An Intrinsic Calculation For Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. (NYSE:RCL) Suggests It's 44% Undervalued
Jul 16
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U.S. Consumer Discretionary Sector Analysis
UpdatedJul 16, 2025
DataAggregated Company Financials
Companies772
- 7D1.4%
- 3M22.7%
- 1Y12.2%
- YTD-0.1%
In the last week, the Consumer Discretionary industry is up 1.4%, with Amazon.com up 3.2%. In the last 12 months, the industry was up 12%. As for the next few years, earnings are expected to grow by 17% per annum.
Sector Valuation and Performance
Has the U.S. Consumer Discretionary Sector valuation changed over the past few years?
| Date | Market Cap | Revenue | Earnings | PE | Absolute PE | PS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed, 16 Jul 2025 | US$7.0t | US$3.4t | US$215.7b | 18.4x | 32.4x | 2x |
| Fri, 13 Jun 2025 | US$6.8t | US$3.4t | US$217.6b | 17.4x | 31.1x | 2x |
| Sun, 11 May 2025 | US$6.4t | US$3.4t | US$218.4b | 17.1x | 29.1x | 1.9x |
| Tue, 08 Apr 2025 | US$5.6t | US$3.4t | US$211.7b | 14.9x | 26.6x | 1.7x |
| Thu, 06 Mar 2025 | US$6.6t | US$3.4t | US$212.8b | 17.7x | 30.8x | 1.9x |
| Sat, 01 Feb 2025 | US$7.4t | US$3.3t | US$193.4b | 19x | 38.3x | 2.2x |
| Mon, 30 Dec 2024 | US$7.2t | US$3.3t | US$200.9b | 18.2x | 35.8x | 2.2x |
| Wed, 27 Nov 2024 | US$6.8t | US$3.4t | US$199.9b | 19x | 34.1x | 2x |
| Fri, 25 Oct 2024 | US$5.7t | US$3.2t | US$179.1b | 18x | 31.8x | 1.8x |
| Sun, 22 Sep 2024 | US$5.8t | US$3.2t | US$177.7b | 17.8x | 32.6x | 1.8x |
| Tue, 20 Aug 2024 | US$5.5t | US$3.2t | US$172.7b | 17.3x | 31.9x | 1.7x |
| Thu, 18 Jul 2024 | US$5.8t | US$3.1t | US$167.3b | 18.1x | 34.9x | 1.9x |
| Sat, 15 Jun 2024 | US$5.4t | US$3.1t | US$167.8b | 17.8x | 32.4x | 1.7x |
| Mon, 13 May 2024 | US$5.4t | US$3.1t | US$166.8b | 18.5x | 32.4x | 1.7x |
| Wed, 10 Apr 2024 | US$5.4t | US$3.1t | US$160.5b | 18.1x | 33.5x | 1.7x |
| Fri, 08 Mar 2024 | US$5.3t | US$3.1t | US$154.6b | 17.4x | 34.4x | 1.7x |
| Sun, 04 Feb 2024 | US$5.2t | US$3.1t | US$159.6b | 16.8x | 32.6x | 1.7x |
| Tue, 02 Jan 2024 | US$5.3t | US$3.1t | US$141.6b | 17.7x | 37.4x | 1.7x |
| Thu, 30 Nov 2023 | US$5.0t | US$3.1t | US$140.6b | 15.9x | 35.9x | 1.7x |
| Sat, 28 Oct 2023 | US$4.4t | US$3.0t | US$121.6b | 14.2x | 36.5x | 1.5x |
| Mon, 25 Sep 2023 | US$4.7t | US$3.0t | US$112.4b | 14.9x | 41.9x | 1.6x |
| Wed, 23 Aug 2023 | US$4.8t | US$3.0t | US$112.0b | 15.8x | 43.2x | 1.6x |
| Fri, 21 Jul 2023 | US$5.0t | US$2.9t | US$100.5b | 15.6x | 49.6x | 1.7x |
| Sun, 18 Jun 2023 | US$4.8t | US$2.9t | US$98.8b | 14.9x | 49x | 1.7x |
| Tue, 16 May 2023 | US$4.3t | US$2.9t | US$94.2b | 13.9x | 45.3x | 1.5x |
| Thu, 13 Apr 2023 | US$4.3t | US$2.9t | US$81.7b | 14.1x | 52.2x | 1.5x |
| Sat, 11 Mar 2023 | US$4.3t | US$3.1t | US$87.0b | 13.8x | 49.1x | 1.4x |
| Mon, 06 Feb 2023 | US$4.9t | US$3.1t | US$86.1b | 13.6x | 56.4x | 1.6x |
| Wed, 04 Jan 2023 | US$4.0t | US$3.0t | US$108.5b | 11.8x | 36.8x | 1.3x |
| Fri, 02 Dec 2022 | US$4.5t | US$3.0t | US$108.3b | 11.7x | 41.6x | 1.5x |
| Sun, 30 Oct 2022 | US$4.4t | US$3.0t | US$111.6b | 11.1x | 39.3x | 1.5x |
| Tue, 27 Sep 2022 | US$4.6t | US$3.0t | US$111.0b | 10.6x | 41.3x | 1.5x |
| Thu, 25 Aug 2022 | US$4.6t | US$3.0t | US$111.9b | 11.5x | 41x | 1.5x |
| Sat, 23 Jul 2022 | US$5.0t | US$2.9t | US$120.8b | 11.5x | 41.5x | 1.7x |
Price to Earnings Ratio
41.5x
Current Industry PE
- Investors are pessimistic on the American Consumer Discretionary industry, indicating that they anticipate long term growth rates will be lower than they have historically.
- The industry is trading at a PE ratio of 32.4x which is lower than its 3-year average PE of 38.6x.
- The 3-year average PS ratio of 1.7x is lower than the industry's current PS ratio of 2.0x.
Past Earnings Growth
- The earnings for companies in the Consumer Discretionary industry have grown 21% per year over the last three years.
- Revenues for these companies have grown 5.9% per year.
- This means that more sales are being generated by these companies overall, and subsequently their profits are increasing too.
Industry Trends
Which industries have driven the changes within the U.S. Consumer Discretionary sector?
| US Market | 0.15% | |
| Consumer Discretionary | 1.43% | |
| Auto | 3.90% | |
| General Merchandise and Department Stores | 2.93% | |
| Online Retail and Ecommerce | 0% | 0 |
| Hospitality | -0.21% | |
| Consumer Durables | -1.08% | |
| Leisure | -1.57% | |
| Luxury | -1.65% | |
| Consumer Services | -1.68% | |
| Auto Components | -1.86% | |
| Specialty Stores | -2.04% | |
| Retail Distributors | -2.98% | |
Industry PE
- Investors are most optimistic about the Auto Components industry which is trading above its 3-year average PE ratio of 57.0x.
- Analysts are expecting annual earnings growth of 31.4%, which is higher than its past year's earnings decline of 4.5% per year.
Forecasted Growth
- Analysts are most optimistic on the Auto Components industry, expecting annual earnings growth of 31% over the next 5 years.
- This is better than its past earnings decline of 4.5% per year.
- In contrast, the Consumer Durables industry is expected to see its earnings grow by 3.7% per year over the next few years.
Top Stock Gainers and Losers
Which companies have driven the market over the last 7 days?
| Company | Last Price | 7D | 1Y | Valuation | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMZN Amazon.com | US$226.35 | 3.2% +US$74.2b | 17.3% | PE36.4x | |
| TSLA Tesla | US$310.78 | 4.4% +US$41.8b | 21.1% | PE163.9x | |
| BABA Alibaba Group Holding | US$116.97 | 8.3% +US$20.4b | 49.2% | PE14.7x | |
| MCD McDonald's | US$299.62 | 2.7% +US$5.7b | 16.5% | PE26.2x | |
| RCL Royal Caribbean Cruises | US$341.29 | 3.4% +US$3.0b | 98.3% | PE28.5x |
