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U.S. Specialty Stores Industry Analysis

UpdatedJan 21, 2026
DataAggregated Company Financials
Companies158
  • 7D-1.8%
  • 3M5.0%
  • 1Y5.1%
  • YTD5.5%

Over the last 7 days, the Specialty Stores industry has dropped 1.8%, driven by a pullback from Home Depot of 1.2%. Over the past 12 months, the industry was up 5.1%. Looking forward, earnings are forecast to grow by 10% annually.

Industry Valuation and Performance

Has the U.S. Specialty Stores Industry valuation changed over the past few years?

DateMarket CapRevenueEarningsPEAbsolute PEPS
Wed, 21 Jan 2026US$1.0tUS$736.0bUS$36.6b20.1x28.3x1.4x
Fri, 19 Dec 2025US$996.1bUS$735.8bUS$36.3b21.1x27.4x1.4x
Sun, 16 Nov 2025US$936.1bUS$735.7bUS$36.4b17x25.7x1.3x
Tue, 14 Oct 2025US$945.2bUS$731.6bUS$36.4b16.3x26x1.3x
Thu, 11 Sep 2025US$1.0tUS$732.1bUS$35.9b18.6x28.6x1.4x
Sat, 09 Aug 2025US$965.2bUS$735.1bUS$35.3b17.6x27.3x1.3x
Mon, 07 Jul 2025US$937.7bUS$733.1bUS$35.0b18.4x26.8x1.3x
Wed, 04 Jun 2025US$917.3bUS$732.4bUS$34.9b16.7x26.3x1.3x
Fri, 02 May 2025US$868.3bUS$726.9bUS$35.7b15.3x24.3x1.2x
Sun, 30 Mar 2025US$841.5bUS$724.4bUS$35.6b16.3x23.6x1.2x
Tue, 25 Feb 2025US$911.6bUS$719.1bUS$35.8b14.9x25.5x1.3x
Thu, 23 Jan 2025US$923.5bUS$701.5bUS$35.2b16.6x26.2x1.3x
Sat, 21 Dec 2024US$882.3bUS$706.5bUS$34.4b16.6x25.7x1.2x
Mon, 18 Nov 2024US$886.4bUS$703.6bUS$32.6b15.8x27.2x1.3x
Wed, 16 Oct 2024US$476.9bUS$548.8bUS$18.1b15x26.4x0.9x
Fri, 13 Sep 2024US$465.2bUS$552.4bUS$17.6b14.3x26.4x0.8x
Sun, 11 Aug 2024US$449.4bUS$551.0bUS$17.0b15.7x26.4x0.8x
Tue, 09 Jul 2024US$456.6bUS$551.7bUS$17.6b14.9x26x0.8x
Thu, 06 Jun 2024US$461.7bUS$553.0bUS$17.8b16.9x26x0.8x
Sat, 04 May 2024US$420.2bUS$554.7bUS$16.7b15.2x25.1x0.8x
Mon, 01 Apr 2024US$469.0bUS$552.3bUS$17.1b15.7x27.5x0.8x
Wed, 28 Feb 2024US$442.3bUS$549.5bUS$15.7b15.1x28.2x0.8x
Fri, 26 Jan 2024US$425.3bUS$574.3bUS$16.1b13.7x26.4x0.7x
Sun, 24 Dec 2023US$432.6bUS$574.4bUS$16.1b13.7x26.8x0.8x
Tue, 21 Nov 2023US$392.9bUS$575.4bUS$17.6b13.7x22.3x0.7x
Thu, 19 Oct 2023US$379.9bUS$566.5bUS$18.4b12.8x20.7x0.7x
Sat, 16 Sep 2023US$395.8bUS$567.8bUS$18.4b11.7x21.6x0.7x
Mon, 14 Aug 2023US$419.5bUS$571.0bUS$18.2b10.9x23x0.7x
Wed, 12 Jul 2023US$428.6bUS$572.7bUS$18.3b10.8x23.4x0.7x
Fri, 09 Jun 2023US$395.7bUS$574.1bUS$18.4b10x21.5x0.7x
Sun, 07 May 2023US$404.2bUS$576.5bUS$19.0b11.1x21.2x0.7x
Tue, 04 Apr 2023US$414.0bUS$577.3bUS$20.5b10.3x20.2x0.7x
Thu, 02 Mar 2023US$387.1bUS$537.8bUS$23.2b9.5x16.6x0.7x
Sat, 28 Jan 2023US$400.7bUS$540.4bUS$23.5b9.1x17.1x0.7x
Price to Earnings Ratio

17.1x


Total Market Cap: US$400.7bTotal Earnings: US$23.5bTotal Revenue: US$540.4bTotal Market Cap vs Earnings and Revenue0%0%0%
U.S. Specialty Stores Industry Price to Earnings3Y Average 24.8x202420252026
Current Industry PE
  • Investors are optimistic on the American Specialty Retail industry, and appear confident in long term growth rates.
  • The industry is trading at a PE ratio of 28.3x which is higher than its 3-year average PE of 24.8x.
  • The 3-year average PS ratio of 0.97x is lower than the industry's current PS ratio of 1.4x.
Past Earnings Growth
  • The earnings for companies in the Specialty Retail industry have grown 16% per year over the last three years.
  • Revenues for these companies have grown 11% per year.
  • This means that more sales are being generated by these companies overall, and subsequently their profits are increasing too.

Industry Trends

Which industries have driven the changes within the U.S. Consumer Discretionary industry?

US Market-2.00%
Consumer Discretionary-4.66%
Specialty Stores-1.84%
Home Improvement Retail-1.30%
Computer and Electronics Retail-1.32%
Home Furnishing Retail-1.35%
Specialty Stores-1.60%
Apparel Retail-1.77%
Automotive Retail-3.49%
Industry PE
  • Investors are most optimistic about the Automotive Retail industry which is trading above its 3-year average PE ratio of 20.0x.
    • Analysts are expecting annual earnings growth of 22.0%, which is higher than its past year's earnings decline of 0.7% per year.
  • Investors are most pessimistic about the Computer and Electronics Retail industry, which is trading below its 3-year average of 31.4x.
Forecasted Growth
  • Analysts are most optimistic on the Automotive Retail industry, expecting annual earnings growth of 22% over the next 5 years.
  • This is better than its past earnings decline of 0.7% per year.
  • In contrast, the Home Furnishing Retail industry is expected to see its earnings grow by 4.9% per year over the next few years.

Top Stock Gainers and Losers

Which companies have driven the market over the last 7 days?

CompanyLast Price7D1YValuation
AZO AutoZoneUS$3.57k1.9%
+US$1.1b		8.4%PE24x
ORLY O'Reilly AutomotiveUS$95.240.6%
+US$514.9m		15.1%PE32.4x
ULTA Ulta BeautyUS$675.621.6%
+US$477.8m		60.0%PE25.2x
SIG Signet JewelersUS$93.445.7%
+US$204.6m		63.0%PE26.2x
KMX CarMaxUS$47.452.2%
+US$141.8m		-40.3%PE14.7x

Latest News

W
US$107.89
Wayfair
7D
-9.4%
1Y
121.9%

W: UCP Partnership Will Support Future Upside For Index Aligned Shares

Analysts have nudged their price target on Wayfair to around $150, a move supported by small adjustments to fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and expected future P/E assumptions. What's in the News Wayfair is a foundational partner co developing Google's Universal Commerce Protocol, an open standard aimed at more seamless and secure interactions between AI agents and retailer platforms.
AZO
US$3,573.98
AutoZone
7D
1.9%
1Y
8.4%

AZO: Do It For Me Strength Will Counter Recent Caution On Do It Yourself

Narrative Update Analysts have trimmed their AutoZone fair value estimate by about $118 to $4,213, reflecting slightly higher discount rate assumptions, a modestly lower profit margin outlook, and a higher future P/E input following recent price target resets and sector views from major research firms. Analyst Commentary Street research on AutoZone has turned more mixed recently, with some firms trimming price targets while others see an improved risk and reward profile after the stock's pullback.
FIVE
US$191.22
Five Below
7D
-4.8%
1Y
99.5%

FIVE: Raised Guidance And Execution Support Future Margin And Valuation Balance

Analysts have raised their implied fair value estimate for Five Below from about $186 to roughly $214. This reflects updated assumptions for slightly higher revenue, improved profit margins, and a modestly richer future P/E multiple following a series of price target increases across Wall Street.
ORLY
US$95.24
O'Reilly Automotive
7D
0.6%
1Y
15.1%

ORLY: Pricing Tailwinds And Expanded Buybacks Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have trimmed their price target on O'Reilly Automotive by $5, citing slightly higher discount rate and P/E assumptions, along with recent Street research that includes a modest target cut at Morgan Stanley and an upgrade with supportive pricing commentary at Raymond James. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are highlighting a constructive setup for O'Reilly Automotive, pointing to recent research that balances a modest price target trim against more optimistic rating changes and commentary on pricing.
LOW
US$268.40
Lowe's Companies
7D
-2.1%
1Y
1.5%

LOW: Lock-In Housing And AI Tools Will Support Gradual Home Improvement Recovery

Narrative Update The analyst price target for Lowe's Companies has been raised by about US$5 to reflect slightly higher modeled fair value, modest tweaks to revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E assumptions, as analysts point to valuation, pent up demand in home improvement and a healthier mix across do it yourself and pro customers as key supports for the update. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Lowe's highlights a mix of optimism around long term home improvement demand and caution around near term earnings visibility, with several firms adjusting price targets and ratings after the latest results and outlook updates.
KMX
US$47.45
CarMax
7D
2.2%
1Y
-40.3%

CarMax, Inc. (NYSE:KMX) Soars 27% But It's A Story Of Risk Vs Reward

Jan 18
CarMax, Inc. (NYSE:KMX) Soars 27% But It's A Story Of Risk Vs Reward
SIG
US$93.44
Signet Jewelers
7D
5.7%
1Y
63.0%
CWH
US$13.56
Camping World Holdings
7D
16.3%
1Y
-40.0%
AN
US$215.29
AutoNation
7D
0.8%
1Y
16.3%
CVNA
US$442.29
Carvana
7D
-5.6%
1Y
90.4%
DKS
US$206.25
DICK'S Sporting Goods
7D
-4.4%
1Y
-12.0%

DKS: Future Returns Will Reflect Foot Locker Integration And Core Margin Resilience

Analysts made a modest adjustment to their DICK'S Sporting Goods price targets, with the average fair value view moving slightly higher to about $236.68 as they factor in updated expectations for slower revenue growth, a somewhat stronger profit margin profile, and a lower assumed future P/E multiple following recent Foot Locker related updates and refreshed guidance commentary. Analyst Commentary Recent research suggests that while the headline price targets for DICK'S Sporting Goods have been adjusted lower in several cases, many on the Street still see a constructive setup for the core business, tempered by execution questions around the Foot Locker acquisition and related clean up.
ROST
US$189.69
Ross Stores
7D
-1.8%
1Y
27.4%

ROST: Off Price Execution And Clean Comps Will Support Balanced Returns

Analysts lifted their Ross Stores fair value estimate to about $192 per share from roughly $183, citing higher Street price targets, resilient same-store-sales trends in recent quarters, and ongoing interest in the off price model across several recent research updates. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Ross Stores shows a cluster of higher price targets and generally constructive views on the off price model, but also flags several risks that investors should keep in mind.
TJX
US$156.08
TJX Companies
7D
-1.3%
1Y
26.6%

TJX: Off Price Execution And FY26 Guidance Will Support Multi Year Outlook

Analysts nudged their price target for TJX higher to about $164 from roughly $160, citing supportive Street research that highlights stronger Q3 results, updated FY26 guidance, and broad confidence in off-price retail trends and TJX's multi-banner momentum. Analyst Commentary Recent research points to a generally constructive stance on TJX, with multiple firms lifting valuation targets after the Q3 report and updated FY26 guidance.
HD
US$375.11
Home Depot
7D
-1.2%
1Y
-10.4%

HD: Ongoing Investments And Wholesale Expansion Will Support Post Headwind Share Gains

Analysts have trimmed their Home Depot price targets, with cuts such as US$455 to US$430 and US$475 to US$430, reflecting softer near term demand, recent earnings misses, and the expected impact of lower margin wholesale mix. They still see the company well positioned for a future housing recovery and share gains when conditions improve.
ULTA
US$675.62
Ulta Beauty
7D
1.6%
1Y
60.0%

ULTA: Inventory Discipline And Macro Tailwinds Will Support A Higher Multiple

Narrative Update: Ulta Beauty Analysts have lifted their implied fair value estimate for Ulta Beauty from about US$468 to roughly US$725, citing higher assumed revenue growth, slightly stronger profit margins, a richer future P/E multiple, and a sector view that highlights inventory discipline and potential macro support from lower interest rates and gas prices. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are framing the recent fair value re-rating for Ulta Beauty within a wider positive view on specialty retail, pointing to supportive sector trends and company specific execution as key drivers behind higher implied values.
BWMX
US$18.52
Betterware de MéxicoP.I. de
7D
14.2%
1Y
60.3%