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U.S. Consumer Discretionary Sector Analysis

UpdatedApr 30, 2026
DataAggregated Company Financials
Companies777
  • 7D-1.2%
  • 3M-3.2%
  • 1Y19.7%
  • YTD-2.1%

Over the last 7 days, the Consumer Discretionary industry has dropped 1.2%, driven by Tesla declining 3.8%. Over the past 12 months, the industry was up 20%. As for the next few years, earnings are expected to grow by 20% per annum.

Sector Valuation and Performance

Has the U.S. Consumer Discretionary Sector valuation changed over the past few years?

DateMarket CapRevenueEarningsPEAbsolute PEPS
Thu, 30 Apr 2026US$7.7tUS$3.6tUS$193.5b19x39.7x2.1x
Sat, 28 Mar 2026US$7.0tUS$3.6tUS$198.5b18.2x35x1.9x
Mon, 23 Feb 2026US$7.5tUS$3.6tUS$207.5b20.4x36.3x2.1x
Wed, 21 Jan 2026US$7.8tUS$3.6tUS$221.5b19.1x35.3x2.2x
Fri, 19 Dec 2025US$7.6tUS$3.5tUS$221.4b19.7x34.5x2.1x
Sun, 16 Nov 2025US$7.5tUS$3.5tUS$221.4b18x33.8x2.1x
Tue, 14 Oct 2025US$7.5tUS$3.5tUS$220.8b18.3x34x2.2x
Thu, 11 Sep 2025US$7.6tUS$3.5tUS$222.2b19.3x34.1x2.2x
Sat, 09 Aug 2025US$7.0tUS$3.5tUS$218.2b18.9x32.2x2x
Mon, 07 Jul 2025US$7.0tUS$3.4tUS$216.1b19x32.2x2x
Wed, 04 Jun 2025US$6.7tUS$3.4tUS$217.4b17.3x30.9x2x
Fri, 02 May 2025US$6.0tUS$3.4tUS$208.2b16.4x29.1x1.8x
Sun, 30 Mar 2025US$6.2tUS$3.4tUS$211.9b16.4x29.2x1.8x
Tue, 25 Feb 2025US$7.1tUS$3.4tUS$211.9b18.4x33.3x2.1x
Thu, 23 Jan 2025US$7.3tUS$3.3tUS$202.1b19x36.1x2.2x
Sat, 21 Dec 2024US$7.2tUS$3.3tUS$200.7b18.2x35.7x2.1x
Mon, 18 Nov 2024US$6.6tUS$3.4tUS$197.7b18x33.6x2x
Wed, 16 Oct 2024US$5.8tUS$3.2tUS$178.4b18.3x32.6x1.8x
Fri, 13 Sep 2024US$5.5tUS$3.2tUS$177.2b17x31.3x1.7x
Sun, 11 Aug 2024US$5.2tUS$3.2tUS$172.9b16.9x30.2x1.7x
Tue, 09 Jul 2024US$5.7tUS$3.1tUS$167.3b17.2x34.3x1.8x
Thu, 06 Jun 2024US$5.4tUS$3.1tUS$168.0b18.2x31.9x1.7x
Sat, 04 May 2024US$5.4tUS$3.1tUS$166.4b17.4x32.5x1.7x
Mon, 01 Apr 2024US$5.4tUS$3.1tUS$160.5b18.2x33.6x1.8x
Wed, 28 Feb 2024US$5.4tUS$3.1tUS$153.3b17.8x35x1.7x
Fri, 26 Jan 2024US$5.1tUS$3.1tUS$146.4b17.3x34.8x1.7x
Sun, 24 Dec 2023US$5.3tUS$3.1tUS$141.3b17.7x37.6x1.7x
Tue, 21 Nov 2023US$4.9tUS$3.0tUS$138.4b15.6x35.6x1.6x
Thu, 19 Oct 2023US$4.6tUS$3.0tUS$113.8b15.1x40.8x1.6x
Sat, 16 Sep 2023US$5.0tUS$3.0tUS$112.8b15.3x44.7x1.7x
Mon, 14 Aug 2023US$5.0tUS$3.0tUS$112.7b16.1x44.3x1.7x
Wed, 12 Jul 2023US$5.0tUS$2.9tUS$99.8b15.3x49.9x1.7x
Fri, 09 Jun 2023US$4.6tUS$2.9tUS$99.9b14.3x46.5x1.6x
Sun, 07 May 2023US$4.2tUS$2.9tUS$92.4b14.2x45.8x1.4x
Price to Earnings Ratio

45.8x


Total Market Cap: US$4.2tTotal Earnings: US$92.4bTotal Revenue: US$2.9tTotal Market Cap vs Earnings and Revenue0%0%0%
U.S. Consumer Discretionary Sector Price to Earnings3Y Average 35.6x202420252026
Current Industry PE
  • Investors are optimistic on the American Consumer Discretionary industry, and appear confident in long term growth rates.
  • The industry is trading at a PE ratio of 39.7x which is higher than its 3-year average PE of 35.6x.
  • The 3-year average PS ratio of 1.9x is lower than the industry's current PS ratio of 2.1x.
Past Earnings Growth
  • The earnings for companies in the Consumer Discretionary industry have grown 28% per year over the last three years.
  • Revenues for these companies have grown 7.6% per year.
  • This means that more sales are being generated by these companies overall, and subsequently their profits are increasing too.

Industry Trends

Which industries have driven the changes within the U.S. Consumer Discretionary sector?

US Market-0.18%
Consumer Discretionary-1.16%
General Merchandise and Department Stores1.85%
Online Retail and Ecommerce0%0
Leisure-1.07%
Consumer Services-1.64%
Hospitality-2.14%
Auto Components-2.48%
Auto-3.82%
Specialty Stores-3.93%
Consumer Durables-5.21%
Luxury-5.22%
Retail Distributors-6.03%
Industry PE
  • Investors are most optimistic about the Luxury industry which is trading above its 3-year average PE ratio of 28.6x.
    • Analysts are expecting annual earnings growth of 18.3%, which is higher than its past year's earnings decline of 14.4% per year.
Forecasted Growth
  • Analysts are most optimistic on the Auto industry, expecting annual earnings growth of 37% over the next 5 years.
  • This is better than its past earnings decline of 31% per year.
  • In contrast, the Consumer Durables industry is expected to see its earnings grow by 7.4% per year over the next few years.

Top Stock Gainers and Losers

Which companies have driven the market over the last 7 days?

CompanyLast Price7D1YValuation
AMZN Amazon.comUS$263.043.1%
+US$85.6b		38.3%PE36.4x
SBUX StarbucksUS$105.506.0%
+US$6.8b		28.6%PE80.4x
PAG Penske Automotive GroupUS$171.667.6%
+US$801.5m		10.3%PE12.1x
RSI Rush Street InteractiveUS$27.9821.1%
+US$519.7m		130.7%PE77.9x
PII PolarisUS$67.2214.8%
+US$492.0m		97.9%PS0.5x

Latest News

HLT
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Hilton Worldwide Holdings
7D
-5.7%
1Y
39.5%
SBUX
US$105.50
Starbucks
7D
6.0%
1Y
28.6%
BKNG
US$173.98
Booking Holdings
7D
-3.0%
1Y
-14.7%
RSI
US$27.98
Rush Street Interactive
7D
21.1%
1Y
130.7%
ETSY
US$69.60
Etsy
7D
5.4%
1Y
60.1%
PAG
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7D
7.6%
1Y
10.3%

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BABA
US$130.43
Alibaba Group Holding
7D
-4.4%
1Y
9.2%
PII
US$67.22
Polaris
7D
14.8%
1Y
97.9%

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Analysts have trimmed their consolidated price target for Polaris by about $1 to $66, reflecting slightly higher required returns and softer revenue expectations, partly offset by improved profit margin assumptions and a lower future P/E multiple cited in recent research updates. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Polaris shows a mix of optimism and caution, with analysts recalibrating price targets and ratings as they weigh execution risks, demand signals and ongoing tariff concerns.
MCD
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McDonald's
7D
-3.3%
1Y
-9.3%

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LOW
US$233.50
Lowe's Companies
7D
-4.8%
1Y
4.4%

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DKNG
US$23.14
DraftKings
7D
4.4%
1Y
-30.4%

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AMZN
US$263.04
Amazon.com
7D
3.1%
1Y
38.3%

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TSLA
US$372.80
Tesla
7D
-3.8%
1Y
32.1%

TSLA: Autonomy And Safety Set To Pressure Rich Future Earnings Multiple

Tesla's analyst fair value estimate has shifted from about $118.61 to roughly $175.78. Analysts point to mixed but generally constructive updates on price targets, as well as ongoing debates over autonomy, AI progress, and Q1 execution as key drivers of the change.
MAR
US$353.95
Marriott International
7D
-3.9%
1Y
45.1%

MAR: Future Outlook Will Balance Share Repurchases With Expanding Luxury Wellness Platform

Analysts have lifted their price target for Marriott International to $371.88 from $356.92, citing updated assumptions for long term revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E. These factors feed into a refreshed fair value view.
HD
US$322.81
Home Depot
7D
-4.9%
1Y
-10.5%

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Home Depot's analyst fair value estimate is essentially unchanged at about $408. The slight adjustment reflects updated views on the discount rate, modestly higher revenue growth assumptions, a flat profit margin outlook, and a small tweak to the future P/E as analysts factor in recent Q4 results, FY26 guidance, and ongoing Pro ecosystem and acquisition initiatives.
NAVN
US$17.13
Navan
7D
10.6%
1Y
n/a

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