Investing IdeasBrowse All StocksMarkets
Have your own idea? Try our Stock Screener
Header cover image

U.S. Specialty Stores Industry Analysis

UpdatedFeb 27, 2026
DataAggregated Company Financials
Companies159
  • 7D0.4%
  • 3M4.4%
  • 1Y10.1%
  • YTD4.3%

Over the last 7 days, the Specialty Stores industry has remained flat, although notably Carvana gained 6.3%. As for the the longer term, the industry is up 10% over the past 12 months. Looking forward, earnings are forecast to grow by 9.6% annually.

Industry Valuation and Performance

Has the U.S. Specialty Stores Industry valuation changed over the past few years?

DateMarket CapRevenueEarningsPEAbsolute PEPS
Fri, 27 Feb 2026US$996.6bUS$743.6bUS$37.7b20.3x26.4x1.3x
Sun, 25 Jan 2026US$1.0tUS$732.9bUS$36.6b19.9x28.2x1.4x
Tue, 23 Dec 2025US$985.0bUS$735.9bUS$36.0b20.1x27.3x1.3x
Thu, 20 Nov 2025US$904.8bUS$736.8bUS$36.4b16.6x24.9x1.2x
Sat, 18 Oct 2025US$974.6bUS$731.6bUS$36.4b16.1x26.8x1.3x
Mon, 15 Sep 2025US$1.0tUS$732.4bUS$35.6b18.7x28.7x1.4x
Wed, 13 Aug 2025US$963.7bUS$735.1bUS$35.3b18.4x27.3x1.3x
Fri, 11 Jul 2025US$936.4bUS$733.1bUS$35.0b18x26.7x1.3x
Sun, 08 Jun 2025US$926.0bUS$732.6bUS$34.9b17.4x26.5x1.3x
Tue, 06 May 2025US$881.8bUS$727.1bUS$35.7b15.4x24.7x1.2x
Thu, 03 Apr 2025US$863.0bUS$724.3bUS$35.6b16.7x24.2x1.2x
Sat, 01 Mar 2025US$918.9bUS$727.2bUS$35.6b14.6x25.8x1.3x
Mon, 27 Jan 2025US$922.1bUS$701.4bUS$35.2b16.3x26.2x1.3x
Wed, 25 Dec 2024US$901.4bUS$705.6bUS$34.5b16.4x26.1x1.3x
Fri, 22 Nov 2024US$884.6bUS$706.1bUS$32.9b16.8x26.9x1.3x
Sun, 20 Oct 2024US$481.0bUS$548.8bUS$18.1b14.6x26.6x0.9x
Tue, 17 Sep 2024US$483.3bUS$549.2bUS$17.4b15x27.7x0.9x
Thu, 15 Aug 2024US$454.2bUS$551.0bUS$17.0b16.7x26.7x0.8x
Sat, 13 Jul 2024US$475.0bUS$551.8bUS$17.6b16.5x27.1x0.9x
Mon, 10 Jun 2024US$463.2bUS$552.5bUS$17.8b15.9x26.1x0.8x
Wed, 08 May 2024US$430.3bUS$553.1bUS$16.7b14.9x25.7x0.8x
Fri, 05 Apr 2024US$445.9bUS$552.4bUS$17.1b15.9x26.1x0.8x
Sun, 03 Mar 2024US$449.6bUS$550.7bUS$15.9b14.6x28.3x0.8x
Tue, 30 Jan 2024US$432.6bUS$574.3bUS$16.1b13.6x26.8x0.8x
Thu, 28 Dec 2023US$438.5bUS$574.4bUS$16.1b13.7x27.2x0.8x
Sat, 25 Nov 2023US$398.0bUS$575.3bUS$17.8b12.9x22.4x0.7x
Mon, 23 Oct 2023US$371.6bUS$566.5bUS$18.4b12.5x20.2x0.7x
Wed, 20 Sep 2023US$389.6bUS$567.8bUS$18.4b12.1x21.2x0.7x
Fri, 18 Aug 2023US$420.6bUS$571.8bUS$18.4b10.8x22.8x0.7x
Sun, 16 Jul 2023US$424.3bUS$572.7bUS$18.3b10.4x23.2x0.7x
Tue, 13 Jun 2023US$400.4bUS$574.0bUS$18.4b10.1x21.7x0.7x
Thu, 11 May 2023US$402.1bUS$575.7bUS$19.2b10.9x21x0.7x
Sat, 08 Apr 2023US$400.6bUS$577.3bUS$20.4b10x19.6x0.7x
Mon, 06 Mar 2023US$389.4bUS$530.1bUS$22.7b9.8x17.2x0.7x
Price to Earnings Ratio

17.2x


Total Market Cap: US$389.4bTotal Earnings: US$22.7bTotal Revenue: US$530.1bTotal Market Cap vs Earnings and Revenue0%0%0%
U.S. Specialty Stores Industry Price to Earnings3Y Average 25.1x202420252026
Current Industry PE
  • Investors are relatively neutral on the American Specialty Retail industry at the moment, indicating that they anticipate long term growth rates to remain steady.
  • The industry is trading close to its 3-year average PE ratio of 25.1x.
  • The 3-year average PS ratio of 0.99x is lower than the industry's current PS ratio of 1.3x.
Past Earnings Growth
  • The earnings for companies in the Specialty Retail industry have grown 18% per year over the last three years.
  • Revenues for these companies have grown 12% per year.
  • This means that more sales are being generated by these companies overall, and subsequently their profits are increasing too.

Industry Trends

Which industries have driven the changes within the U.S. Consumer Discretionary industry?

US Market0.58%
Consumer Discretionary0.16%
Specialty Stores0.44%
Specialty Stores1.85%
Automotive Retail1.55%
Apparel Retail1.23%
Home Furnishing Retail0.70%
Home Improvement Retail-0.81%
Computer and Electronics Retail-2.27%
Industry PE
  • Investors are most optimistic about the Specialty Stores industry, which is trading close to its 3-year average PE ratio of 27.8x.
    • Analysts are expecting annual earnings growth of 15.5%, which is higher than its past year's earnings decline of 6.6% per year.
  • Investors are most pessimistic about the Home Furnishing Retail industry, although it looks like investor sentiment has improved given that it's trading above its 3-year average of 21.5x.
Forecasted Growth
  • Analysts are most optimistic on the Computer and Electronics Retail industry, expecting annual earnings growth of 22% over the next 5 years.
  • In contrast, the Home Furnishing Retail industry is expected to see its earnings grow by 5.5% per year over the next few years.

Top Stock Gainers and Losers

Which companies have driven the market over the last 7 days?

CompanyLast Price7D1YValuation
CVNA CarvanaUS$353.906.3%
+US$3.0b		58.6%PE35.9x
TJX TJX CompaniesUS$158.691.4%
+US$2.4b		28.5%PE32.1x
ROST Ross StoresUS$203.501.6%
+US$1.0b		47.4%PE31.6x
DKS DICK'S Sporting GoodsUS$211.544.3%
+US$791.7m		-4.6%PE18.6x
FIVE Five BelowUS$225.124.2%
+US$504.7m		157.5%PE40.3x

Latest News

HD
US$375.09
Home Depot
7D
-0.9%
1Y
-3.9%
TJX
US$158.69
TJX Companies
7D
1.4%
1Y
28.5%
LOW
US$264.39
Lowe's Companies
7D
-5.0%
1Y
7.7%
CHWY
US$26.97
Chewy
7D
4.3%
1Y
-25.4%
PAG
US$157.70
Penske Automotive Group
7D
-4.8%
1Y
-4.8%

PAG: Dividend Growth And Buybacks Will Support Future Return Profile

Analysts have nudged their price target for Penske Automotive Group slightly higher to about $181 from roughly $180, reflecting updated assumptions around discount rates, long term revenue growth, profit margin resilience, and future P/E expectations. What's in the News Penske Automotive Group's board approved a 1.4% increase in the quarterly dividend, or $0.02 per share, bringing it to $1.40 per share with a stated forward dividend yield of 3.4% (Key Developments).
ROST
US$203.50
Ross Stores
7D
1.6%
1Y
47.4%

ROST: Holiday Foot Traffic And Off Price Execution Will Support Future Balanced Returns

Analysts have lifted their blended price target on Ross Stores to $205.13 from $195.13, citing strong holiday foot traffic data, solid card spending trends, and a series of recent target hikes across the Street as support for a slightly higher fair value and P/E outlook. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Ross Stores clusters around a more constructive view on the off price space, with several firms revisiting their models ahead of upcoming earnings updates and into 2026.
BBY
US$62.86
Best Buy
7D
-5.2%
1Y
-29.1%

BBY: Cost Discipline And Alternative Profit Streams Will Support Future Earnings

Analysts have trimmed their average price targets on Best Buy by single digits into the $70 to $99 range, reflecting growing caution around FY27 earnings power. At the same time, they highlight stable EBIT margins, ongoing cost discipline and support from newer initiatives and product cycles.
DKS
US$211.54
DICK'S Sporting Goods
7D
4.3%
1Y
-4.6%

DKS: Foot Locker Integration And Inventory Cleanup Will Support Long-Term Earnings

The consensus analyst price target for DICK'S Sporting Goods has shifted modestly as firms recalibrated their models, with some raising and others trimming targets within a roughly $7 to $29 range. This reflects updated views on profit flow through, inventory clean up, and the company's positioning in core sporting goods retail.
CVNA
US$353.90
Carvana
7D
6.3%
1Y
58.6%

CVNA: Margin Pressures And Short Report Risks Will Confront Index Inclusion Benefits

Analysts have reduced our Carvana fair value estimate by about $22 to $307.90. This reflects recent target cuts that account for near-term margin pressure after Q4 misses, alongside ongoing expectations for scale, share gains in used vehicles, and improved profitability over time.
FND
US$70.14
Floor & Decor Holdings
7D
6.1%
1Y
-27.6%

FND: 2026 Housing Turnover Recovery Will Drive Comps And Margin Inflection

The fair value estimate for Floor & Decor Holdings has been reduced by $2 to $90, as analysts temper their price targets in response to softer Q4 comps, weather related Q1 disruptions, and more cautious views on near term execution, even as longer term market share and earnings potential remain part of the debate. Analyst Commentary Street research around Floor & Decor Holdings has tilted more cautious on near term execution, but the broader takeaway is that most firms remain on the sidelines rather than shifting to outright bearish calls.
VSCO
US$65.75
Victoria's Secret
7D
7.2%
1Y
144.7%

VSCO: Macro Tailwinds Into 2026 Will Likely Outrun Fragile Execution

Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Victoria's Secret by $5 to $52, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and a higher future P/E multiple that align with recent Street price target increases from firms expressing a constructive view on specialty retail into 2026. Analyst Commentary Recent research has highlighted a more constructive tone around specialty retail into 2026, with some firms referencing factors such as inventory discipline and potential support from lower interest rates and gas prices.
TSCO
US$51.18
Tractor Supply
7D
-1.5%
1Y
-6.5%
LAD
US$281.46
Lithia Motors
7D
-5.3%
1Y
-18.3%

LAD: Share Repurchases And Acquisitions Will Drive Future Upside Potential

Analysts have adjusted their price target for Lithia Motors slightly lower to about $395 from roughly $397, citing updated assumptions that combine a higher projected revenue growth rate with somewhat lower profit margin expectations and a modestly different future P/E input. What's in the News Lithia Motors completed a share repurchase tranche between October 1, 2025 and December 31, 2025, buying back 917,427 shares, or 3.76% of the company, for US$288.07 million under its ongoing program (Key Developments).
FIVE
US$225.12
Five Below
7D
4.2%
1Y
157.5%

FIVE: Elevated Multiple Will Likely Crack On Execution Dependent Holiday Momentum

Our analyst fair value estimate for Five Below has been raised from about $125 to $185. This change reflects higher assumed revenue growth, a slightly lower discount rate, modestly stronger profit margins, and a richer future P/E multiple that aligns with recent analyst price target hikes following positive management updates and holiday results.
AZO
US$3,660.00
AutoZone
7D
-2.3%
1Y
6.3%

AZO: Mixed Rating Shifts And Ongoing Buybacks Will Shape Future Return Profile

The analyst price target on AutoZone has been trimmed by about $14 to $4,196, as analysts recalibrate their models following mixed target changes across the Street and modest adjustments to growth, margin and P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent research has highlighted a split view on AutoZone, with some firms lifting targets and others trimming them, which feeds directly into differing opinions on execution, growth potential and valuation support at current levels.
ORLY
US$91.33
O'Reilly Automotive
7D
-3.0%
1Y
1.2%

ORLY: Steady Execution And Buybacks Expected To Support Balanced Risk Reward

Analysts have trimmed their price targets for O'Reilly Automotive, and our fair value estimate has edged down by about $4 to $105.72. They cite recent cuts from multiple research firms, even as they factor in relatively steady assumptions on growth, margins, and future P/E.