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U.S. Consumer Discretionary Sector Analysis

UpdatedJan 08, 2026
DataAggregated Company Financials
Companies805
  • 7D2.0%
  • 3M0.7%
  • 1Y9.8%
  • YTD2.5%

In the last week, the Consumer Discretionary industry is up 2.0%, with Amazon.com up 4.7%. In the last 12 months, the industry was up 9.8%. Earnings are forecast to grow by 20% annually.

Sector Valuation and Performance

Has the U.S. Consumer Discretionary Sector valuation changed over the past few years?

DateMarket CapRevenueEarningsPEAbsolute PEPS
Thu, 08 Jan 2026US$7.8tUS$3.6tUS$221.6b19.3x35.4x2.2x
Sat, 06 Dec 2025US$7.7tUS$3.6tUS$222.0b18.7x34.6x2.2x
Mon, 03 Nov 2025US$7.9tUS$3.5tUS$227.5b18.3x34.7x2.2x
Wed, 01 Oct 2025US$7.8tUS$3.5tUS$221.5b19.3x35.4x2.3x
Fri, 29 Aug 2025US$7.3tUS$3.5tUS$218.1b20.1x33.6x2.1x
Sun, 27 Jul 2025US$7.1tUS$3.4tUS$213.0b18.9x33.4x2.1x
Tue, 24 Jun 2025US$6.7tUS$3.4tUS$217.0b17.8x31.1x2x
Thu, 22 May 2025US$6.8tUS$3.4tUS$219.9b17.1x30.9x2x
Sat, 19 Apr 2025US$5.7tUS$3.4tUS$211.8b15.7x26.9x1.7x
Mon, 17 Mar 2025US$6.2tUS$3.4tUS$212.6b16.5x29.3x1.8x
Wed, 12 Feb 2025US$7.2tUS$3.4tUS$203.1b18.6x35.4x2.1x
Fri, 10 Jan 2025US$7.0tUS$3.3tUS$201.7b18.4x34.8x2.1x
Sun, 08 Dec 2024US$7.3tUS$3.3tUS$201.1b19.4x36.1x2.2x
Tue, 05 Nov 2024US$5.9tUS$3.2tUS$182.1b17.9x32.6x1.9x
Thu, 03 Oct 2024US$6.0tUS$3.2tUS$179.1b18.4x33.3x1.9x
Sat, 31 Aug 2024US$5.4tUS$3.2tUS$177.3b17.7x30.3x1.7x
Mon, 29 Jul 2024US$5.5tUS$3.1tUS$167.6b17.5x32.7x1.7x
Wed, 26 Jun 2024US$5.5tUS$3.1tUS$166.5b17.6x32.9x1.8x
Fri, 24 May 2024US$5.4tUS$3.1tUS$167.6b17.9x32.1x1.7x
Sun, 21 Apr 2024US$5.0tUS$3.2tUS$165.4b16.9x30.4x1.6x
Tue, 19 Mar 2024US$5.3tUS$3.1tUS$156.6b16.9x33.8x1.7x
Thu, 15 Feb 2024US$5.2tUS$3.1tUS$151.8b18x34.1x1.7x
Sat, 13 Jan 2024US$5.1tUS$3.1tUS$141.5b17.3x36.3x1.7x
Mon, 11 Dec 2023US$5.1tUS$3.1tUS$139.3b16.5x36.6x1.7x
Wed, 08 Nov 2023US$4.8tUS$3.0tUS$127.7b15.4x37.2x1.6x
Fri, 06 Oct 2023US$4.7tUS$3.0tUS$113.9b14.9x40.9x1.6x
Sun, 03 Sep 2023US$5.0tUS$3.0tUS$112.1b16.2x44.7x1.7x
Tue, 01 Aug 2023US$5.2tUS$2.9tUS$103.5b15.7x49.8x1.8x
Thu, 29 Jun 2023US$4.8tUS$2.9tUS$99.9b14.8x48.5x1.7x
Sat, 27 May 2023US$4.4tUS$2.9tUS$99.6b13.6x43.9x1.5x
Mon, 24 Apr 2023US$4.3tUS$2.9tUS$80.5b13.9x53.9x1.5x
Wed, 22 Mar 2023US$2.8tUS$2.0tUS$71.4b13.3x38.8x1.4x
Fri, 17 Feb 2023US$4.8tUS$3.1tUS$82.2b13.9x57.9x1.5x
Sun, 15 Jan 2023US$4.5tUS$3.0tUS$107.1b12.7x41.8x1.5x
Price to Earnings Ratio

41.8x


Total Market Cap: US$4.5tTotal Earnings: US$107.1bTotal Revenue: US$3.0tTotal Market Cap vs Earnings and Revenue0%0%0%
U.S. Consumer Discretionary Sector Price to Earnings3Y Average 37x202420252026
Current Industry PE
  • Investors are relatively neutral on the American Consumer Discretionary industry at the moment, indicating that they anticipate long term growth rates to remain steady.
  • The industry is trading close to its 3-year average PE ratio of 37.0x.
  • The 3-year average PS ratio of 1.8x is lower than the industry's current PS ratio of 2.2x.
Past Earnings Growth
  • The earnings for companies in the Consumer Discretionary industry have grown 27% per year over the last three years.
  • Revenues for these companies have grown 5.3% per year.
  • This means that more sales are being generated by these companies overall, and subsequently their profits are increasing too.

Industry Trends

Which industries have driven the changes within the U.S. Consumer Discretionary sector?

US Market1.52%
Consumer Discretionary2.00%
Leisure8.34%
Auto Components6.84%
General Merchandise and Department Stores4.36%
Specialty Stores2.92%
Hospitality2.67%
Consumer Services1.58%
Luxury1.28%
Retail Distributors0.92%
Consumer Durables0.43%
Online Retail and Ecommerce0%0
Auto-3.41%
Industry PE
  • Investors are most optimistic about the Auto industry which is trading above its 3-year average PE ratio of 116x.
    • Analysts are expecting annual earnings growth of 33.5%, which is higher than its past year's earnings decline of 35.3% per year.
Forecasted Growth
  • Analysts are most optimistic on the Leisure industry, expecting annual earnings growth of 47% over the next 5 years.
  • This is better than its past earnings decline of 35% per year.
  • In contrast, the Consumer Durables industry is expected to see its earnings grow by 7.7% per year over the next few years.

Top Stock Gainers and Losers

Which companies have driven the market over the last 7 days?

CompanyLast Price7D1YValuation
AMZN Amazon.comUS$241.564.7%
+US$114.8b		8.7%PE33.8x
PDD PDD HoldingsUS$120.976.7%
+US$10.8b		20.6%PE11.8x
MELI MercadoLibreUS$2.16k7.4%
+US$7.5b		24.4%PE52.8x
SE SeaUS$139.249.1%
+US$6.9b		27.3%PE58.1x
RCL Royal Caribbean CruisesUS$302.428.4%
+US$6.4b		33.1%PE20.3x

Latest News

AMZN
US$241.56
Amazon.com
7D
4.7%
1Y
8.7%
NIO
US$4.79
NIO
7D
-6.1%
1Y
10.9%

NIO: Chip Licensing And Execution On Delivery Plans Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have trimmed their price targets on NIO, with cuts such as Citi's move to US$6.90 from US$8.60 and BofA's to US$6.70 from US$7.60. They cited weaker Q4 delivery guidance, softer order trends into Q1, and increased competitive pressure.
TSLA
US$431.41
Tesla
7D
-4.1%
1Y
9.2%

TSLA: AI And Robotics Ambitions Will Reshape Long-Term Equity Story

Analysts have raised their Tesla fair value estimate from $500 to $600. They point to updated assumptions for higher revenue growth, wider profit margins, and a lower future P/E multiple, even as recent research still highlights risks around delivery trends, spending plans, and governance.
LVS
US$61.43
Las Vegas Sands
7D
-5.6%
1Y
25.0%

LVS: Singapore Strength And Macau Volatility Will Shape Capital Returns

Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Las Vegas Sands to US$60 from US$45, citing higher projected revenue growth, wider profit margins, and a lower future P/E multiple supported by recent price target increases and positive commentary around Singapore and resilient Macau performance. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Las Vegas Sands has leaned constructive, but it also gives a sense of where sentiment could turn if conditions soften in key markets like Macau and Singapore.
AZO
US$3,318.08
AutoZone
7D
-2.2%
1Y
0.4%

AZO: Do It For Me Strength Will Offset Temporary Do It Yourself Softness

Narrative Update on AutoZone Analysts have lifted their price target on AutoZone to $4,262 from $4,090, pointing to what they describe as an attractive risk/reward setup following the recent selloff and continued strength in the domestic do-it-for-me business, while expecting any pressure on do-it-yourself demand to be largely temporary. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts see the new US$4,262 price target as reflecting what they view as an attractive balance between valuation and execution risk after the recent selloff.
LOW
US$247.12
Lowe's Companies
7D
2.5%
1Y
0.09%

LOW: Lock-In Housing Dynamics Will Support Gradual Home Improvement Recovery

The analyst price target for Lowe's Companies has been modestly reduced by analysts to reflect slightly softer growth and margin assumptions. The new blended target implies only a small fair value increase to about $273 per share, as they weigh near term housing and consumer headwinds against longer term support from lock in housing dynamics and pent up home improvement demand.
CVNA
US$450.78
Carvana
7D
6.8%
1Y
128.8%
HD
US$349.06
Home Depot
7D
1.4%
1Y
-9.9%
SGHC
US$10.41
Super Group (SGHC)
7D
-12.9%
1Y
78.6%

Getting In Cheap On Super Group (SGHC) Limited (NYSE:SGHC) Is Unlikely

Dec 29
Getting In Cheap On Super Group (SGHC) Limited (NYSE:SGHC) Is Unlikely
RCL
US$302.42
Royal Caribbean Cruises
7D
8.4%
1Y
33.1%

RCL: Share Repurchases And Efficient Fleet Are Expected To Drive Upside

Analysts have trimmed their price target on Royal Caribbean Cruises to about $411.61 from $420, citing slightly slower expected revenue growth, modestly lower profit margins, and a higher discount rate, even as they still see robust long term EPS expansion supported by the company's hardware advantages. Analyst Commentary Despite the modest recalibration in price targets, bullish analysts continue to emphasize Royal Caribbean's structural advantages, disciplined capacity growth, and strong earnings trajectory through the back half of the decade.
PDD
US$120.97
PDD Holdings
7D
6.7%
1Y
20.6%

PDD: Future Performance Will Depend On Reigniting Domestic User Engagement

Analysts have modestly raised their price target on PDD Holdings to about $119 from roughly $117, reflecting higher long term revenue growth expectations, despite a slightly lower profit margin outlook and some concerns over maturing user engagement trends in the core domestic business. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts have begun to signal a more cautious stance on PDD Holdings, highlighting that the company is entering a phase where domestic user growth and engagement no longer provide the clear upside they once did.
DHI
US$139.31
D.R. Horton
7D
-3.3%
1Y
-0.4%

DHI: Lower Rates Will Support Demand Despite Seasonal Housing Headwinds

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for D.R. Horton slightly higher, by about $1 to roughly $166 per share. They cite a supportive interest rate backdrop and updated price targets that balance softer seasonal demand with an improved medium term outlook.
MCD
US$304.16
McDonald's
7D
-0.5%
1Y
6.0%

MCD: Value Strategy And Cost Tailwinds Will Balance Consumer Traffic Risks

Analysts have nudged their price target on McDonald's slightly higher to $331.20. This reflects modest improvements in projected revenue growth and profit margins, even as they remain cautious about the company's value focus amid ongoing pressure on lower income consumers.
MELI
US$2,162.61
MercadoLibre
7D
7.4%
1Y
24.4%

MELI: Rising Competition In Brazil Will Shape Future Profit Margin Trajectory

Our updated narrative price target for MercadoLibre rises to approximately $2,347, up from about $2,106, as analysts balance robust top line momentum and higher assumed revenue growth with a slightly richer valuation multiple and mounting competitive and margin pressures highlighted in recent Street research. Analyst Commentary Street research over the past several weeks reflects a more nuanced and selectively cautious stance on MercadoLibre, with several bearish analysts trimming price targets even as long term growth drivers remain intact.
SRAD
US$21.06
Sportradar Group
7D
-11.4%
1Y
13.5%

SRAD: Share Buybacks And Core Media Strength Will Drive Returns Ahead

Analysts have modestly reduced their average price target on Sportradar Group, trimming fair value expectations by less than $1 to reflect slightly higher discount rates and a marginally lower long term profit margin outlook, while remaining encouraged by solid core momentum, improving media traction, and longer term upside from prediction markets. Analyst Commentary Recent Street commentary reflects a generally constructive stance on Sportradar's long term growth profile, even as near term expectations are calibrated lower.
SE
US$139.24
Sea
7D
9.1%
1Y
27.3%

SE: Future Share Gains Will Stem From E-Commerce And Fintech Strength

Analysts have nudged our fair value estimate for Sea slightly lower to $191.62 from $192.17, as modestly softer long term margin and valuation assumptions balance solid Q3 execution, recent upgrades, and higher Street price targets tied to stronger multi segment growth and continued investment. Analyst Commentary Street research remains broadly constructive on Sea, with a cluster of recent upgrades and price target increases reflecting confidence in the companys multi segment growth trajectory and ability to reinvest behind its leading positions while still compounding value.