • 3M-20.8%
  • 1Y-0.9%
  • YTD-22.4%

The Auto industry is up 2.3% in the last week, with Tesla up 2.7%. The industry has been flat over the past 12 months despite the gain this week. As for the next few years, earnings are expected to grow by 37% per annum.

Industry Valuation and Performance

Has the U.S. Auto Industry valuation changed over the past few years?

DateMarket CapRevenueEarningsPEAbsolute PEPS
Tue, 11 Aug 2026US$1.5tUS$544.8b-US$12,068,827,201.7917x-124.4x2.8x
Thu, 09 Jul 2026US$1.7tUS$539.2b-US$9,826,590,190.2915.1x-170.1x3.1x
Sat, 06 Jun 2026US$1.8tUS$539.5b-US$9,840,470,022.3615.4x-181.6x3.3x
Mon, 04 May 2026US$1.7tUS$538.2b-US$9,592,890,429.4727.9x-173.2x3.1x
Wed, 01 Apr 2026US$1.6tUS$549.9b-US$10,823,575,947.9621.1x-147.1x2.9x
Fri, 27 Feb 2026US$1.8tUS$531.8b-US$11,362,649,732.3624.8x-156.6x3.3x
Sun, 25 Jan 2026US$1.7tUS$536.9bUS$5.2b21.4x328.7x3.2x
Tue, 23 Dec 2025US$1.8tUS$536.5bUS$5.2b19.9x349.5x3.4x
Thu, 20 Nov 2025US$1.5tUS$537.6bUS$5.4b16.1x285.1x2.9x
Sat, 18 Oct 2025US$1.6tUS$527.8bUS$5.7b17.5x283.9x3.1x
Mon, 15 Sep 2025US$1.5tUS$527.8bUS$5.7b18.4x264.7x2.9x
Wed, 13 Aug 2025US$1.3tUS$526.1bUS$5.7b17.9x226.1x2.4x
Fri, 11 Jul 2025US$1.1tUS$527.7bUS$8.6b16x132.5x2.2x
Sun, 08 Jun 2025US$1.1tUS$527.7bUS$8.4b8.4x134.2x2.1x
Tue, 06 May 2025US$1.1tUS$527.6bUS$8.4b14x127.5x2x
Thu, 03 Apr 2025US$1.1tUS$528.9bUS$9.4b20.8x114.9x2x
Sat, 01 Mar 2025US$1.2tUS$534.9bUS$11.5b18.9x104.8x2.2x
Mon, 27 Jan 2025US$1.6tUS$527.3bUS$17.3b17.3x90.1x3x
Wed, 25 Dec 2024US$1.7tUS$527.0bUS$17.1b17.5x102x3.3x
Fri, 22 Nov 2024US$1.4tUS$527.8bUS$17.2b19.2x78.8x2.6x
Sun, 20 Oct 2024US$969.0bUS$519.3bUS$17.0b17.6x57.1x1.9x
Tue, 17 Sep 2024US$979.8bUS$519.7bUS$17.5b13.2x56.1x1.9x
Thu, 15 Aug 2024US$901.0bUS$517.3bUS$16.6b13.1x54.3x1.7x
Sat, 13 Jul 2024US$1.1tUS$509.6bUS$17.4b19.2x60.9x2.1x
Mon, 10 Jun 2024US$812.7bUS$509.7bUS$17.4b15.1x46.7x1.6x
Wed, 08 May 2024US$820.9bUS$507.9bUS$17.2b17.1x47.7x1.6x
Fri, 05 Apr 2024US$809.1bUS$505.7bUS$18.4b18.9x44x1.6x
Sun, 03 Mar 2024US$920.3bUS$504.8bUS$18.0b17.6x51.1x1.8x
Tue, 30 Jan 2024US$825.2bUS$499.1bUS$18.0b16x45.7x1.7x
Thu, 28 Dec 2023US$1.1tUS$498.5bUS$13.8b17x80.5x2.2x
Sat, 25 Nov 2023US$1.0tUS$498.3bUS$13.9b11.9x72.5x2x
Mon, 23 Oct 2023US$916.1bUS$486.3bUS$11.3b12x80.9x1.9x
Wed, 20 Sep 2023US$1.1tUS$486.0bUS$13.0b10.6x86x2.3x
Fri, 18 Aug 2023US$992.8bUS$486.6bUS$13.7b10.6x72.4x2x
Price to Earnings Ratio

72.4x


Total Market Cap: US$992.8bTotal Earnings: US$13.7bTotal Revenue: US$486.6bTotal Market Cap vs Earnings and Revenue0%0%0%
U.S. Auto Industry Price to Earnings3Y Average 86.3x202420252026
Current Industry PE
  • Investors are optimistic on the American Auto industry, and appear confident in long term growth rates.
  • The 3-year average PS ratio of 2.4x is lower than the industry's current PS ratio of 2.8x.
Past Earnings Growth
  • Total earnings for the Auto industry have declined over the last three years, with the industry now making a loss overall.
  • Meanwhile revenues have grown 3.8% per year.
  • This means that although more sales are being generated, either the cost of doing business or the level of investment back into businesses has increased, which has decreased profits.

Industry Trends

Which industries have driven the changes within the U.S. Consumer Discretionary industry?

US Market2.22%
Consumer Discretionary0.29%
Auto2.28%
Automobile Manufacturers2.29%
Motorcycle Manufacturers-2.93%
Industry PE
    Forecasted Growth
    • Analysts are most optimistic on the Automobile Manufacturers industry, expecting annual earnings growth of 37% over the next 5 years.
    • This is better than its past earnings decline of 8.7% per year.
    • In contrast, the Motorcycle Manufacturers industry is expected to see its earnings grow by 18% per year over the next few years.

    Top Stock Gainers and Losers

    Which companies have driven the market over the last 7 days?

    CompanyLast Price7D1YValuation
    		TSLA TeslaUS$330.882.7%
    +US$34.8b    		-2.4%PE343.4x
    		RIVN Rivian AutomotiveUS$16.396.7%
    +US$1.5b    		37.4%PS4x
    		GM General MotorsUS$87.960.3%
    +US$245.7m    		62.9%PE41.6x
    		THO THOR IndustriesUS$79.512.6%
    +US$104.1m    		-16.6%PE15.8x
    		VFS VinFast AutoUS$3.190.9%
    +US$70.2m    		-8.3%PS2x

    Latest News

    NIU
    US$2.04
    Niu Technologies
    7D
    -21.1%
    1Y
    -47.1%
    F
    US$14.00
    Ford Motor
    7D
    -3.0%
    1Y
    25.7%
    Narrative Update • Aug 10

    F: Energy Storage Hype Will Increase Future Earnings Delivery Risk

    Ford Motor's analyst fair value estimate has edged up from $11.00 to $11.31, as analysts point to improving profit margin assumptions, a lower future P/E multiple, and growing confidence in energy storage and software driven earnings. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Ford Motor highlights a mix of optimism around energy storage and software, along with ongoing questions about execution, valuation, and the balance between the auto and energy businesses.
    GM
    US$87.96
    General Motors
    7D
    0.3%
    1Y
    62.9%
    RIVN
    US$16.39
    Rivian Automotive
    7D
    6.7%
    1Y
    37.4%
    Seeking Alpha • Aug 09

    Rivian: Successful EV Story With More Cash Burn Ahead - Reiterate Buy

    Summary Strong R2 sales conversion and completed Normal facility upgrading contributed to Rivian's raised FY2026 delivery guidance, with a heavily weighted Q4'26 cadence. The management expects to exit Q4'26 with positive R2 gross margins, with 2027 expected to bring forth improved top/bottom-line metrics. Partnerships with AMZN, VWAGY, and UBER underpin RIVN’s ability to scale production, diversify revenue, and bridge to profitability over the next several years. The recent correction has overly discounted the automaker's top-line growth prospects at a 3Y CAGR of +43.9% at a cheap EV/Sales of 3x. RIVN remains a Buy for the contrarian, attributed to volatility risks through the softer trading months, elevated short interest ratio, and ongoing cash burn. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
    NIO
    US$4.82
    NIO
    7D
    0.2%
    1Y
    -1.8%
    EMPD
    US$2.52
    Empery Digital
    7D
    -12.5%
    1Y
    -75.5%
    XPEV
    US$12.00
    XPeng
    7D
    -3.0%
    1Y
    -43.9%
    TSLA
    US$330.88
    Tesla
    7D
    2.7%
    1Y
    -2.4%
    LVWR
    US$1.13
    LiveWire Group
    7D
    -32.7%
    1Y
    -65.8%
    Seeking Alpha • Aug 05

    One Year Later, LiveWire Remains Extremely Risky

    Summary LiveWire (LVWR) remains highly unprofitable and cash negative, despite increased electric bike sales and a $75M loan from Harley-Davidson. LVWR’s EBITDA margin remains deeply negative, with losses unchanged and no improvement in unit economics or gross margins. With $53M in cash and ~$13M quarterly burn, LVWR faces less than a year of runway absent further financing. I maintain a Hold rating, as LVWR lacks a credible path to profitability or sustainable growth, making valuation secondary to operational viability. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
    LI
    US$12.84
    Li Auto
    7D
    -2.1%
    1Y
    -46.7%
    Narrative Update • Aug 04

    LI: Shares Should Recover As New Chip And Overseas Expansion Execution Improve

    Li Auto's analyst price target has been adjusted lower, with recent cuts from $22 to $18, $18 to $14, and $17.20 to $15.60, reflecting analysts' more cautious views on earnings, profitability, and the new car cycle, despite some expectation for better near term mix and margins. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Li Auto points to a more cautious tone, although there are still areas that some analysts see as constructive for valuation and execution.
    HOG
    US$26.09
    Harley-Davidson
    7D
    3.1%
    1Y
    8.0%
    Narrative Update • Aug 04

    HOG: Back To The Bricks Delivery Risks Will Likely Restrain Future Returns

    Harley-Davidson’s updated analyst price target moves higher, supported by Street research that points to firm specific plans like Back to the Bricks, expectations around new product launches, and recent target increases from $15 to $17, $27 to $30, and a fresh $32 target as key drivers behind the shift. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Harley-Davidson combines higher price targets with a cautious tone on execution, growth, and valuation risk.
    AIIO
    US$3.18
    Robo.ai
    7D
    7.1%
    1Y
    -87.0%
    Narrative Update • Jul 31

    Robo.ai Appoints Dr. Jasem Al-Mansory as Chief Executive Officer of Its Subsidiary Alif Holding

    The Group is building a management team led by senior UAE executives to oversee its business and corporate governance ABU DHABI, UAE, July 31, 2026 -- Robo.ai Inc. (NASDAQ: AIIO) (the "Company") today announced the appointment of Dr. Jasem Ibrahim Mansour Al-Mansory as Chief Executive Officer of its proposed subsidiary Alif Holding, an Abu Dhabi-headquartered intelligent industrial technology group (the "Group"), effective immediately.
    VFS
    US$3.19
    VinFast Auto
    7D
    0.9%
    1Y
    -8.3%
    PSNY
    US$13.84
    Polestar Automotive Holding UK
    7D
    -4.8%
    1Y
    -56.1%
    LCID
    US$6.61
    Lucid Group
    7D
    -14.2%
    1Y
    -69.8%
    Seeking Alpha • Jul 10

    Lucid: The Q2 Delivery Bounce Is Only Half The Battle

    Summary Lucid Group, Inc. delivered 3,953 EVs in Q2, up ~20% year-over-year, but continues to face significant gross margin challenges. LCID remains deeply unprofitable, losing about $100k per vehicle in Q1, and lacks the scale needed to achieve profitability, for now. Lucid has potential for an upside revaluation if it ramps Gravity SUV production in the second half of the year and narrows its gross losses. Shares trade at a distressed 0.45x price-to-revenue multiple, reflecting ongoing delivery uncertainty and inferior gross margin trajectory versus Rivian. A new delivery forecast is expected with Q2 earnings which could be a positive catalyst for a LCID share price revaluation. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
    THO
    US$79.51
    THOR Industries
    7D
    2.6%
    1Y
    -16.6%