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U.S. Auto Industry Analysis

UpdatedMay 09, 2026
DataAggregated Company Financials
Companies48
  • 7D8.7%
  • 3M2.7%
  • 1Y39.1%
  • YTD-3.0%

The Auto industry is up 8.7% in the last week, with Tesla up 7.9%. During this same period, the Rivian Automotive underperformed, falling 13%. This means that the industry has gained 39% over the past year. Earnings are forecast to grow by 37% annually.

Industry Valuation and Performance

Has the U.S. Auto Industry valuation changed over the past few years?

DateMarket CapRevenueEarningsPEAbsolute PEPS
Sun, 10 May 2026US$1.7tUS$538.2b-US$10,021,703,757.1724.4x-174x3.2x
Tue, 07 Apr 2026US$1.6tUS$550.1b-US$11,280,734,450.2921.4x-138x2.8x
Thu, 05 Mar 2026US$1.7tUS$531.5b-US$11,319,750,758.2424.2x-147.4x3.1x
Sat, 31 Jan 2026US$1.8tUS$533.8bUS$2.3b23.9x777x3.3x
Mon, 29 Dec 2025US$1.8tUS$536.7bUS$5.2b19.9x346.4x3.4x
Wed, 26 Nov 2025US$1.6tUS$537.7bUS$5.4b16.2x294.4x3x
Fri, 24 Oct 2025US$1.7tUS$530.6bUS$3.2b19.8x518.1x3.1x
Sun, 21 Sep 2025US$1.6tUS$527.9bUS$5.7b18.8x283.8x3.1x
Tue, 19 Aug 2025US$1.3tUS$526.1bUS$5.6b18.1x221.8x2.4x
Thu, 17 Jul 2025US$1.2tUS$527.7bUS$8.6b15.1x138.3x2.2x
Sat, 14 Jun 2025US$1.2tUS$527.7bUS$8.6b8.3x142.4x2.3x
Mon, 12 May 2025US$1.1tUS$525.7bUS$8.4b14.2x134.8x2.2x
Wed, 09 Apr 2025US$904.7bUS$528.6bUS$9.4b17.1x95.8x1.7x
Fri, 07 Mar 2025US$1.2tUS$535.2bUS$11.5b17.7x100.5x2.2x
Sun, 02 Feb 2025US$1.5tUS$532.5bUS$8.4b17.4x185x2.9x
Tue, 31 Dec 2024US$1.6tUS$527.0bUS$17.2b17.4x95.7x3.1x
Thu, 28 Nov 2024US$1.3tUS$527.9bUS$17.2b20.1x78.1x2.5x
Sat, 26 Oct 2024US$1.1tUS$525.6bUS$17.2b20.1x65.8x2.2x
Mon, 23 Sep 2024US$1.0tUS$519.9bUS$17.0b12.6x60.1x2x
Wed, 21 Aug 2024US$962.0bUS$517.5bUS$16.5b16.2x58.2x1.9x
Fri, 19 Jul 2024US$1.1tUS$509.6bUS$17.4b19.6x61.2x2.1x
Sun, 16 Jun 2024US$807.9bUS$509.6bUS$17.4b13.9x46.5x1.6x
Tue, 14 May 2024US$802.8bUS$508.6bUS$17.2b17.2x46.8x1.6x
Thu, 11 Apr 2024US$830.5bUS$505.6bUS$18.4b19.8x45.2x1.6x
Sat, 09 Mar 2024US$821.9bUS$504.9bUS$18.0b15.9x45.5x1.6x
Mon, 05 Feb 2024US$847.4bUS$498.9bUS$18.1b16x46.7x1.7x
Wed, 03 Jan 2024US$1.1tUS$498.4bUS$13.8b16.6x76.9x2.1x
Fri, 01 Dec 2023US$1.0tUS$498.4bUS$13.9b11.5x73.7x2.1x
Sun, 29 Oct 2023US$892.8bUS$492.8bUS$13.1b10x68.4x1.8x
Tue, 26 Sep 2023US$1.0tUS$485.9bUS$13.0b10.6x80.4x2.2x
Thu, 24 Aug 2023US$1.0tUS$486.4bUS$13.5b10.7x76.1x2.1x
Sat, 22 Jul 2023US$1.1tUS$469.5bUS$11.4b10.4x97.9x2.4x
Mon, 19 Jun 2023US$1.1tUS$462.2bUS$11.1b9x99.4x2.4x
Wed, 17 May 2023US$762.1bUS$464.6bUS$11.4b5.6x66.7x1.6x
Price to Earnings Ratio

66.7x


Total Market Cap: US$762.1bTotal Earnings: US$11.4bTotal Revenue: US$464.6bTotal Market Cap vs Earnings and Revenue0%0%0%
U.S. Auto Industry Price to Earnings3Y Average 108.1x202420252026
Current Industry PE
  • Investors are optimistic on the American Auto industry, and appear confident in long term growth rates.
  • The 3-year average PS ratio of 2.3x is lower than the industry's current PS ratio of 3.2x.
Past Earnings Growth
  • Total earnings for the Auto industry have declined over the last three years, with the industry now making a loss overall.
  • Meanwhile revenues have grown 5.0% per year.
  • This means that although more sales are being generated, either the cost of doing business or the level of investment back into businesses has increased, which has decreased profits.

Industry Trends

Which industries have driven the changes within the U.S. Consumer Discretionary industry?

US Market2.14%
Consumer Discretionary1.97%
Auto8.66%
Automobile Manufacturers8.67%
Motorcycle Manufacturers0.46%
Industry PE
    Forecasted Growth
    • Analysts are most optimistic on the Automobile Manufacturers industry, expecting annual earnings growth of 37% over the next 5 years.
    • This is better than its past earnings decline of 52% per year.
    • In contrast, the Motorcycle Manufacturers industry is expected to see its earnings grow by 12% per year over the next few years.

    Top Stock Gainers and Losers

    Which companies have driven the market over the last 7 days?

    CompanyLast Price7D1YValuation
    		TSLA TeslaUS$411.817.9%
    +US$113.3b    		44.6%PE400.5x
    		GM General MotorsUS$78.412.0%
    +US$1.4b    		65.6%PE29.1x
    		F Ford MotorUS$12.180.8%
    +US$398.5m    		18.5%PS0.3x
    		PSNY Polestar Automotive Holding UKUS$19.907.6%
    +US$159.6m    		-42.3%PS0.7x
    		VFS VinFast AutoUS$4.270.9%
    +US$93.6m    		16.3%PS2.9x

    Latest News

    NIO
    US$5.87
    NIO
    7D
    -8.1%
    1Y
    48.2%
    Seeking Alpha • May 08

    NIO: The Market Still Underestimates The ES8 Effect

    Summary NIO Inc. (NIO) has transitioned from a volume-driven, cash-burning EV maker to a margin-focused story anchored by the high-margin ES8 model. 4Q25 marked a pivotal breakeven milestone, with vehicle margins at 18.1% and disciplined OpEx, validating the operating leverage thesis. Management targets full-year non-GAAP operating breakeven in FY26, with ES8 and upcoming ES9 expected to sustain high-margin mix and delivery momentum. Despite strong execution, market skepticism persists, keeping bullish asymmetry intact and supporting my Buy rating on NIO. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
    VFS
    US$4.27
    VinFast Auto
    7D
    0.9%
    1Y
    16.3%
    LCID
    US$6.05
    Lucid Group
    7D
    -5.0%
    1Y
    -73.8%
    LVWR
    US$1.67
    LiveWire Group
    7D
    -8.2%
    1Y
    49.1%
    PSNY
    US$19.90
    Polestar Automotive Holding UK
    7D
    7.6%
    1Y
    -42.3%
    Narrative Update • May 06

    PSNY: Revised Volume Outlook And Capital Raise Will Support Future Upside

    Narrative update on Polestar Automotive Holding UK The analyst price target for Polestar Automotive Holding UK is now set at $30.00. The change is supported by analysts highlighting lower delivery expectations, additional capital needs, recent share price appreciation, and an unclear autonomy strategy following the company's reduced volume growth guidance and a potential 16% cut to 2026 revenue estimates.
    EZGO
    US$0.069
    EZGO Technologies
    7D
    -95.4%
    1Y
    -99.3%
    RIVN
    US$14.19
    Rivian Automotive
    7D
    -13.5%
    1Y
    3.7%
    F
    US$12.18
    Ford Motor
    7D
    0.8%
    1Y
    18.5%
    Narrative Update • May 04

    F: Higher Margin Trucks And SUVs Are Expected To Support Future Returns

    Analysts have updated their view on Ford Motor, increasing the implied fair value estimate from about $15.67 to $17.12. They cite mixed price target changes across brokers and an ongoing debate around future revenue growth, margins, and an appropriate forward P/E multiple.
    TSLA
    US$411.81
    Tesla
    7D
    7.9%
    1Y
    44.6%
    Seeking Alpha • May 04

    Tesla's Robotaxi Opportunity Is Dead In Light Of Waymo's Dominance

    Summary Tesla remains a 'Strong Sell' as I expect continued underperformance versus the S&P 500 due to missed strategic opportunities. TSLA's robotaxi efforts lag far behind Waymo, with only 165 active vehicles versus Waymo's 3,000 and Level 4 autonomy. Waymo's rapid expansion and superior safety data highlight TSLA's inability to scale or compete meaningfully in the robotaxi market. Despite a massive global robotaxi TAM, TSLA's technological and executional shortfalls leave it a marginal player, justifying my bearish stance. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
    XPEV
    US$15.55
    XPeng
    7D
    -4.6%
    1Y
    -20.7%
    GM
    US$78.41
    General Motors
    7D
    2.0%
    1Y
    65.6%
    Narrative Update • May 03

    GM: Future Returns Will Hinge On Truck Reliance And EV Execution Risk

    The updated analyst price target for General Motors has been reduced by about $1 to $67. Analysts are balancing higher modeled revenue growth and slightly firmer margins with a lower assumed future P/E ratio, as well as a recent mix of target increases and cuts across the Street.
    LI
    US$17.60
    Li Auto
    7D
    -1.3%
    1Y
    -35.4%
    Narrative Update • May 02

    LI: Future Performance Will Face Margin Pressure From Weaker Sectorwide Demand

    Li Auto's updated analyst price target moves modestly higher, with a fair value estimate shifting from about $14.05 to $14.99 as analysts factor in reduced revenue growth expectations, thinner profit margins, a slightly lower discount rate, and a higher assumed future P/E multiple, following a mix of recent downgrades, target cuts, and one upgrade. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Li Auto has tilted more cautious, with several bearish analysts flagging execution and profitability risks that they see as limiting near term upside relative to prior expectations.
    LOT
    US$1.21
    Lotus Technology
    7D
    -7.6%
    1Y
    -38.3%
    Narrative Update • May 02

    LOT: Global Hybrid SUV Rollout And Higher Future P/E Will Support Upside

    Analysts have adjusted their price targets on Lotus Technology, reflecting updated views on revenue growth, profit margins, and a higher future P/E assumption. Together, these changes temper earlier expectations while keeping the fair value estimate at $2.40.
    WKHS
    US$3.63
    Workhorse Group
    7D
    25.2%
    1Y
    n/a
    EMPD
    US$4.94
    Empery Digital
    7D
    5.1%
    1Y
    -9.3%
    THO
    US$76.94
    THOR Industries
    7D
    -2.7%
    1Y
    0.9%