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U.S. Specialty Stores Industry Analysis

UpdatedJan 31, 2026
DataAggregated Company Financials
Companies154
  • 7D-3.8%
  • 3M4.7%
  • 1Y2.7%
  • YTD2.9%

Over the last 7 days, the Specialty Stores industry has dropped 3.8%, driven by pullbacks in Carvana and Home Depot of 15% and 2.4%, respectively. As for the longer term, the industry's performance has been flat for the past year. Earnings are forecast to grow by 10% annually.

Industry Valuation and Performance

Has the U.S. Specialty Stores Industry valuation changed over the past few years?

DateMarket CapRevenueEarningsPEAbsolute PEPS
Sat, 31 Jan 2026US$992.5bUS$733.0bUS$36.5b19.5x27.2x1.4x
Mon, 29 Dec 2025US$988.0bUS$735.9bUS$36.6b19.9x27x1.3x
Wed, 26 Nov 2025US$930.1bUS$739.2bUS$36.4b18.9x25.5x1.3x
Fri, 24 Oct 2025US$972.8bUS$732.1bUS$36.4b16.5x26.7x1.3x
Sun, 21 Sep 2025US$1.0tUS$734.5bUS$35.7b18.8x28.8x1.4x
Tue, 19 Aug 2025US$989.3bUS$734.8bUS$35.3b18.6x28x1.3x
Thu, 17 Jul 2025US$912.7bUS$733.1bUS$35.0b16.9x26.1x1.2x
Sat, 14 Jun 2025US$902.6bUS$732.6bUS$35.0b16.7x25.8x1.2x
Mon, 12 May 2025US$882.2bUS$727.6bUS$35.6b15.2x24.8x1.2x
Wed, 09 Apr 2025US$800.9bUS$724.3bUS$35.6b12.8x22.5x1.1x
Fri, 07 Mar 2025US$902.1bUS$726.6bUS$35.7b15.7x25.3x1.2x
Sun, 02 Feb 2025US$919.8bUS$702.5bUS$35.4b16.8x26x1.3x
Tue, 31 Dec 2024US$900.6bUS$703.3bUS$35.4b16.4x25.4x1.3x
Thu, 28 Nov 2024US$943.2bUS$706.5bUS$33.0b18.1x28.5x1.3x
Sat, 26 Oct 2024US$463.3bUS$549.3bUS$17.9b14.5x25.8x0.8x
Mon, 23 Sep 2024US$482.3bUS$552.3bUS$17.4b15.7x27.7x0.9x
Wed, 21 Aug 2024US$468.8bUS$551.0bUS$16.9b16.7x27.7x0.9x
Fri, 19 Jul 2024US$477.8bUS$551.8bUS$17.6b16.3x27.2x0.9x
Sun, 16 Jun 2024US$465.9bUS$552.3bUS$17.6b16.2x26.4x0.8x
Tue, 14 May 2024US$443.3bUS$552.8bUS$16.6b16.6x26.7x0.8x
Thu, 11 Apr 2024US$442.8bUS$552.4bUS$17.1b15.8x25.9x0.8x
Sat, 09 Mar 2024US$440.4bUS$546.3bUS$16.3b14.3x27x0.8x
Mon, 05 Feb 2024US$435.2bUS$574.3bUS$16.0b13.9x27.1x0.8x
Wed, 03 Jan 2024US$435.8bUS$574.4bUS$16.1b13.7x27x0.8x
Fri, 01 Dec 2023US$397.4bUS$575.1bUS$16.4b14.2x24.3x0.7x
Sun, 29 Oct 2023US$361.1bUS$568.8bUS$18.0b10.9x20.1x0.6x
Tue, 26 Sep 2023US$378.8bUS$567.7bUS$18.4b11x20.6x0.7x
Thu, 24 Aug 2023US$411.7bUS$572.0bUS$17.9b11x23x0.7x
Sat, 22 Jul 2023US$422.5bUS$572.7bUS$18.2b10.4x23.2x0.7x
Mon, 19 Jun 2023US$405.6bUS$574.2bUS$18.3b10.2x22.1x0.7x
Wed, 17 May 2023US$395.2bUS$575.4bUS$19.2b10.3x20.5x0.7x
Fri, 14 Apr 2023US$402.3bUS$575.4bUS$20.3b10.1x19.8x0.7x
Sun, 12 Mar 2023US$371.4bUS$530.6bUS$22.4b9.7x16.6x0.7x
Tue, 07 Feb 2023US$411.3bUS$542.0bUS$23.7b10x17.4x0.8x
Price to Earnings Ratio

17.4x


Total Market Cap: US$411.3bTotal Earnings: US$23.7bTotal Revenue: US$542.0bTotal Market Cap vs Earnings and Revenue0%0%0%
U.S. Specialty Stores Industry Price to Earnings3Y Average 24.9x202420252026
Current Industry PE
  • Investors are relatively neutral on the American Specialty Retail industry at the moment, indicating that they anticipate long term growth rates to remain steady.
  • The industry is trading close to its 3-year average PE ratio of 24.9x.
  • The 3-year average PS ratio of 0.97x is lower than the industry's current PS ratio of 1.4x.
Past Earnings Growth
  • The earnings for companies in the Specialty Retail industry have grown 16% per year over the last three years.
  • Revenues for these companies have grown 11% per year.
  • This means that more sales are being generated by these companies overall, and subsequently their profits are increasing too.

Industry Trends

Which industries have driven the changes within the U.S. Consumer Discretionary industry?

US Market-0.28%
Consumer Discretionary-2.01%
Specialty Stores-3.80%
Computer and Electronics Retail0.082%
Home Furnishing Retail-0.35%
Apparel Retail-1.48%
Home Improvement Retail-2.62%
Specialty Stores-4.53%
Automotive Retail-10.86%
Industry PE
  • Investors are most optimistic about the Automotive Retail industry which is trading above its 3-year average PE ratio of 20.2x.
    • Analysts are expecting annual earnings growth of 22.2%, which is higher than its past year's earnings decline of 0.7% per year.
  • Investors are most pessimistic about the Computer and Electronics Retail industry, which is trading below its 3-year average of 31.4x.
Forecasted Growth
  • Analysts are most optimistic on the Automotive Retail industry, expecting annual earnings growth of 22% over the next 5 years.
  • This is better than its past earnings decline of 0.7% per year.
  • In contrast, the Home Furnishing Retail industry is expected to see its earnings grow by 4.8% per year over the next few years.

Top Stock Gainers and Losers

Which companies have driven the market over the last 7 days?

CompanyLast Price7D1YValuation
GME GameStopUS$23.883.9%
+US$398.6m		-11.2%PE25.4x
GAP GapUS$27.983.2%
+US$327.3m		16.2%PE12.2x
URBN Urban OutfittersUS$70.855.1%
+US$310.3m		27.8%PE13x
LE Lands' EndUS$17.7626.4%
+US$113.3m		42.7%PE46.2x
SIG Signet JewelersUS$92.272.8%
+US$100.9m		55.8%PE25.9x

Latest News

FND
US$65.96
Floor & Decor Holdings
7D
-12.3%
1Y
-34.1%
HD
US$374.59
Home Depot
7D
-2.4%
1Y
-9.1%
TSCO
US$50.88
Tractor Supply
7D
-7.0%
1Y
-6.4%
LE
US$17.76
Lands' End
7D
26.4%
1Y
42.7%
AAP
US$48.01
Advance Auto Parts
7D
2.7%
1Y
-1.0%

AAP: New Private Label Launch And Modest Outlook Will Shape Measured Upside

Analysts have trimmed their implied fair value estimate for Advance Auto Parts from about US$54.30 to roughly US$51.29. This reflects slightly lower assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples.
CVNA
US$401.11
Carvana
7D
-15.3%
1Y
62.1%

CVNA: TAM Expansion And S&P 500 Inclusion Will Shape Future Execution Risk

Analysts have lifted their implied fair value for Carvana by about $62 per share to roughly $481, citing a higher assumed future P/E multiple and an improved profit margin outlook, supported by recent price target increases and total addressable market expansion themes across several research notes. Analyst Commentary Bullish and cautious views on Carvana are both coming through in recent research, and they often tie back to how much value analysts see in the company’s expansion efforts and its ability to execute against that opportunity.
TJX
US$149.81
TJX Companies
7D
-2.2%
1Y
20.0%

TJX: Elevated Expectations Around Off Price Expansion May Limit Future Upside

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for TJX Companies higher to about $124.91 from $117.46, citing recent price target increases across the Street that reflect confidence in the off price model, solid Q3 results, and positive views on consumer spending and market share opportunities into 2026. Analyst Commentary Street research on TJX remains largely constructive, with a cluster of higher price targets following the company’s Q3 report and updated guidance.
SIG
US$92.27
Signet Jewelers
7D
2.8%
1Y
55.8%

SIG: Leadership And Self Help Profit Drivers Will Shape Upside Potential

Analysts have raised their price target on Signet Jewelers to $150 from $130, citing what they view as an attractive margin of safety, company-controlled profit drivers, and a leadership strategy they consider early but effective, even as the macro backdrop remains a wild card. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are highlighting what they see as a favorable risk reward setup for Signet Jewelers at the current US$150 price target, especially given their view that many investors are not actively looking at jewelry retail stocks right now.
URBN
US$70.85
Urban Outfitters
7D
5.1%
1Y
27.8%

URBN: Q3 Margin Strength And Brand Initiatives Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have nudged their average price target for Urban Outfitters higher to about $85, reflecting updated views that incorporate recent Q3 strength across sales, margins and category breadth, along with slightly more conservative P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Urban Outfitters clusters around a similar theme, with most firms acknowledging Q3 outperformance while fine tuning their price targets and assumptions.
GAP
US$27.98
Gap
7D
3.2%
1Y
16.2%

GAP: Recent Earnings Momentum Will Likely Prove Difficult To Sustain

The analyst fair value estimate for Gap has been raised from $19.00 to $22.60, as analysts point to a series of price target upgrades tied to recent earnings outperformance, improving growth assumptions, and higher expected profitability across key brands and newer categories such as beauty and handbags. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Gap highlights a clear split between enthusiastic upgrades and more restrained, valuation conscious views.
GME
US$23.88
GameStop
7D
3.9%
1Y
-11.2%
ULTA
US$647.36
Ulta Beauty
7D
-5.6%
1Y
57.1%

ULTA: Rising Sector Optimism Will Likely Mask Mounting Margin Investment Risk

Our analyst price target for Ulta Beauty has been lifted from US$477.51 to US$485.43 as analysts factor in stronger top line expectations, a slightly higher future P/E assumption, and broadly supportive recent research that highlights sector optimism and Ulta's execution, even though it requires ongoing investment to address competitive pressures. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Ulta Beauty has centered on higher price targets and refreshed views on the core beauty retail story, with several firms updating their models after company meetings, store visits, and broader sector reviews.
CHWY
US$29.11
Chewy
7D
-8.1%
1Y
-25.3%
AZO
US$3,704.29
AutoZone
7D
0.1%
1Y
10.6%

AZO: Do It For Me Strength Will Counter Recent Caution On Do It Yourself

Narrative Update Analysts have trimmed their AutoZone fair value estimate by about $118 to $4,213, reflecting slightly higher discount rate assumptions, a modestly lower profit margin outlook, and a higher future P/E input following recent price target resets and sector views from major research firms. Analyst Commentary Street research on AutoZone has turned more mixed recently, with some firms trimming price targets while others see an improved risk and reward profile after the stock's pullback.
FIVE
US$191.64
Five Below
7D
0.7%
1Y
104.4%

FIVE: Raised Guidance And Execution Support Future Margin And Valuation Balance

Analysts have raised their implied fair value estimate for Five Below from about $186 to roughly $214. This reflects updated assumptions for slightly higher revenue, improved profit margins, and a modestly richer future P/E multiple following a series of price target increases across Wall Street.
LOW
US$267.06
Lowe's Companies
7D
-3.5%
1Y
2.7%

LOW: Lock-In Housing And AI Tools Will Support Gradual Home Improvement Recovery

Narrative Update The analyst price target for Lowe's Companies has been raised by about US$5 to reflect slightly higher modeled fair value, modest tweaks to revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E assumptions, as analysts point to valuation, pent up demand in home improvement and a healthier mix across do it yourself and pro customers as key supports for the update. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Lowe's highlights a mix of optimism around long term home improvement demand and caution around near term earnings visibility, with several firms adjusting price targets and ratings after the latest results and outlook updates.