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U.S. Specialty Stores Industry Analysis

UpdatedFeb 24, 2026
DataAggregated Company Financials
Companies159
  • 7D-1.5%
  • 3M4.8%
  • 1Y10.2%
  • YTD3.0%

Over the last 7 days, the Specialty Stores industry has dropped 1.5%, driven by Home Depot declining 3.6%. In the past year, the industry has gained 10%. As for the next few years, earnings are expected to grow by 9.5% per annum.

Industry Valuation and Performance

Has the U.S. Specialty Stores Industry valuation changed over the past few years?

DateMarket CapRevenueEarningsPEAbsolute PEPS
Tue, 24 Feb 2026US$1.0tUS$744.9bUS$37.7b21x26.8x1.4x
Thu, 22 Jan 2026US$1.0tUS$736.0bUS$36.6b20.7x28x1.4x
Sat, 20 Dec 2025US$997.5bUS$735.8bUS$36.1b20.3x27.6x1.4x
Mon, 17 Nov 2025US$936.1bUS$735.7bUS$36.4b17x25.7x1.3x
Wed, 15 Oct 2025US$964.2bUS$731.6bUS$36.4b16.6x26.5x1.3x
Fri, 12 Sep 2025US$1.0tUS$732.4bUS$35.6b19x28.5x1.4x
Sun, 10 Aug 2025US$962.5bUS$735.1bUS$35.3b17.6x27.3x1.3x
Tue, 08 Jul 2025US$937.6bUS$733.1bUS$35.0b18.2x26.8x1.3x
Thu, 05 Jun 2025US$928.7bUS$732.4bUS$34.9b16.7x26.6x1.3x
Sat, 03 May 2025US$866.7bUS$727.1bUS$35.7b15.5x24.3x1.2x
Mon, 31 Mar 2025US$841.5bUS$724.4bUS$35.6b16.3x23.6x1.2x
Wed, 26 Feb 2025US$906.7bUS$723.9bUS$36.0b15.2x25.2x1.3x
Fri, 24 Jan 2025US$913.5bUS$701.4bUS$35.2b16.5x25.9x1.3x
Sun, 22 Dec 2024US$895.4bUS$706.5bUS$34.4b16.6x26x1.3x
Tue, 19 Nov 2024US$886.4bUS$703.6bUS$32.6b15.6x27.2x1.3x
Thu, 17 Oct 2024US$481.7bUS$548.8bUS$18.1b15x26.6x0.9x
Sat, 14 Sep 2024US$478.9bUS$552.2bUS$17.4b15x27.4x0.9x
Mon, 12 Aug 2024US$449.4bUS$551.0bUS$17.0b15.7x26.4x0.8x
Wed, 10 Jul 2024US$460.3bUS$551.7bUS$17.6b15.5x26.2x0.8x
Fri, 07 Jun 2024US$469.6bUS$552.9bUS$17.8b16.2x26.4x0.8x
Sun, 05 May 2024US$425.9bUS$554.7bUS$16.7b15.2x25.4x0.8x
Tue, 02 Apr 2024US$469.0bUS$552.3bUS$17.1b16x27.5x0.8x
Thu, 29 Feb 2024US$450.4bUS$549.6bUS$15.7b14.1x28.7x0.8x
Sat, 27 Jan 2024US$431.0bUS$574.3bUS$16.1b13.9x26.7x0.8x
Mon, 25 Dec 2023US$432.6bUS$574.4bUS$16.1b13.7x26.8x0.8x
Wed, 22 Nov 2023US$392.9bUS$575.4bUS$17.6b14x22.3x0.7x
Fri, 20 Oct 2023US$374.8bUS$566.5bUS$18.4b12.7x20.4x0.7x
Sun, 17 Sep 2023US$395.2bUS$567.9bUS$18.3b12.2x21.6x0.7x
Tue, 15 Aug 2023US$421.9bUS$571.0bUS$18.2b11.1x23.2x0.7x
Thu, 13 Jul 2023US$429.2bUS$572.7bUS$18.3b10.5x23.4x0.7x
Sat, 10 Jun 2023US$395.4bUS$574.2bUS$18.2b9.8x21.7x0.7x
Mon, 08 May 2023US$404.2bUS$576.5bUS$19.0b11.1x21.2x0.7x
Wed, 05 Apr 2023US$409.3bUS$577.3bUS$20.5b10.2x20x0.7x
Fri, 03 Mar 2023US$386.9bUS$537.9bUS$23.2b9.6x16.7x0.7x
Price to Earnings Ratio

16.7x


Total Market Cap: US$386.9bTotal Earnings: US$23.2bTotal Revenue: US$537.9bTotal Market Cap vs Earnings and Revenue0%0%0%
U.S. Specialty Stores Industry Price to Earnings3Y Average 25.1x202420252026
Current Industry PE
  • Investors are relatively neutral on the American Specialty Retail industry at the moment, indicating that they anticipate long term growth rates to remain steady.
  • The industry is trading close to its 3-year average PE ratio of 25.1x.
  • The 3-year average PS ratio of 0.99x is lower than the industry's current PS ratio of 1.4x.
Past Earnings Growth
  • The earnings for companies in the Specialty Retail industry have grown 18% per year over the last three years.
  • Revenues for these companies have grown 11% per year.
  • This means that more sales are being generated by these companies overall, and subsequently their profits are increasing too.

Industry Trends

Which industries have driven the changes within the U.S. Consumer Discretionary industry?

US Market-0.35%
Consumer Discretionary-0.95%
Specialty Stores-1.50%
Apparel Retail1.65%
Specialty Stores1.52%
Computer and Electronics Retail-2.27%
Home Improvement Retail-3.57%
Automotive Retail-3.94%
Home Furnishing Retail-4.80%
Industry PE
  • Investors are most optimistic about the Specialty Stores industry, which is trading close to its 3-year average PE ratio of 27.8x.
    • Analysts are expecting annual earnings growth of 14.8%, which is higher than its past year's earnings decline of 6.6% per year.
  • Investors are most pessimistic about the Computer and Electronics Retail industry, which is trading below its 3-year average of 31.3x.
Forecasted Growth
  • Analysts are most optimistic on the Computer and Electronics Retail industry, expecting annual earnings growth of 22% over the next 5 years.
  • In contrast, the Home Improvement Retail industry is expected to see its earnings grow by 5.2% per year over the next few years.

Top Stock Gainers and Losers

Which companies have driven the market over the last 7 days?

CompanyLast Price7D1YValuation
TJX TJX CompaniesUS$157.692.1%
+US$3.6b		29.8%PE34.2x
ROST Ross StoresUS$201.892.7%
+US$1.7b		48.5%PE31.3x
DKS DICK'S Sporting GoodsUS$211.345.0%
+US$907.8m		-4.1%PE18.6x
FIVE Five BelowUS$219.296.5%
+US$736.9m		150.5%PE39.3x
BURL Burlington StoresUS$311.383.0%
+US$560.2m		32.0%PE34.5x

Latest News

BOOT
US$194.60
Boot Barn Holdings
7D
3.5%
1Y
51.6%

BOOT: Private Brand Margin Expansion Will Support Stronger Earnings Power

Analysts have nudged their average price targets on Boot Barn Holdings higher by a few dollars, into the mid to high $190s range. They cite stronger than expected Q3 results, improving profitability, and continued merchandise margin expansion supported by private brand growth and scale efficiencies.
BBY
US$62.71
Best Buy
7D
-4.7%
1Y
-29.3%

BBY: Cost Discipline And Alternative Profit Streams Will Support Future Earnings

Analysts have trimmed their average price targets on Best Buy by single digits into the $70 to $99 range, reflecting growing caution around FY27 earnings power. At the same time, they highlight stable EBIT margins, ongoing cost discipline and support from newer initiatives and product cycles.
DKS
US$211.34
DICK'S Sporting Goods
7D
5.0%
1Y
-4.1%

DKS: Foot Locker Integration And Inventory Cleanup Will Support Long-Term Earnings

The consensus analyst price target for DICK'S Sporting Goods has shifted modestly as firms recalibrated their models, with some raising and others trimming targets within a roughly $7 to $29 range. This reflects updated views on profit flow through, inventory clean up, and the company's positioning in core sporting goods retail.
CVNA
US$325.10
Carvana
7D
-5.2%
1Y
50.8%

CVNA: Margin Pressures And Short Report Risks Will Confront Index Inclusion Benefits

Analysts have reduced our Carvana fair value estimate by about $22 to $307.90. This reflects recent target cuts that account for near-term margin pressure after Q4 misses, alongside ongoing expectations for scale, share gains in used vehicles, and improved profitability over time.
TJX
US$157.69
TJX Companies
7D
2.1%
1Y
29.8%

TJX: Off Price Exposure To Higher Income Shoppers Will Drive Future Upside

Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for TJX Companies to $193 from $181, citing higher Street price targets and renewed optimism around off-price retail, as firms highlight resilient discretionary spending, solid top-line trends tied to easier weather comparisons and tax refunds, and exposure to higher income consumers. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are pointing to a more constructive view on TJX Companies, with higher fair value estimates and price targets reflecting confidence in the off price model and the company’s ability to execute in a mixed retail backdrop.
TSCO
US$53.89
Tractor Supply
7D
2.3%
1Y
-5.5%
W
US$73.47
Wayfair
7D
-10.8%
1Y
78.0%
BURL
US$311.38
Burlington Stores
7D
3.0%
1Y
32.0%
HD
US$376.99
Home Depot
7D
-3.6%
1Y
-1.4%

HD: AI Tools And Pro Trends Will Shape Post Weather Headwind Positioning

Our updated analyst price target for Home Depot moves slightly higher to $398, reflecting modest tweaks to our fair value, discount rate and margin assumptions as analysts point to steady transaction trends into Q4, despite subdued comparable sales expectations and recent weather related pressure on Pro activity. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Home Depot is mixed, with some bullish analysts lifting targets and others trimming them slightly as they recalibrate expectations ahead of Q4 earnings.
WSM
US$201.88
Williams-Sonoma
7D
-5.9%
1Y
3.7%

WSM: Higher Price Expectations And Buybacks Will Support Future Upside

The analyst price target for Williams-Sonoma has been adjusted from $245 to $250, with analysts attributing the change to updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, and a slightly lower discount rate following recent sector research and company-specific commentary. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are framing the latest US$5 upward move in the price target as part of a broader reset in expectations around Williams-Sonoma, with recent sector work and company commentary feeding into refreshed models for revenue, margins, and discount rates.
ULTA
US$669.87
Ulta Beauty
7D
-2.0%
1Y
84.1%

ULTA: International Expansion And Retail Execution Will Support A Higher Multiple

The analyst fair value estimate for Ulta Beauty has been raised from $725 to $790, as analysts factor in updated assumptions for growth, margins, discount rate, and future P/E following a series of higher price targets and rating actions across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Ulta Beauty has tilted firmly positive, with a cluster of higher price targets and fresh or reaffirmed positive ratings framing the stock as a key specialty beauty name for many institutional desks.
ROST
US$201.89
Ross Stores
7D
2.7%
1Y
48.5%
FIVE
US$219.29
Five Below
7D
6.5%
1Y
150.5%

FIVE: Elevated Multiple Will Likely Crack On Execution Dependent Holiday Momentum

Our analyst fair value estimate for Five Below has been raised from about $125 to $185. This change reflects higher assumed revenue growth, a slightly lower discount rate, modestly stronger profit margins, and a richer future P/E multiple that aligns with recent analyst price target hikes following positive management updates and holiday results.
ORLY
US$95.35
O'Reilly Automotive
7D
-1.4%
1Y
8.8%

ORLY: Steady Execution And Buybacks Expected To Support Balanced Risk Reward

Analysts have trimmed their price targets for O'Reilly Automotive, and our fair value estimate has edged down by about $4 to $105.72. They cite recent cuts from multiple research firms, even as they factor in relatively steady assumptions on growth, margins, and future P/E.
BOBS
US$21.70
Bob's Discount Furniture
7D
8.1%
1Y
n/a
LOW
US$274.36
Lowe's Companies
7D
-4.5%
1Y
15.7%

LOW: Lock-In Housing And AI Tools Will Support Gradual Home Improvement Recovery

Narrative Update The analyst price target for Lowe's Companies has been raised by about US$5 to reflect slightly higher modeled fair value, modest tweaks to revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E assumptions, as analysts point to valuation, pent up demand in home improvement and a healthier mix across do it yourself and pro customers as key supports for the update. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Lowe's highlights a mix of optimism around long term home improvement demand and caution around near term earnings visibility, with several firms adjusting price targets and ratings after the latest results and outlook updates.