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U.S. Specialty Stores Industry Analysis

UpdatedDec 11, 2025
DataAggregated Company Financials
Companies161
  • 7D2.3%
  • 3M-2.7%
  • 1Y1.3%
  • YTD8.2%

Over the last 7 days, the Specialty Stores industry has risen 2.3%, driven by gains from Carvana of 18%. In the same time, AutoZone was down 11%. The industry has been flat over the past 12 months despite the gain this week. Looking forward, earnings are forecast to grow by 11% annually.

Industry Valuation and Performance

Has the U.S. Specialty Stores Industry valuation changed over the past few years?

DateMarket CapRevenueEarningsPEAbsolute PEPS
Thu, 11 Dec 2025US$986.4bUS$742.2bUS$36.3b19.7x27.2x1.3x
Sat, 08 Nov 2025US$932.5bUS$736.3bUS$36.4b18.4x25.6x1.3x
Mon, 06 Oct 2025US$998.8bUS$733.8bUS$36.4b17.3x27.4x1.4x
Wed, 03 Sep 2025US$1.0tUS$739.7bUS$35.5b19.3x28.3x1.4x
Fri, 01 Aug 2025US$929.9bUS$735.1bUS$35.2b18.1x26.4x1.3x
Sun, 29 Jun 2025US$883.8bUS$733.1bUS$35.0b17.6x25.2x1.2x
Tue, 27 May 2025US$899.1bUS$732.3bUS$35.4b16x25.4x1.2x
Thu, 24 Apr 2025US$844.5bUS$725.5bUS$35.7b14.7x23.7x1.2x
Sat, 22 Mar 2025US$834.1bUS$725.0bUS$35.6b16.5x23.5x1.2x
Mon, 17 Feb 2025US$908.6bUS$705.3bUS$35.5b16.8x25.6x1.3x
Wed, 15 Jan 2025US$881.3bUS$701.4bUS$35.2b15.6x25x1.3x
Fri, 13 Dec 2024US$941.9bUS$706.4bUS$34.3b16.8x27.4x1.3x
Sun, 10 Nov 2024US$479.5bUS$549.3bUS$17.8b15.1x26.9x0.9x
Tue, 08 Oct 2024US$476.7bUS$548.9bUS$18.1b14.3x26.4x0.9x
Thu, 05 Sep 2024US$473.3bUS$552.5bUS$17.5b14.2x27x0.9x
Sat, 03 Aug 2024US$461.5bUS$551.0bUS$17.2b15.1x26.8x0.8x
Mon, 01 Jul 2024US$463.0bUS$551.7bUS$17.5b15.4x26.4x0.8x
Wed, 29 May 2024US$441.7bUS$552.9bUS$17.5b15.2x25.3x0.8x
Fri, 26 Apr 2024US$423.4bUS$554.9bUS$17.0b15.1x24.9x0.8x
Sun, 24 Mar 2024US$458.9bUS$546.6bUS$16.8b15.7x27.3x0.8x
Tue, 20 Feb 2024US$436.1bUS$556.0bUS$15.9b14.7x27.4x0.8x
Thu, 18 Jan 2024US$421.0bUS$574.3bUS$16.1b13.4x26.1x0.7x
Sat, 16 Dec 2023US$425.7bUS$574.8bUS$16.1b13.8x26.4x0.7x
Mon, 13 Nov 2023US$379.7bUS$574.5bUS$17.7b10.8x21.4x0.7x
Wed, 11 Oct 2023US$381.2bUS$566.5bUS$18.4b12.6x20.7x0.7x
Fri, 08 Sep 2023US$405.0bUS$571.3bUS$18.1b11.7x22.4x0.7x
Sun, 06 Aug 2023US$422.6bUS$571.5bUS$18.1b10.9x23.3x0.7x
Tue, 04 Jul 2023US$421.0bUS$572.6bUS$18.4b10.5x22.9x0.7x
Thu, 01 Jun 2023US$379.1bUS$574.6bUS$17.9b9.9x21.1x0.7x
Sat, 29 Apr 2023US$403.1bUS$575.1bUS$19.0b10.9x21.3x0.7x
Mon, 27 Mar 2023US$390.5bUS$577.5bUS$20.4b10.2x19.1x0.7x
Wed, 22 Feb 2023US$397.5bUS$543.9bUS$23.2b9.5x17.1x0.7x
Fri, 20 Jan 2023US$380.2bUS$539.0bUS$23.4b8.7x16.2x0.7x
Sun, 18 Dec 2022US$367.1bUS$541.0bUS$23.8b8.1x15.4x0.7x
Price to Earnings Ratio

15.4x


Total Market Cap: US$367.1bTotal Earnings: US$23.8bTotal Revenue: US$541.0bTotal Market Cap vs Earnings and Revenue0%0%0%
U.S. Specialty Stores Industry Price to Earnings3Y Average 24.4x202320242025
Current Industry PE
  • Investors are optimistic on the American Specialty Retail industry, and appear confident in long term growth rates.
  • The industry is trading at a PE ratio of 27.2x which is higher than its 3-year average PE of 24.4x.
  • The 3-year average PS ratio of 0.94x is lower than the industry's current PS ratio of 1.3x.
Past Earnings Growth
  • The earnings for companies in the Specialty Retail industry have grown 15% per year over the last three years.
  • Revenues for these companies have grown 11% per year.
  • This means that more sales are being generated by these companies overall, and subsequently their profits are increasing too.

Industry Trends

Which industries have driven the changes within the U.S. Consumer Discretionary industry?

US Market0.42%
Consumer Discretionary0.093%
Specialty Stores2.33%
Automotive Retail9.15%
Home Furnishing Retail4.32%
Specialty Stores4.05%
Apparel Retail3.72%
Home Improvement Retail-1.99%
Computer and Electronics Retail-2.63%
Industry PE
  • Investors are most optimistic about the Automotive Retail industry which is trading above its 3-year average PE ratio of 18.9x.
    • Analysts are expecting annual earnings growth of 24.5%, which is higher than its past year's earnings growth of 0.1% per year.
  • Investors are most pessimistic about the Home Furnishing Retail industry, which is trading close to its 3-year average of 20.4x.
Forecasted Growth
  • Analysts are most optimistic on the Automotive Retail industry, expecting annual earnings growth of 25% over the next 5 years.
  • This is better than its past earnings growth rate of 0.1% per year.
  • In contrast, the Home Furnishing Retail industry is expected to see its earnings grow by 4.9% per year over the next few years.

Top Stock Gainers and Losers

Which companies have driven the market over the last 7 days?

CompanyLast Price7D1YValuation
CVNA CarvanaUS$467.6718.4%
+US$10.3b		86.4%PE105.2x
TJX TJX CompaniesUS$155.673.7%
+US$6.2b		22.8%PE33.8x
ULTA Ulta BeautyUS$600.6512.5%
+US$3.0b		41.7%PE22.4x
DKS DICK'S Sporting GoodsUS$219.50-3.7%
US$1.5b		-0.7%PE19.3x
WRBY Warby ParkerUS$29.5760.5%
+US$1.4b		24.2%PE5038.2x

Latest News

WRBY
US$29.57
Warby Parker
7D
60.5%
1Y
24.2%
HD
US$351.13
Home Depot
7D
-1.9%
1Y
-16.7%
TJX
US$155.67
TJX Companies
7D
3.7%
1Y
22.8%
AZO
US$3,421.13
AutoZone
7D
-10.5%
1Y
2.3%
AAP
US$49.05
Advance Auto Parts
7D
-8.4%
1Y
7.7%
WSM
US$187.10
Williams-Sonoma
7D
4.9%
1Y
-1.8%

WSM: Future Execution Will Balance Elevated Multiples And Share Repurchase Support

Analysts have trimmed their price targets on Williams-Sonoma, with reductions such as to $175 and $188 per share. These changes reflect updated post Q3 models and lingering concerns that the stock's valuation remains elevated versus its historical range.
BURL
US$270.23
Burlington Stores
7D
8.6%
1Y
-8.5%

BURL: Margin Expansion And Store Openings Will Drive Multi Year Upside

Analysts have modestly trimmed their price targets for Burlington Stores, reflecting a roughly $30 to $35 reduction to the mid-$310s range as they factor in softer near-term comps, a slightly lower profit margin outlook, and increased investment-driven expenses, while still seeing constructive long-term growth and margin expansion opportunities. Analyst Commentary Burlington Stores recent earnings and updated outlook have prompted a recalibration of expectations, with targets edging lower but ratings remaining broadly positive as analysts balance near term execution risk against a still compelling multi year growth story.
TSCO
US$52.86
Tractor Supply
7D
-2.8%
1Y
-7.4%

TSCO: Expanded Outdoor Offerings Will Drive Future Earnings Upside

Narrative Update on Tractor Supply Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Tractor Supply modestly, from approximately 63.52 dollars to 63.74 dollars per share. They cite slightly higher expected profit margins and a marginally richer future earnings multiple, which more than offset a small trim to projected revenue growth and a higher discount rate.
ULTA
US$600.65
Ulta Beauty
7D
12.5%
1Y
41.7%

ULTA Will Navigate Earnings Momentum And New Markets Amid Spending Uncertainty

Analysts have lifted their price target for Ulta Beauty by about $29 to roughly $603 per share, citing continued earnings outperformance, improving revenue growth and margins, and confidence in the growth potential from its Space NK acquisition despite broader consumer spending concerns. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts highlight that the upgraded rating reflects growing confidence in Ulta Beauty's ability to sustain earnings outperformance, even as the stock has lagged broader market benchmarks in recent months.
ROST
US$181.82
Ross Stores
7D
2.7%
1Y
18.2%
LOW
US$246.20
Lowe's Companies
7D
-0.3%
1Y
-8.1%

LOW: Pro Segment Investments Will Drive Future Share Gains Amid Housing Market Tailwinds

Lowe's Companies saw its analyst fair value estimate decrease modestly to $272.50 per share from $278.56, as analysts cite cautious guidance and mixed sector signals. This comes despite some ongoing industry tailwinds.
CVNA
US$467.67
Carvana
7D
18.4%
1Y
86.4%

CVNA: Market Share Will Expand As Operational Execution Drives Consistent Outperformance

Carvana's analyst fair value target has been slightly reduced by less than $1 to $419.45, as analysts balance consistent growth and operational improvements with ongoing macroeconomic uncertainties and evolving industry dynamics. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research provides a diverse range of perspectives on Carvana, highlighting both optimism around the company's growth prospects and concerns linked to macroeconomic factors and credit exposure.
GME
US$22.12
GameStop
7D
-4.7%
1Y
-23.6%
ORLY
US$93.63
O'Reilly Automotive
7D
-5.9%
1Y
10.6%

ORLY: Pricing Tailwinds And Supply Chain Improvements Will Support Share Gains Into 2025

Analysts have raised their price targets for O'Reilly Automotive, with new estimates ranging from $120 to $125. They attribute the upward revision to a "clean" quarterly report, attractive valuation after a recent pullback, and expectations for continued same-store-sales growth driven by pricing and improved industry trends.
DKS
US$219.50
DICK'S Sporting Goods
7D
-3.7%
1Y
-0.7%

DKS: Future Performance Will Hinge On Integration Of Foot Locker Acquisition

DICK'S Sporting Goods' average analyst price target has modestly declined, with analysts citing both the conservatism of new guidance and complexities from the recent Foot Locker acquisition as key factors behind updated expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst reports on DICK'S Sporting Goods reflect both optimism and caution, as the company navigates the integration of its significant Foot Locker acquisition and sets new guidance for the coming quarters.
FND
US$61.96
Floor & Decor Holdings
7D
-6.5%
1Y
-45.1%

FND: Improving Housing Environment Will Drive Comparable Sales Recovery By 2026

Analysts have slightly lowered their fair value estimate for Floor & Decor Holdings to $78.27 from $78.91, citing ongoing competitive pressures and mixed views on near-term demand. They note potential for improved margins and market share gains in 2026.