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U.S. Consumer Discretionary Sector Analysis

UpdatedJul 06, 2026
DataAggregated Company Financials
Companies779
  • 7D2.7%
  • 3M8.0%
  • 1Y3.9%
  • YTD-3.8%

In the last week, the Consumer Discretionary industry is up 2.7%, with Amazon.com up 4.3%. During this same period, the Royal Caribbean Cruises underperformed, falling 6.9%. This takes the industry's 12 month performance to a gain of 4.0%. Looking forward, earnings are forecast to grow by 21% annually.

Sector Valuation and Performance

Has the U.S. Consumer Discretionary Sector valuation changed over the past few years?

DateMarket CapRevenueEarningsPEAbsolute PEPS
Mon, 06 Jul 2026US$7.5tUS$3.7tUS$214.5b18.8x34.9x2x
Wed, 03 Jun 2026US$7.8tUS$3.7tUS$213.8b18.5x36.3x2.1x
Fri, 01 May 2026US$7.6tUS$3.7tUS$208.7b19.3x36.7x2.1x
Sun, 29 Mar 2026US$6.8tUS$3.6tUS$198.9b18.2x34x1.9x
Tue, 24 Feb 2026US$7.5tUS$3.6tUS$207.4b20.2x36.1x2.1x
Thu, 22 Jan 2026US$7.6tUS$3.6tUS$221.4b19.6x34.4x2.1x
Sat, 20 Dec 2025US$7.8tUS$3.6tUS$220.8b19.6x35.2x2.2x
Mon, 17 Nov 2025US$7.5tUS$3.5tUS$221.4b18x33.8x2.1x
Wed, 15 Oct 2025US$7.6tUS$3.5tUS$220.7b18.2x34.2x2.2x
Fri, 12 Sep 2025US$7.5tUS$3.5tUS$222.0b20.1x33.8x2.2x
Sun, 10 Aug 2025US$7.0tUS$3.4tUS$217.8b18.8x32.1x2x
Tue, 08 Jul 2025US$7.0tUS$3.4tUS$216.1b18.7x32.2x2x
Thu, 05 Jun 2025US$6.7tUS$3.4tUS$217.5b17.4x31x2x
Sat, 03 May 2025US$6.1tUS$3.4tUS$213.9b16.7x28.7x1.8x
Mon, 31 Mar 2025US$6.2tUS$3.4tUS$211.9b16.4x29.2x1.8x
Wed, 26 Feb 2025US$6.9tUS$3.4tUS$210.9b18.7x32.9x2x
Fri, 24 Jan 2025US$7.3tUS$3.3tUS$202.1b18.9x36.1x2.2x
Sun, 22 Dec 2024US$7.2tUS$3.3tUS$200.7b18.2x35.7x2.1x
Tue, 19 Nov 2024US$6.6tUS$3.4tUS$197.7b18.1x33.6x2x
Thu, 17 Oct 2024US$5.8tUS$3.2tUS$178.4b18.3x32.6x1.8x
Sat, 14 Sep 2024US$5.6tUS$3.2tUS$177.5b17.3x31.6x1.8x
Mon, 12 Aug 2024US$5.2tUS$3.2tUS$172.9b17x30.2x1.7x
Wed, 10 Jul 2024US$5.7tUS$3.1tUS$167.3b17x34.3x1.8x
Fri, 07 Jun 2024US$5.4tUS$3.1tUS$168.0b18x32.4x1.7x
Sun, 05 May 2024US$5.4tUS$3.1tUS$166.4b17.4x32.7x1.8x
Tue, 02 Apr 2024US$5.4tUS$3.1tUS$160.4b18.4x33.8x1.8x
Thu, 29 Feb 2024US$5.4tUS$3.1tUS$154.3b17.7x34.9x1.8x
Sat, 27 Jan 2024US$5.0tUS$3.1tUS$146.5b17.4x34.4x1.6x
Mon, 25 Dec 2023US$5.3tUS$3.1tUS$141.3b17.7x37.6x1.7x
Wed, 22 Nov 2023US$4.9tUS$3.0tUS$138.3b15.6x35.7x1.6x
Fri, 20 Oct 2023US$4.5tUS$3.0tUS$113.0b14.7x40.2x1.5x
Sun, 17 Sep 2023US$5.0tUS$3.0tUS$112.5b15.1x44.6x1.7x
Tue, 15 Aug 2023US$5.0tUS$3.0tUS$112.6b16.1x44.4x1.7x
Thu, 13 Jul 2023US$5.0tUS$2.9tUS$99.9b15.6x50.5x1.7x
Price to Earnings Ratio

50.5x


Total Market Cap: US$5.0tTotal Earnings: US$99.9bTotal Revenue: US$2.9tTotal Market Cap vs Earnings and Revenue0%0%0%
U.S. Consumer Discretionary Sector Price to Earnings3Y Average 35x202420252026
Current Industry PE
  • Investors are relatively neutral on the American Consumer Discretionary industry at the moment, indicating that they anticipate long term growth rates to remain steady.
  • The industry is trading close to its 3-year average PE ratio of 35.0x.
  • The industry is trading close to its 3-year average PS ratio of 1.9x.
Past Earnings Growth
  • The earnings for companies in the Consumer Discretionary industry have grown 29% per year over the last three years.
  • Revenues for these companies have grown 8.1% per year.
  • This means that more sales are being generated by these companies overall, and subsequently their profits are increasing too.

Industry Trends

Which industries have driven the changes within the U.S. Consumer Discretionary sector?

US Market1.63%
Consumer Discretionary2.72%
Retail Distributors7.21%
General Merchandise and Department Stores4.37%
Consumer Services3.77%
Auto3.15%
Luxury1.47%
Specialty Stores1.04%
Online Retail and Ecommerce0%0
Hospitality-0.12%
Consumer Durables-1.39%
Auto Components-1.60%
Leisure-5.22%
Industry PE
  • Investors are most optimistic about the Retail Distributors industry which is trading above its 3-year average PE ratio of 19.9x.
    • Analysts are expecting annual earnings growth of 25.2%, which is higher than its past year's earnings decline of 19.0% per year.
Forecasted Growth
  • Analysts are most optimistic on the Auto industry, expecting annual earnings growth of 37% over the next 5 years.
  • This is better than its past earnings decline of 35% per year.
  • In contrast, the Consumer Durables industry is expected to see its earnings grow by 8.3% per year over the next few years.

Top Stock Gainers and Losers

Which companies have driven the market over the last 7 days?

CompanyLast Price7D1YValuation
AMZN Amazon.comUS$242.674.3%
+US$107.4b		8.6%PE28.7x
TSLA TeslaUS$393.453.6%
+US$51.6b		24.8%PE382.6x
HD Home DepotUS$357.902.6%
+US$9.0b		-3.7%PE25.5x
PDD PDD HoldingsUS$82.397.6%
+US$8.3b		-20.5%PE8.3x
MCD McDonald'sUS$280.634.0%
+US$7.7b		-4.6%PE23x

Latest News

GM
US$76.00
General Motors
7D
-2.7%
1Y
43.7%
NKE
US$44.09
NIKE
7D
8.2%
1Y
-42.3%
PDD
US$82.39
PDD Holdings
7D
7.6%
1Y
-20.5%
MCD
US$280.63
McDonald's
7D
4.0%
1Y
-4.6%
SE
US$103.30
Sea
7D
13.1%
1Y
-30.9%
CVNA
US$68.60
Carvana
7D
10.0%
1Y
-1.5%
Narrative Update • Jul 02

CVNA: Post Split Expectations Will Test Market Share And Margin Resilience

Analysts have reduced their fair value estimate for Carvana from about $351 to roughly $68, citing updated market share expectations and revised price targets across the Street following the company’s recent stock split. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Carvana highlights a mixed backdrop, with several firms adjusting price targets after the stock split and reassessing how much market share the company could capture over the next few years.
TSLA
US$393.45
Tesla
7D
3.6%
1Y
24.8%
F
US$13.36
Ford Motor
7D
-5.4%
1Y
13.1%
AMZN
US$242.67
Amazon.com
7D
4.3%
1Y
8.6%
TJX
US$154.26
TJX Companies
7D
-0.8%
1Y
22.6%
RCL
US$296.30
Royal Caribbean Cruises
7D
-6.9%
1Y
-11.4%
Narrative Update • Jun 30

RCL: Project And Fuel Headwinds Will Cap Further Upside Potential

Royal Caribbean Cruises' analyst fair value has been adjusted slightly lower from $268.88 to $261.31. This reflects updated assumptions on discount rates, revenue growth, margins, and a more conservative future P/E, even as several firms revise price targets following shifts in fuel cost expectations and project specific risks around Perfect Day Mexico.
CCL
US$27.91
Carnival
7D
-4.0%
1Y
-6.8%
Narrative Update • Jun 30

CCL: Fuel Efficiency And Cost Control Will Support Future Upside Potential

The analyst price target for Carnival has been revised to $35.60 from $37.70 as analysts weigh stronger fuel efficiency benefits and cost control against softer European booking trends and lowered yield guidance. Analyst Commentary Carnival sits in the middle of a split analyst debate, with most recent research pointing to improved cost execution and fuel savings, while also flagging pressure on future yield guidance and pockets of softer demand, especially in Europe.
LEN
US$88.21
Lennar
7D
-5.7%
1Y
-19.9%
WSM
US$227.53
Williams-Sonoma
7D
-4.9%
1Y
31.4%
Narrative Update • Jun 29

WSM: Affordable Luxury And E-Commerce Strength Will Balance Margin And Tariff Risks

The analyst fair value estimate for Williams-Sonoma has been raised from $250 to $260. This reflects updated assumptions that align with recent Street research pointing to the company's "affordable luxury" positioning, strong e-commerce presence, relative margin resilience and potential for continued share gains.
DHI
US$158.57
D.R. Horton
7D
-4.6%
1Y
20.2%
HD
US$357.90
Home Depot
7D
2.6%
1Y
-3.7%