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U.S. Auto Industry Analysis

UpdatedJun 04, 2026
DataAggregated Company Financials
Companies49
  • 7D-3.3%
  • 3M5.2%
  • 1Y26.6%
  • YTD-2.9%

Over the last 7 days, the Auto industry has dropped 3.3%, driven by Tesla declining 3.8%. In contrast, Rivian Automotive has gained 24%. In the past year, the industry has gained 27%. As for the next few years, earnings are expected to grow by 37% per annum.

Industry Valuation and Performance

Has the U.S. Auto Industry valuation changed over the past few years?

DateMarket CapRevenueEarningsPEAbsolute PEPS
Fri, 05 Jun 2026US$1.8tUS$539.6b-US$9,801,348,494.4615.1x-184.7x3.4x
Sun, 03 May 2026US$1.7tUS$538.2b-US$9,592,890,429.4727.9x-173.2x3.1x
Tue, 31 Mar 2026US$1.6tUS$549.8b-US$10,813,410,096.8121.1x-143.9x2.8x
Thu, 26 Feb 2026US$1.8tUS$531.6b-US$11,350,194,243.7925.5x-156.7x3.3x
Sat, 24 Jan 2026US$1.7tUS$536.9bUS$5.2b21.4x329.6x3.2x
Mon, 22 Dec 2025US$1.8tUS$536.5bUS$5.2b19.9x349.4x3.4x
Wed, 19 Nov 2025US$1.5tUS$534.8bUS$5.2b16.6x294.9x2.9x
Fri, 17 Oct 2025US$1.6tUS$527.8bUS$5.7b17.5x288x3.1x
Sun, 14 Sep 2025US$1.5tUS$527.8bUS$5.7b18.4x264.7x2.9x
Tue, 12 Aug 2025US$1.2tUS$526.0bUS$5.7b17.9x219.6x2.4x
Thu, 10 Jul 2025US$1.1tUS$527.7bUS$8.6b15.8x132.3x2.2x
Sat, 07 Jun 2025US$1.1tUS$527.7bUS$8.4b8.4x134.1x2.1x
Mon, 05 May 2025US$1.1tUS$527.6bUS$8.4b14x130.2x2.1x
Wed, 02 Apr 2025US$1.0tUS$528.9bUS$9.4b20.2x106.7x1.9x
Fri, 28 Feb 2025US$1.2tUS$534.9bUS$11.5b19.3x104.6x2.2x
Sun, 26 Jan 2025US$1.6tUS$527.3bUS$17.3b17.3x90.1x3x
Tue, 24 Dec 2024US$1.6tUS$527.0bUS$17.1b17.3x93.9x3x
Thu, 21 Nov 2024US$1.4tUS$527.9bUS$17.2b18.9x79.3x2.6x
Sat, 19 Oct 2024US$968.0bUS$519.3bUS$17.0b17.6x57.1x1.9x
Mon, 16 Sep 2024US$991.1bUS$519.6bUS$17.0b13.3x58.3x1.9x
Wed, 14 Aug 2024US$863.3bUS$517.3bUS$16.6b12.9x52x1.7x
Fri, 12 Jul 2024US$1.1tUS$509.5bUS$17.4b18.4x63.3x2.2x
Sun, 09 Jun 2024US$812.7bUS$509.7bUS$17.4b15.1x46.7x1.6x
Tue, 07 May 2024US$852.4bUS$507.9bUS$17.1b17.5x49.8x1.7x
Thu, 04 Apr 2024US$800.4bUS$505.7bUS$18.4b18.3x43.6x1.6x
Sat, 02 Mar 2024US$921.8bUS$504.8bUS$18.0b17.6x51.1x1.8x
Mon, 29 Jan 2024US$824.2bUS$499.2bUS$18.0b15.7x45.7x1.7x
Wed, 27 Dec 2023US$1.1tUS$498.5bUS$13.8b17x78.1x2.2x
Fri, 24 Nov 2023US$1.0tUS$498.2bUS$14.0b11.8x71.9x2x
Sun, 22 Oct 2023US$916.1bUS$486.3bUS$11.3b12x80.9x1.9x
Tue, 19 Sep 2023US$1.1tUS$486.0bUS$13.0b10.5x86.1x2.3x
Thu, 17 Aug 2023US$992.8bUS$486.6bUS$13.7b10.7x72.4x2x
Sat, 15 Jul 2023US$1.2tUS$461.7bUS$11.0b10.2x108.9x2.6x
Mon, 12 Jun 2023US$1.0tUS$462.1bUS$11.0b8.8x93.4x2.2x
Price to Earnings Ratio

93.4x


Total Market Cap: US$1.0tTotal Earnings: US$11.0bTotal Revenue: US$462.1bTotal Market Cap vs Earnings and Revenue0%0%0%
U.S. Auto Industry Price to Earnings3Y Average 102x202420252026
Current Industry PE
  • Investors are optimistic on the American Auto industry, and appear confident in long term growth rates.
  • The 3-year average PS ratio of 2.4x is lower than the industry's current PS ratio of 3.4x.
Past Earnings Growth
  • Total earnings for the Auto industry have declined over the last three years, with the industry now making a loss overall.
  • Meanwhile revenues have grown 5.3% per year.
  • This means that although more sales are being generated, either the cost of doing business or the level of investment back into businesses has increased, which has decreased profits.

Industry Trends

Which industries have driven the changes within the U.S. Consumer Discretionary industry?

US Market0.35%
Consumer Discretionary-4.25%
Auto-3.27%
Motorcycle Manufacturers-2.55%
Automobile Manufacturers-3.27%
Industry PE
    Forecasted Growth
    • Analysts are most optimistic on the Automobile Manufacturers industry, expecting annual earnings growth of 37% over the next 5 years.
    • This is better than its past earnings decline of 37% per year.
    • In contrast, the Motorcycle Manufacturers industry is expected to see its earnings grow by 15% per year over the next few years.

    Top Stock Gainers and Losers

    Which companies have driven the market over the last 7 days?

    CompanyLast Price7D1YValuation
    		RIVN Rivian AutomotiveUS$18.1219.2%
    +US$3.7b    		31.5%PS4.2x
    		XPEV XPengUS$16.812.3%
    +US$353.8m    		-15.9%PS1.5x
    		NIO NIOUS$5.692.5%
    +US$350.4m    		57.2%PS1x
    		HOG Harley-DavidsonUS$24.351.0%
    +US$25.3m    		0.5%PE11.1x
    		AIIO Robo.aiUS$3.2018.1%
    +US$9.7m    		-90.1%PS66.6x

    Latest News

    THO
    US$74.85
    THOR Industries
    7D
    -6.8%
    1Y
    -12.9%
    RIVN
    US$18.12
    Rivian Automotive
    7D
    19.2%
    1Y
    31.5%
    Seeking Alpha • 12h

    Rivian: Wait For The R2 Launch

    Summary Rivian achieved its first full-year gross profit in 2025, with Q4 gross margin reaching 9.3%, marking a key operational milestone. The R2 mass-market SUV launch is the primary catalyst; execution risk is high, but success could drive rapid re-rating. Embedded growth options—Uber robotaxi deal, VW joint venture, and 38% Mind Robotics stake—offer multiple upside paths not fully priced in. Despite technical weakness and $700M/quarter cash burn, I rate RIVN a Hold; patience and confirmation of R2 production or technical reversal are key to adding. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
    F
    US$15.34
    Ford Motor
    7D
    -7.9%
    1Y
    51.9%
    HOG
    US$24.35
    Harley-Davidson
    7D
    1.0%
    1Y
    0.5%
    NIO
    US$5.69
    NIO
    7D
    2.5%
    1Y
    57.2%
    PSNY
    US$18.87
    Polestar Automotive Holding UK
    7D
    -16.2%
    1Y
    -38.9%
    Seeking Alpha • Jun 03

    Polestar: Unfavorable Risk Matrix

    Summary Polestar Automotive Holding UK PLC shares plunged 17% after announcing expansion into the Baltic states, potentially raising concerns about widening near-term losses. Despite growing delivery volumes, PSNY remains unprofitable and faces structural headwinds, especially in the U.S. due to lost EV tax incentives. PSNY trades at a distressed 0.34X FY 2027 P/S ratio, reflecting persistent financial instability and lagging growth versus peers like Rivian Automotive. I maintain a Sell rating, citing slow delivery growth, high operating losses, and an uncertain path to profitability amid aggressive European expansion. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
    TSLA
    US$418.45
    Tesla
    7D
    -5.3%
    1Y
    47.0%
    Seeking Alpha • Jun 03

    How Much Longer Can Musk's Vision Support Tesla's 400x P/E

    Summary Tesla trades at a TTM P/E of 400x despite EPS contracting for three consecutive years with no meaningful recovery in sight. Q1 2026 operating margin fell from 5.7% to 4.2% as Tesla pours capital into AI and robotics at the expense of core profitability. CapEx is set to surge from $9B in 2025 to $25B in 2026, pushing free cash flow negative while new revenue streams remain years away. Consensus EPS growth of 22% annually through 2028 is comparable to Alphabet, yet Tesla trades at over seven times Alphabet's P/E multiple. Shareholders are pre-paying for robotaxis, FSD and humanoid robots that don't yet contribute enough to earnings, carrying all the risk today. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
    XPEV
    US$16.81
    XPeng
    7D
    2.3%
    1Y
    -15.9%
    Narrative Update • Jun 03

    XPEV: Rising Robotaxi Spend Will Constrain Margins And Future Share Returns

    XPeng's analyst price target is modestly adjusted as analysts balance lower targets such as Citi's cut to $22.50 with higher ones like BofA's lift to $25.00, while factoring in margin pressure from rising input costs, growing overseas sales, and emerging businesses including robotaxis and humanoid robots. Analyst Commentary Recent research on XPeng highlights a split in sentiment.
    GM
    US$83.22
    General Motors
    7D
    -1.3%
    1Y
    76.1%
    VFS
    US$3.33
    VinFast Auto
    7D
    -6.5%
    1Y
    -2.9%
    Narrative Update • Jun 02

    VFS: Debt Restructuring And Autonomous Program Will Support Future Upside

    Analysts have kept their fair value estimate for VinFast Auto steady at $6.30 per share while slightly adjusting assumptions for discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E. This reflects updated views on the stock's risk profile and earnings potential without altering the overall price target.
    LCID
    US$5.68
    Lucid Group
    7D
    -12.1%
    1Y
    -73.3%
    LI
    US$14.57
    Li Auto
    7D
    -6.2%
    1Y
    -50.2%
    Seeking Alpha • May 31

    Li Auto: Margin Plunge (Rating Downgrade)

    Summary Li Auto suffered serious profitability headwinds in Q1 2026 due to crashing vehicle margins. Li Auto beat Q1 revenue estimates with $3.4B, but vehicle margins collapsed to just 6.1%, lagging NIO and XPeng on core automotive profitability. Shares have corrected 47% to the downside over the past year as growth moderated and peers, notably NIO, outpaced LI in delivery expansion and vehicle margins. Future delivery growth and margin growth are key for a valuation recovery for the EV enterprise. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
    LOBO
    US$0.81
    Lobo Technologies
    7D
    2.5%
    1Y
    29.1%
    FFAI
    US$0.33
    Faraday Future Intelligent Electric
    7D
    5.9%
    1Y
    -72.9%
    AIIO
    US$3.20
    Robo.ai
    7D
    18.1%
    1Y
    -90.1%
    FABC
    US$5.70
    Fabric.AI
    7D
    1.4%
    1Y
    -19.6%