Investing IdeasBrowse All StocksMarkets
Have your own idea? Try our Stock Screener
Header cover image

U.S. Consumer Discretionary Sector Analysis

UpdatedFeb 04, 2026
DataAggregated Company Financials
Companies794
  • 7D-2.2%
  • 3M-3.4%
  • 1Y2.4%
  • YTD0.8%

Over the last 7 days, the Consumer Discretionary industry has dropped 2.2%, driven by a pullback from Amazon.com of 2.5%. Over the last year, the industry has been flat overall. As for the next few years, earnings are expected to grow by 20% per annum.

Sector Valuation and Performance

Has the U.S. Consumer Discretionary Sector valuation changed over the past few years?

DateMarket CapRevenueEarningsPEAbsolute PEPS
Wed, 04 Feb 2026US$7.9tUS$3.6tUS$218.4b19.6x36.3x2.2x
Fri, 02 Jan 2026US$7.7tUS$3.6tUS$221.6b18.7x34.6x2.2x
Sun, 30 Nov 2025US$7.6tUS$3.6tUS$221.4b18.5x34.6x2.1x
Tue, 28 Oct 2025US$7.8tUS$3.5tUS$222.7b19x35x2.2x
Thu, 25 Sep 2025US$7.7tUS$3.5tUS$220.6b20x35x2.2x
Sat, 23 Aug 2025US$7.0tUS$3.5tUS$217.6b20.4x32.4x2x
Mon, 21 Jul 2025US$7.0tUS$3.4tUS$215.7b18.7x32.3x2x
Wed, 18 Jun 2025US$6.7tUS$3.4tUS$217.0b17.3x31x2x
Fri, 16 May 2025US$6.9tUS$3.4tUS$220.2b18.1x31.3x2x
Sun, 13 Apr 2025US$5.8tUS$3.4tUS$211.8b15.7x27.6x1.7x
Tue, 11 Mar 2025US$6.5tUS$3.4tUS$214.2b17.5x30.3x1.9x
Thu, 06 Feb 2025US$7.4tUS$3.3tUS$192.7b19.3x38.4x2.2x
Sat, 04 Jan 2025US$6.9tUS$3.3tUS$201.6b18.2x34.4x2.1x
Mon, 02 Dec 2024US$6.9tUS$3.3tUS$199.8b19.2x34.5x2.1x
Wed, 30 Oct 2024US$6.0tUS$3.2tUS$180.1b18.3x33.1x1.9x
Fri, 27 Sep 2024US$5.9tUS$3.2tUS$178.0b18.2x33.2x1.9x
Sun, 25 Aug 2024US$5.6tUS$3.2tUS$173.7b17.6x32.1x1.8x
Tue, 23 Jul 2024US$5.6tUS$3.1tUS$167.4b17.8x33.3x1.8x
Thu, 20 Jun 2024US$5.4tUS$3.1tUS$166.6b17.7x32.7x1.7x
Sat, 18 May 2024US$5.4tUS$3.1tUS$164.7b18.5x33.1x1.8x
Mon, 15 Apr 2024US$5.3tUS$3.1tUS$160.5b17.4x33x1.7x
Wed, 13 Mar 2024US$5.3tUS$3.1tUS$155.6b17.1x33.8x1.7x
Fri, 09 Feb 2024US$5.2tUS$3.1tUS$152.6b17.6x34x1.7x
Sun, 07 Jan 2024US$5.1tUS$3.1tUS$141.5b17.5x35.9x1.7x
Tue, 05 Dec 2023US$5.1tUS$3.1tUS$139.5b16.1x36.4x1.7x
Thu, 02 Nov 2023US$4.5tUS$3.0tUS$120.6b14.6x37.3x1.5x
Sat, 30 Sep 2023US$4.7tUS$3.0tUS$114.0b15x41x1.6x
Mon, 28 Aug 2023US$4.8tUS$3.0tUS$112.3b15.4x42.7x1.6x
Wed, 26 Jul 2023US$5.0tUS$2.9tUS$100.9b15.6x49.7x1.7x
Fri, 23 Jun 2023US$4.8tUS$2.9tUS$98.7b14.5x48.4x1.6x
Sun, 21 May 2023US$4.3tUS$2.9tUS$99.0b14x43.7x1.5x
Tue, 18 Apr 2023US$4.4tUS$2.9tUS$81.6b13.9x53.9x1.5x
Thu, 16 Mar 2023US$4.3tUS$3.1tUS$87.1b13.3x49.6x1.4x
Sat, 11 Feb 2023US$4.7tUS$3.1tUS$86.0b13.1x54.7x1.5x
Price to Earnings Ratio

54.7x


Total Market Cap: US$4.7tTotal Earnings: US$86.0bTotal Revenue: US$3.1tTotal Market Cap vs Earnings and Revenue0%0%0%
U.S. Consumer Discretionary Sector Price to Earnings3Y Average 36.9x202420252026
Current Industry PE
  • Investors are relatively neutral on the American Consumer Discretionary industry at the moment, indicating that they anticipate long term growth rates to remain steady.
  • The industry is trading close to its 3-year average PE ratio of 36.9x.
  • The 3-year average PS ratio of 1.8x is lower than the industry's current PS ratio of 2.2x.
Past Earnings Growth
  • The earnings for companies in the Consumer Discretionary industry have grown 36% per year over the last three years.
  • Revenues for these companies have grown 4.9% per year.
  • This means that more sales are being generated by these companies overall, and subsequently their profits are increasing too.

Industry Trends

Which industries have driven the changes within the U.S. Consumer Discretionary sector?

US Market-1.35%
Consumer Discretionary-2.20%
Leisure2.49%
Consumer Durables1.27%
Retail Distributors0.32%
Online Retail and Ecommerce0%0
Consumer Services-0.35%
Specialty Stores-0.80%
Hospitality-1.09%
Luxury-1.99%
Auto-2.05%
Auto Components-2.83%
General Merchandise and Department Stores-3.33%
Industry PE
  • Investors are most optimistic about the Auto industry which is trading above its 3-year average PE ratio of 125x.
    • Analysts are expecting annual earnings growth of 33.6%, which is higher than its past year's earnings decline of 31.5% per year.
Forecasted Growth
  • Analysts are most optimistic on the Leisure industry, expecting annual earnings growth of 47% over the next 5 years.
  • This is better than its past earnings decline of 23% per year.
  • In contrast, the Consumer Durables industry is expected to see its earnings grow by 8.1% per year over the next few years.

Top Stock Gainers and Losers

Which companies have driven the market over the last 7 days?

CompanyLast Price7D1YValuation
TSLA TeslaUS$421.96-2.1%
US$150.3b		7.6%PE417.3x
RCL Royal Caribbean CruisesUS$326.2912.3%
+US$9.0b		23.8%PE20.7x
TJX TJX CompaniesUS$152.072.7%
+US$4.5b		21.5%PE33x
CCL Carnival Corporation &US$31.9411.3%
+US$4.5b		17.9%PE16x
MCD McDonald'sUS$319.481.7%
+US$3.8b		10.3%PE27x

Latest News

CVNA
US$410.36
Carvana
7D
-14.1%
1Y
59.3%
VIK
US$73.81
Viking Holdings
7D
6.8%
1Y
43.5%
TJX
US$152.07
TJX Companies
7D
2.7%
1Y
21.5%
BKNG
US$4,644.64
Booking Holdings
7D
-9.9%
1Y
-0.7%
RCL
US$326.29
Royal Caribbean Cruises
7D
12.3%
1Y
23.8%
CCL
US$31.94
Carnival Corporation &
7D
11.3%
1Y
17.9%

CCL: Resilient Cruise Demand And Caribbean Capacity Are Expected To Sustain Upside

Analysts have raised their price target for Carnival Corporation & to US$38 from US$35, citing updated assumptions for higher revenue growth, slightly stronger profit margins, a lower discount rate, and a higher future P/E multiple supported by recent research pointing to resilient cruise demand and favorable capacity trends. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Carnival Corporation & points to a cluster of higher price targets, with several firms updating their models following sector work and company specific reports.
TSLA
US$421.96
Tesla
7D
-2.1%
1Y
7.6%

TSLA: AI And Autonomy Bets Will Test Weak Auto Fundamentals

Analysts have nudged their Tesla price targets higher to around US$419 from about US$391, reflecting updated models that apply a richer future P/E assumption, even as they factor in more conservative revenue growth and profit margin expectations, alongside a slightly lower discount rate. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Tesla shows a wide spread of opinions, even as many firms revisit their price targets and long term assumptions.
DECK
US$113.34
Deckers Outdoor
7D
13.2%
1Y
-33.1%
ABNB
US$122.08
Airbnb
7D
-7.7%
1Y
-6.6%
AMZN
US$238.62
Amazon.com
7D
-2.5%
1Y
-1.4%
HLT
US$304.60
Hilton Worldwide Holdings
7D
2.8%
1Y
17.7%

HLT: Limited New Supply And Loyalty Changes Will Support Travel Resilience

Analysts have lifted their price targets on Hilton Worldwide Holdings by up to about $45, supporting a modest increase in fair value to $296.44 as they highlight supportive travel trends, limited new hotel supply helping pricing, and a constructive event calendar. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates cluster around a similar story, with several bullish analysts lifting their price targets on Hilton by double digit amounts and one major house setting a fair value marker at US$304.
MCD
US$319.48
McDonald's
7D
1.7%
1Y
10.3%
BABA
US$163.65
Alibaba Group Holding
7D
-5.3%
1Y
59.9%

BABA: Cloud And AI Execution Will Drive Stronger Long-Term Earnings Power

Alibaba's fair value estimate edges higher to about $196.46, with analysts pointing to stronger modeled cloud and AI demand, along with updated price targets that reflect both rising capital expenditure in cloud and more moderate growth in retail revenue. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Alibaba highlights a split view, with some bullish analysts focusing on cloud and AI execution, while more cautious voices focus on spending levels and retail trends.
SE
US$108.20
Sea
7D
-14.9%
1Y
-12.1%

SE: Future Upside Will Stem From Fintech And Share Repurchases

Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Sea to about $190 from roughly $191, reflecting updated discount rate and P/E assumptions after mixed price target moves. These changes highlight solid Q3 execution, as well as ongoing investment and profitability trade offs.
PDD
US$103.32
PDD Holdings
7D
-3.4%
1Y
-9.4%

PDD: Regulatory Clarity And Resilient Margins Will Drive Future Repricing

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for PDD Holdings higher to about $185 from roughly $174, reflecting updated assumptions around a higher future P/E multiple and slightly stronger profit margins after recent regulatory clarity in China and mixed but resilient quarterly results. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on PDD Holdings has been mixed, with some firms taking a more cautious stance on the domestic business while others focus on execution, resilience to regulatory changes, and updated valuation frameworks.
MELI
US$2,099.90
MercadoLibre
7D
-8.5%
1Y
6.8%

MELI: Argentina De Risking Will Support Upside Despite Brazilian E Commerce Pressures

Narrative Update The updated analyst fair value estimate for MercadoLibre has moved from about $3,406 to roughly $3,285. This reflects a slightly higher discount rate and more measured assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E, in line with recent Street research where analysts have modestly adjusted price targets while weighing Argentina de risking against a more competitive Brazilian e commerce backdrop.