Investing IdeasBrowse All StocksMarkets
Have your own idea? Try our Stock Screener
Header cover image

U.S. Consumer Discretionary Sector Analysis

UpdatedJun 10, 2026
DataAggregated Company Financials
Companies769
  • 7D-3.3%
  • 3M3.1%
  • 1Y5.6%
  • YTD-4.0%

Over the last 7 days, the Consumer Discretionary industry has dropped 3.3%, driven by a pullback from Amazon.com of 4.8%. On the other hand TJX Companies is actually up 7.3%. In the past year, the industry has gained 5.6%. Earnings are forecast to grow by 21% annually.

Sector Valuation and Performance

Has the U.S. Consumer Discretionary Sector valuation changed over the past few years?

DateMarket CapRevenueEarningsPEAbsolute PEPS
Wed, 10 Jun 2026US$7.5tUS$3.7tUS$214.6b18.4x34.9x2x
Fri, 08 May 2026US$7.8tUS$3.7tUS$208.6b19.1x37.6x2.1x
Sun, 05 Apr 2026US$6.9tUS$3.6tUS$198.2b18.7x35x1.9x
Tue, 03 Mar 2026US$7.4tUS$3.6tUS$205.9b20.1x36.1x2.1x
Thu, 29 Jan 2026US$7.8tUS$3.6tUS$219.5b19.2x35.7x2.2x
Sat, 27 Dec 2025US$7.8tUS$3.6tUS$221.4b19.2x35.4x2.2x
Mon, 24 Nov 2025US$7.2tUS$3.6tUS$225.1b17.7x32.2x2x
Wed, 22 Oct 2025US$7.7tUS$3.5tUS$219.0b19.1x35.2x2.2x
Fri, 19 Sep 2025US$7.9tUS$3.5tUS$221.3b20.1x35.5x2.3x
Sun, 17 Aug 2025US$7.2tUS$3.5tUS$217.2b19.7x33.1x2.1x
Tue, 15 Jul 2025US$7.0tUS$3.4tUS$215.7b18.8x32.3x2x
Thu, 12 Jun 2025US$6.8tUS$3.4tUS$217.5b17.4x31.5x2x
Sat, 10 May 2025US$6.3tUS$3.4tUS$218.5b17.1x28.9x1.8x
Mon, 07 Apr 2025US$5.6tUS$3.4tUS$211.7b15.5x26.6x1.7x
Wed, 05 Mar 2025US$6.6tUS$3.4tUS$211.3b17.2x31.3x1.9x
Fri, 31 Jan 2025US$7.3tUS$3.3tUS$193.2b19.6x37.9x2.2x
Sun, 29 Dec 2024US$7.2tUS$3.3tUS$200.9b18.2x35.8x2.2x
Tue, 26 Nov 2024US$6.7tUS$3.4tUS$200.0b19.3x33.7x2x
Thu, 24 Oct 2024US$5.8tUS$3.2tUS$178.2b18.2x32.6x1.8x
Sat, 21 Sep 2024US$5.8tUS$3.2tUS$177.7b17.8x32.6x1.8x
Mon, 19 Aug 2024US$5.5tUS$3.2tUS$172.6b17.4x31.8x1.7x
Wed, 17 Jul 2024US$5.8tUS$3.1tUS$167.3b18.2x34.4x1.8x
Fri, 14 Jun 2024US$5.4tUS$3.1tUS$168.0b18x32.4x1.7x
Sun, 12 May 2024US$5.4tUS$3.1tUS$166.8b18.4x32.4x1.7x
Tue, 09 Apr 2024US$5.3tUS$3.1tUS$160.5b18.2x33.3x1.7x
Thu, 07 Mar 2024US$5.3tUS$3.1tUS$155.1b17.7x34.1x1.7x
Sat, 03 Feb 2024US$5.2tUS$3.1tUS$159.6b16.8x32.6x1.7x
Mon, 01 Jan 2024US$5.3tUS$3.1tUS$141.6b17.7x37.4x1.7x
Wed, 29 Nov 2023US$5.0tUS$3.0tUS$139.9b15.4x35.7x1.6x
Fri, 27 Oct 2023US$4.4tUS$3.0tUS$112.9b14.6x39x1.5x
Sun, 24 Sep 2023US$4.7tUS$3.0tUS$112.4b14.9x41.9x1.6x
Tue, 22 Aug 2023US$4.7tUS$3.0tUS$112.4b16x42.1x1.6x
Thu, 20 Jul 2023US$5.2tUS$2.9tUS$99.8b15.6x51.8x1.8x
Sat, 17 Jun 2023US$4.8tUS$2.9tUS$98.8b14.9x49x1.7x
Price to Earnings Ratio

49x


Total Market Cap: US$4.8tTotal Earnings: US$98.8bTotal Revenue: US$2.9tTotal Market Cap vs Earnings and Revenue0%0%0%
U.S. Consumer Discretionary Sector Price to Earnings3Y Average 35.3x202420252026
Current Industry PE
  • Investors are relatively neutral on the American Consumer Discretionary industry at the moment, indicating that they anticipate long term growth rates to remain steady.
  • The industry is trading close to its 3-year average PE ratio of 35.3x.
  • The industry is trading close to its 3-year average PS ratio of 1.9x.
Past Earnings Growth
  • The earnings for companies in the Consumer Discretionary industry have grown 29% per year over the last three years.
  • Revenues for these companies have grown 8.2% per year.
  • This means that more sales are being generated by these companies overall, and subsequently their profits are increasing too.

Industry Trends

Which industries have driven the changes within the U.S. Consumer Discretionary sector?

US Market-3.33%
Consumer Discretionary-3.31%
Specialty Stores3.41%
Consumer Durables2.30%
Luxury2.05%
Leisure1.83%
Retail Distributors1.00%
Hospitality0.14%
Online Retail and Ecommerce0%0
Consumer Services-0.0011%
General Merchandise and Department Stores-5.08%
Auto Components-5.40%
Auto-6.22%
Industry PE
  • Investors are most optimistic about the Hospitality industry even though it's trading below its 3-year average PE ratio of 41.1x.
    • Analysts are expecting annual earnings growth of 18.4%, which is lower than the prior year's growth of 21.3% per year.
Forecasted Growth
  • Analysts are most optimistic on the Leisure industry, expecting annual earnings growth of 38% over the next 5 years.
  • This is better than its past earnings decline of 10% per year.
  • In contrast, the Consumer Durables industry is expected to see its earnings grow by 7.8% per year over the next few years.

Top Stock Gainers and Losers

Which companies have driven the market over the last 7 days?

CompanyLast Price7D1YValuation
TJX TJX CompaniesUS$164.877.3%
+US$12.4b		30.8%PE31.5x
HD Home DepotUS$321.333.1%
+US$9.8b		-12.7%PE22.9x
LOW Lowe's CompaniesUS$217.375.2%
+US$6.0b		-3.3%PE18.4x
MAR Marriott InternationalUS$393.615.3%
+US$5.2b		46.8%PE40.2x
MCD McDonald'sUS$282.252.1%
+US$4.2b		-6.1%PE23.1x

Latest News

XPEV
US$15.48
XPeng
7D
-13.5%
1Y
-24.4%
AMZN
US$244.19
Amazon.com
7D
-4.8%
1Y
12.2%
TSLA
US$396.68
Tesla
7D
-6.4%
1Y
21.6%
HD
US$321.33
Home Depot
7D
3.1%
1Y
-12.7%
TJX
US$164.87
TJX Companies
7D
7.3%
1Y
30.8%
F
US$14.95
Ford Motor
7D
-7.4%
1Y
41.0%
Narrative Update • Jun 08

F: Energy Storage Subsidiary Is Expected To Support Future Margin Mix

Ford Motor's analyst price target has moved higher, with the updated fair value estimate increasing from about $17.12 to $19.45. Analysts point to the growing role of Ford Energy's battery storage opportunity and its potential to support earnings and margins alongside the core auto business.
PDD
US$81.93
PDD Holdings
7D
-7.1%
1Y
-20.0%
BKNG
US$163.99
Booking Holdings
7D
-1.9%
1Y
-25.3%
SE
US$84.87
Sea
7D
-8.9%
1Y
-45.9%
BABA
US$119.70
Alibaba Group Holding
7D
-8.5%
1Y
-1.8%
CVNA
US$69.61
Carvana
7D
6.1%
1Y
2.8%
Narrative Update • Jun 04

CVNA: TAM Expansion And Stock Split Will Support Future Execution Upside

Carvana's updated analyst price target shifts from a prior fair value reference of $428.50 to about $92.90 per share, with analysts largely tying the recalibration to the recent 5:1 stock split, as well as modest tweaks to revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates around Carvana cluster around the stock split and revised price targets, but there is still a clear split between what bullish and bearish analysts focus on.
MCD
US$282.25
McDonald's
7D
2.1%
1Y
-6.1%
Narrative Update • Jun 04

MCD: Value Menu And Dividend Strength Will Support Franchise Cash Returns

Analysts now set McDonald's fair value at about $331.29, a modest adjustment from $330. This reflects a blend of recent target cuts from several firms and inclusion on Jefferies' Franchise Picks list, with updated assumptions for slightly higher revenue growth, a similar profit margin profile, and a future P/E of about 28.47x.
ORLY
US$89.49
O'Reilly Automotive
7D
3.8%
1Y
-2.4%
Narrative Update • Jun 03

ORLY: Expanded Buybacks And Tactical Rating Shift Will Support Bullish Thesis

The analyst fair value estimate for O'Reilly Automotive has been revised from $84.67 to $97.40, as analysts point to higher assumed profit margins, a modest adjustment to revenue growth expectations, a slightly lower discount rate, and updated future P/E assumptions supported by a wave of recent price target increases across the sector. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around O'Reilly Automotive has been active, with multiple firms adjusting price targets across the auto parts retail group.
HLT
US$342.57
Hilton Worldwide Holdings
7D
2.9%
1Y
35.1%
Narrative Update • Jun 03

HLT: Lifestyle Brand Expansion And AI Planning Will Shape Balanced 2026 Outlook

Analysts made a modest adjustment to Hilton Worldwide Holdings' price targets, with moves such as Bernstein trimming its target by $2 to $320, while several other firms raised their targets by between $1 and $51, reflecting mixed views on the U.S. economy and sector risks but continued interest in the stock. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts lifting price targets by amounts ranging from low single digits up to US$51 suggest continued confidence that Hilton can execute on its growth plans and justify higher valuations over time.
LOW
US$217.37
Lowe's Companies
7D
5.2%
1Y
-3.3%
MAR
US$393.61
Marriott International
7D
5.3%
1Y
46.8%
Narrative Update • Jun 01

MAR: Future Outlook Will Balance Buybacks With Global Expansion And Event Driven Demand

Analysts have slightly adjusted their fair value estimate for Marriott International, lifting the price target from about $377.33 to roughly $377.67 as updated assumptions on discount rate, long term revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E are incorporated into their models. What's in the News Marriott plans to present its latest company direction at the upcoming Morgan Stanley Travel & Leisure Conference, alongside leadership changes and adjustments following a challenging Q1 2026 earnings report, with April data showing an 8% year over year rise in contract sales and updated full year contract sales guidance (source: Morgan Stanley conference coverage).