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U.S. Specialty Stores Industry Analysis

UpdatedJul 01, 2026
DataAggregated Company Financials
Companies152
  • 7D1.3%
  • 3M2.0%
  • 1Y2.7%
  • YTD-1.8%

The Specialty Stores industry is up 1.3% in the last week, with Home Depot up 8.7%. During this same period, the TJX Companies underperformed, falling 7.8%. Overall in the last year, the industry is flat. As for the next few years, earnings are expected to grow by 9.8% per annum.

Industry Valuation and Performance

Has the U.S. Specialty Stores Industry valuation changed over the past few years?

DateMarket CapRevenueEarningsPEAbsolute PEPS
Wed, 01 Jul 2026US$941.0bUS$760.0bUS$39.6b19.7x23.8x1.2x
Fri, 29 May 2026US$926.0bUS$758.6bUS$38.0b22.3x24.4x1.2x
Sun, 26 Apr 2026US$960.9bUS$743.4bUS$37.3b20.9x25.7x1.3x
Tue, 24 Mar 2026US$898.1bUS$748.7bUS$37.8b19x23.8x1.2x
Thu, 19 Feb 2026US$1.0tUS$737.0bUS$36.9b21.7x27.3x1.4x
Sat, 17 Jan 2026US$1.0tUS$735.9bUS$36.6b20.7x28.4x1.4x
Mon, 15 Dec 2025US$1.0tUS$735.9bUS$36.4b20.2x27.5x1.4x
Wed, 12 Nov 2025US$949.8bUS$736.3bUS$36.4b18.3x26.1x1.3x
Fri, 10 Oct 2025US$973.4bUS$731.6bUS$36.4b16.7x26.8x1.3x
Sun, 07 Sep 2025US$1.0tUS$739.9bUS$35.3b19.2x29.1x1.4x
Tue, 05 Aug 2025US$935.3bUS$735.4bUS$35.3b18.3x26.5x1.3x
Thu, 03 Jul 2025US$931.4bUS$733.1bUS$35.0b18.1x26.6x1.3x
Sat, 31 May 2025US$912.2bUS$732.6bUS$34.8b15.9x26.2x1.2x
Mon, 28 Apr 2025US$860.4bUS$727.1bUS$35.6b15.4x24.1x1.2x
Wed, 26 Mar 2025US$865.5bUS$724.7bUS$35.6b16.7x24.3x1.2x
Fri, 21 Feb 2025US$950.7bUS$719.1bUS$35.7b15.3x26.6x1.3x
Sun, 19 Jan 2025US$905.1bUS$701.4bUS$35.2b16x25.7x1.3x
Tue, 17 Dec 2024US$932.2bUS$706.4bUS$34.3b16.4x27.1x1.3x
Thu, 14 Nov 2024US$882.2bUS$703.8bUS$32.4b15.3x27.2x1.3x
Sat, 12 Oct 2024US$463.8bUS$548.9bUS$18.1b14.6x25.7x0.8x
Mon, 09 Sep 2024US$461.6bUS$552.8bUS$17.7b14.3x26.1x0.8x
Wed, 07 Aug 2024US$439.5bUS$551.3bUS$17.0b15.1x25.8x0.8x
Fri, 05 Jul 2024US$456.1bUS$551.7bUS$17.6b15.4x26x0.8x
Sun, 02 Jun 2024US$461.5bUS$553.4bUS$17.6b17.6x26.2x0.8x
Tue, 30 Apr 2024US$428.5bUS$555.0bUS$16.9b15.2x25.3x0.8x
Thu, 28 Mar 2024US$466.7bUS$552.3bUS$16.9b16.1x27.6x0.8x
Sat, 24 Feb 2024US$440.5bUS$549.5bUS$15.7b15.3x28x0.8x
Mon, 22 Jan 2024US$425.3bUS$574.4bUS$16.1b13.6x26.4x0.7x
Wed, 20 Dec 2023US$433.0bUS$574.7bUS$16.1b13.7x26.9x0.8x
Fri, 17 Nov 2023US$383.6bUS$575.3bUS$17.6b13.4x21.8x0.7x
Sun, 15 Oct 2023US$370.6bUS$569.3bUS$18.5b11.7x20x0.7x
Tue, 12 Sep 2023US$395.2bUS$567.9bUS$18.3b11.2x21.5x0.7x
Thu, 10 Aug 2023US$420.5bUS$566.7bUS$18.5b11.4x22.7x0.7x
Sat, 08 Jul 2023US$414.1bUS$572.6bUS$18.3b10.4x22.6x0.7x
Price to Earnings Ratio

22.6x


Total Market Cap: US$414.1bTotal Earnings: US$18.3bTotal Revenue: US$572.6bTotal Market Cap vs Earnings and Revenue0%0%0%
U.S. Specialty Stores Industry Price to Earnings3Y Average 25.6x202420252026
Current Industry PE
  • Investors are relatively neutral on the American Specialty Retail industry at the moment, indicating that they anticipate long term growth rates to remain steady.
  • The industry is trading close to its 3-year average PE ratio of 25.6x.
  • The 3-year average PS ratio of 1.1x is lower than the industry's current PS ratio of 1.2x.
Past Earnings Growth
  • The earnings for companies in the Specialty Retail industry have grown 29% per year over the last three years.
  • Revenues for these companies have grown 9.9% per year.
  • This means that more sales are being generated by these companies overall, and subsequently their profits are increasing too.

Industry Trends

Which industries have driven the changes within the U.S. Consumer Discretionary industry?

US Market1.92%
Consumer Discretionary3.17%
Specialty Stores1.25%
Home Improvement Retail8.80%
Home Furnishing Retail4.33%
Computer and Electronics Retail2.43%
Automotive Retail0.94%
Specialty Stores0.10%
Apparel Retail-6.53%
Industry PE
  • Investors are most optimistic about the Automotive Retail industry which is trading above its 3-year average PE ratio of 22.3x.
    • Analysts are expecting annual earnings growth of 17.2%, which is higher than its past year's earnings decline of 6.6% per year.
  • Investors are most pessimistic about the Computer and Electronics Retail industry, which is trading below its 3-year average of 28.5x.
Forecasted Growth
  • Analysts are most optimistic on the Automotive Retail industry, expecting annual earnings growth of 17% over the next 5 years.
  • This is better than its past earnings decline of 6.6% per year.
  • In contrast, the Home Furnishing Retail industry is expected to see its earnings grow by 6.9% per year over the next few years.

Top Stock Gainers and Losers

Which companies have driven the market over the last 7 days?

CompanyLast Price7D1YValuation
HD Home DepotUS$352.688.7%
+US$28.1b		-5.5%PE25.1x
LOW Lowe's CompaniesUS$220.493.3%
+US$3.9b		-3.6%PE18.7x
ORLY O'Reilly AutomotiveUS$92.094.9%
+US$3.5b		3.1%PE29.3x
AZO AutoZoneUS$3.20k4.9%
+US$2.4b		-14.1%PE21.1x
W WayfairUS$92.428.9%
+US$999.2m		77.8%PS1x

Latest News

GAP
US$18.68
Gap
7D
-8.7%
1Y
-16.8%
Seeking Alpha • 7h

The Gap: Even More Attractive After The Selloff

Summary The Gap is upgraded to Strong Buy as its valuation reflects a significant discount amid robust financials and advancing turnaround efforts. GAP maintains a strong balance sheet with $2.6B in cash, manageable debt, and substantial shareholder returns through dividends and aggressive buybacks. Despite mixed guidance and macro headwinds, GAP projects EPS of $2.30–$2.40 and expects ongoing transformation investments to drive future growth. DCF-based intrinsic value is estimated well above current levels, offering substantial upside from today's prices, with risk-reward now highly favorable. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
ULTA
US$450.98
Ulta Beauty
7D
-5.8%
1Y
-5.0%
TJX
US$151.50
TJX Companies
7D
-7.8%
1Y
21.0%
TSCO
US$31.61
Tractor Supply
7D
5.2%
1Y
-42.7%
ORLY
US$92.09
O'Reilly Automotive
7D
4.9%
1Y
3.1%
ROST
US$212.85
Ross Stores
7D
-7.1%
1Y
63.8%
FND
US$59.36
Floor & Decor Holdings
7D
15.4%
1Y
-27.0%
WSM
US$233.10
Williams-Sonoma
7D
3.1%
1Y
37.8%
Narrative Update • Jun 29

WSM: Affordable Luxury And E-Commerce Strength Will Balance Margin And Tariff Risks

The analyst fair value estimate for Williams-Sonoma has been raised from $250 to $260. This reflects updated assumptions that align with recent Street research pointing to the company's "affordable luxury" positioning, strong e-commerce presence, relative margin resilience and potential for continued share gains.
GPI
US$291.17
Group 1 Automotive
7D
-8.5%
1Y
-35.7%
W
US$92.42
Wayfair
7D
8.9%
1Y
77.8%
DKS
US$226.81
DICK'S Sporting Goods
7D
-4.2%
1Y
10.1%
Narrative Update • Jun 28

DKS: Future Returns Will Reflect Core Engine And Foot Locker Execution Risks

Analysts have increased their price expectations for DICK'S Sporting Goods, reflected in a higher blended fair value estimate from about $234.76 to $249.27. This move is supported by recent target hikes into the $220 to $280 range as they point to Q1 results, improving Foot Locker comps, and potential operating leverage later in the year.
AZO
US$3,195.94
AutoZone
7D
4.9%
1Y
-14.1%
Narrative Update • Jun 25

AZO: Commercial Expansion And Buybacks Will Drive Future Profit Inflection

AutoZone's analyst price target framework has been modestly adjusted higher to $3,969 from $3,938, as analysts recalibrate fair value and P/E assumptions following mixed Q3 results, lower Street targets in the $3,200 to $4,023 range, and ongoing debate around sales trends and execution. Analyst Commentary Recent research on AutoZone highlights a split view, with most firms trimming price targets but maintaining positive or neutral ratings as they reassess valuation, sales trends, and execution following the mixed Q3 print.
LOW
US$220.49
Lowe's Companies
7D
3.3%
1Y
-3.6%
Narrative Update • Jun 25

LOW: Reaffirmed 2026 Outlook And Pro Share Gains Will Support Housing Recovery

The updated analyst price target for Lowe's Companies reflects a broad reset of Street expectations, with multiple firms trimming targets into a roughly $220 to $285 range as analysts factor in softer comparable sales, a tougher housing backdrop, and modestly adjusted earnings assumptions, while still recognizing steady execution and reaffirmed long term guidance. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Lowe's Companies shows a reset in price targets, but not a uniform shift in sentiment.
BURL
US$316.80
Burlington Stores
7D
-4.7%
1Y
33.7%
Narrative Update • Jun 24

BURL: Burlington 2.0 And Store Expansion Will Shape Balanced Risk Reward

Analysts have slightly adjusted their average price target on Burlington Stores, reflecting a mix of higher and lower individual targets that now range from about $310 to $435 after Q1 results. The changes are largely based on views of margin expansion potential, the Burlington 2.0 initiatives, and ongoing cost and competitive pressures.
HD
US$352.68
Home Depot
7D
8.7%
1Y
-5.5%
FIVE
US$179.79
Five Below
7D
-3.3%
1Y
35.0%