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U.S. Auto Industry Analysis

UpdatedFeb 11, 2026
DataAggregated Company Financials
Companies45
  • 7D0.6%
  • 3M-1.7%
  • 1Y29.1%
  • YTD-2.9%

The Auto industry has been flat over the last week, but General Motors has lost 6.3%. The past year has been better, since the industry has gained 29% in that time. As for the next few years, earnings are expected to grow by 33% per annum.

Industry Valuation and Performance

Has the U.S. Auto Industry valuation changed over the past few years?

DateMarket CapRevenueEarningsPEAbsolute PEPS
Wed, 11 Feb 2026US$1.8tUS$533.8bUS$2.1b22.8x839.6x3.3x
Fri, 09 Jan 2026US$1.7tUS$536.8bUS$5.2b20.2x318.5x3.1x
Sun, 07 Dec 2025US$1.7tUS$536.3bUS$5.2b18.9x334.1x3.2x
Tue, 04 Nov 2025US$1.7tUS$535.0bUS$4.8b18.2x363.2x3.2x
Thu, 02 Oct 2025US$1.7tUS$527.9bUS$5.7b18.3x293.8x3.2x
Sat, 30 Aug 2025US$1.3tUS$527.6bUS$5.7b17.9x222.7x2.4x
Mon, 28 Jul 2025US$1.2tUS$523.9bUS$7.3b15.9x166.4x2.3x
Wed, 25 Jun 2025US$1.3tUS$527.7bUS$8.6b8.5x148.2x2.4x
Fri, 23 May 2025US$1.3tUS$527.2bUS$8.6b8.5x149.4x2.4x
Sun, 20 Apr 2025US$936.6bUS$528.8bUS$9.4b18.2x99.4x1.8x
Tue, 18 Mar 2025US$940.6bUS$528.4bUS$9.5b15.7x98.5x1.8x
Thu, 13 Feb 2025US$1.3tUS$534.3bUS$10.7b17.9x122x2.4x
Sat, 11 Jan 2025US$1.5tUS$526.8bUS$17.2b17.2x88.5x2.9x
Mon, 09 Dec 2024US$1.5tUS$527.4bUS$17.1b21.5x88.1x2.9x
Wed, 06 Nov 2024US$1.0tUS$529.0bUS$16.9b17.8x61.6x2x
Fri, 04 Oct 2024US$1.0tUS$519.8bUS$17.0b19.4x61x2x
Sun, 01 Sep 2024US$948.9bUS$518.4bUS$16.8b14.4x56.3x1.8x
Tue, 30 Jul 2024US$947.5bUS$516.3bUS$16.5b13.1x57.5x1.8x
Thu, 27 Jun 2024US$842.8bUS$509.4bUS$17.4b17.8x48.5x1.7x
Sat, 25 May 2024US$796.5bUS$509.9bUS$17.4b14.4x45.9x1.6x
Mon, 22 Apr 2024US$711.5bUS$505.5bUS$18.4b16x38.7x1.4x
Wed, 20 Mar 2024US$807.5bUS$504.7bUS$18.1b15.8x44.7x1.6x
Fri, 16 Feb 2024US$855.5bUS$500.9bUS$16.6b16.7x51.6x1.7x
Sun, 14 Jan 2024US$951.6bUS$498.3bUS$13.8b15.7x69.2x1.9x
Tue, 12 Dec 2023US$1.0tUS$498.4bUS$13.8b14.8x74.8x2.1x
Thu, 09 Nov 2023US$959.7bUS$494.0bUS$13.4b10.8x71.5x1.9x
Sat, 07 Oct 2023US$1.1tUS$484.8bUS$12.8b12.2x84.9x2.2x
Mon, 04 Sep 2023US$1.1tUS$486.1bUS$13.0b11x81.7x2.2x
Wed, 02 Aug 2023US$1.1tUS$483.2bUS$13.5b10.9x84.8x2.4x
Fri, 30 Jun 2023US$1.1tUS$461.3bUS$11.1b9.7x99.3x2.4x
Sun, 28 May 2023US$856.1bUS$463.8bUS$11.7b5.8x73.4x1.8x
Tue, 25 Apr 2023US$747.8bUS$451.4bUS$6.2b6.6x119.8x1.7x
Thu, 23 Mar 2023US$837.4bUS$446.8bUS$7.0b6.5x119.5x1.9x
Sat, 18 Feb 2023US$939.4bUS$448.4bUS$6.2b9.6x150.3x2.1x
Price to Earnings Ratio

150.3x


Total Market Cap: US$939.4bTotal Earnings: US$6.2bTotal Revenue: US$448.4bTotal Market Cap vs Earnings and Revenue0%0%0%
U.S. Auto Industry Price to Earnings3Y Average 129x202420252026
Current Industry PE
  • Investors are optimistic on the American Auto industry, and appear confident in long term growth rates.
  • The industry is trading at a PE ratio of 840x which is higher than its 3-year average PE of 129x.
  • The 3-year average PS ratio of 2.2x is lower than the industry's current PS ratio of 3.3x.
Past Earnings Growth
  • The earnings for companies in the Auto industry have declined 30% per year over the last three years.
  • Meanwhile revenues for these companies have grown 6.0% per year.
  • This means that although more sales are being generated, either the cost of doing business or the level of investment back into businesses has increased, which has decreased profits.

Industry Trends

Which industries have driven the changes within the U.S. Consumer Discretionary industry?

US Market0.99%
Consumer Discretionary-2.62%
Auto0.61%
Motorcycle Manufacturers3.61%
Automobile Manufacturers0.61%
Industry PE
  • Investors are most optimistic about the Automobile Manufacturers industry which is trading above its 3-year average PE ratio of 132x.
    • Analysts are expecting annual earnings growth of 33.5%, which is higher than its past year's earnings decline of 46.8% per year.
  • Investors are most pessimistic about the Motorcycle Manufacturers industry, although it looks like investor sentiment has improved given that it's trading above its 3-year average of 11.5x.
Forecasted Growth
  • Analysts are most optimistic on the Automobile Manufacturers industry, expecting annual earnings growth of 34% over the next 5 years.
  • This is better than its past earnings decline of 47% per year.
  • In contrast, the Motorcycle Manufacturers industry is expected to see its earnings grow by 18% per year over the next few years.

Top Stock Gainers and Losers

Which companies have driven the market over the last 7 days?

CompanyLast Price7D1YValuation
TSLA TeslaUS$425.210.8%
+US$12.2b		29.4%PE420.6x
LI Li AutoUS$18.8911.0%
+US$1.9b		-24.7%PE28.4x
NIO NIOUS$4.969.0%
+US$1.0b		22.8%PS1.2x
RIVN Rivian AutomotiveUS$14.963.8%
+US$674.3m		20.3%PS3.1x
XPEV XPengUS$17.823.8%
+US$630.1m		14.8%PS1.7x

Latest News

GM
US$80.27
General Motors
7D
-6.3%
1Y
71.9%
F
US$13.57
Ford Motor
7D
-1.2%
1Y
47.3%
VFS
US$3.34
VinFast Auto
7D
1.8%
1Y
-8.5%

VFS: Planned 2025 Delivery Surge To 200,000 Units Will Support Upside

Narrative Update on VinFast Auto Analysts have modestly adjusted their price target on VinFast Auto, keeping fair value at $6.36 while fine tuning assumptions around discount rate, profit margin, and future P/E to reflect updated views on the company’s risk profile and long term earnings potential. What's in the News VinFast Auto issued delivery guidance for full year 2025, indicating an expectation that global EV deliveries will be approximately double its full year 2024 volume of 97,399 vehicles, approaching 200,000 units (Key Developments).
LCID
US$10.92
Lucid Group
7D
5.2%
1Y
-62.0%
FFAI
US$0.70
Faraday Future Intelligent Electric
7D
-34.4%
1Y
-50.2%
XPEV
US$17.82
XPeng
7D
3.8%
1Y
14.8%

XPEV: Future Robotaxi And Robotics Optionality May Drive Re-Rating

XPeng's updated fair value estimate edges up to US$18.81 from US$18.24 as analysts factor in stronger projected revenue growth, higher profit margins and a lower assumed discount rate, even as some recent price targets on the stock have been revised and others raised on product and new business initiatives. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on XPeng sends a mixed message, with some firms lifting targets and ratings while others trim expectations.
PSNY
US$18.66
Polestar Automotive Holding UK
7D
36.7%
1Y
-44.5%

PSNY: Higher Fair Value Assumptions Will Support Stronger Long Term Equity Case

Analysts have raised their price target on Polestar Automotive Holding UK to approximately $30.00, citing updated assumptions on fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Polestar Automotive Holding UK points to a more constructive tone, with bullish analysts reassessing what they see as fair value for the shares.
RIVN
US$14.96
Rivian Automotive
7D
3.8%
1Y
20.3%

RIVN: Autonomy Roadmap And VW Partnership Will Support Future Multiple

Narrative Update Analysts now see Rivian Automotive's fair value at about $16.96 per share, up from roughly $16.67. They factor in a higher discount rate, slightly lower long term revenue growth and profit margins, and a higher future P/E multiple, reflecting mixed views from recent downgrades and price target increases.
EMPD
US$3.81
Empery Digital
7D
-17.9%
1Y
-58.2%
NIO
US$4.96
NIO
7D
9.0%
1Y
22.8%
LI
US$18.89
Li Auto
7D
11.0%
1Y
-24.7%

LI: Overseas Execution Will Drive Future Re Rating Potential

Narrative Update on Li Auto Analysts have trimmed their price targets for Li Auto, with our fair value estimate moving from about US$39.04 to US$35.43. They cited more conservative assumptions on revenue growth and profit margins, partially offset by a higher expected future P/E multiple and recent target cuts and a downgrade from several firms.
TSLA
US$425.21
Tesla
7D
0.8%
1Y
29.4%
MAMO
US$1.01
Massimo Group
7D
-21.1%
1Y
-66.4%
WGO
US$47.21
Winnebago Industries
7D
-1.7%
1Y
2.4%

WGO: Raised Revenue And Margin Assumptions Will Likely Expose Valuation Risk

Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Winnebago Industries from US$30 to US$40, pointing to updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and a lower implied future P/E, consistent with recent Street price target moves such as the Citi increase. Analyst Commentary Analysts are factoring the new US$40 fair value into their broader views on Winnebago Industries, framing it as a recalibration of expectations rather than a clear shift in sentiment.
WKHS
US$4.26
Workhorse Group
7D
-11.8%
1Y
n/a
AIIO
US$0.15
Robo.ai
7D
-24.9%
1Y
-75.3%