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U.S. Specialty Stores Industry Analysis

UpdatedFeb 25, 2026
DataAggregated Company Financials
Companies159
  • 7D-0.4%
  • 3M4.5%
  • 1Y9.8%
  • YTD4.0%

The Specialty Stores industry has been flat over the last week, but Carvana has lost 7.3%. The past year has been better, since the industry has gained 9.8% in that time. As for the next few years, earnings are expected to grow by 9.8% per annum.

Industry Valuation and Performance

Has the U.S. Specialty Stores Industry valuation changed over the past few years?

DateMarket CapRevenueEarningsPEAbsolute PEPS
Wed, 25 Feb 2026US$996.4bUS$743.3bUS$37.4b20.6x26.7x1.3x
Fri, 23 Jan 2026US$1.0tUS$736.0bUS$36.6b20.5x28.5x1.4x
Sun, 21 Dec 2025US$985.0bUS$735.8bUS$36.0b20.3x27.3x1.3x
Tue, 18 Nov 2025US$935.7bUS$735.7bUS$36.4b16.6x25.7x1.3x
Thu, 16 Oct 2025US$979.5bUS$731.6bUS$36.4b16.6x26.9x1.3x
Sat, 13 Sep 2025US$1.0tUS$732.4bUS$35.6b18.7x29x1.4x
Mon, 11 Aug 2025US$962.5bUS$735.1bUS$35.3b17.6x27.3x1.3x
Wed, 09 Jul 2025US$931.1bUS$733.1bUS$35.0b18.3x26.6x1.3x
Fri, 06 Jun 2025US$926.6bUS$732.6bUS$34.9b16.9x26.5x1.3x
Sun, 04 May 2025US$881.7bUS$727.1bUS$35.7b15.5x24.7x1.2x
Tue, 01 Apr 2025US$841.5bUS$724.4bUS$35.6b16.1x23.6x1.2x
Thu, 27 Feb 2025US$924.0bUS$727.3bUS$35.5b14.7x26x1.3x
Sat, 25 Jan 2025US$921.3bUS$701.4bUS$35.2b16.3x26.1x1.3x
Mon, 23 Dec 2024US$895.4bUS$706.5bUS$34.4b16.6x26x1.3x
Wed, 20 Nov 2024US$887.2bUS$703.6bUS$32.6b16x27.2x1.3x
Fri, 18 Oct 2024US$483.1bUS$548.8bUS$18.1b14.9x26.7x0.9x
Sun, 15 Sep 2024US$483.2bUS$552.2bUS$17.4b15x27.7x0.9x
Tue, 13 Aug 2024US$449.4bUS$551.0bUS$17.0b15.6x26.4x0.8x
Thu, 11 Jul 2024US$458.4bUS$551.7bUS$17.6b15.5x26.1x0.8x
Sat, 08 Jun 2024US$471.2bUS$552.9bUS$17.7b15.9x26.6x0.9x
Mon, 06 May 2024US$425.9bUS$554.7bUS$16.7b15.2x25.4x0.8x
Wed, 03 Apr 2024US$465.2bUS$552.3bUS$17.1b15.7x27.2x0.8x
Fri, 01 Mar 2024US$449.8bUS$551.2bUS$15.8b14.8x28.4x0.8x
Sun, 28 Jan 2024US$432.6bUS$574.3bUS$16.1b13.9x26.8x0.8x
Tue, 26 Dec 2023US$432.6bUS$574.4bUS$16.1b13.7x26.8x0.8x
Thu, 23 Nov 2023US$394.7bUS$574.7bUS$17.6b14x22.4x0.7x
Sat, 21 Oct 2023US$371.7bUS$566.5bUS$18.4b12.5x20.2x0.7x
Mon, 18 Sep 2023US$395.2bUS$567.9bUS$18.3b12.2x21.6x0.7x
Wed, 16 Aug 2023US$419.3bUS$570.9bUS$18.2b11x23x0.7x
Fri, 14 Jul 2023US$427.2bUS$572.7bUS$18.3b10.4x23.3x0.7x
Sun, 11 Jun 2023US$395.3bUS$574.2bUS$18.2b9.8x21.7x0.7x
Tue, 09 May 2023US$404.1bUS$576.5bUS$19.0b10.8x21.2x0.7x
Thu, 06 Apr 2023US$402.0bUS$577.3bUS$20.5b9.9x19.7x0.7x
Sat, 04 Mar 2023US$389.3bUS$530.1bUS$22.7b9.8x17.2x0.7x
Price to Earnings Ratio

17.2x


Total Market Cap: US$389.3bTotal Earnings: US$22.7bTotal Revenue: US$530.1bTotal Market Cap vs Earnings and Revenue0%0%0%
U.S. Specialty Stores Industry Price to Earnings3Y Average 25.1x202420252026
Current Industry PE
  • Investors are relatively neutral on the American Specialty Retail industry at the moment, indicating that they anticipate long term growth rates to remain steady.
  • The industry is trading close to its 3-year average PE ratio of 25.1x.
  • The 3-year average PS ratio of 0.99x is lower than the industry's current PS ratio of 1.3x.
Past Earnings Growth
  • The earnings for companies in the Specialty Retail industry have grown 18% per year over the last three years.
  • Revenues for these companies have grown 12% per year.
  • This means that more sales are being generated by these companies overall, and subsequently their profits are increasing too.

Industry Trends

Which industries have driven the changes within the U.S. Consumer Discretionary industry?

US Market0.50%
Consumer Discretionary0.77%
Specialty Stores-0.38%
Specialty Stores1.18%
Home Improvement Retail0.38%
Apparel Retail0.10%
Home Furnishing Retail-0.32%
Computer and Electronics Retail-1.85%
Automotive Retail-4.53%
Industry PE
  • Investors are most optimistic about the Specialty Stores industry, which is trading close to its 3-year average PE ratio of 27.8x.
    • Analysts are expecting annual earnings growth of 14.7%, which is higher than its past year's earnings decline of 6.6% per year.
  • Investors are most pessimistic about the Home Furnishing Retail industry, which is trading close to its 3-year average of 21.5x.
Forecasted Growth
  • Analysts are most optimistic on the Computer and Electronics Retail industry, expecting annual earnings growth of 22% over the next 5 years.
  • In contrast, the Home Furnishing Retail industry is expected to see its earnings grow by 5.4% per year over the next few years.

Top Stock Gainers and Losers

Which companies have driven the market over the last 7 days?

CompanyLast Price7D1YValuation
ORLY O'Reilly AutomotiveUS$94.331.9%
+US$1.5b		5.1%PE31.3x
HD Home DepotUS$384.480.4%
+US$1.4b		-2.2%PE27x
TJX TJX CompaniesUS$157.660.4%
+US$766.2m		28.5%PE34.2x
ROST Ross StoresUS$200.551.2%
+US$756.9m		47.0%PE31.1x
AZO AutoZoneUS$3.78k1.1%
+US$702.8m		10.5%PE25.4x

Latest News

HD
US$384.48
Home Depot
7D
0.4%
1Y
-2.2%
CHWY
US$25.48
Chewy
7D
7.1%
1Y
-26.3%
URBN
US$64.89
Urban Outfitters
7D
-9.4%
1Y
23.3%
ROST
US$200.55
Ross Stores
7D
1.2%
1Y
47.0%

ROST: Holiday Foot Traffic And Off Price Execution Will Support Future Balanced Returns

Analysts have lifted their blended price target on Ross Stores to $205.13 from $195.13, citing strong holiday foot traffic data, solid card spending trends, and a series of recent target hikes across the Street as support for a slightly higher fair value and P/E outlook. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Ross Stores clusters around a more constructive view on the off price space, with several firms revisiting their models ahead of upcoming earnings updates and into 2026.
RH
US$190.40
RH
7D
-8.8%
1Y
-45.4%

RH: Raised Expectations And Leadership Turnover Will Pressure Future Share Performance

Analysts have nudged RH's long term outlook higher, with recent price target increases of $25, $65 and $25 indicating slightly stronger confidence in its revenue growth, profit margins and P/E assumptions, despite some leadership changes. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on RH point to a mixed backdrop where higher price targets sit alongside a more cautious tone on execution, leadership stability and growth expectations.
BBY
US$62.73
Best Buy
7D
-5.1%
1Y
-30.4%

BBY: Cost Discipline And Alternative Profit Streams Will Support Future Earnings

Analysts have trimmed their average price targets on Best Buy by single digits into the $70 to $99 range, reflecting growing caution around FY27 earnings power. At the same time, they highlight stable EBIT margins, ongoing cost discipline and support from newer initiatives and product cycles.
DKS
US$212.49
DICK'S Sporting Goods
7D
3.1%
1Y
-3.4%

DKS: Foot Locker Integration And Inventory Cleanup Will Support Long-Term Earnings

The consensus analyst price target for DICK'S Sporting Goods has shifted modestly as firms recalibrated their models, with some raising and others trimming targets within a roughly $7 to $29 range. This reflects updated views on profit flow through, inventory clean up, and the company's positioning in core sporting goods retail.
CVNA
US$325.16
Carvana
7D
-7.3%
1Y
46.7%

CVNA: Margin Pressures And Short Report Risks Will Confront Index Inclusion Benefits

Analysts have reduced our Carvana fair value estimate by about $22 to $307.90. This reflects recent target cuts that account for near-term margin pressure after Q4 misses, alongside ongoing expectations for scale, share gains in used vehicles, and improved profitability over time.
TJX
US$157.66
TJX Companies
7D
0.4%
1Y
28.5%

TJX: Off Price Exposure To Higher Income Shoppers Will Drive Future Upside

Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for TJX Companies to $193 from $181, citing higher Street price targets and renewed optimism around off-price retail, as firms highlight resilient discretionary spending, solid top-line trends tied to easier weather comparisons and tax refunds, and exposure to higher income consumers. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are pointing to a more constructive view on TJX Companies, with higher fair value estimates and price targets reflecting confidence in the off price model and the company’s ability to execute in a mixed retail backdrop.
W
US$73.91
Wayfair
7D
-13.3%
1Y
72.5%
LAD
US$283.50
Lithia Motors
7D
-5.8%
1Y
-18.1%

LAD: Share Repurchases And Acquisitions Will Drive Future Upside Potential

Analysts have adjusted their price target for Lithia Motors slightly lower to about $395 from roughly $397, citing updated assumptions that combine a higher projected revenue growth rate with somewhat lower profit margin expectations and a modestly different future P/E input. What's in the News Lithia Motors completed a share repurchase tranche between October 1, 2025 and December 31, 2025, buying back 917,427 shares, or 3.76% of the company, for US$288.07 million under its ongoing program (Key Developments).
ULTA
US$686.44
Ulta Beauty
7D
-2.9%
1Y
87.7%

ULTA: International Expansion And Retail Execution Will Support A Higher Multiple

The analyst fair value estimate for Ulta Beauty has been raised from $725 to $790, as analysts factor in updated assumptions for growth, margins, discount rate, and future P/E following a series of higher price targets and rating actions across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Ulta Beauty has tilted firmly positive, with a cluster of higher price targets and fresh or reaffirmed positive ratings framing the stock as a key specialty beauty name for many institutional desks.
FIVE
US$221.40
Five Below
7D
4.2%
1Y
146.7%

FIVE: Elevated Multiple Will Likely Crack On Execution Dependent Holiday Momentum

Our analyst fair value estimate for Five Below has been raised from about $125 to $185. This change reflects higher assumed revenue growth, a slightly lower discount rate, modestly stronger profit margins, and a richer future P/E multiple that aligns with recent analyst price target hikes following positive management updates and holiday results.
AZO
US$3,784.42
AutoZone
7D
1.1%
1Y
10.5%

AZO: Mixed Rating Shifts And Ongoing Buybacks Will Shape Future Return Profile

The analyst price target on AutoZone has been trimmed by about $14 to $4,196, as analysts recalibrate their models following mixed target changes across the Street and modest adjustments to growth, margin and P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent research has highlighted a split view on AutoZone, with some firms lifting targets and others trimming them, which feeds directly into differing opinions on execution, growth potential and valuation support at current levels.
ORLY
US$94.33
O'Reilly Automotive
7D
1.9%
1Y
5.1%

ORLY: Steady Execution And Buybacks Expected To Support Balanced Risk Reward

Analysts have trimmed their price targets for O'Reilly Automotive, and our fair value estimate has edged down by about $4 to $105.72. They cite recent cuts from multiple research firms, even as they factor in relatively steady assumptions on growth, margins, and future P/E.
LOW
US$278.59
Lowe's Companies
7D
-0.9%
1Y
14.9%

LOW: Lock-In Housing And AI Tools Will Support Gradual Home Improvement Recovery

Narrative Update The analyst price target for Lowe's Companies has been raised by about US$5 to reflect slightly higher modeled fair value, modest tweaks to revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E assumptions, as analysts point to valuation, pent up demand in home improvement and a healthier mix across do it yourself and pro customers as key supports for the update. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Lowe's highlights a mix of optimism around long term home improvement demand and caution around near term earnings visibility, with several firms adjusting price targets and ratings after the latest results and outlook updates.