Alibaba Group Holding Limited

NYSE:BABA Stock Report

Market Cap: US$179.5b

Alibaba Group Holding Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

Alibaba Group Holding is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 12.7% and 6.7% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 12.9% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 10.2% in 3 years.

Key information

12.7%

Earnings growth rate

12.9%

EPS growth rate

Multiline Retail earnings growth20.6%
Revenue growth rate6.7%
Future return on equity10.2%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated26 Mar 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Is There An Opportunity With Alibaba Group Holding Limited's (NYSE:BABA) 49% Undervaluation?

Mar 25
Is There An Opportunity With Alibaba Group Holding Limited's (NYSE:BABA) 49% Undervaluation?

Alibaba: The Cheapest Chinese Megacap Keeps Getting Cheaper

Mar 21

Alibaba, China Risks, And Why We Downgraded The Stock

Mar 13

Alibaba: Several Positive Developments

Mar 07

Alibaba: All Eyes On A Single Segment

Feb 27

Alibaba: When Will The Sentiment Turn Around?

Feb 21

Alibaba International Records Solid Growth Led By AliExpress

Feb 12

Alibaba: Jack Ma And Joe Tsai Are Buying - Should You?

Feb 06

Here's What To Make Of Alibaba Group Holding's (NYSE:BABA) Decelerating Rates Of Return

Feb 02
Here's What To Make Of Alibaba Group Holding's (NYSE:BABA) Decelerating Rates Of Return

Alibaba: Cannot Be Undervalued Forever

Jan 30

Alibaba: A Wonderful Opportunity For Investors With Risk Tolerance

Jan 24

Alibaba Group Holding (NYSE:BABA) Has A Rock Solid Balance Sheet

Jan 18
Alibaba Group Holding (NYSE:BABA) Has A Rock Solid Balance Sheet

Alibaba: It's Time To Be Greedy

Jan 18

Alibaba: I've Been Wrong, But The Investment Could Still Work Out

Jan 05

Alibaba: Revisiting The Investment Thesis. Still A Strong Buy.

Dec 30

Unpleasant Surprises Could Be In Store For Alibaba Group Holding Limited's (NYSE:BABA) Shares

Dec 19
Unpleasant Surprises Could Be In Store For Alibaba Group Holding Limited's (NYSE:BABA) Shares

Alibaba: Cheap And A Big Margin Of Safety

Dec 19

Alibaba: Gets Even Cheaper

Dec 12

Alibaba: Restructuring And Capital Management To Bring Near-Term Upside

Dec 05

Alibaba: The Pain Could Just Be Starting For Chinese Tech

Nov 28

Alibaba: Time To Bail Out

Nov 19

Alibaba: 2 Catalysts Have Emerged To Drive The Stock Higher

Nov 13

Alibaba: A Buy As The Company Invests In AI

Nov 06

Is There An Opportunity With Alibaba Group Holding Limited's (NYSE:BABA) 24% Undervaluation?

Nov 06
Is There An Opportunity With Alibaba Group Holding Limited's (NYSE:BABA) 24% Undervaluation?

Alibaba: Mixing An Explosive Cocktail For Share Price Upside

Oct 31

Alibaba Group Holding (NYSE:BABA) Has More To Do To Multiply In Value Going Forward

Oct 21
Alibaba Group Holding (NYSE:BABA) Has More To Do To Multiply In Value Going Forward

Alibaba: New Structure To Increase Shareholder Value

Oct 18

Alibaba's Turning Point: Stimulus And Satellite Optimism

Oct 11

Alibaba: Don't Sell The Cainiao Logistics Spin-Off

Oct 01

Alibaba: Red Dragon Turns Green, Time To Buy

Sep 21

Alibaba: Breaking Down The Walls

Sep 11

Alibaba: Long Term Bull Case Is Still Intact

Sep 05

Alibaba Stock: In The Midst Of Every Crisis Lies Great Opportunity

Aug 29

Alibaba: Geographic Risk Is Declining Rapidly

Aug 21

Is Alibaba Group Holding (NYSE:BABA) Using Too Much Debt?

Aug 15
Is Alibaba Group Holding (NYSE:BABA) Using Too Much Debt?

Alibaba: Plenty Of Upside Runway (Technical Analysis)

Aug 14

Alibaba: The Case For Loading Up Is Here - Don't Wait Till It's Gone

Aug 08

Time To Build A Position In Alibaba (Technical Analysis)

Jul 31

Estimating The Intrinsic Value Of Alibaba Group Holding Limited (NYSE:BABA)

Jul 31
Estimating The Intrinsic Value Of Alibaba Group Holding Limited (NYSE:BABA)

Alibaba: Excellent Risk-Reward As Fundamentals Improve While Risks Dissipate

Jul 18

The Returns On Capital At Alibaba Group Holding (NYSE:BABA) Don't Inspire Confidence

Jul 16
The Returns On Capital At Alibaba Group Holding (NYSE:BABA) Don't Inspire Confidence

Alibaba's Path To $120

Jul 11

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:BABA - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (CNY Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
3/31/20261,096,035139,086198,537226,92539
3/31/20251,015,912120,344179,871200,91654
3/31/2024942,98599,910166,859180,16553
12/31/2023927,49499,987156,302190,654N/A
9/30/2023914,902132,369178,956213,308N/A
6/30/2023897,28884,102169,910211,189N/A
3/31/2023868,68772,509165,400199,752N/A
12/31/2022864,53932,752107,987161,311N/A
9/30/2022859,36313,629100,983154,307N/A
6/30/2022852,87739,55789,701143,025N/A
3/31/2022853,06261,95989,435142,759N/A
12/31/2021836,40572,721131,166173,982N/A
9/30/2021814,909124,456154,008196,824N/A
6/30/2021769,278147,858172,474215,290N/A
3/31/2021717,289150,308188,970231,786N/A
12/31/2020644,208158,949177,029209,767N/A
9/30/2020584,580131,831170,326203,064N/A
6/30/2020548,538175,602163,356196,094N/A
3/31/2020509,711149,263147,869180,607N/A
12/31/2019488,895171,931147,353196,996N/A
9/30/2019444,717152,674143,087165,389N/A
6/30/2019410,848100,167111,032149,470N/A
3/31/2019376,84487,600101,332150,975N/A
12/31/2018345,27869,331116,969146,805N/A
9/30/2018311,02860,35288,445136,949N/A
6/30/2018281,00257,98795,008136,049N/A
3/31/2018250,26663,98595,969125,805N/A
12/31/2017226,91367,071104,622122,168N/A
9/30/2017197,13360,853N/A104,542N/A
6/30/2017176,30350,808N/A91,241N/A
3/31/2017158,27343,675N/A82,854N/A
12/31/2016143,87838,393N/A74,662N/A
9/30/2016125,17333,036N/A63,476N/A
6/30/2016113,05248,167N/A61,394N/A
3/31/2016101,14371,460N/A56,836N/A
12/31/201594,38468,988N/A57,521N/A
9/30/201586,02062,426N/A50,699N/A
6/30/201580,67842,648N/A41,440N/A
3/31/201576,20424,149N/A41,217N/A
12/31/201470,81026,799N/A37,250N/A
9/30/201463,37629,069N/A32,764N/A
6/30/201457,49731,036N/A31,425N/A
3/31/201452,50423,076N/A26,379N/A
12/31/201349,14721,730N/A26,659N/A
3/31/201334,5178,404N/A14,476N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: BABA's forecast earnings growth (12.7% per year) is above the savings rate (2.3%).

Earnings vs Market: BABA's earnings (12.7% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (13.5% per year).

High Growth Earnings: BABA's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: BABA's revenue (6.7% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (8.2% per year).

High Growth Revenue: BABA's revenue (6.7% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: BABA's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (10.2%).


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