Investing IdeasBrowse All StocksMarkets
Have your own idea? Try our Stock Screener
Header cover image

U.S. Specialty Stores Industry Analysis

UpdatedMar 10, 2026
DataAggregated Company Financials
Companies159
  • 7D-2.8%
  • 3M-1.5%
  • 1Y11.7%
  • YTD-0.2%

Over the last 7 days, the Specialty Stores industry has dropped 2.8%, driven by Home Depot declining 4.7%. In the past year, the industry has gained 12%. Earnings are forecast to grow by 9.3% annually.

Industry Valuation and Performance

Has the U.S. Specialty Stores Industry valuation changed over the past few years?

DateMarket CapRevenueEarningsPEAbsolute PEPS
Tue, 10 Mar 2026US$966.5bUS$745.2bUS$38.2b19x25.3x1.3x
Thu, 05 Feb 2026US$1.0tUS$735.4bUS$36.5b22.3x27.8x1.4x
Sat, 03 Jan 2026US$966.2bUS$735.9bUS$36.6b19.8x26.4x1.3x
Mon, 01 Dec 2025US$969.8bUS$741.0bUS$36.2b18x26.8x1.3x
Wed, 29 Oct 2025US$981.0bUS$733.2bUS$36.5b16.8x26.9x1.3x
Fri, 26 Sep 2025US$1.0tUS$734.4bUS$36.4b17.7x27.9x1.4x
Sun, 24 Aug 2025US$1.0tUS$738.4bUS$35.5b19.4x28.7x1.4x
Tue, 22 Jul 2025US$914.2bUS$733.1bUS$35.0b17x26.1x1.2x
Thu, 19 Jun 2025US$877.2bUS$732.6bUS$34.9b17.5x25.1x1.2x
Sat, 17 May 2025US$932.1bUS$727.9bUS$35.6b16.2x26.2x1.3x
Mon, 14 Apr 2025US$847.5bUS$723.0bUS$35.7b13.8x23.8x1.2x
Wed, 12 Mar 2025US$864.1bUS$725.5bUS$36.0b13.9x24x1.2x
Fri, 07 Feb 2025US$918.1bUS$702.5bUS$35.4b16.8x25.9x1.3x
Sun, 05 Jan 2025US$889.4bUS$701.4bUS$35.2b16.5x25.3x1.3x
Tue, 03 Dec 2024US$943.0bUS$706.5bUS$33.0b17x28.5x1.3x
Thu, 31 Oct 2024US$460.0bUS$550.0bUS$17.8b14.4x25.8x0.8x
Sat, 28 Sep 2024US$487.0bUS$552.2bUS$17.5b15.3x27.9x0.9x
Mon, 26 Aug 2024US$484.0bUS$552.1bUS$17.1b15.7x28.3x0.9x
Wed, 24 Jul 2024US$468.1bUS$551.8bUS$17.6b15.3x26.7x0.8x
Fri, 21 Jun 2024US$476.0bUS$552.2bUS$17.6b16.2x27x0.9x
Sun, 19 May 2024US$442.9bUS$551.8bUS$17.1b16.1x25.9x0.8x
Tue, 16 Apr 2024US$425.4bUS$552.4bUS$17.2b15.6x24.8x0.8x
Thu, 14 Mar 2024US$443.8bUS$546.2bUS$16.5b14.5x26.9x0.8x
Sat, 10 Feb 2024US$436.1bUS$555.2bUS$15.8b14.7x27.6x0.8x
Mon, 08 Jan 2024US$422.0bUS$574.4bUS$16.1b13.2x26.2x0.7x
Wed, 06 Dec 2023US$413.9bUS$574.7bUS$16.1b13.7x25.7x0.7x
Fri, 03 Nov 2023US$367.1bUS$568.3bUS$17.9b11.2x20.5x0.6x
Sun, 01 Oct 2023US$381.3bUS$566.7bUS$18.4b11x20.7x0.7x
Tue, 29 Aug 2023US$402.0bUS$572.3bUS$18.2b11.1x22.1x0.7x
Thu, 27 Jul 2023US$426.2bUS$574.3bUS$18.1b10.5x23.6x0.7x
Sat, 24 Jun 2023US$408.2bUS$572.6bUS$18.3b10x22.3x0.7x
Mon, 22 May 2023US$394.8bUS$575.6bUS$18.4b10.6x21.5x0.7x
Wed, 19 Apr 2023US$405.2bUS$575.0bUS$20.3b10.3x20x0.7x
Fri, 17 Mar 2023US$366.8bUS$530.8bUS$22.4b9.3x16.3x0.7x
Price to Earnings Ratio

16.3x


Total Market Cap: US$366.8bTotal Earnings: US$22.4bTotal Revenue: US$530.8bTotal Market Cap vs Earnings and Revenue0%0%0%
U.S. Specialty Stores Industry Price to Earnings3Y Average 25.2x202420252026
Current Industry PE
  • Investors are relatively neutral on the American Specialty Retail industry at the moment, indicating that they anticipate long term growth rates to remain steady.
  • The industry is trading close to its 3-year average PE ratio of 25.2x.
  • The 3-year average PS ratio of 1.00x is lower than the industry's current PS ratio of 1.3x.
Past Earnings Growth
  • The earnings for companies in the Specialty Retail industry have grown 19% per year over the last three years.
  • Revenues for these companies have grown 12% per year.
  • This means that more sales are being generated by these companies overall, and subsequently their profits are increasing too.

Industry Trends

Which industries have driven the changes within the U.S. Consumer Discretionary industry?

US Market-1.50%
Consumer Discretionary-1.14%
Specialty Stores-2.77%
Computer and Electronics Retail4.32%
Automotive Retail0.30%
Apparel Retail-1.39%
Specialty Stores-3.86%
Home Improvement Retail-4.75%
Home Furnishing Retail-7.11%
Industry PE
  • Investors are most optimistic about the Specialty Stores industry, which is trading close to its 3-year average PE ratio of 27.9x.
    • Analysts are expecting annual earnings growth of 14.4%, which is higher than its past year's earnings decline of 6.6% per year.
  • Investors are most pessimistic about the Computer and Electronics Retail industry, which is trading below its 3-year average of 31.3x.
Forecasted Growth
  • Analysts are most optimistic on the Automotive Retail industry, expecting annual earnings growth of 17% over the next 5 years.
  • This is better than its past earnings decline of 4.8% per year.
  • In contrast, the Home Furnishing Retail industry is expected to see its earnings grow by 5.4% per year over the next few years.

Top Stock Gainers and Losers

Which companies have driven the market over the last 7 days?

CompanyLast Price7D1YValuation
ROST Ross StoresUS$212.154.9%
+US$3.2b		60.6%PE32x
BBY Best BuyUS$65.967.1%
+US$915.7m		-16.4%PE12.9x
CVNA CarvanaUS$328.261.6%
+US$735.1m		91.3%PE33.3x
MUSA Murphy USAUS$436.798.4%
+US$625.0m		-6.4%PE17.2x
GME GameStopUS$24.802.5%
+US$268.7m		10.6%PE26.3x

Latest News

W
US$75.72
Wayfair
7D
2.6%
1Y
127.0%
BBY
US$65.96
Best Buy
7D
7.1%
1Y
-16.4%

BBY: Cost Discipline And New Profit Streams Will Support Future Earnings

The analyst price target in our model for Best Buy has been lowered from $82.38 to $74.85. This reflects how analysts are trimming earnings expectations and P/E assumptions after Q4 results and updated guidance, even as they highlight solid cost control, resilient profitability and ongoing competitive pressures in consumer electronics.
CVNA
US$328.26
Carvana
7D
1.6%
1Y
91.3%

CVNA: Expanding New Car Footprint And AI Resilience Will Drive Future Upside

Carvana's analyst fair value estimate has been reset from $600 to $519, as analysts balance recent Q4 margin and EBITDA pressures against still supportive views on unit growth, share gains in used cars, and reduced concerns around AI driven disintermediation. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research highlights a mix of valuation resets and continued confidence in Carvana's ability to grow units and defend its business model, even as Q4 EBITDA and margin pressures weigh on near term sentiment.
MUSA
US$436.79
Murphy USA
7D
8.4%
1Y
-6.4%

MUSA: Fuel And Nicotine Reliance Will Likely Restrain Future Upside

Analysts have recently trimmed their average price targets on Murphy USA by a wide range, roughly $20 to $55 in several cases, citing more cautious views on fuel price volatility, cigarette volumes, and near term earnings power, even as some still see room for upside reflected in prior target increases. Analyst Commentary Recent research shows a clear shift toward more cautious pricing of Murphy USA, with several bearish analysts trimming targets by wide margins after previously setting higher bars for the stock.
TJX
US$158.14
TJX Companies
7D
-1.1%
1Y
34.5%

TJX: Off Price Execution And FY27 Guidance Will Shape Multi Year Outlook

The analyst price target for TJX Companies has moved higher, reflecting a fair value increase from $164.11 to $171.78. Analysts point to strong recent results, updated models, and sustained resilience in off-price retail as key supports for this change.
VSCO
US$48.12
Victoria's Secret
7D
-21.3%
1Y
186.8%

VSCO: Brand Repositioning And Margin Momentum Should Outrun Ongoing Execution Risks

The analyst price target for Victoria's Secret has moved higher, with our fair value estimate increasing by $3 to $55, as analysts point to ongoing brand repositioning, improving sales momentum and margins, and refreshed earnings models following recent Q4 results. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Victoria's Secret reflects a mix of optimism about the brand repositioning and Q4 execution alongside more cautious views on how much upside is already reflected in the stock.
HD
US$353.56
Home Depot
7D
-4.7%
1Y
-5.6%

HD: Pro Ecosystem And AI Tools Will Support Post Storm Demand Recovery

Our Home Depot fair value estimate increases from $398.00 to about $410.27, reflecting analysts' higher price targets following Q4 results and updated models that point to steadier home improvement trends and slightly stronger profitability assumptions. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts have generally raised their price targets for Home Depot following Q4 results, pointing to stable execution, resilience in home improvement demand and an outlook they view as supportive of higher valuations.
GAP
US$22.85
Gap
7D
-18.8%
1Y
2.2%
ROST
US$212.15
Ross Stores
7D
4.9%
1Y
60.6%
CURV
US$1.26
Torrid Holdings
7D
22.3%
1Y
-78.2%
AZO
US$3,672.68
AutoZone
7D
-5.4%
1Y
-0.5%
WSM
US$188.30
Williams-Sonoma
7D
-6.5%
1Y
1.7%

WSM: Elevated P/E And Execution Risks Will Restrain Future Upside

Narrative Update The updated analyst price target for Williams-Sonoma edges slightly lower to about $153 from roughly $155, as analysts factor in modestly different assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E following a series of recent upgrades and target raises across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Williams-Sonoma has centered on recalibrating price targets and ratings as analysts reassess the balance between valuation, growth expectations, and execution risk.
KMX
US$42.50
CarMax
7D
1.7%
1Y
-42.6%

KMX: Refreshed Investor Day Plan And AI Initiatives Will Drive Re Rating Potential

Narrative Update on CarMax Analysts have lifted their price target for CarMax by $4 to $48, citing refreshed models after the recent investor meeting, improved revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, and a lower expected future P/E multiple in their updated views. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research reflects a more constructive tone on CarMax, with several bullish analysts lifting their price targets after reviewing the latest investor meeting materials and updating their models.
ULTA
US$642.22
Ulta Beauty
7D
-5.1%
1Y
81.2%

ULTA: Fair Outlook Balances Middle East Expansion With Ongoing Demand Uncertainty

Ulta Beauty's analyst-derived fair value estimate has shifted from about $675 to roughly $684, with analysts pointing to updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and forward P/E multiples following a series of recent price target increases and rating actions across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent research activity around Ulta Beauty has been active, with several firms updating price targets and ratings as they refresh their models on revenue growth, profitability, and sector positioning in specialty beauty retail.
LOW
US$250.22
Lowe's Companies
7D
-2.7%
1Y
3.2%
GME
US$24.80
GameStop
7D
2.5%
1Y
10.6%