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U.S. Consumer Discretionary Sector Analysis

UpdatedJul 03, 2026
DataAggregated Company Financials
Companies779
  • 7D4.3%
  • 3M8.5%
  • 1Y4.3%
  • YTD-3.9%

Over the last 7 days, the Consumer Discretionary industry has risen 4.3%, driven by gains from Amazon.com of 6.9%. Meanwhile, Royal Caribbean Cruises actually underperformed within the industry, shrinking 8.2% in the last week. This means that the industry has gained 4.3% over the past year. As for the next few years, earnings are expected to grow by 21% per annum.

Sector Valuation and Performance

Has the U.S. Consumer Discretionary Sector valuation changed over the past few years?

DateMarket CapRevenueEarningsPEAbsolute PEPS
Fri, 03 Jul 2026US$7.6tUS$3.7tUS$214.5b18.8x35.4x2.1x
Sun, 31 May 2026US$7.9tUS$3.7tUS$213.2b18.6x37.3x2.2x
Tue, 28 Apr 2026US$7.7tUS$3.6tUS$194.3b18.9x39.8x2.1x
Thu, 26 Mar 2026US$7.0tUS$3.6tUS$199.3b18.8x35.2x1.9x
Sat, 21 Feb 2026US$7.5tUS$3.6tUS$207.4b20.4x35.9x2.1x
Mon, 19 Jan 2026US$7.8tUS$3.6tUS$221.6b19.4x35.3x2.2x
Wed, 17 Dec 2025US$7.7tUS$3.6tUS$221.9b19.2x34.8x2.2x
Fri, 14 Nov 2025US$7.8tUS$3.5tUS$223.7b18.4x34.7x2.2x
Sun, 12 Oct 2025US$7.4tUS$3.5tUS$220.8b17.9x33.5x2.1x
Tue, 09 Sep 2025US$7.5tUS$3.5tUS$221.7b19.8x33.9x2.2x
Thu, 07 Aug 2025US$6.9tUS$3.4tUS$218.7b18.7x31.7x2x
Sat, 05 Jul 2025US$7.0tUS$3.4tUS$216.1b19x32.2x2x
Mon, 02 Jun 2025US$6.7tUS$3.4tUS$217.6b16.9x30.8x2x
Wed, 30 Apr 2025US$6.1tUS$3.4tUS$210.7b16.7x29.1x1.8x
Fri, 28 Mar 2025US$6.4tUS$3.4tUS$211.7b17.1x30.4x1.9x
Sun, 23 Feb 2025US$7.1tUS$3.4tUS$211.9b18.7x33.4x2.1x
Tue, 21 Jan 2025US$7.2tUS$3.3tUS$201.9b18.9x35.8x2.2x
Thu, 19 Dec 2024US$7.5tUS$3.3tUS$200.9b18.2x37.4x2.2x
Sat, 16 Nov 2024US$6.7tUS$3.4tUS$195.5b18.3x34.4x2x
Mon, 14 Oct 2024US$5.9tUS$3.2tUS$178.6b18x32.9x1.8x
Wed, 11 Sep 2024US$5.4tUS$3.2tUS$177.8b16.7x30.3x1.7x
Fri, 09 Aug 2024US$5.1tUS$3.2tUS$172.7b16.7x29.4x1.6x
Sun, 07 Jul 2024US$5.7tUS$3.1tUS$167.3b17.1x34.4x1.8x
Tue, 04 Jun 2024US$5.4tUS$3.1tUS$167.6b18.3x32x1.7x
Thu, 02 May 2024US$5.3tUS$3.1tUS$167.2b17x31.5x1.7x
Sat, 30 Mar 2024US$5.4tUS$3.1tUS$160.3b18.2x33.8x1.8x
Mon, 26 Feb 2024US$5.3tUS$3.1tUS$153.1b17.6x34.9x1.7x
Wed, 24 Jan 2024US$5.1tUS$3.1tUS$141.5b17.2x35.9x1.7x
Fri, 22 Dec 2023US$5.3tUS$3.1tUS$141.0b17.5x37.3x1.7x
Sun, 19 Nov 2023US$4.9tUS$3.0tUS$138.2b15.6x35.4x1.6x
Tue, 17 Oct 2023US$4.7tUS$3.0tUS$114.0b15.1x41.7x1.6x
Thu, 14 Sep 2023US$5.0tUS$3.0tUS$112.8b15.1x44.7x1.7x
Sat, 12 Aug 2023US$5.0tUS$3.0tUS$112.7b16.1x44.3x1.7x
Mon, 10 Jul 2023US$4.9tUS$2.9tUS$99.8b15.1x49.4x1.7x
Price to Earnings Ratio

49.4x


Total Market Cap: US$4.9tTotal Earnings: US$99.8bTotal Revenue: US$2.9tTotal Market Cap vs Earnings and Revenue0%0%0%
U.S. Consumer Discretionary Sector Price to Earnings3Y Average 35x202420252026
Current Industry PE
  • Investors are relatively neutral on the American Consumer Discretionary industry at the moment, indicating that they anticipate long term growth rates to remain steady.
  • The industry is trading close to its 3-year average PE ratio of 35.0x.
  • The industry is trading close to its 3-year average PS ratio of 1.9x.
Past Earnings Growth
  • The earnings for companies in the Consumer Discretionary industry have grown 29% per year over the last three years.
  • Revenues for these companies have grown 8.2% per year.
  • This means that more sales are being generated by these companies overall, and subsequently their profits are increasing too.

Industry Trends

Which industries have driven the changes within the U.S. Consumer Discretionary sector?

US Market1.38%
Consumer Discretionary4.25%
Retail Distributors8.81%
General Merchandise and Department Stores6.77%
Consumer Services6.31%
Auto4.34%
Luxury2.25%
Hospitality1.29%
Specialty Stores1.27%
Online Retail and Ecommerce0%0
Consumer Durables-1.09%
Auto Components-2.56%
Leisure-3.92%
Industry PE
  • Investors are most optimistic about the Retail Distributors industry which is trading above its 3-year average PE ratio of 19.9x.
    • Analysts are expecting annual earnings growth of 24.4%, which is higher than its past year's earnings decline of 19.0% per year.
Forecasted Growth
  • Analysts are most optimistic on the Leisure industry, expecting annual earnings growth of 37% over the next 5 years.
  • This is better than its past earnings decline of 5.8% per year.
  • In contrast, the Consumer Durables industry is expected to see its earnings grow by 8.3% per year over the next few years.

Top Stock Gainers and Losers

Which companies have driven the market over the last 7 days?

CompanyLast Price7D1YValuation
AMZN Amazon.comUS$242.676.9%
+US$168.5b		8.6%PE28.7x
TSLA TeslaUS$393.454.9%
+US$68.8b		24.8%PE382.6x
PDD PDD HoldingsUS$82.3912.4%
+US$12.9b		-20.5%PE8.3x
HD Home DepotUS$357.903.7%
+US$12.9b		-3.7%PE25.5x
MCD McDonald'sUS$280.636.1%
+US$11.4b		-4.6%PE23x

Latest News

MELI
US$1,763.36
MercadoLibre
7D
8.9%
1Y
-29.9%
SE
US$103.30
Sea
7D
16.1%
1Y
-30.9%
TSLA
US$393.45
Tesla
7D
4.9%
1Y
24.8%
F
US$13.36
Ford Motor
7D
-5.3%
1Y
13.1%
DASH
US$192.01
DoorDash
7D
8.5%
1Y
-19.6%
Narrative Update • Jul 02

DASH: Retail And Grocery Expansion Will Drive Long Term Profitability

Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimates and price targets on DoorDash, with several cuts ranging from about $3 to $35. The revisions reflect more cautious assumptions on growth, margins and P/E multiples, even as analysts highlight stable user trends, a solid balance sheet and ongoing expansion in grocery and international markets.
AMZN
US$242.67
Amazon.com
7D
6.9%
1Y
8.6%
MAR
US$372.95
Marriott International
7D
-1.6%
1Y
33.2%
Narrative Update • Jun 30

MAR: Expansion Into China And Saudi Arabia Will Drive Future Upside

Analysts have lifted their price target on Marriott International from $370 to $446, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, the discount rate, and future P/E that adjust their view of the stock's valuation profile. What's in the News Marriott International introduced the AI powered Ask Bonvoy tool in beta, using conversational search to help travelers find and book stays across its portfolio of more than 10,000 properties.
RCL
US$296.30
Royal Caribbean Cruises
7D
-8.2%
1Y
-11.4%
Narrative Update • Jun 30

RCL: Project And Fuel Headwinds Will Cap Further Upside Potential

Royal Caribbean Cruises' analyst fair value has been adjusted slightly lower from $268.88 to $261.31. This reflects updated assumptions on discount rates, revenue growth, margins, and a more conservative future P/E, even as several firms revise price targets following shifts in fuel cost expectations and project specific risks around Perfect Day Mexico.
LEN
US$88.21
Lennar
7D
-6.0%
1Y
-19.9%
WSM
US$227.53
Williams-Sonoma
7D
-5.2%
1Y
31.4%
Narrative Update • Jun 29

WSM: Affordable Luxury And E-Commerce Strength Will Balance Margin And Tariff Risks

The analyst fair value estimate for Williams-Sonoma has been raised from $250 to $260. This reflects updated assumptions that align with recent Street research pointing to the company's "affordable luxury" positioning, strong e-commerce presence, relative margin resilience and potential for continued share gains.
MCD
US$280.63
McDonald's
7D
6.1%
1Y
-4.6%
GM
US$76.00
General Motors
7D
-3.2%
1Y
43.7%
BWA
US$63.52
BorgWarner
7D
-8.6%
1Y
79.8%
Narrative Update • Jun 26

BWA: Non Auto Revenue Shift Will Drive Future Earnings Mix

Analysts have raised the implied fair value estimate for BorgWarner to $95 from $82, reflecting higher assumed revenue growth, improved profit margins, and increased confidence in the company's non auto opportunities, as highlighted in recent price target revisions across the Street. Analyst Commentary BorgWarner is drawing increased attention from bullish analysts who see the company as a key beneficiary of non auto revenue streams and AI related demand, which is feeding into a series of higher valuation markers across the Street.
PDD
US$82.39
PDD Holdings
7D
12.4%
1Y
-20.5%
Narrative Update • Jun 25

PDD: Heavy Supply Chain And Brand Investments Will Drive Long-Term Upside

The analyst price target for PDD Holdings has been revised lower to reflect a fair value estimate of $115.81, reduced from $119.85, as analysts factor in weaker sector sentiment, recent earnings disappointments, and increased regulatory and investment uncertainties highlighted in recent research. Analyst Commentary Recent research on PDD Holdings has turned more cautious, with several firms revising ratings and price targets lower while reassessing the company’s execution, investment plans, and regulatory exposure.
DHI
US$158.57
D.R. Horton
7D
-5.0%
1Y
20.2%
HD
US$357.90
Home Depot
7D
3.7%
1Y
-3.7%