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Alibaba Group Holding LimitedNYSE:BABA Stock Report

Market Cap US$293.1b
Share Price
US$131.88
US$189.08
30.3% undervalued intrinsic discount
1Y9.4%
7D0.1%
Portfolio Value
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Alibaba Group Holding Limited

NYSE:BABA Stock Report

Market Cap: US$293.1b

Alibaba Group Holding (BABA) Stock Overview

Through its subsidiaries, provides technology infrastructure and marketing reach to help merchants, brands, retailers, and other businesses to engage with their users and customers in the People's Republic of China and internationally. More details

BABA fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation6/6
Future Growth1/6
Past Performance2/6
Financial Health5/6
Dividends1/6

BABA Community Fair Values

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Alibaba Group Holding Limited Competitors

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for Alibaba Group Holding
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceUS$131.88
52 Week HighUS$192.67
52 Week LowUS$103.71
Beta0.49
1 Month Change5.12%
3 Month Change-22.22%
1 Year Change9.42%
3 Year Change59.87%
5 Year Change-41.75%
Change since IPO40.46%

Recent News & Updates

Recent updates

Alibaba's AI Engine Is Powering A Still Undervalued Comeback

Apr 25

BABA: Agentic AI And Chip Access Will Drive Future Cloud Monetization

The analyst price target for Alibaba Group Holding has been trimmed by about $1 in response to recent Street research, which reflects slightly lower assumed profit margins and a modestly higher discount rate, while revenue growth expectations and future P/E inputs have been adjusted only marginally. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Alibaba shows a mix of optimism and caution, with several firms adjusting price targets and ratings in different directions.

BABA: AI Agents And Chips Will Drive Future Cloud Monetization

Alibaba Group Holding's fair value estimate has been adjusted slightly higher to about $189.70 per share, as analysts factor in updated assumptions on growth, margins, and future P/E, while also incorporating a recent wave of mixed price target changes across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Alibaba Group Holding points to a split view, with several firms revising price targets and ratings while reassessing execution, growth priorities, and balance sheet trends.

BABA: AI Cloud And Chip Investments Will Drive Future Earnings Power

The updated analyst price target for Alibaba Group Holding edges lower to reflect slightly softer margin assumptions and a reduced fair value estimate of about $190. Analysts are balancing optimism around higher modeled revenue growth and a modestly higher future P/E with recent target cuts and downgrades across several research desks.

BABA: AI Cloud And Chip Investments Will Support Long Term Upside

The analyst price target for Alibaba Group Holding has inched higher to $199.61 from $198.28, with analysts pointing to Alibaba's focus on AI driven cloud monetization, its inclusion on a major APAC conviction list, and ongoing debates around margins and capital intensity as key factors shaping their updated view. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Alibaba highlights a split view, with some firms adding the stock to high conviction lists while others move to more cautious ratings.

Alibaba Group Holding Ltd (BABA): The Value Rebound – Scaling AI Clouds Amidst a Global Trade Reset

Alibaba (BABA) is currently one of the most debated "deep value" plays in the global tech sector as it enters March 2026. As of the February 27 close, the stock is trading at $144.11 , a significant recovery from its 2024–2025 lows but still well below its historical peaks.

BABA: AI Cloud Monetization And Chips Will Support Long Term Upside

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Alibaba Group Holding slightly higher to about $198 per share. This reflects updated assumptions for AI focused cloud investment, modest tweaks to revenue growth and profit margin expectations, and a mix of recent rating downgrades and upgrades that highlight both rising capital intensity and ongoing monetization efforts.

BABA: AI And Cloud Expansion Will Drive Future Earnings Power

Analysts have nudged their price target framework for Alibaba Group Holding slightly higher to about $198 per share, reflecting updated assumptions that include modestly adjusted revenue growth, profit margin expectations, discount rate and future P/E, informed by mixed but generally constructive recent analyst commentary on the stock. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Alibaba reflects a mix of optimism and caution, with analysts reassessing both growth drivers and execution risks across the cloud and core retail businesses.

BABA: Cloud And AI Execution Will Drive Stronger Long-Term Earnings Power

Alibaba's fair value estimate edges higher to about $196.46, with analysts pointing to stronger modeled cloud and AI demand, along with updated price targets that reflect both rising capital expenditure in cloud and more moderate growth in retail revenue. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Alibaba highlights a split view, with some bullish analysts focusing on cloud and AI execution, while more cautious voices focus on spending levels and retail trends.

BABA: Cloud AI And Consumer Apps Will Build Stronger Long-Term Earnings Power

Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Alibaba Group Holding to $195 from about $198, as slightly higher discount rates, marginally softer long term growth and profit assumptions, and a modestly lower future P/E expectation are weighed against mixed but generally constructive Street price target revisions that reflect both rising cloud investment needs and more measured retail momentum. Analyst Commentary Street research on Alibaba has become more mixed, with both bullish and bearish analysts adjusting their price targets and assumptions in response to recent results, cloud trends, and spending plans.

BABA: Cloud AI Monetization Will Drive Stronger Long-Term Earnings Power

Analysts made a marginal upward revision to their fair value estimate for Alibaba Group Holding to approximately $198 per share, reflecting slightly stronger long term cloud and artificial intelligence monetization prospects that more than offset modestly reduced revenue and profit forecasts tied to quick commerce and customer management headwinds. Analyst Commentary Street research on Alibaba remains broadly constructive, with a series of upward price target revisions anchored in improving cloud and artificial intelligence monetization, partly offset by concerns around near term profitability in quick commerce and customer management revenue.

BABA: Cloud And AI Expansion Will Drive Higher Quality Earnings Ahead

Analysts have nudged our Alibaba fair value estimate slightly higher to approximately $198 per share, reflecting expectations for faster revenue growth driven by strengthening cloud and AI demand. These expectations more than offset modestly lower margin assumptions and a marginally higher discount rate.

BABA: Accelerating Cloud And AI Expansion Will Support Meaningful Medium-Term Upside

Alibaba Group Holding's analyst price target has been raised modestly to approximately $196.83, reflecting growing confidence from analysts as well as broad optimism over accelerating cloud revenue and continued advancements in artificial intelligence offerings. Analyst Commentary Recent research activity on Alibaba Group Holding reveals a blend of optimism around core business strength and innovation, alongside measured caution regarding valuation levels and competitive challenges.

BABA: AI Cloud Momentum Will Drive Sustained Upside Over Coming Quarters

Alibaba Group Holding’s fair value estimate has been raised slightly to $196.82 per share from $195.74. Analysts cite continued momentum in AI-driven cloud revenue growth and expanding valuations across its core businesses.

Cloud, AI And Quick Commerce Expansion Will Drive Next Phase Forward

Alibaba Group Holding's fair value estimate has been raised slightly to $195.74 from $193.43. Analysts cite accelerating cloud and AI-driven growth, along with an improved profit outlook, as key reasons for higher price targets across the Street.

AI, Cloud And Quick Commerce Will Power Digital Progress

Alibaba Group Holding's analyst price target has been raised from approximately $180 to $193, as analysts point to robust progress in AI and cloud segments, improved company guidance, and increasing investor optimism as reasons for the upward revision. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst coverage of Alibaba Group Holding reflects building optimism around the company’s growth trajectory, particularly in its cloud and artificial intelligence businesses.

Alibaba's 5-year outlook points to a fair value of $254-$318 in the market

“Deeply Undervalued Tech Giant” → Reflects Alibaba’s strong fundamentals, scale, and profitability, contrasted with its current price well below intrinsic estimates ($318 fair value, $254 risk-adjusted).

AI, Cloud And Quick Commerce Will Power Digital Progress

Analysts have raised Alibaba’s price target from $165.48 to $179.82, citing accelerating AI cloud demand, robust cloud and e-commerce segment growth, and strengthening new initiatives as key drivers. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are raising cloud revenue and capex forecasts in response to strong traffic and activity observed at Alibaba's Apsara Conference, alongside management’s expectations for a tenfold increase in data center capacity to serve accelerating AI cloud demand.

Alibaba Group Holding Limited's (NYSE:BABA) Shares Climb 33% But Its Business Is Yet to Catch Up

Sep 24
Alibaba Group Holding Limited's (NYSE:BABA) Shares Climb 33% But Its Business Is Yet to Catch Up

AI, Cloud And Quick Commerce Will Power Digital Progress

Analysts have raised Alibaba’s price target to $165.48, citing accelerating cloud and AI-driven revenue growth, improved execution and synergies in quick commerce, margin expansion, and diversification into new verticals, all underpinning stronger long-term fundamentals. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cite accelerating cloud revenue growth, particularly with robust AI-related and external revenue contributions, solidifying Alibaba’s position as China’s leading GenAI and cloud infrastructure provider.

Alibaba Group Holding's (NYSE:BABA) Shareholders Will Receive A Bigger Dividend Than Last Year

Jun 02
Alibaba Group Holding's (NYSE:BABA) Shareholders Will Receive A Bigger Dividend Than Last Year
User avatar

Alibaba's Fair Value may Suggests Growth Despite Trade and Regulatory Risks but...

Base FCF: $15B (normalized annual free cash flow)

Investors Still Aren't Entirely Convinced By Alibaba Group Holding Limited's (NYSE:BABA) Earnings Despite 27% Price Jump

May 09
Investors Still Aren't Entirely Convinced By Alibaba Group Holding Limited's (NYSE:BABA) Earnings Despite 27% Price Jump

AI, Cloud And Quick Commerce Will Power Digital Progress

Key Takeaways Investment in AI, cloud, and quick commerce aims to drive long-term revenue and margin growth despite near-term profit pressure from elevated spending. Enhanced integration and partnerships are expanding Alibaba's enterprise footprint, boosting user engagement, and strengthening its competitive position in digital services.

Alibaba Could Be In Trouble (Rating Downgrade)

Apr 29

Alibaba: The Tariff War Can Deliver Surprising Benefits

Apr 22

Delisting Deja Vu: Tariffs Are Putting Alibaba's Valuation At Risk Again

Apr 14

Alibaba: I Was Wrong About Tariffs And AI (Rating Upgrade)

Mar 20

Alibaba's Bullish Momentum Could Accelerate

Mar 05

Alibaba's Time Is Finally Here

Feb 26

Alibaba Stock: The Rally Has Just Begun

Feb 20

Alibaba Stock Is Breaking Out (Technical Analysis)

Feb 13

Alibaba Said Its AI Outperformed DeepSeek: This Is Why The Stock Is A Buy

Feb 06

Alibaba: The AI Race With DeepSeek Is Heating Up

Jan 29

Alibaba: Think Twice Before Buying The Dip

Jan 20

Alibaba Should Keep Its Turnaround In 2025

Jan 13

Alibaba: Shedding Sun Art To Illuminate E-Commerce

Jan 05

Alibaba Group Mirrors A Slowing China: Not The Growth Engine It Once Was

Dec 26

Alibaba: A Giant In Transition

Dec 20

Alibaba: Don't Be Fooled By The Naysayers

Dec 11

Alibaba: A Bold Move Amid Mounting Challenges

Dec 01

Alibaba: Ongoing Restructuring Is A Positive, But Not Enough

Nov 25
User avatar

AI-Driven Cloud Expansion Enhances Revenue And Boosts Long-Term Profitability

Strategic investments in AI, cloud, and user acquisition partnerships are expected to drive strong revenue growth and improve long-term margins.

Alibaba: The Market's Concerns Are Justified, And Here's Why

Nov 18

Alibaba Could Be A Surprise Winner As New Tailwinds Emerge

Nov 11

Alibaba: Time To Bail Out

Oct 22

Alibaba: The Early Stage Of Returning Bullish Sentiment?

Oct 11

Alibaba Stock: Time To Temper Your Enthusiasm

Oct 03

Alibaba's Savior Is Not Chinese Stimulus, But An Impending Global AI Partnership

Sep 27

Alibaba: Winning The AI Arms Race In China

Sep 20

Alibaba: Ready To Take Off

Sep 12

Alibaba: Riding The Wave Of A Strengthening Macroeconomic Environment

Sep 05

Alibaba: Time To Move On

Aug 30

Alibaba: Restructuring And Investment Efforts Appear Promising, Bullish Support Is Growing

Aug 24

Shareholder Returns

BABAUS Multiline RetailUS Market
7D0.1%3.1%0.6%
1Y9.4%27.5%28.7%

Return vs Industry: BABA underperformed the US Multiline Retail industry which returned 27.5% over the past year.

Return vs Market: BABA underperformed the US Market which returned 28.7% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is BABA's price volatile compared to industry and market?
BABA volatility
BABA Average Weekly Movement5.1%
Multiline Retail Industry Average Movement6.1%
Market Average Movement7.2%
10% most volatile stocks in US Market16.2%
10% least volatile stocks in US Market3.3%

Stable Share Price: BABA has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.

Volatility Over Time: BABA's weekly volatility (5%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
1999128,197Eddie Wu www.alibabagroup.com

Alibaba Group Holding Limited, through its subsidiaries, provides technology infrastructure and marketing reach to help merchants, brands, retailers, and other businesses to engage with their users and customers in the People's Republic of China and internationally. It operates digital retail platforms under the Taobao and Tmall names; wholesale marketplaces through 1688.com and Alibaba.com; global e-commerce platform under the AliExpress name; e-commerce platforms under the Lazada, Trendyol, and Daraz names; and consumer-to-consumer community and marketplace under the Tmall Global, Tmall Supermarket, and Xianyu names. The company also operates Cainiao, an e-commerce logistics solution; Ele.me, an on-demand delivery and local services platform; and Amap, a provider of mobile digital map, navigation, and real-time traffic information; Youku, an online video platform; and Damai Entertainment that provides content production, promotion and distribution, performance and event ticketing management, IP-related licensing and operations, cinema ticketing management, and internet data services for the entertainment industry.

Alibaba Group Holding Limited Fundamentals Summary

How do Alibaba Group Holding's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
BABA fundamental statistics
Market capUS$293.09b
Earnings (TTM)US$13.59b
Revenue (TTM)US$148.92b
21.8x
P/E Ratio
2.0x
P/S Ratio

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
BABA income statement (TTM)
RevenueCN¥1.02t
Cost of RevenueCN¥602.37b
Gross ProfitCN¥414.37b
Other ExpensesCN¥321.56b
EarningsCN¥92.81b

Last Reported Earnings

Dec 31, 2025

Next Earnings Date

May 13, 2026

Earnings per share (EPS)41.30
Gross Margin40.76%
Net Profit Margin9.13%
Debt/Equity Ratio23.8%

How did BABA perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Dividends

0.8%
Current Dividend Yield
14%
Payout Ratio

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/04/30 10:03
End of Day Share Price 2026/04/30 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/03/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Alibaba Group Holding Limited is covered by 93 analysts. 47 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Tianli WenAletheia Analyst Network Limited
Zixiao YangArete Research Services LLP
James KelleherArgus Research Company