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U.S. Auto Industry Analysis

UpdatedMar 31, 2026
DataAggregated Company Financials
Companies46
  • 7D-6.4%
  • 3M-20.8%
  • 1Y33.3%
  • YTD-18.1%

Over the last 7 days, the Auto industry has dropped 1.5%, driven by Tesla declining 5.0%. In contrast, VinFast Auto has gained 16%. This takes the industry's 12 month performance to a gain of 34%. Looking forward, earnings are forecast to grow by 35% annually.

Industry Valuation and Performance

Has the U.S. Auto Industry valuation changed over the past few years?

DateMarket CapRevenueEarningsPEAbsolute PEPS
Tue, 31 Mar 2026US$1.6tUS$549.8b-US$10,813,410,096.8121.1x-143.9x2.8x
Thu, 26 Feb 2026US$1.8tUS$531.6b-US$11,350,194,243.7925.5x-156.7x3.3x
Sat, 24 Jan 2026US$1.7tUS$536.9bUS$5.2b21.4x329.6x3.2x
Mon, 22 Dec 2025US$1.8tUS$536.5bUS$5.2b19.9x349.4x3.4x
Wed, 19 Nov 2025US$1.5tUS$534.8bUS$5.2b16.6x294.9x2.9x
Fri, 17 Oct 2025US$1.6tUS$527.8bUS$5.7b17.5x288x3.1x
Sun, 14 Sep 2025US$1.5tUS$527.8bUS$5.7b18.4x264.7x2.9x
Tue, 12 Aug 2025US$1.2tUS$526.0bUS$5.7b17.9x219.6x2.4x
Thu, 10 Jul 2025US$1.1tUS$527.7bUS$8.6b15.8x132.3x2.2x
Sat, 07 Jun 2025US$1.1tUS$527.7bUS$8.4b8.4x134.1x2.1x
Mon, 05 May 2025US$1.1tUS$527.6bUS$8.4b14x130.2x2.1x
Wed, 02 Apr 2025US$1.0tUS$528.9bUS$9.4b20.2x106.7x1.9x
Fri, 28 Feb 2025US$1.2tUS$534.9bUS$11.5b19.3x104.6x2.2x
Sun, 26 Jan 2025US$1.6tUS$527.3bUS$17.3b17.3x90.1x3x
Tue, 24 Dec 2024US$1.6tUS$527.0bUS$17.1b17.3x93.9x3x
Thu, 21 Nov 2024US$1.4tUS$527.9bUS$17.2b18.9x79.3x2.6x
Sat, 19 Oct 2024US$968.0bUS$519.3bUS$17.0b17.6x57.1x1.9x
Mon, 16 Sep 2024US$991.1bUS$519.6bUS$17.0b13.3x58.3x1.9x
Wed, 14 Aug 2024US$863.3bUS$517.3bUS$16.6b12.9x52x1.7x
Fri, 12 Jul 2024US$1.1tUS$509.5bUS$17.4b18.4x63.3x2.2x
Sun, 09 Jun 2024US$812.7bUS$509.7bUS$17.4b15.1x46.7x1.6x
Tue, 07 May 2024US$852.4bUS$507.9bUS$17.1b17.5x49.8x1.7x
Thu, 04 Apr 2024US$800.4bUS$505.7bUS$18.4b18.3x43.6x1.6x
Sat, 02 Mar 2024US$921.8bUS$504.8bUS$18.0b17.6x51.1x1.8x
Mon, 29 Jan 2024US$824.2bUS$499.2bUS$18.0b15.7x45.7x1.7x
Wed, 27 Dec 2023US$1.1tUS$498.5bUS$13.8b17x78.1x2.2x
Fri, 24 Nov 2023US$1.0tUS$498.2bUS$14.0b11.8x71.9x2x
Sun, 22 Oct 2023US$916.1bUS$486.3bUS$11.3b12x80.9x1.9x
Tue, 19 Sep 2023US$1.1tUS$486.0bUS$13.0b10.5x86.1x2.3x
Thu, 17 Aug 2023US$992.8bUS$486.6bUS$13.7b10.7x72.4x2x
Sat, 15 Jul 2023US$1.2tUS$461.7bUS$11.0b10.2x108.9x2.6x
Mon, 12 Jun 2023US$1.0tUS$462.1bUS$11.0b8.8x93.4x2.2x
Wed, 10 May 2023US$773.6bUS$463.0bUS$10.9b6.2x70.8x1.7x
Fri, 07 Apr 2023US$825.7bUS$446.8bUS$7.1b6.3x116.9x1.8x
Price to Earnings Ratio

116.9x


Total Market Cap: US$825.7bTotal Earnings: US$7.1bTotal Revenue: US$446.8bTotal Market Cap vs Earnings and Revenue0%0%0%
U.S. Auto Industry Price to Earnings3Y Average 117.5x202420252026
Current Industry PE
  • Investors are optimistic on the American Auto industry, and appear confident in long term growth rates.
  • The 3-year average PS ratio of 2.3x is lower than the industry's current PS ratio of 2.8x.
Past Earnings Growth
  • Total earnings for the Auto industry have declined over the last three years, with the industry now making a loss overall.
  • Meanwhile revenues have grown 7.2% per year.
  • This means that although more sales are being generated, either the cost of doing business or the level of investment back into businesses has increased, which has decreased profits.

Industry Trends

Which industries have driven the changes within the U.S. Consumer Discretionary industry?

US Market-3.50%
Consumer Discretionary-4.34%
Auto-6.44%
Motorcycle Manufacturers6.72%
Automobile Manufacturers-6.46%
Industry PE
  • Investors are most optimistic about the Motorcycle Manufacturers industry which is trading above its 3-year average PE ratio of 12.6x.
    • Analysts are expecting annual earnings growth of 3.5%, which is higher than its past year's earnings decline of 25.6% per year.
Forecasted Growth
  • Analysts are most optimistic on the Automobile Manufacturers industry, expecting annual earnings growth of 35% over the next 5 years.
  • This is better than its past earnings decline of 51% per year.
  • In contrast, the Motorcycle Manufacturers industry is expected to see its earnings grow by 3.5% per year over the next few years.

Top Stock Gainers and Losers

Which companies have driven the market over the last 7 days?

CompanyLast Price7D1YValuation
VFS VinFast AutoUS$3.6124.1%
+US$1.6b		13.5%PS2.5x
LI Li AutoUS$17.552.5%
+US$412.3m		-30.4%PE110x
HOG Harley-DavidsonUS$19.449.3%
+US$184.6m		-23.0%PE6.4x
LOT Lotus TechnologyUS$1.113.7%
+US$27.2m		-30.6%PS1.2x
LVWR LiveWire GroupUS$1.497.2%
+US$20.4m		-25.5%PS11.9x

Latest News

LI
US$17.55
Li Auto
7D
2.5%
1Y
-30.4%
LOT
US$1.11
Lotus Technology
7D
3.7%
1Y
-30.6%
VFS
US$3.61
VinFast Auto
7D
24.1%
1Y
13.5%
F
US$11.21
Ford Motor
7D
-4.7%
1Y
11.8%
TSLA
US$355.28
Tesla
7D
-6.7%
1Y
37.1%

The academically fascinating Tesla

Paraphrasing Charlie Munger, I would neither buy nor short Tesla, Inc. at present.
HOG
US$19.44
Harley-Davidson
7D
9.3%
1Y
-23.0%

HOG: Product Refresh And Buybacks Will Offset Ongoing Demand And Dealer Pressures

Harley-Davidson's analyst price targets have been reset lower, with reductions from firms including UBS, Morgan Stanley, Baird, DA Davidson, and Citi. Wells Fargo also initiated coverage with an Underweight rating and a $15 target, as analysts highlight ongoing demand softness, dealer pressures, and uncertainty around the direction of the business.
XPEV
US$16.72
XPeng
7D
-11.4%
1Y
-19.3%
GM
US$72.76
General Motors
7D
-3.9%
1Y
54.7%
THO
US$78.23
THOR Industries
7D
-2.8%
1Y
3.2%
GGR
US$3.43
Gogoro
7D
1.6%
1Y
-36.6%
RIVN
US$14.49
Rivian Automotive
7D
-8.1%
1Y
16.4%

RIVN: Future Upside Will Depend On Autonomous Partnership Execution

Rivian's analyst price target framework holds fair value steady at $25.00, with recent Street research reflecting a mix of higher targets tied to R2 demand potential and partnership momentum, alongside more cautious views focused on EV adoption, profitability timing, and execution risk. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Rivian shows a wide range of views, but there is a clear cluster of bullish analysts who are leaning into the R2 launch, partnership traction, and execution progress, while others highlight EV adoption risk, capital intensity, and the timing of any benefit from new models.
NIO
US$5.51
NIO
7D
-5.3%
1Y
44.6%

NIO: Improving Earnings Visibility And New Models Will Drive Future Upside

Analysts have trimmed NIO's fair value estimate while still lifting average price targets toward the high $6 range, citing what they view as improving earnings visibility, stronger order momentum from new models, and expectations for better margins and a lower future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on NIO has tilted more constructive, with several bullish analysts lifting price targets into the mid to high US$6 range and pointing to what they see as clearer earnings trajectories and improving business fundamentals.
LCID
US$9.15
Lucid Group
7D
-11.3%
1Y
-62.2%

LCID: Weaker EV Demand And Cost Cuts Will Extend Profitability Challenges

Analysts have trimmed their blended price target for Lucid Group to $10, citing more conservative expectations for electric vehicle adoption, lower production guidance versus prior expectations, persistent high negative gross margins, additional capital needs, a tougher regulatory backdrop, and tariff uncertainty. At the same time, updated models reflect slightly higher projected revenue growth and a higher future P/E multiple, alongside a modestly lower profit margin outlook.
FLYE
US$1.95
Fly-E Group
7D
2.1%
1Y
-95.5%
MAMO
US$1.00
Massimo Group
7D
4.2%
1Y
-63.0%
LVWR
US$1.49
LiveWire Group
7D
7.2%
1Y
-25.5%