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U.S. Consumer Discretionary Sector Analysis

UpdatedMar 21, 2026
DataAggregated Company Financials
Companies794
  • 7D-3.0%
  • 3M-14.2%
  • 1Y6.6%
  • YTD-12.2%

Over the last 7 days, the Consumer Discretionary industry has dropped 3.0%, driven by a pullback from Tesla of 5.9%. This takes the industry's 12 month performance to a gain of 6.6%. As for the next few years, earnings are expected to grow by 20% per annum.

Sector Valuation and Performance

Has the U.S. Consumer Discretionary Sector valuation changed over the past few years?

DateMarket CapRevenueEarningsPEAbsolute PEPS
Sun, 22 Mar 2026US$7.0tUS$3.6tUS$199.5b18.3x35.1x1.9x
Tue, 17 Feb 2026US$7.4tUS$3.6tUS$207.6b20.3x35.6x2.1x
Thu, 15 Jan 2026US$7.9tUS$3.6tUS$221.6b19.5x35.6x2.2x
Sat, 13 Dec 2025US$7.8tUS$3.5tUS$221.9b19.2x35.1x2.2x
Mon, 10 Nov 2025US$7.7tUS$3.5tUS$223.4b17.9x34.6x2.2x
Wed, 08 Oct 2025US$7.8tUS$3.5tUS$220.9b19x35.5x2.3x
Fri, 05 Sep 2025US$7.4tUS$3.5tUS$221.9b20.3x33.1x2.1x
Sun, 03 Aug 2025US$6.8tUS$3.4tUS$216.0b18.1x31.4x2x
Tue, 01 Jul 2025US$6.9tUS$3.4tUS$216.2b18.1x32x2x
Thu, 29 May 2025US$6.8tUS$3.4tUS$218.4b17.1x31.2x2x
Sat, 26 Apr 2025US$6.1tUS$3.4tUS$210.6b16.5x29x1.8x
Mon, 24 Mar 2025US$6.2tUS$3.4tUS$211.8b16.7x29.5x1.8x
Wed, 19 Feb 2025US$7.3tUS$3.4tUS$204.4b19.3x35.6x2.2x
Fri, 17 Jan 2025US$7.2tUS$3.3tUS$201.8b18.7x35.5x2.1x
Sun, 15 Dec 2024US$7.4tUS$3.3tUS$201.0b19.1x36.6x2.2x
Tue, 12 Nov 2024US$6.4tUS$3.2tUS$180.6b18.9x35.2x2x
Thu, 10 Oct 2024US$5.9tUS$3.2tUS$178.5b17.9x32.8x1.9x
Sat, 07 Sep 2024US$5.3tUS$3.2tUS$177.6b17x29.9x1.7x
Mon, 05 Aug 2024US$5.2tUS$3.2tUS$174.0b16.7x30x1.7x
Wed, 03 Jul 2024US$5.6tUS$3.1tUS$167.3b17x33.3x1.8x
Fri, 31 May 2024US$5.4tUS$3.1tUS$167.8b18x32x1.7x
Sun, 28 Apr 2024US$5.3tUS$3.1tUS$159.9b17.2x33x1.7x
Tue, 26 Mar 2024US$5.4tUS$3.1tUS$159.7b17.5x33.6x1.7x
Thu, 22 Feb 2024US$5.2tUS$3.1tUS$152.7b17.9x34.2x1.7x
Sat, 20 Jan 2024US$5.1tUS$3.1tUS$141.6b17.1x35.7x1.7x
Mon, 18 Dec 2023US$5.3tUS$3.1tUS$139.6b17.1x37.8x1.7x
Wed, 15 Nov 2023US$4.8tUS$3.0tUS$131.2b15.8x36.4x1.6x
Fri, 13 Oct 2023US$4.8tUS$3.0tUS$113.9b15x42.3x1.6x
Sun, 10 Sep 2023US$4.9tUS$3.0tUS$111.8b15.5x43.9x1.6x
Tue, 08 Aug 2023US$5.1tUS$3.0tUS$110.7b16x46.4x1.7x
Thu, 06 Jul 2023US$5.0tUS$2.9tUS$99.8b15x49.8x1.7x
Sat, 03 Jun 2023US$4.5tUS$2.9tUS$99.0b13.9x45.7x1.6x
Mon, 01 May 2023US$4.3tUS$2.9tUS$87.9b13.8x49.2x1.5x
Wed, 29 Mar 2023US$4.3tUS$2.9tUS$82.0b13.5x52.1x1.5x
Price to Earnings Ratio

52.1x


Total Market Cap: US$4.3tTotal Earnings: US$82.0bTotal Revenue: US$2.9tTotal Market Cap vs Earnings and Revenue0%0%0%
U.S. Consumer Discretionary Sector Price to Earnings3Y Average 36.2x202420252026
Current Industry PE
  • Investors are relatively neutral on the American Consumer Discretionary industry at the moment, indicating that they anticipate long term growth rates to remain steady.
  • The industry is trading close to its 3-year average PE ratio of 36.2x.
  • The industry is trading close to its 3-year average PS ratio of 1.9x.
Past Earnings Growth
  • The earnings for companies in the Consumer Discretionary industry have grown 35% per year over the last three years.
  • Revenues for these companies have grown 7.8% per year.
  • This means that more sales are being generated by these companies overall, and subsequently their profits are increasing too.

Industry Trends

Which industries have driven the changes within the U.S. Consumer Discretionary sector?

US Market-1.86%
Consumer Discretionary-3.04%
Online Retail and Ecommerce0%0
Hospitality-0.46%
Consumer Services-1.04%
Auto Components-1.70%
Luxury-1.82%
Leisure-1.94%
General Merchandise and Department Stores-2.41%
Specialty Stores-2.74%
Consumer Durables-4.19%
Auto-5.57%
Retail Distributors-5.86%
Industry PE
  • Investors are most optimistic about the Luxury industry which is trading above its 3-year average PE ratio of 28.6x.
    • Analysts are expecting annual earnings growth of 18.3%, which is higher than its past year's earnings decline of 14.4% per year.
Forecasted Growth
  • Analysts are most optimistic on the Leisure industry, expecting annual earnings growth of 35% over the next 5 years.
  • This is better than its past earnings decline of 36% per year.
  • In contrast, the Consumer Durables industry is expected to see its earnings grow by 6.9% per year over the next few years.

Top Stock Gainers and Losers

Which companies have driven the market over the last 7 days?

CompanyLast Price7D1YValuation
BKNG Booking HoldingsUS$4.32k2.0%
+US$2.6b		-6.4%PE25.3x
ROST Ross StoresUS$211.192.4%
+US$1.6b		70.9%PE31.8x
MAR Marriott InternationalUS$319.761.9%
+US$1.6b		34.6%PE32.6x
ABNB AirbnbUS$128.521.8%
+US$1.3b		-0.2%PE30.7x
CMG Chipotle Mexican GrillUS$33.372.6%
+US$1.1b		-31.2%PE28.3x

Latest News

EXPE
US$235.18
Expedia Group
7D
3.0%
1Y
35.3%
AMZN
US$205.37
Amazon.com
7D
-1.1%
1Y
4.7%
LOW
US$224.63
Lowe's Companies
7D
-5.5%
1Y
-1.1%
BABA
US$122.41
Alibaba Group Holding
7D
-9.5%
1Y
-9.4%
FIVE
US$227.42
Five Below
7D
8.1%
1Y
198.3%

Five Below (FIVE): The High-Growth Gambit of the Value Sector

Five Below (FIVE) is the undisputed breakout star of the retail sector this week, closing the March 19, 2026, session at $235.17 USD , a massive 10.68% daily surge. The stock reached new all-time highs following a "blowout" Q4 2025 earnings report that silenced critics of the company's "Five Beyond" strategy.
SBUX
US$92.55
Starbucks
7D
-6.7%
1Y
-4.7%

SBUX: Balanced Risk Reward As Turnaround Execution And Margins Guide Future Performance

Analysts have adjusted the Starbucks fair value estimate from $95.06 to $99.94, reflecting slightly lower revenue growth assumptions, higher expected margins, and a similar future P/E, with recent price target shifts and mixed ratings pointing to a more balanced risk and reward profile at current levels. Analyst Commentary Recent research paints a mixed picture for Starbucks, with price targets clustered around the high US$80s to low US$110s and a growing number of neutral or peer perform ratings.
HD
US$320.75
Home Depot
7D
-5.4%
1Y
-8.7%
PDD
US$96.19
PDD Holdings
7D
-6.3%
1Y
-24.0%
CMG
US$33.37
Chipotle Mexican Grill
7D
2.6%
1Y
-31.2%
TSLA
US$367.96
Tesla
7D
-5.9%
1Y
47.9%

TSLA: AI And Energy Bets Will Confront Auto And Autonomy Execution Risks

Narrative Update: Tesla The updated analyst price target for Tesla shifts slightly to about $422, as analysts factor in modest adjustments to revenue growth, profit margin assumptions, and a somewhat higher discount rate. This comes alongside mixed but generally constructive research that highlights Tesla's role in autonomous driving and energy, while acknowledging execution and cost risks.
MCD
US$308.85
McDonald's
7D
-5.4%
1Y
1.1%

MCD: Value Repositioning And Digital Efficiencies Are Expected To Support Breakout Potential

Analysts have nudged our McDonald's fair value estimate higher from $341.28 to $344.09. This reflects their higher Street price targets that point to the brand's global reach, franchise model, operational efficiencies, and steady U.S. business momentum.
MAR
US$319.76
Marriott International
7D
1.9%
1Y
34.6%

MAR: Future Outlook Will Balance Buybacks With Expanding Midscale And Resort Footprint

Analysts have nudged their price target for Marriott International higher to $354.84 from $353.76, reflecting updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E expectations. What's in the News Several banks, including Scotia Capital (USA) Inc., HSBC Securities (USA) Inc., BofA Securities, Inc., U.S. Bancorp Investments, Inc., J.P. Morgan Securities LLC, Wells Fargo Securities, LLC, and Truist Securities, Inc., have been added as co lead underwriters for Marriott International, Inc.'s US$594.462m fixed income offering (Key Developments).
ABNB
US$128.52
Airbnb
7D
1.8%
1Y
-0.2%
ROST
US$211.19
Ross Stores
7D
2.4%
1Y
70.9%

ROST: Holiday Beat And Store Expansion May Support Future Balanced Returns

Our analyst price target for Ross Stores increases from $205.13 to $229.81, as analysts highlight a solid Q4 earnings beat, stronger assortments, and broad-based momentum that has led to a series of Street target hikes into the mid-$220s to mid-$240s. Analyst Commentary Street research around Ross Stores has turned broadly constructive following the Q4 report, with multiple firms lifting price targets into a tight US$220 to mid US$240 range and, in some cases, upgrading ratings.
BURL
US$310.38
Burlington Stores
7D
4.6%
1Y
32.7%

BURL: Store Expansion And Margin Outlook Support More Confident 2026 Earnings Path

The analyst price target for Burlington Stores has moved from about $343 to $371, as analysts point to a stronger Q4 performance, an improved margin outlook, and a more confident multi-year earnings path supported by store growth and the off-price model. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates cluster around a similar message: Q4 results came in ahead of expectations, and that is feeding into higher earnings estimates and meaningfully higher price targets for Burlington Stores.
BKNG
US$4,324.04
Booking Holdings
7D
2.0%
1Y
-6.4%

BKNG: AI Relief And Solid Travel Demand Will Support Future Cash Generation

Our updated analyst price target for Booking Holdings edges slightly lower to $5,816 from $5,874 as analysts factor in a modestly lower fair value and P/E, alongside slightly higher revenue growth and profit margin expectations. This outlook is supported by research that highlights resilient OTA fundamentals and easing AI disintermediation concerns following the reported ChatGPT checkout pivot.