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U.S. Consumer Discretionary Sector Analysis

UpdatedMar 07, 2026
DataAggregated Company Financials
Companies799
  • 7D-2.3%
  • 3M-8.3%
  • 1Y9.5%
  • YTD-7.1%

The Consumer Discretionary is pretty flat in the last 7 days, but Amazon.com has stood out, gaining 5.3%. The past year has been better, since the industry has gained 11% in that time. Looking forward, earnings are forecast to grow by 20% annually.

Sector Valuation and Performance

Has the U.S. Consumer Discretionary Sector valuation changed over the past few years?

DateMarket CapRevenueEarningsPEAbsolute PEPS
Sat, 07 Mar 2026US$7.3tUS$3.6tUS$204.4b18.7x35.9x2x
Mon, 02 Feb 2026US$7.9tUS$3.6tUS$218.5b19.3x36.1x2.2x
Wed, 31 Dec 2025US$7.7tUS$3.6tUS$221.5b18.9x34.9x2.2x
Fri, 28 Nov 2025US$7.6tUS$3.6tUS$221.3b18.6x34.2x2.1x
Sun, 26 Oct 2025US$7.7tUS$3.5tUS$222.7b19x34.8x2.2x
Tue, 23 Sep 2025US$7.9tUS$3.5tUS$220.8b20x35.6x2.3x
Thu, 21 Aug 2025US$7.2tUS$3.5tUS$217.3b19.8x33x2.1x
Sat, 19 Jul 2025US$7.0tUS$3.4tUS$215.6b18.7x32.4x2x
Mon, 16 Jun 2025US$6.7tUS$3.4tUS$217.6b17.3x30.6x1.9x
Wed, 14 May 2025US$6.8tUS$3.4tUS$219.1b17.9x30.8x2x
Fri, 11 Apr 2025US$5.9tUS$3.4tUS$211.6b15.4x28x1.7x
Sun, 09 Mar 2025US$6.5tUS$3.4tUS$214.3b17.6x30.3x1.9x
Tue, 04 Feb 2025US$7.4tUS$3.3tUS$193.3b18.8x38.2x2.2x
Thu, 02 Jan 2025US$7.0tUS$3.3tUS$201.5b18.3x34.9x2.1x
Sat, 30 Nov 2024US$6.9tUS$3.3tUS$199.9b19.3x34.6x2.1x
Mon, 28 Oct 2024US$5.9tUS$3.2tUS$179.8b17.9x32.9x1.9x
Wed, 25 Sep 2024US$5.9tUS$3.2tUS$177.8b17.9x33x1.8x
Fri, 23 Aug 2024US$5.6tUS$3.2tUS$173.5b17.5x32.2x1.8x
Sun, 21 Jul 2024US$5.6tUS$3.1tUS$167.3b17.7x33.3x1.8x
Tue, 18 Jun 2024US$5.4tUS$3.1tUS$167.8b17.8x32x1.7x
Thu, 16 May 2024US$5.5tUS$3.1tUS$164.3b18.3x33.3x1.8x
Sat, 13 Apr 2024US$5.4tUS$3.1tUS$160.5b17.4x33.7x1.8x
Mon, 11 Mar 2024US$5.3tUS$3.1tUS$155.6b16.7x33.9x1.7x
Wed, 07 Feb 2024US$5.2tUS$3.1tUS$159.9b17.2x32.3x1.7x
Fri, 05 Jan 2024US$5.1tUS$3.1tUS$141.4b17.4x36x1.7x
Sun, 03 Dec 2023US$5.1tUS$3.1tUS$139.4b16.1x36.5x1.7x
Tue, 31 Oct 2023US$4.5tUS$3.0tUS$121.6b14.3x36.8x1.5x
Thu, 28 Sep 2023US$4.6tUS$3.0tUS$112.2b14.9x41.3x1.6x
Sat, 26 Aug 2023US$4.8tUS$3.0tUS$112.3b15.4x42.7x1.6x
Mon, 24 Jul 2023US$5.0tUS$2.9tUS$100.4b15.5x49.6x1.7x
Wed, 21 Jun 2023US$4.8tUS$2.9tUS$98.8b14.8x49x1.7x
Fri, 19 May 2023US$4.4tUS$2.9tUS$99.9b14.1x43.8x1.5x
Sun, 16 Apr 2023US$4.4tUS$2.9tUS$81.6b14.1x53.4x1.5x
Tue, 14 Mar 2023US$4.3tUS$3.1tUS$87.1b13.4x49.1x1.4x
Price to Earnings Ratio

49.1x


Total Market Cap: US$4.3tTotal Earnings: US$87.1bTotal Revenue: US$3.1tTotal Market Cap vs Earnings and Revenue0%0%0%
U.S. Consumer Discretionary Sector Price to Earnings3Y Average 36.4x202420252026
Current Industry PE
  • Investors are relatively neutral on the American Consumer Discretionary industry at the moment, indicating that they anticipate long term growth rates to remain steady.
  • The industry is trading close to its 3-year average PE ratio of 36.4x.
  • The 3-year average PS ratio of 1.8x is lower than the industry's current PS ratio of 2.0x.
Past Earnings Growth
  • The earnings for companies in the Consumer Discretionary industry have grown 33% per year over the last three years.
  • Revenues for these companies have grown 5.6% per year.
  • This means that more sales are being generated by these companies overall, and subsequently their profits are increasing too.

Industry Trends

Which industries have driven the changes within the U.S. Consumer Discretionary sector?

US Market-2.31%
Consumer Discretionary-2.35%
Online Retail and Ecommerce0%0
General Merchandise and Department Stores-0.21%
Consumer Services-1.88%
Auto-1.97%
Hospitality-3.79%
Retail Distributors-3.79%
Specialty Stores-4.22%
Auto Components-6.22%
Leisure-6.63%
Luxury-8.04%
Consumer Durables-8.09%
Industry PE
  • Investors are most optimistic about the Luxury industry which is trading above its 3-year average PE ratio of 28.5x.
    • Analysts are expecting annual earnings growth of 18.2%, which is higher than its past year's earnings decline of 10.9% per year.
Forecasted Growth
  • Analysts are most optimistic on the Auto Components industry, expecting annual earnings growth of 35% over the next 5 years.
  • This is better than its past earnings growth rate of 1.4% per year.
  • In contrast, the Consumer Durables industry is expected to see its earnings grow by 6.9% per year over the next few years.

Top Stock Gainers and Losers

Which companies have driven the market over the last 7 days?

CompanyLast Price7D1YValuation
AMZN Amazon.comUS$213.211.5%
+US$34.5b		7.0%PE29.5x
BKNG Booking HoldingsUS$4.55k7.3%
+US$9.9b		-2.6%PE26.7x
EXPE Expedia GroupUS$249.6215.7%
+US$4.2b		35.4%PE23.6x
ROST Ross StoresUS$211.753.0%
+US$2.0b		55.7%PE31.9x
MELI MercadoLibreUS$1.79k1.7%
+US$1.5b		-11.0%PE45.4x

Latest News

EXPE
US$249.62
Expedia Group
7D
15.7%
1Y
35.4%
ROST
US$211.75
Ross Stores
7D
3.0%
1Y
55.7%
BABA
US$130.79
Alibaba Group Holding
7D
-9.2%
1Y
-7.0%
CCL
US$25.79
Carnival Corporation &
7D
-18.3%
1Y
25.0%
HD
US$357.92
Home Depot
7D
-6.0%
1Y
-5.0%
MELI
US$1,787.86
MercadoLibre
7D
1.7%
1Y
-11.0%

MELI: Investment Cycle And Robotics Adoption Will Shape Future Margin Upside

Narrative Update The analyst price target for MercadoLibre has been trimmed from $2,352.11 to $2,190.00 as analysts factor in higher discount rates, more moderate revenue growth and profit margins, and adjustments related to the company's ongoing investment cycle highlighted in recent research updates. Analyst Commentary Recent research on MercadoLibre points to a more cautious tone around the stock, even as many firms still express confidence in the long term.
SE
US$91.98
Sea
7D
-15.2%
1Y
-32.2%

Logistics Strains And Credit Risks Will Persist Yet Long Term Commerce Tailwinds Will Support

Catalysts About Sea Sea operates Shopee in e commerce, Monee in digital financial services and Garena in online gaming and digital entertainment. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
SBUX
US$98.99
Starbucks
7D
1.0%
1Y
-7.0%

SBUX: Elevated Margin Assumptions Will Likely Prove Vulnerable To Restaurant Price Wars

Our updated Starbucks fair value estimate has increased to $77.37 from $71.88, reflecting analysts’ assumptions of slightly lower revenue growth, a higher profit margin profile, a modestly lower future P/E multiple, and a small reduction in the discount rate. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Starbucks has been active, with multiple firms updating price targets and ratings over the past several weeks.
AMZN
US$213.21
Amazon.com
7D
1.5%
1Y
7.0%
DASH
US$179.17
DoorDash
7D
1.5%
1Y
0.6%

DASH: Offensive Global Commerce Investments And AI Integrations Will Drive Future Upside

Analysts have trimmed their DoorDash fair value estimate from $274.69 to $260.90, citing lower projected revenue growth and profit margins, slightly higher discount rates, and a richer assumed future P/E that have filtered through updated models following recent price target resets across the Street. Analyst Commentary Street research on DoorDash is mixed, with many firms trimming price targets while keeping positive ratings, and a smaller group leaning more cautious.
TSLA
US$396.73
Tesla
7D
-1.4%
1Y
51.0%

TSLA: Energy And Physical AI Expansion Will Reshape Long-Term Equity Story

Analysts kept their Tesla fair value estimate unchanged at $600, while adjusting assumptions around the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E to reflect a wider spread of recent price target changes and an increasing focus on the potential contribution from the Energy and AI businesses. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Tesla shows a wide spread of opinions, but there is a clear cluster of bullish analysts who see upside tied to execution in Energy and AI, as well as to progress in autonomous driving and robotics.
RCL
US$278.08
Royal Caribbean Cruises
7D
-10.6%
1Y
29.9%
FLUT
US$112.25
Flutter Entertainment
7D
5.8%
1Y
-54.8%
MCD
US$328.06
McDonald's
7D
-3.8%
1Y
2.1%

MCD: Value And Digital Execution Are Expected To Support Breakout Setup

Narrative Update McDonald's fair value estimate edges up by about $2 to $341.28 as analysts lift price targets across the stock. They cite what they see as higher quality growth, strong profitability and benefits from digital investments, marketing and value initiatives into 2026.
BKNG
US$4,550.43
Booking Holdings
7D
7.3%
1Y
-2.6%
F
US$12.15
Ford Motor
7D
-13.8%
1Y
22.7%

F: 2026 EV Loss Trajectory Will Constrain Margins And Earnings Multiple

Our analyst price target for Ford Motor has increased by $0.75 to reflect higher estimated fair value, a slightly lower discount rate, modestly slower projected revenue declines, improved profit margin assumptions, and a lower future P/E in line with recent target hikes from multiple firms and analyst views that 2026 could be a more predictable year for automakers. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Ford clusters around 2026 as a key year, with several firms adjusting price targets and ratings.