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U.S. Specialty Stores Industry Analysis

UpdatedApr 11, 2026
DataAggregated Company Financials
Companies160
  • 7D3.1%
  • 3M-7.7%
  • 1Y13.1%
  • YTD-1.6%

Over the last 7 days, the Specialty Stores industry has risen 3.1%, driven by gains from Home Depot of 4.9%. Meanwhile, Five Below actually underperformed within the industry, shrinking 7.7% in the last week. This takes the industry's 12 month performance to a gain of 13%. As for the next few years, earnings are expected to grow by 9.4% per annum.

Industry Valuation and Performance

Has the U.S. Specialty Stores Industry valuation changed over the past few years?

DateMarket CapRevenueEarningsPEAbsolute PEPS
Sat, 11 Apr 2026US$955.7bUS$743.4bUS$37.8b19.4x25.3x1.3x
Mon, 09 Mar 2026US$966.5bUS$745.1bUS$38.2b18.7x25.3x1.3x
Wed, 04 Feb 2026US$1.0tUS$733.0bUS$36.5b21x27.6x1.4x
Fri, 02 Jan 2026US$966.2bUS$735.9bUS$36.6b18.8x26.4x1.3x
Sun, 30 Nov 2025US$969.8bUS$741.0bUS$36.2b18x26.8x1.3x
Tue, 28 Oct 2025US$976.9bUS$733.3bUS$36.4b16.8x26.8x1.3x
Thu, 25 Sep 2025US$1.0tUS$734.5bUS$35.7b18.8x28.4x1.4x
Sat, 23 Aug 2025US$989.7bUS$738.4bUS$35.5b19.4x27.9x1.3x
Mon, 21 Jul 2025US$884.6bUS$733.1bUS$35.0b17.1x25.3x1.2x
Wed, 18 Jun 2025US$886.8bUS$732.6bUS$35.0b17x25.4x1.2x
Fri, 16 May 2025US$925.5bUS$727.9bUS$35.6b16.1x26x1.3x
Sun, 13 Apr 2025US$847.6bUS$696.6bUS$35.7b13.8x23.8x1.2x
Tue, 11 Mar 2025US$881.7bUS$726.5bUS$35.8b14.8x24.7x1.2x
Thu, 06 Feb 2025US$914.1bUS$702.9bUS$35.4b16.8x25.8x1.3x
Sat, 04 Jan 2025US$885.9bUS$701.4bUS$35.2b16.5x25.2x1.3x
Mon, 02 Dec 2024US$943.0bUS$706.5bUS$33.0b16.5x28.5x1.3x
Wed, 30 Oct 2024US$464.2bUS$550.1bUS$17.9b14.5x26x0.8x
Fri, 27 Sep 2024US$482.7bUS$552.1bUS$17.5b15.6x27.7x0.9x
Sun, 25 Aug 2024US$484.0bUS$552.1bUS$17.1b15.7x28.3x0.9x
Tue, 23 Jul 2024US$463.5bUS$551.7bUS$17.6b16x26.4x0.8x
Thu, 20 Jun 2024US$476.0bUS$552.2bUS$17.6b16.2x27x0.9x
Sat, 18 May 2024US$443.4bUS$552.7bUS$16.7b16.1x26.5x0.8x
Mon, 15 Apr 2024US$425.4bUS$552.4bUS$17.2b15.7x24.8x0.8x
Wed, 13 Mar 2024US$439.8bUS$546.2bUS$16.2b14.3x27.1x0.8x
Fri, 09 Feb 2024US$426.1bUS$555.2bUS$15.8b14.6x26.9x0.8x
Sun, 07 Jan 2024US$422.0bUS$574.4bUS$16.1b13.2x26.2x0.7x
Tue, 05 Dec 2023US$411.3bUS$575.1bUS$16.3b14.8x25.3x0.7x
Thu, 02 Nov 2023US$367.7bUS$568.7bUS$18.0b11.1x20.4x0.6x
Sat, 30 Sep 2023US$380.9bUS$566.7bUS$18.4b11x20.7x0.7x
Mon, 28 Aug 2023US$401.9bUS$572.3bUS$18.2b11x22.1x0.7x
Wed, 26 Jul 2023US$423.4bUS$572.5bUS$18.2b10.4x23.2x0.7x
Fri, 23 Jun 2023US$404.7bUS$574.2bUS$18.4b10.1x22.1x0.7x
Sun, 21 May 2023US$394.8bUS$575.6bUS$18.4b10.6x21.5x0.7x
Tue, 18 Apr 2023US$403.6bUS$575.3bUS$20.2b10.1x19.9x0.7x
Price to Earnings Ratio

19.9x


Total Market Cap: US$403.6bTotal Earnings: US$20.2bTotal Revenue: US$575.3bTotal Market Cap vs Earnings and Revenue0%0%0%
U.S. Specialty Stores Industry Price to Earnings3Y Average 25.4x202420252026
Current Industry PE
  • Investors are relatively neutral on the American Specialty Retail industry at the moment, indicating that they anticipate long term growth rates to remain steady.
  • The industry is trading close to its 3-year average PE ratio of 25.4x.
  • The 3-year average PS ratio of 1.0x is lower than the industry's current PS ratio of 1.3x.
Past Earnings Growth
  • The earnings for companies in the Specialty Retail industry have grown 23% per year over the last three years.
  • Revenues for these companies have grown 8.9% per year.
  • This means that more sales are being generated by these companies overall, and subsequently their profits are increasing too.

Industry Trends

Which industries have driven the changes within the U.S. Consumer Discretionary industry?

US Market3.31%
Consumer Discretionary5.06%
Specialty Stores3.12%
Automotive Retail5.66%
Home Improvement Retail4.95%
Home Furnishing Retail4.62%
Apparel Retail1.38%
Specialty Stores0.59%
Computer and Electronics Retail-2.06%
Industry PE
  • Investors are most optimistic about the Apparel Retail industry, which is trading close to its 3-year average PE ratio of 27.1x.
    • Analysts are expecting annual earnings growth of 8.0%, which is higher than its past year's earnings growth of 2.6% per year.
  • Investors are most pessimistic about the Computer and Electronics Retail industry, which is trading below its 3-year average of 30.7x.
Forecasted Growth
  • Analysts are most optimistic on the Automotive Retail industry, expecting annual earnings growth of 18% over the next 5 years.
  • This is better than its past earnings decline of 3.5% per year.
  • In contrast, the Home Improvement Retail industry is expected to see its earnings grow by 6.0% per year over the next few years.

Top Stock Gainers and Losers

Which companies have driven the market over the last 7 days?

CompanyLast Price7D1YValuation
HD Home DepotUS$337.344.9%
+US$15.7b		-4.7%PE23.7x
LOW Lowe's CompaniesUS$244.225.7%
+US$7.4b		10.8%PE20.6x
CVNA CarvanaUS$336.317.1%
+US$3.2b		63.1%PE34.2x
DKS DICK'S Sporting GoodsUS$212.4610.8%
+US$1.8b		14.3%PE22.3x
ORLY O'Reilly AutomotiveUS$93.011.7%
+US$1.3b		0.4%PE30.7x

Latest News

WSM
US$189.13
Williams-Sonoma
7D
5.0%
1Y
27.6%
CHWY
US$25.21
Chewy
7D
-6.2%
1Y
-27.3%
MUSA
US$493.23
Murphy USA
7D
-1.8%
1Y
-4.0%
ASO
US$56.37
Academy Sports and Outdoors
7D
-1.7%
1Y
54.1%
DKS
US$212.46
DICK'S Sporting Goods
7D
10.8%
1Y
14.3%
LOW
US$244.22
Lowe's Companies
7D
5.7%
1Y
10.8%

LOW: Q4 Execution And AI Shopping Tools Will Support Housing Cycle Upside

The analyst price target for Lowe's Companies is modestly lower at $285.58, down from $286.18, as analysts weigh recent Q4 earnings strength and market share gains against more cautious FY26 guidance and near term margin pressure. Analyst Commentary Recent research views around Lowe's are mixed, with many firms lifting price targets on the back of Q4 execution and market share gains, while others trim targets or stay cautious given FY26 guidance and margin pressure.
W
US$71.68
Wayfair
7D
-1.3%
1Y
166.0%
ULTA
US$520.38
Ulta Beauty
7D
-3.2%
1Y
44.0%
BBY
US$62.37
Best Buy
7D
-3.3%
1Y
3.2%

BBY: Cost Discipline And Newer Initiatives Will Support Future Margins

Best Buy's analyst price targets have generally trended lower by roughly $5 to $15, into a range of $66 to $83, as analysts factor in softer comparable sales, competitive pressure in consumer electronics, and slightly lower forward earnings estimates, despite Q4 results that were better than many expected. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Best Buy reflects a tighter cluster of price targets, generally in the mid to high US$60s and low US$80s, as analysts update their models following the latest Q4 print and 2026 guidance.
CVNA
US$336.31
Carvana
7D
7.1%
1Y
63.1%

CVNA: Retail Unit Expansion And AI Resilience Will Drive Future Upside

Analysts now place Carvana's price target at $519, reflecting a recalibration that weighs recent target cuts tied to Q4 margin pressure and softer near term guidance, while also considering views that AI disintermediation risks are limited and that unit growth and market share gains remain central to the long term story. Analyst Commentary Recent research paints a mixed but generally constructive picture around Carvana, with price targets reset to reflect Q4 margin pressure and softer near term guidance, while still leaning on the long term growth story.
BBWI
US$18.10
Bath & Body Works
7D
-2.5%
1Y
-32.1%

Bath & Body Works: Still Staying On The Sidelines

Apr 06
HD
US$337.34
Home Depot
7D
4.9%
1Y
-4.7%

HD: Pro Ecosystem And AI Tools Will Support Post Storm Demand Recovery

The analyst price target for Home Depot has been nudged lower by about $2 to reflect a fair value update to $408.18, as analysts factor in a slightly higher discount rate, modest tweaks to long term revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, and updated P/E expectations following a wave of recent Q4 driven target revisions across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Home Depot clusters around a constructive view on long term earnings power, balanced by some caution on the near term macro backdrop and valuation after the Q4 run up.
ORLY
US$93.01
O'Reilly Automotive
7D
1.7%
1Y
0.4%
KMX
US$46.72
CarMax
7D
13.3%
1Y
-31.7%

KMX: Activist Demands And Execution Risks Will Limit Future Share Returns

Analysts have lifted their price targets on CarMax by mid single digit dollar amounts, citing refreshed models following the recent investor meeting and updated views on the company's earnings power, as reflected in slightly adjusted revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around CarMax has centered on refreshed models following the investor meeting, with several firms revising their price targets by mid single digit dollar amounts.
TSCO
US$45.03
Tractor Supply
7D
2.8%
1Y
-12.9%

TSCO: Store Expansion And Rising Capital Returns Will Support Future Share Price

Analysts have kept their price target for Tractor Supply steady at about $58. This reflects largely unchanged assumptions around long term revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E, with only minor tweaks to discount rate inputs.
FIVE
US$217.37
Five Below
7D
-7.7%
1Y
259.5%

FIVE: Higher Margin Outlook Under New Leadership Will Support Repricing

The analyst fair value estimate for Five Below has shifted from $125.00 to $305.00. This change reflects a series of higher Street price targets that generally cite assumptions of stronger revenue growth, higher profit margins, and a higher future P/E multiple under current management.