O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY) Stock Overview
Operates as a retailer and supplier of automotive aftermarket parts, tools, supplies, equipment, and accessories in the United States, Puerto Rico, Mexico, and Canada. More details
| Snowflake Score | |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 1/6 |
| Future Growth | 2/6 |
| Past Performance | 5/6 |
| Financial Health | 2/6 |
| Dividends | 0/6 |
ORLY Community Fair Values
Create NarrativeSee what 42 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.
Analyst Price Targets
O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. Competitors
Price History & Performance
| Historical stock prices | |
|---|---|
| Current Share Price | US$87.54 |
| 52 Week High | US$108.72 |
| 52 Week Low | US$84.76 |
| Beta | 0.52 |
| 1 Month Change | -4.58% |
| 3 Month Change | -3.97% |
| 1 Year Change | -1.84% |
| 3 Year Change | 40.38% |
| 5 Year Change | 132.42% |
| Change since IPO | 54,470.62% |
Recent News & Updates
Narrative Update • Jun 18
ORLY: Expanded Buybacks And Execution Risks Will Shape Future Stock Returns
Analysts have trimmed the fair value estimate for O'Reilly Automotive stock from $97.40 to $96.00, while a series of recent price target increases across Wall Street reflects continued confidence in its ability to compete effectively and potentially gain market share versus peers. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on O'Reilly Automotive highlight a mix of confidence in the business model and some pockets of caution, particularly when analysts compare it with competitors and assess execution risks around growth and margins.Analysis Article • Jun 16
O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY) Stock Could Be 17.7% Undervalued After Buyback Expansion And Sales Growth
O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY) is back in focus after management expanded its share repurchase authorization by US$2.0b to US$31.75b and extended the program, alongside 8.1% Q1 2026 same-store sales growth. See our latest analysis for O'Reilly Automotive. Despite the extended buyback and steady same store sales performance, O'Reilly Automotive's 1 year total shareholder return of 2.43% and 5 year total shareholder return of 147.51% contrast with more muted short term share price moves around the...Narrative Update • Jun 03
ORLY: Expanded Buybacks And Tactical Rating Shift Will Support Bullish Thesis
The analyst fair value estimate for O'Reilly Automotive has been revised from $84.67 to $97.40, as analysts point to higher assumed profit margins, a modest adjustment to revenue growth expectations, a slightly lower discount rate, and updated future P/E assumptions supported by a wave of recent price target increases across the sector. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around O'Reilly Automotive has been active, with multiple firms adjusting price targets across the auto parts retail group.Seeking Alpha • May 28
O'Reilly Is The Clear Winner In Auto Parts Right Now
Summary O'Reilly Automotive delivered a standout Q1, posting 8.1% comps and 16% EPS growth, outpacing major competitors. Guidance remains conservative despite strong trends, with management citing caution over consumer spending and fuel price volatility. ORLY is gaining significant market share, outperforming peers by approximately 5 percentage points in comparable sales. I maintain a Buy rating and $107 price target, seeing potential for guidance and stock upside as SG&A improves and DIY demand rises. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update • May 12
ORLY: Store Expansion And Buybacks Will Support Future Repricing Potential
Analysts have nudged their price targets on O'Reilly Automotive higher, reflected in a fair value estimate moving from about $105.72 to roughly $109.70. They cite a series of recent target increases across Wall Street firms despite only modest adjustments to growth, margin and P/E assumptions.Recent updates
Narrative Update • Jun 18
ORLY: Expanded Buybacks And Execution Risks Will Shape Future Stock Returns
Analysts have trimmed the fair value estimate for O'Reilly Automotive stock from $97.40 to $96.00, while a series of recent price target increases across Wall Street reflects continued confidence in its ability to compete effectively and potentially gain market share versus peers. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on O'Reilly Automotive highlight a mix of confidence in the business model and some pockets of caution, particularly when analysts compare it with competitors and assess execution risks around growth and margins.Analysis Article • Jun 16
O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY) Stock Could Be 17.7% Undervalued After Buyback Expansion And Sales Growth
O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY) is back in focus after management expanded its share repurchase authorization by US$2.0b to US$31.75b and extended the program, alongside 8.1% Q1 2026 same-store sales growth. See our latest analysis for O'Reilly Automotive. Despite the extended buyback and steady same store sales performance, O'Reilly Automotive's 1 year total shareholder return of 2.43% and 5 year total shareholder return of 147.51% contrast with more muted short term share price moves around the...Narrative Update • Jun 03
ORLY: Expanded Buybacks And Tactical Rating Shift Will Support Bullish Thesis
The analyst fair value estimate for O'Reilly Automotive has been revised from $84.67 to $97.40, as analysts point to higher assumed profit margins, a modest adjustment to revenue growth expectations, a slightly lower discount rate, and updated future P/E assumptions supported by a wave of recent price target increases across the sector. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around O'Reilly Automotive has been active, with multiple firms adjusting price targets across the auto parts retail group.Seeking Alpha • May 28
O'Reilly Is The Clear Winner In Auto Parts Right Now
Summary O'Reilly Automotive delivered a standout Q1, posting 8.1% comps and 16% EPS growth, outpacing major competitors. Guidance remains conservative despite strong trends, with management citing caution over consumer spending and fuel price volatility. ORLY is gaining significant market share, outperforming peers by approximately 5 percentage points in comparable sales. I maintain a Buy rating and $107 price target, seeing potential for guidance and stock upside as SG&A improves and DIY demand rises. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaNarrative Update • May 12
ORLY: Store Expansion And Buybacks Will Support Future Repricing Potential
Analysts have nudged their price targets on O'Reilly Automotive higher, reflected in a fair value estimate moving from about $105.72 to roughly $109.70. They cite a series of recent target increases across Wall Street firms despite only modest adjustments to growth, margin and P/E assumptions.Narrative Update • Apr 28
ORLY: Tactical Rating Shift And Buybacks May Test Current Share Pricing
Analysts made a modest upward adjustment to the price target for O'Reilly Automotive, adding roughly $0.01 per share. They factored in recent research that reflects slightly updated views on growth, profitability, and valuation, following a mix of target hikes, trims, and list changes across major firms.Narrative Update • Apr 13
ORLY: Cautious Store Expansion And Margins May Challenge Current Share Pricing
Analysts have adjusted the updated price target for O'Reilly Automotive to $84.66 from $67.20, reflecting revised assumptions around fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E in light of mixed recent research that includes both small target cuts and one modest $5 increase. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on O'Reilly Automotive has leaned cautious, with several bearish analysts revisiting ratings and price targets.
Narrative Update • Mar 30
ORLY: Margin Resilience And Buybacks Will Support Future Upside Returns
Analysts have lowered the price target for O'Reilly Automotive to $115 from $125. This change reflects a reset in expectations after the stock was removed from a high conviction list and several firms modestly reduced their targets, while still citing supportive profit margin and revenue growth assumptions.Narrative Update • Mar 16
ORLY: Store Expansion And Buybacks Will Support Future Upside Potential
Analysts have trimmed their price targets on O'Reilly Automotive by a few dollars, reflecting slightly adjusted assumptions on discount rate and future P/E, while keeping fair value essentially unchanged at $105.72. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on O'Reilly Automotive centers on modest price target cuts and one downgrade, with most reports pointing to fine tuning of assumptions rather than a wholesale reset of the story.Narrative Update • Mar 02
ORLY: Store Expansion And Buybacks Will Support Attractive Future Risk Reward
Narrative Update on O'Reilly Automotive The analyst price target for O'Reilly Automotive has been trimmed by a few dollars, reflecting a modest reset in valuation multiples such as future P/E following recent research updates from several firms. However, underlying fair value inputs like growth and margins remain essentially unchanged.Narrative Update • Feb 16
ORLY: Steady Execution And Buybacks Expected To Support Balanced Risk Reward
Analysts have trimmed their price targets for O'Reilly Automotive, and our fair value estimate has edged down by about $4 to $105.72. They cite recent cuts from multiple research firms, even as they factor in relatively steady assumptions on growth, margins, and future P/E.Analysis Article • Feb 07
O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. (NASDAQ:ORLY) Yearly Results: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For This Year
Last week, you might have seen that O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. ( NASDAQ:ORLY ) released its full-year result to the...Narrative Update • Feb 02
ORLY: Pricing Tailwinds And Expanded Buybacks Will Support Future Returns
Narrative Update Analysts have nudged their price target on O'Reilly Automotive slightly higher by US$1. This reflects updated assumptions around discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E, supported by recent research that cites pricing tailwinds and a cleaner earnings backdrop.Narrative Update • Jan 19
ORLY: Pricing Tailwinds And Expanded Buybacks Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have trimmed their price target on O'Reilly Automotive by $5, citing slightly higher discount rate and P/E assumptions, along with recent Street research that includes a modest target cut at Morgan Stanley and an upgrade with supportive pricing commentary at Raymond James. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are highlighting a constructive setup for O'Reilly Automotive, pointing to recent research that balances a modest price target trim against more optimistic rating changes and commentary on pricing.Narrative Update • Jan 04
ORLY: Pricing Tailwinds And Buybacks Will Support Upside Opportunity
Analysts have raised their price target on O'Reilly Automotive to $125 from $113, citing a clean recent earnings report, an attractive entry point after the stock's pullback, and expectations for pricing tailwinds to support comparable sales growth into 2025 and early 2026. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts have highlighted that the recent upgrade and higher price targets reflect growing confidence in O'Reilly Automotive's execution and long term growth prospects.Narrative Update • Dec 14
ORLY: Pricing Tailwinds Are Expected To Drive Comp Momentum And Share Gains
Analysts have modestly increased their price target on O'Reilly Automotive to approximately $110.20 from $110.00, citing a clean Q3 print, attractive valuation after the recent pullback, and expectations for pricing tailwinds and same store sales strength to support sustained growth. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts emphasize that the recent pullback has created an appealing entry point, particularly after a solid Q3 performance that reinforced confidence in the company’s operational execution and earnings durability.Narrative Update • Nov 28
ORLY: Pricing Tailwinds And Supply Chain Improvements Will Support Share Gains Into 2025
Analysts have raised their price targets for O'Reilly Automotive, with new estimates ranging from $120 to $125. They attribute the upward revision to a "clean" quarterly report, attractive valuation after a recent pullback, and expectations for continued same-store-sales growth driven by pricing and improved industry trends.Narrative Update • Nov 14
ORLY: Strengthening Supply Chain Will Support Share Gains Into 2025
O'Reilly Automotive's analyst price target increased from $115 to a range between $120 and $125, as analysts cite improving same-store sales, sustained pricing tailwinds, and ongoing strength in the company's supply chain and consumer base as key drivers for the upward revision. Analyst Commentary Analyst sentiment on O'Reilly Automotive has recently tilted positive, reflecting the company's operational momentum and sector position.Narrative Update • Oct 31
ORLY: Improving Supply Chain Will Drive Resilient Same-Store Sales Strength
O'Reilly Automotive's fair value estimate has increased from $108.78 to $110.13 per share. Analysts point to improved profit margins, a resilient consumer, and ongoing operational strengths supporting recent upward adjustments in price targets.Narrative Update • Oct 16
Inventory Improvements And Store Expansions Will Boost Retail Presence
O'Reilly Automotive's analyst price target has increased from approximately $107.55 to $108.78 per share. Analysts point to resilient consumer dynamics, ongoing supply chain improvements, and margin stability as drivers of incremental upside.Narrative Update • Sep 16
Inventory Improvements And Store Expansions Will Boost Retail Presence
O’Reilly Automotive’s consensus price target saw a modest upward revision, as analysts point to strong EPS growth, consistent profitability, robust Q2 comps and margins, supply chain execution, and successful cost pass-throughs as key drivers, with the fair value estimate rising slightly from $106.95 to $107.55. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cite continued strong EPS growth projections (9%-10% over two years) and a consistent track record of profitability and technical outperformance.Seeking Alpha • Feb 14
O'Reilly Automotive: Valuation Is Too Expensive For Me
Summary I maintain a hold rating for O'Reilly Automotive due to its expensive valuation at 29.5x forward earnings, despite strong fundamentals. ORLY's 4Q24 results showed solid performance with 4.4% comps growth and $4.1 billion in revenue, but EPS missed consensus due to a one-time charge. Industry tailwinds, such as the increasing complexity of car repairs, support demand for ORLY's DIFM services, which grew faster than DIY sales. ORLY's increased capex investment in distribution infrastructure and company-owned stores is crucial for long-term growth, but the current valuation limits upside potential. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Feb 07
O'Reilly Automotive: Three Weaknesses In 2025 Outlook
Summary O'Reilly Automotive's Q4 financials showed good 4.4% comparable sales growth and consistent underlying profitability, being positive after prior quarters showed more severe industry pressures. O'Reilly's 2025 outlook has three weak points, adding short- to mid-term uncertainty and pressuring cash flow expectations. As the stock has continued to rise, I now estimate -16% downside to a fair value of $1118. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Oct 06
O'Reilly Automotive Looks Vulnerable
Summary I’m placing a sell rating on O’Reilly Automotive (ORLY) due to high valuation amidst deteriorating fundamentals and weakening momentum. Despite strong seasonality in October and November, the stock faces resistance with higher prices but lower momentum, signaling potential consolidation or selling. Earnings estimates show consistent downward revisions, with margins deteriorating and share repurchases insufficient to meet projected EPS growth. The forward P/E ratio at ~27X is historically high, making the stock overvalued and vulnerable until earnings growth or valuation improves. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jul 28
O'Reilly Automotive's Q2: Gaining Market Share In A Tough Environment (Rating Downgrade)
Summary O'Reilly Automotive Inc. slightly missed expectations in its Q2 results but outperformed its competitors and continues gaining market share. Despite margin decrease due to acquisitions and changing revenue composition, inventory turnover improved, and store growth remains on track. Share buybacks accelerated in Q2 due to a temporary decrease in valuation multiples. The company adjusted its guidance for 2024, reducing same-store revenue growth, margins and EPS. The average age of U.S. vehicles is hitting new highs, and despite lowering my fair price for the stock, I rate O'Reilly as a buy given its defensiveness and superior business model. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jul 05
O'Reilly Automotive: Industry Weakness May Provide A Buying Opportunity
Summary O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. showed stable performance in Q1, but shares didn't appreciate the result due to a weaker-than-expected profitability in the quarter and 2024 guidance. The industry is expected to show weakness as companies are showing slower comparable sales. O'Reilly Automotive has also seen pressured 2024 forecasts as adverse short-term industry dynamics weigh on the stock. If further weakness pushes O'Reilly Automotive's earnings and stock down further, a great buying opportunity could emerge. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Apr 29
O'Reilly Automotive: Initiate Hold Rating As Valuation Is Not Cheap
Summary Hold rating recommended for O'Reilly Automotive stock due to limited upside in share price. O'Reilly benefits from its competitive advantage of scale, allowing for better pricing and wider assortment of products. The company is positioned to benefit from the current high interest rate environment, but valuation already reflects potential upside. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Apr 19
Forget EVs: Compound Your Returns With O'Reilly Automotive
Summary I am skeptical about investing in the EV market due to its risk profile and high degree of unpredictability. Aftermarket parts specialty retailers such as O'Reilly Automotive, though, offer a sustainable path for investors to compound their capital in the auto industry. The company seems well-positioned to sustain its outstanding sales growth, improving unit economics, and aggressive buyback track record. Thus, the stock forms a compelling investment case against the highly unpredictable EV stocks, prompting me to keep adding to my position. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Feb 24
O'Reilly Automotive: Looking At Mexico And Canada For Future Growth
Summary O'Reilly has had an impressive financial track record with a revenue CAGR of 12.5% in the past two decades along with great margin expansion & capital-light growth. The company's expansion into Mexico and Canada could potentially provide a great runway of growth for O'Reilly in the long term. The stock's valuation leaves little short-term upside, but O'Reilly could still be a good long-term investment if the capital-light growth strategy continues well. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaShareholder Returns
| ORLY | US Specialty Retail | US Market | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | -3.5% | -2.7% | -2.3% |
| 1Y | -1.8% | 4.6% | 21.2% |
Return vs Industry: ORLY underperformed the US Specialty Retail industry which returned 5.8% over the past year.
Return vs Market: ORLY underperformed the US Market which returned 23.3% over the past year.
Price Volatility
| ORLY volatility | |
|---|---|
| ORLY Average Weekly Movement | 4.0% |
| Specialty Retail Industry Average Movement | 7.5% |
| Market Average Movement | 7.2% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 16.7% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 3.1% |
Stable Share Price: ORLY has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.
Volatility Over Time: ORLY's weekly volatility (4%) has been stable over the past year.
About the Company
| Founded | Employees | CEO | Website |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1957 | 93,072 | Brad Beckham | www.oreillyauto.com |
O'Reilly Automotive, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a retailer and supplier of automotive aftermarket parts, tools, supplies, equipment, and accessories in the United States, Puerto Rico, Mexico, and Canada. The company offers new and remanufactured automotive hard parts and maintenance items, such as alternators, batteries, brake system components, belts, chassis parts, driveline parts, engine parts, fuel pumps, hoses, starters, temperature control, water pumps, antifreeze, appearance products, engine additives, filters, fluids, lighting products, and oil and wiper blades; and accessories, including floor mats, seat covers, and truck accessories. It also provides auto body paint and related materials, automotive tools, and professional service provider service equipment.
O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. Fundamentals Summary
| ORLY fundamental statistics | |
|---|---|
| Market cap | US$70.96b |
| Earnings (TTM) | US$2.60b |
| Revenue (TTM) | US$18.21b |
27.9x
P/E Ratio4.0x
P/S RatioIs ORLY overvalued?
See Fair Value and valuation analysisEarnings & Revenue
| ORLY income statement (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Revenue | US$18.21b |
| Cost of Revenue | US$8.81b |
| Gross Profit | US$9.40b |
| Other Expenses | US$6.80b |
| Earnings | US$2.60b |
Last Reported Earnings
Mar 31, 2026
Next Earnings Date
n/a
| Earnings per share (EPS) | 3.14 |
| Gross Margin | 51.63% |
| Net Profit Margin | 14.30% |
| Debt/Equity Ratio | -580.6% |
How did ORLY perform over the long term?
See historical performance and comparisonCompany Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/06/23 11:17 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/06/23 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. is covered by 49 analysts. 25 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Craig Kennison | Baird |
| Justin Kleber | Baird |
| Alan Rifkin | Barclays |