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U.S. Specialty Stores Industry Analysis

UpdatedJul 05, 2026
DataAggregated Company Financials
Companies154
  • 7D1.0%
  • 3M3.1%
  • 1Y3.4%
  • YTD-0.5%

Over the last 7 days, the Specialty Stores industry has risen 1.0%, driven by gains from Home Depot of 2.6%. In the last 12 months, the industry was up 3.4%. Looking forward, earnings are forecast to grow by 9.8% annually.

Industry Valuation and Performance

Has the U.S. Specialty Stores Industry valuation changed over the past few years?

DateMarket CapRevenueEarningsPEAbsolute PEPS
Mon, 06 Jul 2026US$957.7bUS$760.0bUS$39.6b19.6x24.2x1.3x
Wed, 03 Jun 2026US$907.9bUS$758.5bUS$38.8b20.9x23.4x1.2x
Fri, 01 May 2026US$934.9bUS$743.2bUS$37.3b20.3x25.1x1.3x
Sun, 29 Mar 2026US$903.4bUS$748.8bUS$37.8b19.2x23.9x1.2x
Tue, 24 Feb 2026US$1.0tUS$744.9bUS$37.7b21x26.8x1.4x
Thu, 22 Jan 2026US$1.0tUS$736.0bUS$36.6b20.7x28x1.4x
Sat, 20 Dec 2025US$997.5bUS$735.8bUS$36.1b20.3x27.6x1.4x
Mon, 17 Nov 2025US$936.1bUS$735.7bUS$36.4b17x25.7x1.3x
Wed, 15 Oct 2025US$964.2bUS$731.6bUS$36.4b16.6x26.5x1.3x
Fri, 12 Sep 2025US$1.0tUS$732.4bUS$35.6b19x28.5x1.4x
Sun, 10 Aug 2025US$962.5bUS$735.1bUS$35.3b17.6x27.3x1.3x
Tue, 08 Jul 2025US$937.6bUS$733.1bUS$35.0b18.2x26.8x1.3x
Thu, 05 Jun 2025US$928.7bUS$732.4bUS$34.9b16.7x26.6x1.3x
Sat, 03 May 2025US$866.7bUS$727.1bUS$35.7b15.5x24.3x1.2x
Mon, 31 Mar 2025US$841.5bUS$724.4bUS$35.6b16.3x23.6x1.2x
Wed, 26 Feb 2025US$906.7bUS$723.9bUS$36.0b15.2x25.2x1.3x
Fri, 24 Jan 2025US$913.5bUS$701.4bUS$35.2b16.5x25.9x1.3x
Sun, 22 Dec 2024US$895.4bUS$706.5bUS$34.4b16.6x26x1.3x
Tue, 19 Nov 2024US$886.4bUS$703.6bUS$32.6b15.6x27.2x1.3x
Thu, 17 Oct 2024US$481.7bUS$548.8bUS$18.1b15x26.6x0.9x
Sat, 14 Sep 2024US$478.9bUS$552.2bUS$17.4b15x27.4x0.9x
Mon, 12 Aug 2024US$449.4bUS$551.0bUS$17.0b15.7x26.4x0.8x
Wed, 10 Jul 2024US$460.3bUS$551.7bUS$17.6b15.5x26.2x0.8x
Fri, 07 Jun 2024US$469.6bUS$552.9bUS$17.8b16.2x26.4x0.8x
Sun, 05 May 2024US$425.9bUS$554.7bUS$16.7b15.2x25.4x0.8x
Tue, 02 Apr 2024US$469.0bUS$552.3bUS$17.1b16x27.5x0.8x
Thu, 29 Feb 2024US$450.4bUS$549.6bUS$15.7b14.1x28.7x0.8x
Sat, 27 Jan 2024US$431.0bUS$574.3bUS$16.1b13.9x26.7x0.8x
Mon, 25 Dec 2023US$432.6bUS$574.4bUS$16.1b13.7x26.8x0.8x
Wed, 22 Nov 2023US$392.9bUS$575.4bUS$17.6b14x22.3x0.7x
Fri, 20 Oct 2023US$374.8bUS$566.5bUS$18.4b12.7x20.4x0.7x
Sun, 17 Sep 2023US$395.2bUS$567.9bUS$18.3b12.2x21.6x0.7x
Tue, 15 Aug 2023US$421.9bUS$571.0bUS$18.2b11.1x23.2x0.7x
Thu, 13 Jul 2023US$429.2bUS$572.7bUS$18.3b10.5x23.4x0.7x
Price to Earnings Ratio

23.4x


Total Market Cap: US$429.2bTotal Earnings: US$18.3bTotal Revenue: US$572.7bTotal Market Cap vs Earnings and Revenue0%0%0%
U.S. Specialty Stores Industry Price to Earnings3Y Average 25.6x202420252026
Current Industry PE
  • Investors are relatively neutral on the American Specialty Retail industry at the moment, indicating that they anticipate long term growth rates to remain steady.
  • The industry is trading close to its 3-year average PE ratio of 25.6x.
  • The 3-year average PS ratio of 1.1x is lower than the industry's current PS ratio of 1.3x.
Past Earnings Growth
  • The earnings for companies in the Specialty Retail industry have grown 29% per year over the last three years.
  • Revenues for these companies have grown 9.9% per year.
  • This means that more sales are being generated by these companies overall, and subsequently their profits are increasing too.

Industry Trends

Which industries have driven the changes within the U.S. Consumer Discretionary industry?

US Market1.63%
Consumer Discretionary2.72%
Specialty Stores1.04%
Automotive Retail5.14%
Home Improvement Retail2.52%
Computer and Electronics Retail1.92%
Specialty Stores-0.89%
Apparel Retail-1.45%
Home Furnishing Retail-4.16%
Industry PE
  • Investors are most optimistic about the Automotive Retail industry which is trading above its 3-year average PE ratio of 22.4x.
    • Analysts are expecting annual earnings growth of 17.0%, which is higher than its past year's earnings decline of 6.6% per year.
  • Investors are most pessimistic about the Computer and Electronics Retail industry, which is trading below its 3-year average of 28.3x.
Forecasted Growth
  • Analysts are most optimistic on the Automotive Retail industry, expecting annual earnings growth of 17% over the next 5 years.
  • This is better than its past earnings decline of 6.6% per year.
  • In contrast, the Home Furnishing Retail industry is expected to see its earnings grow by 7.0% per year over the next few years.

Top Stock Gainers and Losers

Which companies have driven the market over the last 7 days?

CompanyLast Price7D1YValuation
HD Home DepotUS$357.902.6%
+US$9.0b		-3.7%PE25.5x
CVNA CarvanaUS$68.6010.0%
+US$4.5b		-1.5%PE34.1x
LOW Lowe's CompaniesUS$227.502.3%
+US$2.8b		-0.4%PE19.3x
CHWY ChewyUS$20.8512.4%
+US$941.7m		-49.5%PE33.5x
MUSA Murphy USAUS$560.756.5%
+US$635.8m		32.6%PE18.7x

Latest News

ORLY
US$90.25
O'Reilly Automotive
7D
0.8%
1Y
-1.2%
CVNA
US$68.60
Carvana
7D
10.0%
1Y
-1.5%
Narrative Update • Jul 02

CVNA: Post Split Expectations Will Test Market Share And Margin Resilience

Analysts have reduced their fair value estimate for Carvana from about $351 to roughly $68, citing updated market share expectations and revised price targets across the Street following the company’s recent stock split. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Carvana highlights a mixed backdrop, with several firms adjusting price targets after the stock split and reassessing how much market share the company could capture over the next few years.
FIVE
US$182.43
Five Below
7D
-3.2%
1Y
37.6%
Narrative Update • Jul 02

FIVE: Elevated Multiple Will Rely On Sustained Trend Driven Traffic Momentum

The analyst price target for Five Below has been raised from $185 to $210. Analysts cite a mix of slightly lower assumed revenue growth, improved profit margins, and a modestly lower future P/E multiple, informed by recent research that highlights both strong recent comps tied to Squishy Dumplings and questions about how durable that momentum will be.
GAP
US$19.25
Gap
7D
-4.8%
1Y
-15.3%
ULTA
US$461.33
Ulta Beauty
7D
-5.6%
1Y
-3.4%
TJX
US$154.26
TJX Companies
7D
-0.8%
1Y
22.6%
WSM
US$227.53
Williams-Sonoma
7D
-4.9%
1Y
31.4%
Narrative Update • Jun 29

WSM: Affordable Luxury And E-Commerce Strength Will Balance Margin And Tariff Risks

The analyst fair value estimate for Williams-Sonoma has been raised from $250 to $260. This reflects updated assumptions that align with recent Street research pointing to the company's "affordable luxury" positioning, strong e-commerce presence, relative margin resilience and potential for continued share gains.
CHWY
US$20.85
Chewy
7D
12.4%
1Y
-49.5%
Narrative Update • Jun 29

CHWY: Vet Clinics And Autoship Recurring Revenue Will Support Future Upside

The analyst price target for Chewy has been reduced from $39.85 to $31.05, as analysts factor in softer revenue growth assumptions, slightly lower profit margin expectations, and a reset to future P/E multiples following recent Q1 guidance and sector-wide target cuts. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Chewy highlights a split view, with several firms cutting price targets after Q1 guidance while still pointing to areas of execution strength, margin progress, and potential for the stock's valuation to re-rate over time.
VSXY
US$76.71
Victoria's Secret
7D
-13.3%
1Y
272.9%
BOOT
US$157.72
Boot Barn Holdings
7D
-11.2%
1Y
-4.4%
AZO
US$3,159.28
AutoZone
7D
1.0%
1Y
-16.2%
Narrative Update • Jun 25

AZO: Commercial Expansion And Buybacks Will Drive Future Profit Inflection

AutoZone's analyst price target framework has been modestly adjusted higher to $3,969 from $3,938, as analysts recalibrate fair value and P/E assumptions following mixed Q3 results, lower Street targets in the $3,200 to $4,023 range, and ongoing debate around sales trends and execution. Analyst Commentary Recent research on AutoZone highlights a split view, with most firms trimming price targets but maintaining positive or neutral ratings as they reassess valuation, sales trends, and execution following the mixed Q3 print.
LOW
US$227.50
Lowe's Companies
7D
2.3%
1Y
-0.4%
Narrative Update • Jun 25

LOW: Reaffirmed 2026 Outlook And Pro Share Gains Will Support Housing Recovery

The updated analyst price target for Lowe's Companies reflects a broad reset of Street expectations, with multiple firms trimming targets into a roughly $220 to $285 range as analysts factor in softer comparable sales, a tougher housing backdrop, and modestly adjusted earnings assumptions, while still recognizing steady execution and reaffirmed long term guidance. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Lowe's Companies shows a reset in price targets, but not a uniform shift in sentiment.
GME
US$22.82
GameStop
7D
4.9%
1Y
-3.3%
BURL
US$313.18
Burlington Stores
7D
-2.4%
1Y
26.6%
Narrative Update • Jun 24

BURL: Burlington 2.0 And Store Expansion Will Shape Balanced Risk Reward

Analysts have slightly adjusted their average price target on Burlington Stores, reflecting a mix of higher and lower individual targets that now range from about $310 to $435 after Q1 results. The changes are largely based on views of margin expansion potential, the Burlington 2.0 initiatives, and ongoing cost and competitive pressures.
HD
US$357.90
Home Depot
7D
2.6%
1Y
-3.7%
MUSA
US$560.75
Murphy USA
7D
6.5%
1Y
32.6%
Narrative Update • Jun 22

MUSA: Low Cost Fuel Margins And Buybacks Will Drive Future Upside

The analyst price target for Murphy USA has been raised from $655 to $680, reflecting analysts' updated assumptions around slightly higher revenue growth, a marginally lower discount rate, and a higher future P/E multiple, supported by recent positive research commentary and new Overweight initiations. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Murphy USA has tilted clearly positive, with several bullish analysts highlighting what they see as attractive upside drivers for the stock based on their updated price targets and ratings.