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U.S. Consumer Discretionary Sector Analysis

UpdatedNov 10, 2025
DataAggregated Company Financials
Companies800
  • 7D-2.2%
  • 3M8.3%
  • 1Y13.3%
  • YTD9.9%

Over the last 7 days, the Consumer Discretionary industry has dropped 2.2%, driven by Tesla declining 8.3%. Meanwhile, Marriott International actually outperformed within the industry, gaining 10% in the last week. This takes the industry's 12 month performance to a gain of 13%. As for the next few years, earnings are expected to grow by 20% per annum.

Sector Valuation and Performance

Has the U.S. Consumer Discretionary Sector valuation changed over the past few years?

DateMarket CapRevenueEarningsPEAbsolute PEPS
Mon, 10 Nov 2025US$7.7tUS$3.5tUS$223.4b17.9x34.6x2.2x
Wed, 08 Oct 2025US$7.8tUS$3.5tUS$220.9b19x35.5x2.3x
Fri, 05 Sep 2025US$7.4tUS$3.5tUS$221.9b20.3x33.1x2.1x
Sun, 03 Aug 2025US$6.8tUS$3.4tUS$216.0b18.1x31.4x2x
Tue, 01 Jul 2025US$6.9tUS$3.4tUS$216.2b18.1x32x2x
Thu, 29 May 2025US$6.8tUS$3.4tUS$218.4b17.1x31.2x2x
Sat, 26 Apr 2025US$6.1tUS$3.4tUS$210.6b16.5x29x1.8x
Mon, 24 Mar 2025US$6.2tUS$3.4tUS$211.8b16.7x29.5x1.8x
Wed, 19 Feb 2025US$7.3tUS$3.4tUS$204.4b19.3x35.6x2.2x
Fri, 17 Jan 2025US$7.2tUS$3.3tUS$201.8b18.7x35.5x2.1x
Sun, 15 Dec 2024US$7.4tUS$3.3tUS$201.0b19.1x36.6x2.2x
Tue, 12 Nov 2024US$6.4tUS$3.2tUS$180.6b18.9x35.2x2x
Thu, 10 Oct 2024US$5.9tUS$3.2tUS$178.5b17.9x32.8x1.9x
Sat, 07 Sep 2024US$5.3tUS$3.2tUS$177.6b17x29.9x1.7x
Mon, 05 Aug 2024US$5.2tUS$3.2tUS$174.0b16.7x30x1.7x
Wed, 03 Jul 2024US$5.6tUS$3.1tUS$167.3b17x33.3x1.8x
Fri, 31 May 2024US$5.4tUS$3.1tUS$167.8b18x32x1.7x
Sun, 28 Apr 2024US$5.3tUS$3.1tUS$159.9b17.2x33x1.7x
Tue, 26 Mar 2024US$5.4tUS$3.1tUS$159.7b17.5x33.6x1.7x
Thu, 22 Feb 2024US$5.2tUS$3.1tUS$152.7b17.9x34.2x1.7x
Sat, 20 Jan 2024US$5.1tUS$3.1tUS$141.6b17.1x35.7x1.7x
Mon, 18 Dec 2023US$5.3tUS$3.1tUS$139.6b17.1x37.8x1.7x
Wed, 15 Nov 2023US$4.8tUS$3.0tUS$131.2b15.8x36.4x1.6x
Fri, 13 Oct 2023US$4.8tUS$3.0tUS$113.9b15x42.3x1.6x
Sun, 10 Sep 2023US$4.9tUS$3.0tUS$111.8b15.5x43.9x1.6x
Tue, 08 Aug 2023US$5.1tUS$3.0tUS$110.7b16x46.4x1.7x
Thu, 06 Jul 2023US$5.0tUS$2.9tUS$99.8b15x49.8x1.7x
Sat, 03 Jun 2023US$4.5tUS$2.9tUS$99.0b13.9x45.7x1.6x
Mon, 01 May 2023US$4.3tUS$2.9tUS$87.9b13.8x49.2x1.5x
Wed, 29 Mar 2023US$4.3tUS$2.9tUS$82.0b13.5x52.1x1.5x
Fri, 24 Feb 2023US$4.6tUS$3.1tUS$86.5b13.7x53x1.5x
Sun, 22 Jan 2023US$4.5tUS$3.0tUS$108.0b12.7x41.5x1.5x
Tue, 20 Dec 2022US$4.1tUS$3.0tUS$108.2b11.6x37.7x1.3x
Thu, 17 Nov 2022US$4.4tUS$3.0tUS$111.3b11.6x39.1x1.4x
Price to Earnings Ratio

39.1x


Total Market Cap: US$4.4tTotal Earnings: US$111.3bTotal Revenue: US$3.0tTotal Market Cap vs Earnings and Revenue0%0%0%
U.S. Consumer Discretionary Sector Price to Earnings3Y Average 37.3x202320242025
Current Industry PE
  • Investors are relatively neutral on the American Consumer Discretionary industry at the moment, indicating that they anticipate long term growth rates to remain steady.
  • The industry is trading close to its 3-year average PE ratio of 37.3x.
  • The 3-year average PS ratio of 1.8x is lower than the industry's current PS ratio of 2.2x.
Past Earnings Growth
  • The earnings for companies in the Consumer Discretionary industry have grown 26% per year over the last three years.
  • Revenues for these companies have grown 5.5% per year.
  • This means that more sales are being generated by these companies overall, and subsequently their profits are increasing too.

Industry Trends

Which industries have driven the changes within the U.S. Consumer Discretionary sector?

US Market-1.96%
Consumer Discretionary-2.25%
Leisure0.61%
Online Retail and Ecommerce0%0
Consumer Durables-0.22%
Auto Components-0.61%
General Merchandise and Department Stores-0.73%
Specialty Stores-0.82%
Retail Distributors-2.51%
Luxury-3.57%
Hospitality-4.28%
Auto-5.17%
Consumer Services-7.61%
Industry PE
  • Investors are most optimistic about the Auto industry which is trading above its 3-year average PE ratio of 100x.
    • Analysts are expecting annual earnings growth of 34.3%, which is higher than its past year's earnings decline of 16.2% per year.
Forecasted Growth
  • Analysts are most optimistic on the Leisure industry, expecting annual earnings growth of 46% over the next 5 years.
  • This is better than its past earnings decline of 22% per year.
  • In contrast, the Consumer Durables industry is expected to see its earnings grow by 6.2% per year over the next few years.

Top Stock Gainers and Losers

Which companies have driven the market over the last 7 days?

CompanyLast Price7D1YValuation
MAR Marriott InternationalUS$291.1610.3%
+US$6.5b		1.8%PE29.9x
SBUX StarbucksUS$85.575.7%
+US$5.2b		-14.7%PE37x
EXPE Expedia GroupUS$258.2519.8%
+US$5.0b		40.1%PE22.8x
TJX TJX CompaniesUS$144.613.0%
+US$4.7b		22.5%PE32.4x
ORLY O'Reilly AutomotiveUS$97.095.9%
+US$4.3b		18.5%PE33x

Latest News

MAR
US$291.16
Marriott International
7D
10.3%
1Y
1.8%
DASH
US$204.31
DoorDash
7D
-15.6%
1Y
16.8%
AMZN
US$244.41
Amazon.com
7D
-3.8%
1Y
18.2%
EXPE
US$258.25
Expedia Group
7D
19.8%
1Y
40.1%
CPNG
US$28.88
Coupang
7D
-9.7%
1Y
19.8%

CPNG: International Expansion Will Drive Performance Amid Stable Regional Competition

Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Coupang to $35.75, up from $34.52. They cite improved profit margin forecasts and continued international expansion as reasons for the increase.
RIVN
US$15.23
Rivian Automotive
7D
15.5%
1Y
38.0%
TJX
US$144.61
TJX Companies
7D
3.0%
1Y
22.5%
TSLA
US$429.52
Tesla
7D
-8.3%
1Y
22.7%
RCL
US$256.01
Royal Caribbean Cruises
7D
-7.8%
1Y
9.0%
SBUX
US$85.57
Starbucks
7D
5.7%
1Y
-14.7%

SBUX: Store Restructuring And Cost Efforts Will Support Gradual Earnings Recovery

Starbucks’ average analyst price target has edged down from approximately $96.60 to $94.17, as analysts cite persistent macroeconomic challenges, slower expected revenue growth, and sustained margin pressures, even as there are signs of operational improvement. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst notes on Starbucks highlight a mix of optimism about the company's operational progress, alongside heightened caution about macro pressures and execution challenges.
YUM
US$149.12
Yum! Brands
7D
7.0%
1Y
9.1%

YUM: Upcoming Earnings and Segment Performance Will Define Near-Term Trajectory

The analyst price target for Yum! Brands was raised slightly in recent updates, with the average moving from $158.67 to $161.33.
MELI
US$2,108.60
MercadoLibre
7D
-9.0%
1Y
7.5%
SE
US$149.94
Sea
7D
-4.7%
1Y
53.8%

SE: Rising Engagement And Fintech Momentum Will Drive Share Price Higher

Analysts have adjusted their price target for Sea Limited slightly downward from $204.64 to $196.66. They cited ongoing improvements in revenue growth, alongside a more cautious outlook on profit margins and updated market conditions.
ORLY
US$97.09
O'Reilly Automotive
7D
5.9%
1Y
18.5%

ORLY: Improving Supply Chain Will Drive Resilient Same-Store Sales Strength

O'Reilly Automotive's fair value estimate has increased from $108.78 to $110.13 per share. Analysts point to improved profit margins, a resilient consumer, and ongoing operational strengths supporting recent upward adjustments in price targets.
HLT
US$273.32
Hilton Worldwide Holdings
7D
5.5%
1Y
9.2%

Future Expansion in Asia-Pacific Luxury and Lifestyle Will Drive Steady Returns

Hilton Worldwide Holdings’ analyst price target has increased from $276 to approximately $281 per share. Analysts cite robust business execution, a resilient earnings outlook, and strong development trends despite macroeconomic challenges.
HD
US$371.11
Home Depot
7D
-1.9%
1Y
-9.1%